1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The stock index futures are in a volatile pattern, and attention should be paid to the Lujiazui Forum [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Periodic Index Futures and Spot Data Tracking - On June 17, the closing prices, price changes, basis, trading volumes, and open interests of various stock index futures contracts were presented. For example, the closing price of CSI 300 was 3870.38, down 0.09%; IF2506 closed at 3868.6, down 0.01%, with a basis of -1.78, trading volume of 61.8 billion, and open interest of 71,388 contracts, down 11,929 contracts [2] - On this trading day, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 6,555 lots, IH increased by 2,873 lots, IC decreased by 110 lots, and IM increased by 7,130 lots. In terms of open interest, IF's total open interest increased by 1,165 lots, IH decreased by 433 lots, IC increased by 333 lots, and IM increased by 5,515 lots [2][3] 3.2 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [7] 3.3 Important Drivers - The risk of escalation of the Middle East conflict is looming, the US stock market has declined, crude oil has rebounded strongly, and silver has reached a record high. Tesla closed down 3.9%, leading the decline among the seven major technology stocks. The US Senate bill will cancel clean - energy tax credits, causing photovoltaic stocks to plunge, with Sunrun down 40%. The US dollar index has recovered its losses since Israel's attack on Iran. Crude oil once rose 5%. Bitcoin once fell more than 5%. Silver rose more than 2% during the session, hitting a record high again after a week [7] - According to "New Fed Wire", if it weren't for tariffs, the Fed would cut interest rates this week. The Fed must weigh two important factors: rising inflation expectations and a deteriorating labor market, and determine which is more likely to occur and which has a higher cost [7] - US retail sales in May decreased by 0.9% month - on - month, the largest decline in two years, mainly dragged down by a decline in car purchases. The growth rate in April was revised from +0.1% to -0.1%. The data indicates that the rush to buy to avoid potential tariff - induced price increases has subsided [7] - The Lujiazui Forum opened today, and the window for the release of major financial policies has opened. Central financial regulatory authorities will announce several major financial policies during the forum, and the People's Bank of China is accelerating the preparation of relevant policies to support the construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center [7] - US President Trump held a meeting with his national security team and then had a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. The US is weighing whether to further intervene in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran [7] - The three major A - share indices fluctuated narrowly, and popular concept stocks showed differentiation. Stablecoin and oil - gas sectors were active, while innovative drugs and IP economy sectors adjusted significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.04% at 3387.4 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.12%, the ChiNext Index fell 0.36%, the Northbound 50 fell 0.4%, the STAR 50 fell 0.8%, the Wind All - A fell 0.1%, the Wind A500 fell 0.03%, and the CSI A500 fell 0.15%. A - share trading volume was 1.24 trillion, the same as the previous day [7] 3.4 Positions of the Top 20 Futures Members - The changes in long and short positions of the top 20 members in different stock index futures contracts were provided, such as for IF2506, the long position decreased by 7,207 lots and the short position decreased by 9,004 lots; for IF2507, the long position increased by 3,122 lots and the short position increased by 4,009 lots [6]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - After disturbances, index futures still have room for recovery [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Index Futures Data Tracking - On June 14, all four major index futures contracts for the current month declined. IF fell 0.65%, IH fell 0.63%, IC fell 0.83%, and IM fell 1.11% [1] - On the trading day, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 16,731 lots, IH by 6,001 lots, IC by 19,977 lots, and IM by 39,034 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF increased by 14,756 lots, IH by 5,232 lots, IC by 4,434 lots, and IM by 10,451 lots [1][2] 2. Basis Analysis - Data on the basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM are presented through charts, showing changes over time [4] 3. Position Changes of the Top 20 Members in Index Futures - For IF contracts, the long - positions and short - positions of the top 20 members in different contracts (IF2506, IF2507, etc.) showed various changes. For example, in IF2506, the increase in long - positions was 3,567 and the net change in long - positions was 14,111, while the increase in short - positions was 1,902 and the net change in short - positions was 11,933 [5] - Similar position change data are provided for IH, IC, and IM contracts, with some data not disclosed [5] 4. