Report Information - Report Title: Weekly Report on Capital Flows of Exchange-Traded Index Funds [1] - Data Date: August 18 - 22, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Jin Ling [1] - Report Date: August 28, 2025 [1] Core Findings Domestic Passive Equity Funds - Different index funds showed varying performance in terms of fund size, weekly returns, and net weekly capital inflows. For example, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 index fund had a size of 983.449 billion yuan, a weekly return of 4.27%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 34.74 billion yuan; while the ChiNext Index fund had a size of 126.448 billion yuan, a weekly return of 5.81%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 22.61 billion yuan [4]. Overseas Index Funds - International index funds also had diverse performance. The Nasdaq 100 index fund had a size of 78.421 billion yuan, a weekly return of -3.08%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 7.78 billion yuan; the S&P 500 index fund had a size of 20.837 billion yuan, a weekly return of -1.63%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 1.44 billion yuan [5]. Bond Funds - Bond funds had different performance based on factors such as maturity and credit rating. The 30 - year bond fund had a size of 8.969 billion yuan, a weekly return of -1.25%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 59.60 billion yuan; the short - term financing bond fund had a size of 29.341 billion yuan, a weekly return of 0.01%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 28.50 billion yuan [6]. Commodity Funds - Commodity funds, including gold, soybean meal, and others, also had distinct performance. The gold fund had a size of 70.887 billion yuan, a weekly return of -0.29%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 0.94 billion yuan; the energy and chemical fund had a size of 2.93 billion yuan, a weekly return of 0.76%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 0.88 billion yuan [6]. Index - Enhanced Funds - Index - enhanced funds based on different indices had different performance. The CSI 500 index - enhanced fund had a size of 1.978 billion yuan, a weekly return of 3.76%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 0.12 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index - enhanced fund had a size of 0.469 billion yuan, a weekly return of 5.46%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 0.04 billion yuan [6].

Group 1 - "Fixed Income +" is an important incremental fund in the market, with changes in the "four water reservoirs" since late June driving the bull market [1][2] - The current low allocation in "Fixed Income +" suggests potential for increased positions and net subscriptions, which could contribute hundreds of billions in incremental funds to the market [1][2] - If the stock value of "Fixed Income +" returns to the 2021 peak, there is over 160 billion available for investment [1] Group 2 - The top five sectors heavily invested in by "Fixed Income +" are non-ferrous metals, electronics, banking, transportation, and pharmaceuticals, with a relative over-allocation compared to active equity [5] - "Fixed Income +" prefers stable sectors with macro pricing, focusing on white horse leaders in industries such as consumer building materials, cement, real estate, logistics, and agriculture [1][12] - For resource products, "Fixed Income +" mainly allocates to copper, aluminum, and gold [1][12] Group 3 - In technology, "Fixed Income +" shows low participation but prefers stable segments like panels and leading companies in the industry [8][10] - The allocation to AI by "Fixed Income +" is significantly lower than that of active equity funds, indicating a cautious approach [9][10] - The preference for stable sectors extends to high-end manufacturing, particularly in wind power cables and military aviation [11][12] Group 4 - In the automotive sector, "Fixed Income +" has reduced its positions in companies like BYD and Geely, indicating a shift in focus [11][12] - The allocation in new energy and military sectors is also limited, with a preference for stable segments [11][12] - "Fixed Income +" shows a growing interest in export chains, particularly those targeting the U.S. market, with significant allocations in home furnishings and white goods [12][13]

