凤凰网财经讯 7月7日，美股三大指数集体下跌，截至发稿，道指跌0.48%，纳指跌0.62%，标普500跌 0.47%。 中概股方面，哔哩哔哩涨超6%；携程涨超5%；百度、知乎涨超4%；理想汽车涨超3%；叮咚买菜、金 山云、途牛涨超2%。斗鱼、小鹏汽车跌超4%；蔚来跌超2%。 特斯拉大跌超6%，此前马斯克宣布"美国党"成立。 全球要闻 换套说辞再延期？特朗普预告：将公布各国关税信函！美财长"划重点"：8月1日 据新华社，美国总统特朗普当地时间7月6日在社交媒体发文说，美国政府将于当地时间7日中午12时起 公布与贸易伙伴的关税信函或关税协议。特朗普此前表示，拟于8月1日起对部分国家的商品实施最高达 70%的关税措施。 马斯克成立"美国党" 特朗普回应：荒谬 特朗普回应马斯克成立"美国党" 。当地时间7月6日下午，美国总统特朗普在被问及如何看待美国亿万 富翁埃隆·马斯克宣布成立新政党时表示，马斯克"可以从中找点乐子"，但他认为这实属"荒谬"。 今年美股IPO融资额同比增77% 美国IPO市场是否真正复苏？ 标普500指数和纳斯达克指数上周再度双双收于历史纪录高位，连续第三周上涨。道琼斯工业指数收盘 也接近历史最高水 ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics - Nvidia's market capitalization reached $3.89 trillion, just shy of the $4 trillion mark, which would surpass Apple's record of $3.915 trillion [1] - The combined market value of Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple is significant enough to purchase a large portion of the European stock market [3] - The current market sentiment is divided, with bulls believing Nvidia could reach $5 trillion and bears arguing it resembles the 2000 internet bubble [10][11] Group 2: Apple’s Decline - Apple's market capitalization is currently $3.19 trillion, which is $700 billion less than Nvidia, equating to the value of three Kweichow Moutai or ten CATL [3][6] - The company has struggled with innovation, as recent iPhone models show minimal advancements, leading to consumer fatigue [4][6] - Apple's AI capabilities are lagging behind competitors, with Siri failing to meet expectations while rivals like Microsoft and Google integrate AI effectively into their products [4][6] Group 3: Nvidia’s Ascendancy - Nvidia has transformed from a gaming-focused company to a leader in AI chips, with its GPUs being essential for major tech companies' AI initiatives [7][8] - The company enjoys a high gross margin of 78%, indicating a highly profitable business model compared to traditional industries [8] - Analysts predict that over the next three years, global investments in AI will exceed $2 trillion, with a significant portion flowing to Nvidia [8][10] Group 4: Investment Perspectives - Bulls argue that the demand for AI will continue to grow, making Nvidia's current valuation attractive despite its high price-to-earnings ratio of 32 [10] - Bears caution that current spending on chips may not reflect genuine demand, likening it to the overinvestment seen during the internet bubble [11] - The potential for a bubble exists, but it may persist longer than expected due to ongoing AI demand and favorable monetary policy [13]

乐观情绪高涨推动技术指标有所超买。 过去一周，美国迎来多项重要就业数据，虽然ADP报告意外下滑，非农就业报告、失业金申请和5月份 的职位空缺数据都传递了劳动力市场的健康状况。 美国劳工部称，上月全美非农就业岗位增长14.7万，远高于市场预期的10.6万。失业率从5月份的4.2% 降至4.1%，低于预期的4.3%。平均小时收入月率增长0.2%，与预期一致，同比增长3.7%。截至6月28日 的一周内，初请失业金人数从一周前修订的23.7万人降至23.3万人。这是自5月17日以来的最低水平。 与此同时，5月份的职位空缺为776.9万个，高于预期的730万个。不过整体招聘人数的下降进一步表 明，在特朗普政府对进口商品征收关税的不确定性下，劳动力市场已经进入低速运转状态， 牛津经济研究院高级经济学家施瓦茨（Bob Schwartz）在接受第一财经记者采访时表示，6月非农表现 不俗，黄金年龄段的劳动力参与率和就业人口比例都有所上升，在招聘速度低、消费者对劳动力市场的 看法恶化的阶段，这是令人鼓舞的迹象，"然而就业增长基础狭窄，州和地方政府就业人数激增可能是 由季节性因素驱动的，私营部门的就业增长显著放缓。"他认为，未来的 ...

