国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧表示，12月份，生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和 50.8%，比上月上升1.7个和1.6个百分点，特别是新订单指数下半年以来首次升至临界点以上，制造业 产需两端均较上月明显扩张。 中新社 北京12月31日电 (记者 王恩博)中国国家统计局2025年12月31日公布，12月份，中国制造业采购 经理指数(PMI)为50.1%，4月份以来首次升至扩张区间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上月回 升。 值得注意的是，12月份重点行业PMI均高于上月。高技术制造业PMI为52.5%，比上月上升2.4个百分 点，行业增长态势向好。装备制造业和消费品行业PMI均为50.4%，分别比上月上升0.6个和1.0个百分 点，双双升至扩张区间。高耗能行业PMI为48.9%，比上月上升0.5个百分点，景气水平继续回升。 12月份，生产经营活动预期指数为55.5%，比上月上升2.4个百分点，制造业企业对市场发展信心继续增 强。受节前备货等因素带动，农副食品加工、食品及酒饮料精制茶等行业生产经营活动预期指数均升至 60.0%以上高位景气区间，相关企业对近期行业发展更为乐观。(完) 【责 ...

制造业生产经营活动预期指数创去年4月以来新高。 国家统计局12月31日发布的数据显示，12月份制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为50.1%，比上月上升0.9个 百分点，在连续8个月运行在50%以下后升至扩张区间。 中国物流信息中心文韬分析，前期推出的各项经济政策继续落实发力，中央经济工作会议明确指出实施 更加积极有为的宏观政策，有效提振了市场信心，加上大量企业制定新年规划进入细化与落实阶段，以 及春节备货重要节点临近，制造业市场需求有所释放。 需求端释放以及政策预期向好带动制造业企业生产活动较好扩张，生产指数为51.7%，较上月上升1.7个 百分点，指数升幅较为明显。 价格方面，12月原材料价格增势有所放缓，购进价格指数为53.1%，较上月下降0.5个百分点。主要集中 在高耗能行业和消费品制造业，两大行业的购进价格指数分别较上月下降2.3个和0.8个百分点，原因是 部分重要基础原材料价格有所下行，带动相关产业原材料价格增势放缓。 制造业产成品价格在需求释放的带动下趋稳运行，出厂价格指数为48.9%，较上月上升0.7个百分点，连 续2个月上升，且装备制造业、高技术制造业和高耗能行业的出厂价格指数均较上月有所上升。 ...

新华社北京12月31日电（记者王雨萧、魏玉坤）国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合 会12月31日发布数据显示，12月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为50.1%，4月份以来首次升至扩张区 间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上月回升，相关企业生产经营情况有所改善。 预期指数升至较高景气区间。12月份，生产经营活动预期指数为55.5%，比上月上升2.4个百分点， 制造业企业对市场发展信心继续增强。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:吴京泽】 数据显示，产需两端明显回升。12月份，生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和50.8%，比上月上 升1.7个和1.6个百分点，特别是新订单指数下半年以来首次升至临界点以上，制造业产需两端均较上月 明显扩张。 大型企业PMI重返扩张区间。12月份，大型企业PMI为50.8%，比上月上升1.5个百分点，升至临界 点以上；中型企业PMI为49.8%，比上月上升0.9个百分点，景气水平回升；小型企业PMI为48.6%，比上 月下降0.5个百分点，景气水平有所回落。 ...

国家统计局12月31日发布数据显示，12月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）、非制造业商务活动指数和综合 PMI产出指数分别为50.1%、50.2%和50.7%，比上月上升0.9个、0.7个和1.0个百分点，三大指数均升至扩张区 间，我国经济景气水平总体回升。 制造业PMI升至临界点以上 国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧表示，12月份，制造业PMI为50.1%，4月份以来首次升至扩张区 间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上月回升，相关企业生产经营情况有所改善。 大型企业PMI重返扩张区间。12月份，大型企业PMI为50.8%，比上月上升1.5个百分点，升至临界点以上；中 型企业PMI为49.8%，比上月上升0.9个百分点，景气水平回升；小型企业PMI为48.6%，比上月下降0.5个百分 点，景气水平有所回落。 重点行业PMI均高于上月。12月份，高技术制造业PMI为52.5%，比上月上升2.4个百分点，行业增长态势向 好。装备制造业和消费品行业PMI均为50.4%，分别比上月上升0.6个和1.0个百分点，双双升至扩张区间。高耗 能行业PMI为48.9%，比上月上升0.5个百分点，景气水平继续回 ...

