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与世界各国共享机遇共同发展 ——国际社会热议中共二十届四中全会擘画“十五五”发展蓝图
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-24 22:39
10月20日至23日,中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议在北京举行,审议通过《中共中央关 于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》。习近平总书记就《建议(讨论稿)》向全会作 了说明。 连日来,国际社会高度关注这次会议。多国人士在接受新华社记者采访时表示,中共二十届四中全会擘 画了中国未来五年的发展蓝图,释放出中国与世界各国共享机遇、共同发展的强烈信号,为变乱交织的 世界注入确定性和正能量。 展现战略定力与长远眼光 "中国能够保持稳定与前进,关键在于政策的延续性、治理的高效性以及社会的强大韧性。"佩雷拉说, 面对复杂多变的外部环境,中国共产党展现出战略定力与长远眼光,持续推动创新驱动、数字化转型和 绿色发展。 全会公报指出,"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期,在基本实现 社会主义现代化进程中具有承前启后的重要地位。 埃及新闻总署前副署长艾哈迈德·萨拉姆说,当前,全球经济增速放缓,不确定性增多。"在此背景 下,'十五五'规划建议不仅是一份中国的经济社会发展文件,更是一张具有全球意义的发展蓝图。作为 世界第二大经济体和全球经济增长的重要引擎,中国这一规划建议将在稳定和 ...
市场是当今世界最稀缺的资源!保险业视角下的“十五五”,未来5年发展方向就隐藏在这些论断之中
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 15:32
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance and challenges of formulating the "15th Five-Year Plan" for the insurance industry, emphasizing the need for high-quality development and strategic planning in response to national directives [1][2][3] Group 1: Importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for achieving socialist modernization and will shape the future direction and performance targets of insurance companies [1][2] - The period from now until 2035 is critical for establishing a solid foundation for modernization, requiring proactive and strategic planning [3] Group 2: Key Themes from the National Guidelines - The guidelines emphasize high-quality development, with a focus on economic construction, innovation, and meeting the growing needs of the population [4][6] - The plan outlines six major principles for economic and social development, including the importance of high-quality growth and comprehensive reforms [6] Group 3: Focus on High Technology - The plan highlights the goal of creating a new high-tech industry in China over the next decade, indicating a strong emphasis on technological advancement [7][9] - It aims to foster emerging industries and future sectors, such as renewable energy and advanced manufacturing, which are expected to generate significant market opportunities [9][10] Group 4: Domestic Market Emphasis - The strategy prioritizes the domestic market as a key driver of economic growth, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and enhancing consumer spending [11][12] - Efforts will be made to eliminate barriers to market access and improve the efficiency of the domestic economic cycle [12] Group 5: High-Level Opening Up - The plan calls for a shift from a "follower" to a "leader" in terms of international trade and investment, promoting a more proactive approach to global economic engagement [13][14] - It includes measures to enhance trade innovation and expand investment cooperation, particularly in high-standard free trade zones [14][15] Group 6: Social Welfare and Population Development - The guidelines advocate for a supportive environment for families and the elderly, aiming to improve social welfare and promote a high-quality population development strategy [16][17] - Key initiatives include enhancing childcare support, optimizing retirement policies, and developing the silver economy [17] Group 7: Agricultural Modernization - The plan emphasizes the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, aiming to increase agricultural productivity and improve living conditions in rural communities [18][19] - It includes policies to support farmers' income and enhance the effectiveness of agricultural support measures [19] Group 8: Regional Coordination - The strategy focuses on optimizing regional economic layouts and promoting coordinated development across different areas of the country [20][21] - It highlights the importance of new urbanization and marine economy development as part of the overall growth strategy [21]
国泰海通|宏观:“十五五”新图景:科技领先、内需提振——二十届四中全会公报学习体会