无人机"百万考证大军"背后，则有着更为宏大的政策背景——作为经济发展的新引擎，从2024年起，低 空经济连续两年被写入政府工作报告。而据透露，当前我国无人机操控员岗位的就业人才缺口高达100 万人。 巨大的人才缺口与广阔的就业前景，正吸引着大量年轻人跃跃欲试，进而催生出培训考证热潮。由于小 型及以上无人机操控员须持证上岗，从事常规农用无人机作业的人员也需取得操作证书，这为众多培训 考证机构带来显著商机。 据报道，当前报名无人机培训班的学员中，既有希望提升职业技能的相关行业从业者，也有不少期 待"多本证书多一条路"的在校生。"零基础一月拿证""高薪自由"等宣传标签，正吸引着更多年轻人涌入 这一新赛道。 然而，大批行业新人在投入高额学费后，却面临"毕业即失业"的窘境。这一"骨感"现实也难免引人质 疑，培训考证后的就业前景，真如部分培训机构宣传那般乐观吗？这些机构提供的教程，又能否满足学 员未来实际从业的需求？ 为吸引学员报考，一些机构在招生时打出"包就业"的幌子。但即便将"包就业"写入协议，其实际承诺也 往往名不副实。 ▲资料图：无人机在安徽合肥骆岗公园配送外卖。图/新华社 "培训机构以每个月新增一两百家的速度增 ...

Group 1 - Meta is offering a compensation package of up to $300 million over four years to attract AI researchers from companies like OpenAI, intensifying the competition for top AI talent in Silicon Valley [1][3][4] - The number of top AI experts globally is reported to be less than 1,000, leading to a significant scarcity of talent [4][18] - Salaries for AI engineers at Meta range from $186,000 to $3.2 million, surpassing those at OpenAI, which range from $212,000 to $2.5 million [6][4] Group 2 - The average annual salary for senior AI research scientists has surged to between $3 million and $7 million, with some top scientists earning over $10 million [7][10] - The disparity in salaries is stark, as senior software engineers without AI experience typically earn between $180,000 and $220,000 [10][14] - The "30k Club" in Silicon Valley indicates that a significant portion of employees earn over $300,000 annually, with Meta's median salary projected at $379,000 for 2024 [15][14] Group 3 - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill signed by President Trump is expected to increase the national debt by $4.1 trillion by 2034, raising concerns about fiscal deficits [20][21] - The bill will impact various industries, including electric vehicle manufacturers and AI companies, by eliminating certain tax incentives [22][20] - Chip manufacturers, energy companies, and real estate developers are anticipated to benefit from the new legislation [23][20] Group 4 - Jane Street, a quantitative trading firm, has been banned from the Indian market due to alleged market manipulation, with the Indian regulator seizing approximately $570 million in illegal profits [29][28] - The firm reportedly made $4.3 billion in profits from its Indian operations since starting in 2020 [29][28] Group 5 - Nvidia's market capitalization briefly surpassed $3.92 trillion, making it the first company to achieve this milestone, reflecting strong performance in the tech sector [34][33] - The stock market indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, reached new historical highs, indicating robust market conditions [34][33]

Core Insights - The competition for AI talent has intensified, with Meta reportedly offering compensation packages up to $300 million over four years to attract top researchers from OpenAI [2][4] - The salary range for AI engineers at Meta is between $186,000 and $3.2 million, surpassing OpenAI's range of $212,000 to $2.5 million [5] - The scarcity of top-tier AI talent is highlighted by the fact that there are fewer than 1,000 global experts, leading to inflated salaries [3][14] Group 1: Talent Acquisition and Compensation - Meta's aggressive recruitment strategy includes high salary offers, with reports of packages exceeding market averages to build a new super-intelligent lab [4][6] - AI research scientists can earn between $3 million and $7 million annually, with some exceeding $10 million, significantly outpacing traditional high-paying roles on Wall Street [6][11] - The average salary for data scientists in the U.S. is approximately $156,790, with California's AI positions offering about 14% higher than the national average [11][14] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Trends - The AI talent market is characterized by a "labeling" phenomenon, where only those with experience in leading teams at major companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta are considered top-tier [3][14] - The demand for AI skills has grown by 21% annually since 2019, outpacing the supply of qualified candidates [14] - The phenomenon of "30k club" in Silicon Valley indicates that a significant portion of employees earn over $300,000, with Meta's median salary projected at $379,000 for 2024 [11][12] Group 3: Regional Insights and Global Context - Silicon Valley's high salaries are partly attributed to stock options and long-term incentives, which have increased significantly over the past two decades [12] - The recruitment of AI talent often involves acquiring startups to secure their founders and key employees, reflecting the intense competition for skilled professionals [14] - The global AI talent pool is heavily influenced by the presence of Chinese researchers, with estimates suggesting that around 50% of AI researchers worldwide are Chinese [15][16]