12月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为50.1%，比上月上升0.9个百分点，升至扩张区间。对此，国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽 慧进行了解读： 12月份，制造业采购经理指数、非制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为50.1%、50.2%和50.7%，比上月上升0.9个、0.7个和1.0个百 分点，三大指数均升至扩张区间，我国经济景气水平总体回升。 一、制造业采购经理指数升至临界点以上 12月份，制造业PMI为50.1%，4月份以来首次升至扩张区间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上月回升，相关企业生产经营情况有所 改善。 （一）产需两端明显回升。生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和50.8%，比上月上升1.7个和1.6个百分点，特别是新订单指数下半年以来首 次升至临界点以上，制造业产需两端均较上月明显扩张。从行业看，农副食品加工、纺织服装服饰、计算机通信电子设备等行业生产指数和 新订单指数均高于53.0%，产需两端加快释放；非金属矿物制品、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业两个指数均低于临界点，相关行业仍面临一 定压力。在制造业产需回升的带动下，企业采购活动加快，采购量指数升至扩张区间，为 ...

国信期货研究所 供需平稳成本支撑不足 螺纹震荡运行 ----国信期货螺纹钢周报 1 螺纹钢期货行情回顾 2025年12月14日 国信期货研究所 2 期货市场环境：宏观、比价、基差 3 螺纹钢供需概况 4 后市展望 国信期货研究所 第 P a 一部 r 分 t1 螺纹钢期货行情回顾 目 录 CONTENTS 1.1 近期重要信息概览 国信期货研究所 经济数据 政策信息 数据来源：WIND 国信期货 Mysteel 免责声明：本报告以投资者教育为目的，不构成任何投资建议。 4 1. 国家统计局公布数据显示，11月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.2%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，景气水平有所改善。从分类指数看， 在构成制造业PMI的5个分类指数中，供应商配送时间指数高于临界点，生产指数位于临界点，新订单指数、原材料库存指数和从业人员 指数均低于临界点。生产指数为50.0%，比上月上升0.3个百分点，位于临界点，表明制造业生产总体稳定。新订单指数为49.2%，比上月 上升0.4个百分点，表明制造业市场需求景气水平有所改善。原材料库存指数为47.3%，与上月持平，低于临界点，表明制造业主要原材 料库存量继续减少。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View of the Report - Lead prices are likely to show a predominantly fluctuating and strengthening trend. Arbitrage opportunities are limited. It is recommended to mainly observe option contracts [4][34] Summary by Related Sections 1. Market Review - Last week, the price of the main contract PB2601 of Shanghai lead futures showed a predominantly fluctuating and strengthening trend, ranging from around 17,010 yuan/ton to about 17,380 yuan/ton [8] 2. Macroeconomic Analysis - In November, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in the business climate. Among the five sub - indices of the manufacturing PMI, the supplier delivery time index was above the critical point, the production index was at the critical point, and the new orders index, raw material inventory index, and employment index were all below the critical point [12] 3. Spot Analysis - As of December 5, 2025, the average price of 1 lead in the Yangtze River non - ferrous market was 17,460 yuan/ton, an increase of 150 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The spot prices in Shanghai, Guangdong, and Tianjin were 17,255 yuan/ton, 17,300 yuan/ton, and 17,270 yuan/ton respectively. As of December 5, 2025, the premium or discount of 1 lead remained around a discount of - 65 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [15] 4. Supply and Demand Situation - As of December 5, 2025, the average processing fees (factory - delivered prices) in Jiyuan, Chenzhou, and Gejiu were 200 yuan/metal ton, 400 yuan/metal ton, and 320 yuan/metal ton respectively. The average processing fee (truck - board price) in Kunming was 260 yuan/metal ton. As of October 31, 2025, the monthly refined lead output was 645,000 tons, an increase of 11,000 tons from the previous month and a year - on - year decrease of 2.4%. Seasonally, the current output was at an average level compared to the past five years [22] 5. Inventory Situation - As of December 5, 2025, the refined lead inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 34,735 tons, a decrease of 3,064 tons from the previous week. As of December 5, 2025, the LME lead inventory was 243,550 tons, a decrease of 4,500 tons from the previous trading day, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 48.06% [28] 6. Fundamental Analysis - In November, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, and the new orders index was 49.2%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in manufacturing market demand. Lead processing fees continued to decline slowly and remained at a low level. In October, lead production was at a moderate level in recent years. Shanghai lead inventory continued to decline and was at a moderate level in recent years, while LME lead inventory decreased slightly but remained at a high level in recent years [33] 7. Future Outlook - Lead prices are likely to show a predominantly fluctuating and strengthening trend. Arbitrage opportunities are limited. It is recommended to mainly observe option contracts [34]

