超额收益

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股市行情火爆!主观、量化超额却遇冷?揭秘今年连续8个月正超额的95只私募产品!
私募排排网· 2025-09-19 03:34
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed strong performance in August, with major indices rising significantly, yet the excess returns of stock strategy private equity products were disappointing, marking the worst monthly performance of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - In August, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 7.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 15.32%, and the ChiNext Index surged over 24% [1]. - Despite the strong market, the average excess return of 3,122 stock strategy private equity products was -1.97%, the worst monthly performance this year [1]. Group 2: Quantitative vs. Subjective Strategies - Quantitative private equity products experienced a notable decline, with an average excess return of -3.94% in August, while subjective private equity products had an average excess return of -1.00% [1]. - The significant decline in quantitative products is attributed to a reversal in style, particularly the outperformance of large-cap stocks over small-cap stocks, and severe sector differentiation due to rapid growth in financing scale [1][2]. Group 3: Consistent Performers - As of August 2025, only 95 stock strategy private equity products achieved positive excess returns for eight consecutive months, representing about 3% of the total [2]. - Among private equity firms with over 10 billion in assets, 46 products achieved positive excess returns for eight consecutive months, all of which were quantitative products, with an average excess return of 0.63% in August and 17.91% year-to-date [3]. Group 4: Top Performers by Asset Size - In the 20-100 billion category, 14 products achieved positive excess returns for eight consecutive months, with an average excess return of 1.83% in August and 22.48% year-to-date [7]. - The top three products in this category were "New Thinking Multi-Strategy 3", "Pansong Micro-Cap Index Enhanced 1", and "Giraffe 7", with year-to-date excess returns of ***% [11]. Group 5: Small and Emerging Firms - In the 5-20 billion category, 13 products achieved positive excess returns for eight consecutive months, with an average excess return of 5.34% in August and 57.58% year-to-date [13]. - The leading product in the 0-5 billion category was "Zijin Yunsong", achieving a year-to-date excess return of ***% [18].
当前的市场环境下,牛市下阶段如何跑出超额收益?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 23:24
Group 1 - The market is transitioning from liquidity-driven to a dual-driven phase of policy and profitability, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing around 3900 points and trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan for 15 consecutive days [1] - The manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 in September, indicating a return to expansion for the first time in six months, while the non-manufacturing PMI reached 51.7, showing a continuous recovery [1] - Over 60% of stocks have underperformed the index, highlighting a concentration of funds in policy-supported sectors, as the central bank's actions provide financial support for the bull market [1] Group 2 - The focus should be on two main directions: technology manufacturing supported by policy, benefiting from equipment upgrades and domestic substitution, and the consumption upgrade sector with high profit certainty, as indicated by the recovery in the service PMI [2] - To achieve excess returns, three key strategies should be followed: tracking the pace of special bond issuance, focusing on sectors with project commencement rates above 60%, and investing in liquidity-sensitive sectors during the Fed's rate-cutting cycle [2] - A "core + satellite" investment strategy is recommended, holding high-dividend blue chips as core positions while capturing opportunities in niche sectors driven by industrial policy [2]
主动权益如何通过组合优化,战胜宽基指数?
点拾投资· 2025-09-17 11:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of setting a reasonable and scientific performance benchmark for public funds, particularly in the context of the growing scale of the CSI 300 index. It discusses how active equity funds can consistently outperform benchmarks by managing style and industry deviations effectively [1][17]. Group 1: Benchmark and Performance - The CSI 300 index serves as the primary benchmark, composed of various style factors. Active fund managers primarily focus on quality, prosperity, and momentum factors, while dividend and low valuation factors can lead to underperformance when they are strong [1][17]. - The difficulty of beating benchmarks is a common challenge for asset management institutions globally, with only about 50% of active equity funds in A-shares outperforming their benchmarks over the past 20 years [17][18]. Group 2: Style and Industry Deviation - Controlling style deviation is more critical than controlling industry deviation for fund managers aiming to outperform benchmarks. Excessive deviation can significantly impact performance negatively [3][22]. - Successful fund managers tend to exhibit smaller deviations in style and industry, maintaining a balanced approach regardless of market conditions [5][24]. Group 3: Stock Selection and Market Timing - Stock selection is more impactful on performance than industry selection, with a focus on identifying high-potential stocks rather than frequently rotating industries [26]. - Market timing is debated among fund managers, with evidence suggesting that while many lack timing ability, strategic timing can enhance returns during volatile periods [12][34]. Group 4: Risk Management and Strategy - A U-shaped risk convexity strategy is proposed to enhance the risk-return profile of portfolios, emphasizing the importance of managing volatility in equity assets [27][28]. - The relationship between volatility and returns is highlighted, with low volatility stocks often yielding better returns in the A-share market, contrary to the general belief that higher volatility equates to higher returns [9][29]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The article suggests that in the absence of clear industry trends, public funds must balance their strategies to achieve stable excess returns by leveraging combination management approaches [20][21].
