Group 1 - The U.S. government has officially shut down, with no clear timeline for reopening, which may delay the release of future economic data, particularly affecting the evening market data [1] - The shutdown is expected to lead to a decline in the U.S. stock market, as is commonly understood in such situations [1] Group 2 - The market is anticipating important employment data, increasing uncertainty, and short-term gold prices are expected to show a volatile trend [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices may reach new highs, depending on the performance of the U.S. stock market [3] - A recent trade in gold at 3859 was exited due to a break below key support levels, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [3] Group 3 - The MACD indicator shows that the current trend remains bullish, although it is in a correction phase, with a potential shift to a bearish trend if the indicator falls below the zero line [5] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3852 and 3834, with resistance levels at 3876 and 3913, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips [5]

Group 1 - The USD/CHF exchange rate opened at 0.7922 and is currently at 0.7920, showing a slight increase of 0.07% [1] - Investors are reducing their long positions in the dollar while awaiting speeches from several Federal Reserve officials, which may provide insights into future monetary policy [1] - Market attention is particularly focused on Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan, who opposed a recent 25 basis point rate cut and advocated for a larger cut of 50 basis points [1] Group 2 - The Swiss National Bank is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 0%, with market anticipation regarding potential further rate cuts into negative territory due to recent weak macroeconomic data [1] - The MACD indicator for USD/CHF shows a slight recovery in short-term bullish momentum, although the trend is not fully confirmed [2] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55.35, indicating a strong position but still has room before reaching overbought territory [2]

Core Viewpoint - The British public's inflation expectations for the next five years have risen to 3.8%, the highest since May 2019, which may cause concern among some Bank of England policymakers ahead of next week's interest rate decision [1] Group 1: Inflation Expectations - The rise in public inflation expectations could become a risk factor for future inflation, increasing the likelihood of demands for higher wages and acceptance of higher prices [1] - Public satisfaction with the Bank of England's methods for controlling inflation has decreased from +6 in May to +2 in August, although it remains higher than most of the past three years [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached an 18-month high of 3.8% in July, the highest level among the G7 countries, with the Bank of England expecting inflation to reach 4% in September and return to target levels by Q2 2027 [1] Group 3: Currency Analysis - The GBP/USD exchange rate is currently at 1.3508, with a slight decline of 0.03% from the previous close of 1.3512 [1] - Technical indicators show that the MACD value for GBP/USD is negative and close to zero, indicating slight bearish strength, while the RSI is hovering around 50, suggesting a balanced market without clear overbought or oversold conditions [1]

Core Insights - BNB, the native token of BNB chain, reached an all-time high of $955.36 on September 17, 2025, before slightly declining to around $953.31, driven by discussions between Binance Holdings Ltd. and the U.S. Department of Justice regarding the potential removal of a key condition from a $4.3 billion settlement [1][4][6] Group 1: BNB Price Movement - The recent surge in BNB's price is attributed to bullish signals indicated by the MACD chart, showing a bullish crossover and strengthening momentum [2][3] - The MACD analysis revealed rising green histogram bars, suggesting that BNB's rally could continue [2] Group 2: Legal and Compliance Context - In November 2023, Binance settled charges with the DOJ, Treasury Department, and CFTC for $4.3 billion due to accusations of inadequate anti-money laundering programs and other violations [4][5] - As part of the settlement, Binance was required to maintain oversight from two independent compliance monitors, one for the DOJ and one for FinCEN [5] - Ongoing discussions are taking place regarding the potential termination of the monitorship, although no final decision has been made by the DOJ [6] Group 3: Speculation on Leadership and Pardon - There is speculation regarding a potential presidential pardon for Binance's founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao, with a reported 58% chance according to betting markets [7]

Core Viewpoint - The currency market may be overly optimistic about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, as indicated by Société Générale's rate strategists [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The latest dollar index price is reported at 98.35, with a decline of 0.05% from an opening price of 98.44 [1] - The strategists highlight that U.S. inflation is deviating from targets and employment growth is slowing, creating a challenging situation for the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - The market's reaction to July's non-farm payroll data is considered excessive, with the slowdown in job growth potentially aligning with a stable unemployment rate [1] - The currency market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates twice in 2025 [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The MACD indicator is currently above the zero line, suggesting potential short-term price rebound, with a current MACD value of 0.0477 indicating ongoing upward momentum [1]

