Group 1: Domestic Leading Enterprises - China Resources Vientiane Life achieved significant growth with total retail sales of 215 billion yuan from 122 shopping centers, averaging 17.6 billion yuan per center, and a 21.4% increase in revenue to 6.274 billion yuan in FY2024 [1][4] - The shopping center segment showed resilience with a 30% year-on-year increase, outperforming the overall retail sales growth [1][4] - Longfor Commercial reported a 7.4% increase in operating income to 26.71 billion yuan, with a significant contribution from shopping mall operations [9][10] - Longfor's rental income growth is driven by new projects, with 6 out of the top 7 projects being in the cultivation phase [10][11] Group 2: Hong Kong Capital Enterprises - Swire Properties reported a 3% increase in rental income from mainland retail properties, totaling 44.89 billion HKD, while Hong Kong properties saw a 3% decline [15][16] - The rental rates for Swire's properties in Beijing and Shanghai showed resilience, with Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li increasing from 94% to 98% [16][17] - Hang Lung Properties faced challenges in high-end malls, with significant declines in revenue and tenant sales in Shanghai, while lower-tier malls showed stable growth [18][19] Group 3: Regional Enterprises - Wushang Group achieved 3.749 billion yuan in revenue from 10 shopping centers in Hubei and Jiangxi, demonstrating strong local market presence [24] - China International Trade Center maintained stable rental income of 2.88 billion yuan, with a slight decline of 1.14% year-on-year, showcasing resilience in a challenging market [25][27] - Dennis established itself as a leading luxury mall operator in Zhengzhou, achieving significant market share through strategic positioning [28][29] Group 4: Asset Management Enterprises - CapitaLand announced plans to launch its first public REIT focused on consumer infrastructure, marking a significant development in China's REIT market [30][32] - Link REIT reported a 6.4% increase in revenue and a 5.8% increase in net property income, focusing on essential retail spaces and adapting to changing consumer preferences [33][34]

2023 Interim Results Presentation 1 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited (the "Company") for your reference only. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. The Company does not make any representation, warranty or undertaking, whether express or implied, on and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, suitability, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. Any summa ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing stable commercial operations while facing a significant decline in real estate sales, leading to tighter cash flow conditions [2][3][4]. Group 1: Commercial Operations - As of the end of 2024, the company has established 200 Wuyue Plazas across 136 cities, with 173 currently operational, achieving an overall occupancy rate of approximately 98% [3]. - In 2024, the total foot traffic for Wuyue Plazas reached about 1.77 billion visits, representing a year-on-year increase of 19%, with total sales of 90.5 billion yuan (excluding vehicle sales), also up by 19% year-on-year [3]. - The commercial operations segment generated revenue of 12.03 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.2%, with a gross margin of approximately 70.2%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points [3]. - The company aims to achieve total revenue of 14 billion yuan from commercial operations in 2025 [3]. Group 2: Real Estate Sales - In 2024, the company reported total sales of 40.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 47.1%, with total sales area of 5.388 million square meters, down 44.4% year-on-year [4]. - For the first four months of 2025, the company achieved a contract sales amount of 6.86 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.2% year-on-year, with a sales area of 886,000 square meters, down 59.0% year-on-year [4]. - The real estate development segment recorded revenue of 76.04 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 29.2%, with a gross margin of approximately 11.7%, down 2.2 percentage points [4]. - The gross margin contribution from the real estate development sales segment has decreased to 50.6% [4]. Group 3: Cash Flow and Financing - As of the end of 2024, the company's total financing amounted to approximately 53.65 billion yuan, down from about 57.08 billion yuan at the end of 2023, with short-term debt around 11.99 billion yuan [4]. - The company holds approximately 6.596 billion yuan in non-restricted cash, resulting in a non-restricted cash to short-term debt ratio of about 0.55 [4]. - The average financing cost is reported at 5.92%, a decrease from 6.20% at the end of 2023 [4]. - In 2024, the company secured approximately 20.5 billion yuan in financing backed by Wuyue Plaza properties, with an average interest rate of 4.97% and a collateralization rate of about 50% [4].