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is 1. The range of trend intensity is from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] - Important drivers include the Israeli attack on Iran, which led to a global stock market decline. The S&P fell more than 1.1%, the Dow fell nearly 1.8%. In China, the social financing increment in May was 2.29 trillion yuan, and other economic data were also released [6] 5. Policy and Market Conditions - The State Council executive meeting studied measures to optimize drug and consumable procurement and promoted the construction of "good houses." The three major A - share indices declined unilaterally, with the ChiNext Index falling more than 1.13%, and over 4,400 stocks falling [7]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - On June 10, all four major stock index futures contracts for the current month declined. IF dropped 0.69%, IH fell 0.53%, IC decreased 0.88%, and IM declined 0.89%. The total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded on this trading day, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. The trends of IF and IH, as well as IC and IM, have a strength of 1 [1][2][6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Price and Fluctuation**: The closing prices of various stock index futures contracts decreased. For example, IF2506 closed at 3841, down 0.69%; IH2506 closed at 2660, down 0.53%; IC2506 closed at 5718.2, down 0.88%; IM2506 closed at 6113.8, down 0.89% [1]. - **Trading Volume and Position**: The total trading volume of all stock index futures increased. IF increased by 10,782 lots, IH by 12,478 lots, IC by 9,742 lots, and IM by 40,526 lots. In terms of positions, IF's total position decreased by 3,841 lots, IH increased by 45 lots, IC decreased by 1,543 lots, and IM increased by 13,583 lots [2]. - **Basis**: The basis of various stock index futures contracts is negative, indicating that futures prices are lower than spot prices [1]. 3.2. Top 20 Member Position Changes - **IF Contracts**: For IF2506, long - positions decreased by 5,339, and short - positions decreased by 7,254. For other contracts, there are different changes in long and short positions [5]. - **IH Contracts**: For IH2506, long - positions decreased by 250, and short - positions decreased by 1,297. Some data for other contracts are not disclosed [5]. - **IC Contracts**: For IC2506, long - positions decreased by 2,605, and short - positions decreased by 4,831. Other contracts also have corresponding position changes [5]. - **IM Contracts**: For IM2506, long - positions increased by 4,665, and short - positions increased by 2,731. Other contracts show different trends [5]. 3.3. Important Driving Factors - **External Market**: During the second day of Sino - US negotiations, the S&P had three consecutive positive days, the chip stock index outperformed the market, Tesla rose nearly 6%, UK bonds jumped during the session, and Bitcoin rose for five consecutive days. Google A once rose more than 2%, and OpenAI signed a new cloud - computing agreement with Google. TSMC rose 2.64%, with May revenues increasing 39.6% year - on - year. It is reported that the US and Mexico are close to reaching an agreement to partially exempt Mexican steel tariffs. The two - year US Treasury yield closed above 4%. Gold futures rose above $3,370 and then declined. Ethereum once rose more than 8%. Crude oil fell more than 2% from its intraday high [7]. - **A - share Market**: The three major A - share indexes declined rapidly in the afternoon. The Shanghai Composite Index once fell 1%, and finally closed down 0.44% at 3,384.82 points. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.17%. Market turnover was 1.45 trillion yuan, compared with 1.31 trillion yuan the previous day [7].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report indicates that on June 3, 2025, all four major stock index futures contracts for the current month rose. The overall trading volume of stock index futures declined, showing a decrease in investors' trading enthusiasm, while the overall open interest increased. The market is currently in a state of waiting for new drivers, with a mainly oscillating pattern [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Index Futures Data Tracking - **Price and Change**: On June 3, all four major index futures' current - month contracts rose. IF increased by 0.11%, IH by 0.05%, IC by 0.33%, and IM by 0.68%. The underlying indices, such as the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, also went up [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The total trading volume of index futures decreased. IF decreased by 13,852 lots, IH by 9,296 lots, IC by 9,090 lots, and IM by 23,121 lots. The total open interest increased. IF increased by 5,468 lots, IH by 1,863 lots, IC by 6,257 lots, and IM by 3,188 lots [2]. 3.2. Top 20 Member Position Changes - The position changes of the top 20 members in different index futures contracts vary. For example, in IF contracts, the long - order and short - order position changes are different in each contract month; some data for certain contracts are not disclosed [5]. 3.3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1, indicating a neutral trend [6]. - **Important Drivers**: During the 2025 Dragon Boat Festival, domestic tourist trips reached 119 million, a year - on - year increase of 5.7%, and domestic tourism spending was 42.73 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to issues such as US chip export controls and EU restrictions on Chinese enterprises' participation in medical device tenders. The A - share market showed a pattern of opening lower and closing higher, with the financial sector leading the rise [6].

金 融 期 货 研 究 | 期指：利多继续落地，关注早间发布会 | | --- | | | | 【期指期现数据跟踪】 期指数据 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | 3808.54 | ↑1.01 | | 2679.4 | | | | | | IF2505 | 3797.6 | ↑1.10 | -10.94 | 325.3 | 28609 | ↑8550 | 46669 | ↓1740 | | IF2506 | 3766.2 | ↑1.13 | -42.34 | 539.2 | 47831 | ↑5445 | 138953 | ↑2596 | | IF2509 | 3708.6 | ↑1.06 | -99.94 | 104.5 | 9414 | ↑2535 | 56336 | ↑1103 | | IF2512 | 3681.8 | ↑1.10 | -126.74 | 23.8 | 2158 | ↓215 | ...