Core Viewpoint - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session has made strategic deployments for the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating a more severe external situation while affirming strong economic resilience and confidence domestically. The focus has shifted from "catching up" to "leading" in technology goals, emphasizing advanced manufacturing and quality services in the industrial system, with policies leaning towards demand-side and livelihood improvements. Incremental policies are expected to be implemented in the fourth quarter to achieve annual targets [1][11]. Group 1: Economic Environment and Goals - The external situation is judged to be more severe, but domestic economic resilience remains strong, with confidence high. The long-term goals for 2035 have been raised, including significant increases in economic, technological, defense, and international influence [6][9]. - The meeting emphasizes the need to recognize the risks and uncertainties in the international landscape, contrasting with the previous assessment of being in a strategic opportunity period [6][9]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - The focus on technological innovation has shifted to "seizing the high ground of technological development," indicating a transition from "catching up" to "leading" in technology. This includes a stronger emphasis on original innovation and tackling key core technologies [7][9]. Group 3: Industrial System - The construction of a modern industrial system emphasizes a dual drive of advanced manufacturing and quality services. The focus is on building a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing, while also improving the quality and efficiency of the service sector [7][9]. Group 4: Domestic Market and Demand-Side Policies - The importance of the demand side has increased compared to the supply side, with a shift in policy priorities to stimulate and expand consumption, particularly in residential service consumption [8][10]. Group 5: Institutional Reforms - New reforms include accelerating the improvement of market-oriented allocation mechanisms for factors of production, which will support the smooth operation of the economy [2][10]. Group 6: Livelihood and Social Welfare - The emphasis on livelihood has been elevated, with a focus on ensuring basic living standards and fairness, reflecting a shift towards more precise policy directions [10][11]. Group 7: Current Economic Situation - The meeting acknowledged the increasing economic pressures observed since the third quarter, indicating that incremental policies are likely to be implemented in the fourth quarter to address these challenges [11].
券商首席解码:四中全会公报里的“十五五”投资线索
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the outcomes of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, which emphasizes the achievements during the 14th Five-Year Plan and sets the main goals for the 15th Five-Year Plan [1][2] - The session highlighted 12 key areas including modern industrial systems, technological self-reliance, expanding domestic demand, market economy reforms, and rural revitalization [2][3] Group 2 - The construction of a modern industrial system is emphasized, with a focus on integrating technological innovation and industrial development, particularly in advanced manufacturing and aerospace technology [5][6] - The strategy of technological self-reliance is marked as a central growth driver for the 15th Five-Year Plan, aiming to enhance basic research and key technology breakthroughs [6] - The approach to expanding domestic demand is noted to focus on the balance between supply and demand, promoting long-term consumption growth rather than short-term stimulus [7][8] Group 3 - The report indicates a potential acceleration in the pace of opening up, with an emphasis on institutional and autonomous openness in response to global competition [9] - The A-share market is expected to show a "long-term" and "steady" trend, supported by improved market confidence and structural reforms [10] - Investment opportunities are suggested in sectors such as digital technology, aerospace, high-end manufacturing, and consumer goods, with specific focus areas identified [11][12]
在新时代新征程续写经济快速发展和社会长期稳定两大奇迹新篇章——中共中央举行新闻发布会解读党的二十届四中全会精神
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-24 10:20
Core Points - The key outcome of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session is the approval of the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development" [3][4] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for advancing China's modernization and addressing complex external challenges [3][5] Summary by Sections General Overview - The "Suggestions" document consists of 15 parts and 61 articles, divided into three main sections: general overview, specific strategies, and tasks for strengthening centralized leadership [4] - The document is considered a significant programmatic document in the party's history, with clear development goals and practical measures [4] Economic and Social Development Goals - The main goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan" include achieving high-quality development, enhancing technological