ETF Market Overview - The overall performance of ETF products has been good in the past two weeks, with the largest increase seen in the Sci-Tech 50 ETF among major broad-based ETFs, and the technology sector ETF showing the highest growth among industry and thematic products [3][12] - The net outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs has slowed down, with net inflows observed in the Shanghai 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000/2000 series ETFs, while the outflow from the CSI 300 and A series ETFs has also decelerated [3][13] - In the bond ETF sector, there has been significant inflow into government bond ETFs, convertible bond ETFs, and credit bond ETFs, while short-term and local government bond ETFs have shifted from net inflow to net outflow [3][18] ETF Fund Flow Analysis - As of August 22, 2025, 15 new ETFs were established in the past two weeks, with a total issuance of 10.12 billion shares, all of which are stock ETFs [3][22] - Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased significantly, with bond ETFs, commodity ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs rising by 207.63%, 101.55%, 63.74%, 28.88%, and 10.52% respectively [3][22] Thematic ETF Tracking - AI-themed ETFs have shown strong performance, with products tracking AI-related indices leading in returns over the past two weeks, achieving an average return of 17.55% and a net inflow of 2.145 billion yuan [3][28] - The technology sector ETFs have seen a shift from significant outflows at the beginning of the year to inflows since March, although recent weeks have shown a return to net outflows [3][18] - The renewable energy ETFs have transitioned from net outflows to net inflows, while dividend ETFs have shifted from net inflows to net outflows [3][18] Fund Management Scale Distribution - As of August 22, 2025, Huaxia Fund has the largest ETF scale at 842.794 billion yuan, with E Fund's ETF management scale expanding by over 300 billion yuan compared to the previous year [3][23]

Group 1 - The current market environment shows a significant increase in the attractiveness of equity assets due to historically low risk-free interest rates and improved corporate profit expectations driven by active fiscal policies [1] - The two main investment directions identified are the Sci-Tech Innovation Board 100 Index and the China Securities Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board 100 Index focuses on mid-cap hard technology companies in sectors such as semiconductors, biomedicine, and high-end equipment, with notable constituents including Huahong Semiconductor and BeiGene [1][2] Group 2 - The core competitiveness of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board 100 Index lies in its high R&D intensity, with its constituent stocks averaging a higher R&D intensity than the overall Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] - The China Securities Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index is designed for investors seeking continuous cash flow, featuring a diversified portfolio with a focus on high dividend yield sectors [2] - The industry distribution of the China Securities Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index is dominated by financials and supported by cyclical sectors, with industrials accounting for approximately 25% and financials over 22% [2] Group 3 - As market volatility increases, the defensive attributes of dividend low volatility assets become more important, especially in a low interest rate environment where traditional fixed-income returns are declining [3] - Recent policies encouraging cash dividends from listed companies have further enhanced the long-term allocation value of dividend assets [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music's stock price has surged over 120% this year, driven by strong Q2 earnings, making it one of the best-performing Chinese stocks [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of August 22, Tencent Music's stock has increased by 126.16% year-to-date [4]. - The stock has been significantly supported by institutional investments, with 12 institutions including Tencent Music in their top ten holdings as of the end of Q2 [6]. Group 2: Institutional Investment - Keystone Investors, a Singapore-based hedge fund, increased its holdings in Tencent Music to 3.5256 million shares, making it the fund's largest position with a portfolio weight of 14.18% [5][6]. - A total of 319 institutions held Tencent Music shares by the end of Q2, up from 300 in the previous quarter [6]. Group 3: Analyst Upgrades - Major financial institutions have raised their target prices for Tencent Music following its earnings report, with Daiwa upgrading its rating from "Hold" to "Outperform" and increasing the target price from HKD 66 to HKD 106 [6]. - Barclays raised its target price for Tencent Music from USD 16 to USD 27, reflecting a 69% increase, while Citigroup and Lyon Securities also adjusted their target prices upward [6].

Group 1 - The article promotes a series of live broadcasts focusing on investment opportunities in various sectors, including robotics, dividends, and AI [2][4][8][11] - The live sessions are scheduled for August 21, featuring different themes and guest speakers, aimed at discussing the value of investment in these sectors [4][8][11] - Participants are encouraged to register for the live events and can win prizes such as gift cards and umbrellas [2][16]