公募基金高质量发展背景下,国泰海通资管的突围之路
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-16 12:12
今年5月,证监会发布的《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》提出,强化业绩比较基准的约束作用。 日前,国泰海通资管在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示,这一变化的核心在于推动公募基金行业从追 求"贝塔收益"向"阿尔法收益"转变,从"规模导向"转向"投资者利益导向"。而指数增强基金因其明确的 基准约束和量化模型驱动的特性,在这一转型过程中占据了相对有利的位置。 "指数增强基金的业绩比较基准通常是其跟踪的特定指数,且多数设有指数跟踪误差要求,本身就具备 清晰明确的'锚'。"国泰海通资管表示,公司量化投资团队的目标正是通过选股模型、风控体系,追求 超越基准指数的收益,超额收益能力更能体现管理人的真实投资水平。 值得一提的是,指数增强基金也在被动化投资浪潮中迎来新的发展机遇。数据显示,截至9月初,2025 年以来新成立的增强型指数基金数量已超110只,接近过去三年总和,创下新纪录。 基于在量化投资领域的深厚积淀,国泰海通资管敏锐把握券商资管公募化转型机遇,自2021年12月公司 首只公募量化产品获批起,在不到24个月的时间内布齐沪深300、中证500、中证1000三大宽基指数增强 产品,并同步推出科创、红利、全市场选股等策略产 ...
公募机构大力布局 增强指数型基金
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-11 22:24
Core Insights - The popularity of enhanced index funds has surged among public fund institutions, with over 100 new funds launched this year, surpassing the total number launched in 2023 and 2024 [1][2] - Enhanced index funds have shown significant excess returns, with 511 out of 512 funds reporting positive returns over the past year, and some funds achieving returns exceeding 100% [4] Fund Issuance and Performance - A total of 106 enhanced index funds have been launched this year, with a combined issuance of 61.097 billion units, exceeding the 2023 and 2024 totals of 42 and 59 funds, respectively [2] - The largest fund launched this year is the GF Growth Enterprise Board Index Enhanced Fund, with 2.393 billion units issued, followed by the Pengyang CSI A500 Index Enhanced Fund and the Bodao CSI All Share Index Enhanced Fund, with 1.940 billion and 1.911 billion units, respectively [2] Reasons for Popularity - Enhanced index funds combine the advantages of index investing with the potential for excess returns, appealing to investors seeking higher returns [3] - The development of quantitative technology allows funds to utilize models to identify excess returns while tracking indices, further attracting institutional interest [3] Excess Returns - Over the past year, 12 enhanced index funds have achieved returns exceeding 100%, with the best performer being the Chuangjin Hexin North Certificate 50 Component Index Enhanced A, yielding 147.23% [4] - More than 60% of enhanced index funds have generated excess returns over the past year, with the highest excess return recorded at over 31 percentage points above the benchmark [4] Market Outlook - The current policy environment supports a positive trend in the capital market, with expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve and increased liquidity, which is likely to attract new capital into the market [5] - Fund managers suggest a cautious approach in the short term, with potential adjustments in asset allocation towards stable assets like bank stocks, while still favoring quality tech stocks with industry trends [5][6]
晨星中国基金主动/被动晴雨表第二章
Morningstar晨星· 2025-09-11 01:05
Core Viewpoints - The article discusses the performance differences between active and passive industry funds, highlighting that while industry funds generally exhibit high volatility, the ability of active funds to achieve excess returns varies significantly across different sectors [2][3]. Industry Funds - Within the three industry fund categories examined, passive funds often show considerable differences and may not accurately represent the overall exposure characteristics of the industry. This is compounded by significant asset concentration in some passive funds and the varying performance of sub-sectors in different years, leading to notable fluctuations in the annual victory rates of active industry funds [6]. - In 2024, active consumer industry funds outperformed larger passive funds tracking the CSI White Wine Index, with a victory rate increasing from 48.1% in 2023 to 69.9% by the end of 2024. Conversely, the victory rate for active pharmaceutical industry funds decreased from 74.4% in 2023 to 58.9% in 2024, with active consumer funds taking the lead [3][7]. - The technology, media, and telecommunications sector saw active funds' performance decline, with a victory rate dropping from 45.5% in 2023 to 19.8% in 2024, largely due to poor decision-making in sector allocation and stock selection by many active fund managers [3][9]. Consumer Industry Funds - In 2024, active consumer industry funds achieved a significant turnaround, with notable performance in home appliances, automobiles, and retail sectors benefiting from consumer subsidy policies, resulting in index increases of 25.4%, 16.3%, and 13.7%, respectively. The performance of passive funds was adversely affected by the poor showing of those tracking the CSI White Wine Index, which had a return of -17.1% [7][8]. - The overall asset-weighted average return of passive funds in the consumer sector was -7.4%, contrasting sharply with an equal-weighted average return of +4.2%, indicating that the performance of a few large passive funds significantly impacted the overall results [7]. Pharmaceutical Industry Funds - Despite a decline in the one-year victory rate for active pharmaceutical funds, they maintained the highest three-year and five-year victory rates among the examined categories. The active funds' strategies of overweighting resilient sectors like chemical pharmaceuticals and traditional Chinese medicine helped mitigate losses from underperforming areas [8][9]. - The passive funds in this category are primarily large-scale funds tracking broad indices, which allows them to better represent the overall exposure of the pharmaceutical industry [9][10]. Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Industry Funds - The one-year victory rate for active funds in this sector fell to 19.8%, with many active managers making poor allocation and selection decisions. In contrast, larger passive funds focusing on specific themes like the Sci-Tech Board and semiconductors performed well due to strong market performance in those areas [9][10]. - Over the long term, active funds in the pharmaceutical and technology sectors have shown a tendency to achieve significant positive excess returns, indicating a higher likelihood of selecting outperforming active funds in these industries [10]. Fee Reform and Future Implications - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has been progressively implementing fee reforms since July 2023, which have led to a significant decline in overall fee levels in the public fund industry. This trend may affect the comparative results between active and passive funds in the future [10][11]. - The "High-Quality Development Action Plan" released in May 2025 aims to shift fund companies' focus from "scale" to "investor returns," which may influence fund managers' investment strategies and the potential for active funds to achieve excess returns [11].
指数增强型基金,爆发式增长
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-07 13:18
Core Insights - The explosive growth of index-enhanced funds is attributed to policy support, market demand, and product innovation, with long-term excess returns being significant and sustainable [1][4] Group 1: Fund Performance and Growth - As of September 6, 2023, 113 new index-enhanced funds have been established, with a total issuance scale of 575.67 billion yuan, which is 2.77 times last year's total [2] - The average excess return of index-enhanced funds this year is 3.76%, with the strongest performing fund achieving nearly 20% excess return [6][5] - Over the past three to five years, the average excess return rates for index-enhanced funds are 4.36% and 14.62%, respectively, indicating strong long-term performance [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment - The current issuance of index-enhanced funds stands at 17, accounting for 24% of all new funds, reflecting a high level of market interest [3] - Institutional investors increasingly recognize the value of index-enhanced funds due to their ability to accumulate excess returns over longer investment horizons [4] - The overall positive performance of the A-share market has heightened investor interest in equity assets, leading to increased funding allocation [4] Group 3: Strategic Implications for Fund Managers - The combination of passive investment and active management in index-enhanced funds makes them an important choice for optimizing asset allocation [4] - Mid-sized public funds are focusing on index-enhanced funds as a strategic choice to differentiate themselves and establish competitive advantages [4] - The development of AI technology has significantly improved quantitative research capabilities, allowing for better identification of excess return sources and market opportunities [6]
“熊市不亏钱,牛市跟得上”,这些长牛基金来了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-07 11:13
Core Insights - The article discusses the resurgence of actively managed equity funds in the context of a bull market, highlighting their ability to generate excess returns and manage drawdowns effectively [1][2]. Performance of Active Equity Funds - Over the past five years, 56.51% of 2,780 actively managed equity funds outperformed their benchmarks, with 27.63% achieving cumulative excess returns exceeding 20% [3]. - Notably, 54 funds recorded cumulative excess returns over 100%, with top performers like Dongwu New Trend Value Line achieving 280.99% [3]. Long-Term High-Performing Funds - Several funds consistently generated positive excess returns annually from 2020 to 2024, including Huashang Yuanheng and Huashang Runfeng, both exceeding 195% in cumulative excess returns [4]. - Huatai Bairui Fuli has also maintained positive excess returns each year since 2020, with a cumulative excess return of over 140% [4]. Risk Management and Drawdown Control - Among the funds with positive excess returns, only 20% managed to keep their maximum drawdown below 20%, while nearly half experienced drawdowns exceeding 40% [10]. - Funds with lower drawdowns typically have lower equity exposure, but some equity-focused funds also demonstrated effective drawdown control [10]. Notable Funds with Strong Drawdown Control - Funds like Invesco New Emerging Industries and China Universal Dividend Enjoyment have consistently achieved positive excess returns, with maximum drawdowns well managed [5][12]. - Specific funds, such as Dongwu Anxin Quantitative and Everbright Yongxin, reported maximum drawdowns below 10% while maintaining solid performance [12].