self-reliance, deepening reforms, improving social civilization, and ensuring national security [7][8] - Emphasis is placed on addressing agricultural modernization as a priority for achieving overall modernization [7] Modern Industrial System - The plan prioritizes building a modern industrial system and strengthening the foundation of the real economy, with a focus on upgrading traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [8] - It is estimated that the market space will increase by approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next five years [8] Technological Innovation - The plan outlines strategies for enhancing technological self-reliance, including original innovation, integration of technology and industry, and fostering a talent development system [10][11] - It aims to leverage new technologies such as artificial intelligence and quantum technology to drive economic growth [10] Open Economy - The plan emphasizes expanding foreign trade and investment, enhancing cooperation in the Belt and Road Initiative, and creating a favorable environment for foreign investment [12][13] - It aims to make the Chinese market a global innovation application platform [13] Health and Population Development - The plan includes strategies for improving public health, enhancing healthcare services, and promoting a supportive environment for childbirth and aging populations [14] - It aims to ensure equitable access to healthcare and improve the overall health of the population [14] Political Leadership - The plan stresses the importance of centralized leadership and a clean political environment to ensure the successful implementation of modernization efforts [15][16] - It calls for a robust mechanism for decision-making and accountability within the party [15]
深圳市“引进来”“走出去””功能持续增强
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-10-24 08:10
中国发展网讯 记者罗勉报道 从深圳市有关方面了解到,"十四五"以来,深圳坚持以全球视野和更加积 极主动的姿态,坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放,积极在服务国内国际双循环中作基地、作平台、作通 道、作枢纽,全面提升"引进来"的吸引力和"走出去"的竞争力,始终走在开放最前沿,参与全球经济合 作与竞争,引领打造共赢新格局。 越开放越能激活发展动能,越发展越有扩大开放底气。"深圳智造"漂洋过海,走俏国际市场,外贸出口 稳居全国大中城市首位。多位外国元首及政府首脑访深,国际机构、企业纷至沓来,多领域务实合作扎 实推进,"科技之城"底色更亮,"大国会客厅"功能持续增强。 同时,深圳持续健全"大招商"格局,坚持以"心诚+行程"面向全球招商引资,加强资源整合"以商招 商",围绕深圳产业发展需求,滚动推进重点国别、重点领域项目招引,积极主动吸引和扩大利用外 全球市场"含深度" 今年1至9月,深圳机场国际及地区货运吞吐量达77.1万吨,同比增幅12.7%,刷新历史同期纪录。数据 背后,是全球"带货"能力不断提升,也折射出深圳外贸的强劲实力。 "十四五"以来,深圳外贸进出口总额达18.9万亿元,占全国比重9.5%;2024年更是以4.5 ...
债市日报:10月24日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing a weak consolidation, influenced by important meeting content that boosts market risk sentiment, with slight declines in government bond futures and a majority of interbank bond yields rising by 0.5-1 basis points [1] Market Performance - Government bond futures closed lower across the board, with the 30-year main contract down 0.25% at 115.01, the 10-year main contract down 0.06% at 108.005, the 5-year main contract down 0.05% at 105.615, and the 2-year main contract down 0.01% at 102.332 [2] - Interbank major rate bond yields saw slight increases, with the 10-year policy bank bond yield rising by 0.6 basis points to 1.912% and the 30-year government bond yield rising by 0.35 basis points to 2.097% [2] International Bond Market - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields collectively rose, with the 2-year yield increasing by 4.82 basis points to 3.489% and the 10-year yield rising by 5.35 basis points to 4.001% [3] - In Asia, Japanese bond yields mostly increased, with the 10-year yield rising by 0.1 basis points to 1.659% [4] - In the Eurozone, 10-year bond yields also rose, with French yields up by 2.7 basis points to 3.380% and German yields up by 2 basis points to 2.582% [4] Primary Market - The Ministry of Finance reported weighted average winning yields for 5-year and 7-year government bonds at 1.63% and 1.7324%, respectively, with bid-to-cover ratios of 2.64 and 3.24 [5] - The China Export-Import Bank's 3-year floating rate bond had a winning rate of 1.8049% with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.36 [6] Liquidity and Policy - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation with a fixed rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 3.2 billion yuan for the day [7] - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized high-quality development and technological self-reliance as key goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming for significant improvements in various sectors by 2035 [8][9] Institutional Perspectives - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) anticipates that medium to long-term economic growth will remain robust, with a focus on technology and consumption as central to domestic demand [10] - CITIC Securities highlights that the core of the 14th Five-Year Plan is high-quality development, with a focus on technology, real economy, and consumption, while cautioning against expectations of large-scale stimulus in the real estate sector [10]