Core Insights - Since the "9.24" market rally last year, 209 mutual funds have doubled their net asset value, with over 70% being actively managed equity funds [2][5][19] - The strong market performance has led to a resurgence of active equity funds, which have significantly outperformed index funds, with 155 funds achieving a doubling of returns [5][14] - The best-performing active equity funds have outpaced the highest-gaining index funds by over 90 percentage points, and the top active funds on the Beijing Stock Exchange have shown a difference of nearly 150 percentage points compared to their index counterparts [16][19] Active Equity Funds Performance - As of August 18, 2023, 155 out of the 209 funds that have doubled their net asset value are actively managed equity funds, indicating a strong recovery in this sector [5][19] - The average return of active equity funds is now comparable to that of index funds, marking a significant turnaround from previous years when they underperformed [3][19] Sector-Specific Insights - The Beijing Stock Exchange thematic funds have emerged as leaders in performance, with 11 out of 124 doubling funds being from this category, and the top three performing funds all belonging to this theme [6][7] - The North China 50 Index has seen a substantial increase of over 162% since September 2022, driving the performance of related thematic funds [7][19] - Key sectors such as dividends, artificial intelligence, banking, and innovative pharmaceuticals have shown strong performance, with funds focused on these areas achieving significant returns, some exceeding 170% [8][19] Comparison with Passive Funds - While 54 passive index funds have also doubled their returns since the "9.24" rally, their numbers are significantly lower compared to active funds, highlighting the latter's superior performance in the current market environment [15][19] - The best-performing passive index funds have shown growth rates of around 177% for the North China 50 Index, but still lag behind the top active funds [17][19]

Core Viewpoint - The current investment sentiment is rising, and there is a discussion on whether the market may become overheated in the future, with a focus on the evolution of the slow bull market [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Financial sectors, including large financial institutions, are considered undervalued and attractive for investment [1] - H-shares are highlighted as a significant focus for global investors, reflecting the "East rises, West falls" narrative, indicating a shift in capital towards Asia [2] - Core assets such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Technology, and Hang Seng National Enterprises are identified as mainstream core assets that can attract long-term domestic and international capital [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - There is an increasing probability of capital returning from the U.S., where high asset prices and tax implications are driving investors to consider returning to the Chinese market [2] - The Hong Kong capital market has shown significant growth, rising from 14,597 points to over 25,000 points, demonstrating initial success in attracting global capital [2] - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing robust activity, indicating a diverse range of investment opportunities that include both traditional and technology-driven assets [3]

Core Viewpoint - The current slow bull market began on June 23, characterized by structural prosperity as the main driving force, limited short-term capital inflow due to internal and external uncertainties, a clear but steady bullish direction, and stronger performance in the first half of the week compared to the latter half [1][2]. Market Characteristics - Structural prosperity is the primary driving force of the market, with significant performance recovery in specific sectors despite overall weak earnings recovery in the A-share market [2]. - Internal and external uncertainties are restricting rapid short-term capital inflow, with macroeconomic expectations affected by "gray rhino" events [2]. - The market has a clear bullish direction but maintains a steady rhythm, with the first half of the week performing better than the second half [1][2]. Future Market Evolution - The market may continue its slow bull pattern, with two possible scenarios: a market adjustment that slows the upward pace, allowing the slow bull pattern to persist, or an accelerated market peak due to overheating or deteriorating trading structure, leading to a significant correction [1][2]. Industry Allocation - The dividend sector is recommended as a base due to its high dividend characteristics in a low-interest-rate environment, while new sectors can be expanded upon with event catalysts and positive mid-term earnings forecasts [3]. - Key sectors to focus on include dividends, liquid cooling servers, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, humanoid robots, beauty care, electronics, non-banking financials, non-ferrous metals, and military industry [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a series of upcoming live broadcasts focusing on investment strategies for the second half of the year, addressing various hot topics such as consumer differentiation and AI investment opportunities [2][4]. Group 1: Upcoming Live Broadcasts - A total of 6 live sessions are scheduled, featuring industry experts discussing key investment themes [4]. - The first session on August 20 will focus on "Consumer Differentiation Intensifies, Investment Insights for the Second Half" with guest speaker Guo Xiaohui [4]. - Subsequent sessions will cover topics like dividends, hard technology, quantitative perspectives, and AI sector investment trends [9][12][14][17]. Group 2: Guest Speakers - Notable guest speakers include Guo Xiaohui, Li Pei, Yang Zhengwang, Li Junchi, Liu Yutao, Zhai Zijian, and Cheng Min [4][9][12][14][17]. - Each session features different experts, providing diverse insights into the investment landscape [4]. Group 3: Engagement and Incentives - Participants are encouraged to engage through the Tian Tian Fund APP, with incentives such as power banks and JD gift cards available for attendees [4]. - The article promotes interaction and pre-registration for the live sessions to enhance viewer experience [6][23].