宽基表现不凡,指增基金成超额收益利器
私募排排网· 2025-09-06 03:05
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that broad-based indices remain a fundamental investment choice, while index-enhanced funds add value by combining the stability of broad indices with additional returns through quantitative stock selection, factor models, and risk control [3][15]. Market Overview - The A-share market experienced some fluctuations last week, but broad indices like the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 performed well, with high trading activity. The Shanghai Composite Index has maintained a stable position above the 10-day moving average for 19 consecutive trading days, indicating strong market momentum driven by policy expectations and capital inflows [5]. - As of September 3, 2025, the overall valuation levels of major broad indices are relatively high, suggesting that the current market logic is not driven by "undervalued opportunities" [5][6]. Industry Rotation - The speed of industry rotation remains high, with the constructed "industry rotation speed indicator" showing that the A-share market's sector switching rate has accelerated significantly over the past three years, reaching a peak at the end of 2023. Although there was a slight decline in 2024, the current indicator remains above the historical average, indicating that investors often miss out on profits due to rapid changes in market trends [8][9]. - Historical data suggests that when the size rotation speed indicator rises, large-cap stocks tend to outperform, while a decline favors small-cap stocks. The current indicator is above the average, indicating market style instability, making it challenging to rely solely on timing and sector betting [9]. Investment Strategy - In the current environment, focusing on broad indices rather than chasing rapidly changing sector trends is deemed a more rational choice. Relying solely on broad-based ETFs may yield returns equivalent to the index itself, making it difficult to achieve better performance in a high-valuation context. Index-enhanced funds stand out by providing both diversification and market exposure while striving for excess returns [12][15]. - The article highlights three index-enhanced funds with high excess Sharpe ratios: 1. Anxin Quantitative Selected CSI 300 Index Enhanced A, with a one-year excess Sharpe ratio of 1.13, utilizing big data and AI algorithms for stock selection [13]. 2. China Europe CSI 500 Index Enhanced A, with a one-year excess Sharpe ratio of 2.03, maintaining a balanced style and dynamic risk factor exposure [14]. 3. Guotai Junan CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A, with a one-year excess Sharpe ratio of 2.66, focusing on alpha factors and risk control through machine learning [14]. Conclusion - Broad indices continue to be a foundational investment choice, while index-enhanced funds provide an opportunity for excess returns without the need for frequent timing. In a market characterized by volatility and structural trends, index-enhanced funds may serve as a tool for balancing long-term allocation and excess returns [15].
中证全指为什么突然成了香饽饽?
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-08-29 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in popularity of the CSI All Share Index among fund companies is attributed to its comprehensive coverage of the A-share market, allowing investors to avoid missing out on market trends while seeking excess returns through quantitative strategies [1][3][12]. Group 1: Characteristics of the CSI All Share Index - The CSI All Share Index, while considered "niche," encompasses a wide range of stocks across large, mid, and small-cap categories, effectively representing the entire A-share market [2]. - The index's balanced allocation helps investors avoid structural pitfalls associated with focusing on specific sectors, providing a sense of security during volatile market conditions [3][4]. Group 2: Demand for Enhanced Index Funds - Fund companies are increasingly interested in creating "enhanced" versions of the CSI All Share Index to meet the investment needs of ordinary investors, who seek to avoid missing market opportunities while also aiming for excess returns [3][12]. - Enhanced index funds utilize quantitative strategies to select higher-quality stocks within the index, allowing for potential excess returns without the risks associated with actively managed funds [4][10]. Group 3: Performance of Enhanced Funds - The "Hongde Smart Selection" fund, which tracks the CSI All Share Index, has consistently outperformed the index since its inception, demonstrating the effectiveness of its quantitative strategies [6][8]. - The fund has shown lower excess drawdowns, indicating that it can retain excess returns even during market fluctuations, making it a reliable option for investors [8][10]. Group 4: Cost-Effectiveness of Public Funds - Public funds generally have lower fees compared to private funds, making them more accessible to ordinary investors. Public funds typically charge fixed management fees, while private funds often take a percentage of profits, which can reduce net returns for investors [11]. - The lower investment threshold for public funds allows more investors to participate, enhancing liquidity and flexibility in investment choices [11]. Group 5: Investment Strategy Recommendations - The current market environment suggests that investors should consider stable, broad-market coverage options like the CSI All Share Index enhanced funds as a foundational investment strategy, rather than chasing high-risk, high-reward opportunities [12][13].