Group 1 - Oil prices showed a moderate recovery on Thursday, with Brent crude futures rising by $0.28 to $65.91 per barrel, an increase of 0.43%, and WTI crude futures up by $0.23 to $62.89 per barrel, an increase of 0.37% [1] - Geopolitical risks are currently a core variable in the market, with the upcoming US-Russia presidential meeting raising risk premiums. Trump warned of "serious consequences" for Russia if no peace consensus is reached on Ukraine, including potential economic sanctions [3] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will initiate interest rate cuts in its September meeting, with a nearly 100% probability of a rate cut, and an increasing likelihood of a 50 basis point reduction [3] Group 2 - The EIA reported an unexpected increase in US crude oil inventories by 3 million barrels for the week ending August 8, significantly exceeding market expectations of a decrease of 275,000 barrels [3] - IEA's latest forecast indicates that global oil supply growth in 2025 and 2026 will exceed expectations, driven mainly by OPEC+ production plans and non-OPEC countries' capacity expansion [3] - Technical analysis shows that WTI crude prices found initial support around $62.50 per barrel, with resistance near the $64.20-$64.50 range, close to the 20-day moving average [4] Group 3 - The oil market is currently in a tug-of-war between bullish geopolitical risks and dovish monetary policy expectations, while inventory accumulation and supply expansion exert downward pressure [6] - Short-term volatility will largely depend on the outcome of the US-Russia meeting and the Federal Reserve's policy path in September [6]

Group 1 - The euro against the US dollar has risen, currently trading around 1.16, with a slight increase of 0.08% from the previous close of 1.1612 [1] - Investors are reluctant to abandon recent gains in risk assets like stocks, while remaining cautious ahead of key data releases this week, including the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and UK GDP data [1] - The cost of credit default swaps (CDS) for euro-denominated high-yield bonds has slightly decreased, indicating a potential easing in credit risk perception [1] Group 2 - The iTraxx Europe crossover index, which tracks euro junk bond CDS, has decreased by 1 basis point to 266 basis points, reflecting a slight improvement in market sentiment [1] - Key support levels for the euro against the dollar are identified at 1.1607 and further down at 1.1513, while resistance levels are noted at 1.1698 and 1.1701 [1] - The current market outlook suggests a higher probability of a rebound towards the upper Bollinger band, unless there is a significant drop in MACD and RSI indicators [1]

Group 1 - Recent strong performance of thematic stocks, with the CSI 1000 index reaching a new high [2] - The 2-hour chart indicates a 3-wave structure in an upward trend, with the C wave currently in the C5 phase [2] - The 2-hour chart has shown 7 consecutive bullish candles, suggesting an increasing probability of a bearish reversal soon [2] Group 2 - Weaker performance observed in heavyweight stocks, with the FTSE A50 index futures closing down [4] - The 4-hour chart shows a 3-wave downward structure followed by a rebound, which is currently facing resistance at the neckline [4] - The upcoming period around the start of autumn may reveal whether the market will peak or continue to rise significantly [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses common challenges faced by retail investors in technical analysis, emphasizing the importance of understanding key indicators and market behavior [1][3] - It highlights that using only two indicators, moving averages and trading volume, can provide a clearer picture of market trends compared to relying on multiple complex indicators [3] - The article stresses the significance of identifying support and resistance levels based on historical trading volume rather than arbitrary price points [3][4] Group 2 - It addresses the common frustration of buying high and selling low, suggesting that true market movements can be confirmed by analyzing trading volume during breakouts or breakdowns [3][4] - The article advises against a one-size-fits-all approach to setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, recommending adjustments based on the investor's holding period and market volatility [4] - It concludes that technical analysis should adapt to market conditions, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the underlying market dynamics rather than relying solely on indicators [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the U.S. housing market and the impact of mortgage rates, highlighting the disconnect between Federal Reserve policies and actual mortgage rates, as well as ongoing supply issues in the housing sector [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve and Mortgage Rates - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed cannot control mortgage rates, which are more closely tied to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rather than the federal funds rate [1] - Despite the Fed's interest rate cuts, mortgage rates have not decreased and have instead risen since the Fed began lowering rates last year [1] Group 2: Housing Market Challenges - President Trump emphasized the need for the Fed to facilitate home purchases and refinancing, but acknowledged that rate cuts alone won't resolve the housing market's long-term supply issues [1] - The housing market is facing significant challenges, including a shortage of long-term supply, rising costs of building materials due to tariffs, and a labor shortage exacerbated by the deportation of foreign workers [1]