Group 1: Company Performance - The company reported Q1 retail sales growth in its mainland shopping centers, with Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui, Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li, and Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li showing increases of 10.1%, 6%, and 1.5% year-on-year respectively [1] - Retail sales in Chengdu Taikoo Li, Guangzhou Taikoo Hui, and Beijing Yintai Center declined by 2.9%, 2.5%, and 0.4% year-on-year, but the decline was significantly narrower compared to 2024 [1] - The improvement in retail sales is attributed to the introduction of more luxury brands following renovations completed at the beginning of 2025, particularly benefiting Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Hong Kong shopping centers maintained full occupancy with a slight improvement in retail sales growth, with Taikoo City Centre, Taikoo Place, and Citygate Outlets showing year-on-year growth rates of +2.9%, -5%, and -5.8% respectively [2] - The overall rental rate for Hong Kong office buildings remained under pressure due to market oversupply, with a Q1 occupancy rate of 89%, consistent with the end of 2024 [2] - In mainland office projects, Guangzhou Taikoo Hui and Beijing Yintai Center saw occupancy rates increase by 1 percentage point to 91% and 84% respectively, while Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui's rate decreased by 2 percentage points to 94% [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is characterized as a commercial real estate firm that generates stable cash flow through holding assets with a competitive edge [3] - Q1 performance in mainland shopping centers aligns with expectations, driven by the company's strong leasing and renovation capabilities [3] - Projected net profit growth for the company is 449%, 54%, and 37% for the years 2025 to 2027, with a consistent annual dividend growth of 5% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Swire Properties (1972.HK) with a target price of HKD 21.55 [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance met expectations, with improvements in the operation of shopping centers in mainland China. Retail sales in key locations such as Shanghai and Beijing showed positive growth, while declines in other areas were significantly reduced compared to 2024 [2][8]. - The report highlights the strong competitive advantage of Swire Properties due to its prime location shopping centers and robust leasing capabilities, which are expected to drive rental income growth in the coming years [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 14,428 million, HKD 14,616 million, HKD 14,995 million, and HKD 18,638 million respectively, with growth rates of -2.1%, 1.3%, 2.6%, and 24.3% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be -HKD 766 million in 2024, increasing to HKD 2,676 million in 2025, HKD 4,132 million in 2026, and HKD 5,671 million in 2027, with growth rates of -129.0%, 449.3%, 54.4%, and 37.2% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -HKD 0.13 in 2024, HKD 0.46 in 2025, HKD 0.72 in 2026, and HKD 0.98 in 2027 [4]. Market Performance - The report notes that Swire Properties' shopping centers in Hong Kong maintained full occupancy, with slight improvements in retail sales growth compared to the previous year [8]. - The overall rental market for office spaces in Hong Kong remains under pressure due to oversupply, with an occupancy rate of 89% in Q1 [8]. Investment Recommendation - Swire Properties is characterized as a commercial real estate company that generates stable cash flow through holding assets with a competitive moat. The expected growth in net profit and consistent dividend growth of 5% annually supports the investment thesis [8].

Core Viewpoint - The overall supply and demand situation in the commercial real estate sector does not determine individual operational results, with the ability to outperform peers being crucial for success [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Increased external uncertainties are expected to boost the value of shopping centers as domestic demand is emphasized as a strategic foundation for new development [1] - Shopping centers are vital physical spaces for consumer activities, and recent government initiatives aim to enhance consumption infrastructure to stimulate domestic demand [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Major brand shopping centers are outperforming retail sales and rental growth, with projected average sales growth of 16.4% and rental income growth of 16.6% for three leading companies in 2024 [2] - The same companies are expected to see same-store sales growth of 6.2% and same-store rental growth of 3.1%, indicating strong operational performance [2] Group 3: Expansion and Management - The three leading companies plan to open a total of 47 new shopping centers in 2024, with significant investments in both light and heavy asset models [3] - The average same-store sales growth for these companies exceeds the industry average by 6.2 percentage points, showcasing the effectiveness of quality management [3] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - There are over 6,000 shopping centers in China, but only about 25% are managed by high-quality management companies, indicating a significant competitive advantage for these firms [4] - Established brands have geographical advantages in tenant selection and consumer behavior, which helps them maintain higher rental growth compared to the overall retail sector [4] Group 5: Asset Valuation - The development of various financial instruments like public and private REITs is driving the revaluation of commercial real estate assets, with a focus on stable cash flow properties [5] - The recognition of quality management platforms is expected to expand beyond first-tier cities by 2025, enhancing their market presence [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Vientiane Life (01209.HK) with a target price of HKD 39.04 [2][8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of approximately HKD 17.043 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 3.629 billion, up 23.9% year-on-year, while the core net profit attributable to shareholders was about HKD 3.507 billion, increasing by 20.1% year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 32.9%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][4] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Growth**: The total revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 17.043 billion, with expected growth rates of 15% in 2025, 12% in 2026, and 12% in 2027 [4] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be HKD 3.629 billion in 2024, with growth rates of 24% in 2025, 15% in 2026, and 15% in 2027 [4] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to be HKD 1.59 in 2024, increasing to HKD 1.82 in 2025, HKD 2.08 in 2026, and HKD 2.39 in 2027 [4] - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 20 in 2024, decreasing to 14 by 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio remains stable at 4 for 2024 and 2025, and drops to 3 in 2026 and 2027 [4] Business Segment Performance - **Shopping Centers**: Revenue from shopping centers reached HKD 4.209 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30%, with a gross margin of 72.6%. The retail sales in managed shopping centers grew by 18.7% year-on-year [8] - **Property Management**: The property management segment generated revenue of HKD 10.715 billion, up 11.6% year-on-year, although the overall gross margin slightly decreased to 17.0% [8] - **Office Buildings**: Revenue from office buildings was HKD 2.065 billion, reflecting a 7.1% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 34.9% [8] Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a 100% payout ratio for core net profit attributable to shareholders for two consecutive years, with total dividends per share reaching HKD 1.536, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 5% based on the closing price on March 27 [8]