关税的不确定性再度笼罩金融市场。 现在距离美方设定的所谓关税谈判截止日期还剩不到一周时间，全球市场的紧张情绪有所加剧。4日晚间，欧 洲多国股市全线下挫，美股期货亦集体走弱，美股和美债市场独立日假期休市。 据新华社援引外媒消息，印度4日向世界贸易组织通报，由于美国对汽车及零部件加征的关税冲击印度出口， 印度计划对美国征收报复性关税。 美国银行策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中表示，标普500指数在连续三个月上涨并创下历史新高 后，是时候卖出股票了。随着"大而美"法案获得通过，夏季的泡沫风险正在上升。 其他资产中，OPEC+预计大幅增产，国际油价走低，WTI原油期货价格跌0.87%，报66.44美元/桶；布伦特原 油期货价格跌0.84%，报68.22美元/桶。 据媒体4日援引知情代表透露，主要OPEC+成员国已将原定会议提前至本周六，届时将以线上方式举行。议程 的核心是审议8月份增产41.1万桶/日的方案，这被视为各方的基本情景。此次会议日期变动的原因是日程安排 问题。 华尔街突发警告 美国银行策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中表示，标普500指数在连续三个月上涨并创下 ...

以下为核心资产走势： 美股三大指数期货全线跌超0.5%。 欧股普跌，德股跌约0.7%、英股均跌超0.3%，法股跌超0.9%。 日经225指数收涨0.1%。日本东证指数收跌0.04%。韩国首尔综合指数收跌2%。 美元指数跌0.2%，英镑基本持平，欧元涨约0.2%，韩元涨超0.2%，新台币基本持平。日元升值约0.4%，瑞士法郎涨超0.2%。 7月9日谈判截止日前，特朗普加大关税威胁力度，加剧市场紧张情绪，导致美股期货、欧股跌幅扩大、其中受贸易影响大的矿业 和汽车股跌幅最大。亚洲股市震荡下跌后收平，加密货币，美元指数也走弱。避险资产如日元、瑞士法郎、黄金小幅上涨。其他 资产中，OPEC+预计大幅增产，油价走低。美股和美债市场因7月4日独立日假期休市。 欧股普跌，德股跌约0.7%、英股均跌超0.3%，法股跌超0.9%。 | ■ 德国DAX30 | 23,844.72 | 23,868.83 | 23,791.97 | -57.47 | -0.24% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 脂 英国富时100 | 8,792.53 | 8.797.40 | 8,789.93 ...

在就业数据印证经济韧性的背景下，美国基准股指本周虽以历史新高收官，但期货合约仍下跌约 0.6%。周四收盘后，特朗普再度升级贸易紧张局势，警告称可能自即日起单方面对贸易伙伴征收最高 70%的关税。 欧洲斯托克600指数下跌0.7%，对贸易敏感的矿业和汽车板块领跌。亚洲股市普遍收低，避险情绪推动 黄金上涨0.3%，美元小幅走软。适逢美国独立日假期，美股及国债市场休市。 智通财经APP获悉，美国股指期货周五全线走低，特朗普政府最新关税威胁给标普500指数创纪录的涨 势蒙上阴影。 自4月关税引发的市场波动以来，全球股市已显著反弹。但鉴于贸易战不确定性及其对美国经济与企业 盈利的潜在影响持续存在，部分投资者仍持谨慎态度。"市场疑虑正在悄然滋生，特别是本周冲高之 后，"盛宝英国首席投资策略师尼尔·威尔逊表示，"当前适合适度降低风险敞口，但市场基调尚未发生 根本性转变。" 策略师Mark Cudmore表示："除非出现极端贸易冲突，否则近期积极的基本面因素仍将主导市场。值得 注意的是，机构投资者的看涨情绪已因持续威胁而趋于理性，使其在历史高位的市场中仍保持相对谨慎 持仓。" 美国银行的Michael Hartnett此前表 ...

美联储降息预期落空，预示着下半年美国市场仍需要承受较高的市场利率水平。美国基准利率、美国国债利率在短时间内仍然会保持相对高位水平，在高利 率的环境下，对上市公司来说，如果采取负债回购的措施，那么背负的债务偿还压力也是不可小觑的。 对投资者来说，考虑到高利率的市场环境，投资者也会优先选择投资美国国库券、美国国债等相关的投资品种。以当前美国市场的利率水平分析，上市公司 平均股息率可以超越美国国债利率、同期货币基金利率的情况并不多见。因此，在一般情况下，在高利率环境下，投资者继续增加股票持仓的积极性并不 高。 但是，在美国基准利率保持高位的背景下，美国股市却很快收复了上半年的失地，并继续创出历史新高，背后可能与美股市场指数高度捆绑"科技七巨头"的 因素有着一定的联系性。同时，也可能与接下来的"大而美法案"通过，美债上限问题得到阶段性解决而影响整个市场的风险偏好有着密不可分的关系。 今年上半年，美股市场曾经经历了一轮大幅下跌的走势，纳斯达克指数一度跌至15000点以下。但是，不到半年时间，美股市场却迅速收复所有失地，美股 市场再一次实现转危为安。 美国ADP就业数据和美国非农数据是全球市场关注的重点对象，通过对这两组 ...