国信期货研究所 主力移仓远月 盘面低位震荡 ----国信期货螺纹钢周报 2025年12月7日 国信期货研究所 目 录 CONTENTS 4 后市展望 1 螺纹钢期货行情回顾 2 期货市场环境：宏观、比价、基差 3 螺纹钢供需概况 国信期货研究所 第 一部 P a r 分 t1 螺纹钢期货行情回顾 1.1 近期重要信息概览 国信期货研究所 经济数据 政策信息 数据来源：WIND 国信期货 Mysteel 免责声明：本报告以投资者教育为目的，不构成任何投资建议。 4 1. 国家统计局公布数据显示，11月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.2%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，景气水平有所改善。从分类指数看， 在构成制造业PMI的5个分类指数中，供应商配送时间指数高于临界点，生产指数位于临界点，新订单指数、原材料库存指数和从业人员 指数均低于临界点。生产指数为50.0%，比上月上升0.3个百分点，位于临界点，表明制造业生产总体稳定。新订单指数为49.2%，比上月 上升0.4个百分点，表明制造业市场需求景气水平有所改善。原材料库存指数为47.3%，与上月持平，低于临界点，表明制造业主要原材 料库存量继续减少。从业人员指 ...

Core Insights - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.6%, showing a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a mild weakening in the recovery of the global economy [1][3]. Regional Analysis - The PMI for the Asian manufacturing sector remains unchanged from the previous month, staying above 50%, indicating continued expansion [3]. - The European manufacturing PMI is stable compared to last month but remains below 50%, suggesting contraction [3]. - The African manufacturing PMI has decreased from above 50% to below 50%, indicating a shift to contraction [3]. - The Americas' manufacturing PMI has also declined and continues to operate below 49%, reflecting ongoing challenges in the region [3]. Overall Economic Outlook - The overall index indicates a slight weakening in the recovery momentum of global manufacturing, although it remains above 49%, suggesting that the sector has not deviated from the recovery range observed throughout the year [3]. - Experts note that the global economy is experiencing moderate recovery within a certain range, with both upward potential and downward risks present [3]. - Long-term strategies for sustainable global economic development include fostering more inclusive and cooperative international partnerships [3].

Group 1 - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.6%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that global manufacturing has not yet exited the recovery range observed this year, but the strength of the recovery still needs to be enhanced [1] - The PMI for Asian manufacturing stands at 50.7%, remaining stable from the previous month and indicating expansion, which supports global economic recovery [1] - European manufacturing PMI is at 49.6%, unchanged from last month, indicating a slow recovery trend without significant improvement in the overall uncertainty of the European economy [1] Group 2 - The Americas manufacturing PMI is reported at 48.3%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, continuing a downward trend for two consecutive months, reflecting ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector [1] - The African manufacturing PMI is at 49.4%, down 1.4 percentage points from last month, indicating a slowdown in growth and entering a contraction zone, suggesting that the stability and sustainability of economic recovery in Africa need further enhancement [1] - The analysis suggests that the global economy is experiencing moderate recovery within a certain range, with both upward potential and downward risks coexisting, emphasizing the need for enhanced resilience in global economic recovery [2]