信息量大!中共中央举行新闻发布会,介绍和解读党的二十届四中全会精神
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-10-24 05:20
10月20日至23日,中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议在北京召开。这次全会是在我国即将 胜利完成"十四五"主要目标任务,进入基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期召开的 一次重要会议。全会审议通过了《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》 (下称《建议》)。 10月24日,中共中央举行新闻发布会,介绍和解读党的二十届四中全会精神。 《建议》共有15个部分 中央政策研究室主任江金权介绍,《建议》共有15个部分、61条,分为三大板块。第一板块是总论,包 括第一部分、第二部分,主要阐述"十四五"时期我国发展取得的重大成就、抓好"十五五"时期经济社会 发展的重大意义和总体要求。第二板块从第三部分到第十四部分为分论,分领域部署了"十五五"时期的 战略任务和重大举措。第三板块由第十五部分和结束语组成,主要部署坚持和加强党中央集中统一领 导,推进社会主义民主法治建设等任务。 《建议》明确"十五五"时期经济社会发展的指导方针和主要目标 中央财办分管日常工作的副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀在发布会上表示,党的二十届四中全会通过的 《建议》准确把握我国发展的历史方位,深入分析国际国内形势,明 ...
二十届四中全会公报精神学习:保持战略定力,增强必胜信心
Donghai Securities· 2025-10-24 05:10
Economic Outlook - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is positioned as a critical phase for achieving basic socialist modernization, with an implicit growth target of approximately 4.7%[2] - The meeting emphasized the importance of maintaining strategic determination and confidence in overcoming external risks while leveraging internal advantages[2] - The projected average GDP growth rate from 2026 to 2035 should not be lower than 4.4%, considering the goal of doubling GDP by 2035 compared to 2020 levels[2] Key Focus Areas - The significance of technology and national security has been elevated, with "self-reliance in technology" and "national security" being newly highlighted as major goals[2] - The construction of a modern industrial system is prioritized, with a focus on manufacturing, quality, aerospace, and transportation industries[2] - Emphasis on original innovation and tackling key core technologies to avoid being "choked" in strategic areas[3] Domestic Demand and Supply - The plan advocates for a dual interaction between supply and demand, promoting consumption and investment to stimulate economic growth[3] - The importance of expanding domestic demand is underscored, with a strategic focus on enhancing the domestic market's reliability and dynamism[3] Short-term Economic Goals - The meeting aims to achieve the annual economic and social development goals, with a GDP growth of 5% for the year being feasible given the 5.2% growth in the first three quarters[3] - There is potential for further policy support in the fourth quarter, with expectations of fiscal tools amounting to 1 trillion yuan being implemented[3] Risks and Challenges - Risks include misinterpretation of the meeting's spirit, potential delays in domestic policy implementation, and unexpected pressures in the real estate sector[3]
券商看全会丨四中全会公报释放哪些信号?八大券商解读
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-10-24 04:48
Group 1 - The "New Quality Productivity" has been incorporated into the planning framework for the first time, emphasizing the acceleration of high-level technological self-reliance and innovation [3] - The 14th, 15th, and 16th Five-Year Plans will collectively aim to achieve basic socialist modernization by 2035, with the 15th Five-Year Plan being a crucial transitional period [4][5] - The average GDP growth target for the 15th Five-Year Plan is set at 5%, reflecting the need to balance economic power dynamics and financial risk management [5] Group 2 - The focus on the development of five major city clusters has been reiterated, highlighting the importance of regional strategies and their complementary effects [6] - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to navigate a new economic model, with three main lines of focus: technological innovation, expanding domestic demand, and enhancing openness [7] - The goal of achieving a per capita GDP level comparable to that of moderately developed countries by 2035 has been reaffirmed, necessitating a compound nominal growth rate of over 6% in the next decade [8] Group 3 - The emphasis on maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing sector has been highlighted, with a focus on building a modern industrial system [10][13] - The need for original innovation and addressing key core technology challenges has been underscored, aiming to establish a leading advantage in global technological innovation [14]