2025.05. 12 本文字数：527，阅读时长大约1分钟 作者 | 第一财经 截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.37%，深成指涨1.06%，创业板指涨1.72%。 盘面上看，军工板块集体走强，中船系、成飞系方向领涨；机器人、低空经济、消费电子、固态电池 板块涨幅居前，互联网电商板块活跃，ST板块延续涨势；贵金属、农业、创新药、电力板块跌幅居 前。 个股涨多跌少，全市场超3400只个股上涨。 机构观点 国泰海通资深市场分析师袁强认为，近期市场流动性出现新的变化：高风险偏好资金延续回流A股的 趋势，并且在节后持续增配科技行业，其中ETF与两融资金均增持电子与计算机。对A股投资者来 说，短期可考虑以红利资产为底仓，由于多数景气方向近期市场都有一定反应，需要以较高标准进行 精选，适度参与新主题，看好以机器人、军工、AI为代表的科技方向。 深圳前海融悦资产管理有限公司基金经理王章亮认为，指数在上周维持窄幅震荡，酝酿突破，周末消 息面偏暖，地缘关系缓和，整体市场的风险偏好得以显著提升。今早A股承接此前的上涨惯性，高开 震荡走高。沪指站稳年线，同时均线系统多头排列，短期趋势仍维持偏多。具体板块方面，中国制造 业全产业链优势有望进 ...

今日（5月12日）早上8点半，低费率月月分红的$港股红利低波ETF(SH520550)$发布了2025年第一次分红公告——我宣布，520比玫瑰还要浪漫的礼物出现 了。 根据公告，这次港股红利低波ETF（520550）计划每十份分红0.02元，采取现金分红方式，并且暂免征收所得税，也不会收取分红手续费——省到的就是赚 到的，"浪漫指"直接打满。 具体时间来看，这次ETF的权益登记日为2025年5月14日，除息日5月15日，红利发放日为5月20日，也就意味着在本周三收盘前买入该ETF都能参与分红， 后面坐等520红包就行了。 今日早盘，港股红利低波ETF（520550）盘中一度涨超1%，截至上周五已经保持连续四周上涨，5日、10日均线都迎头向上，中期趋势一片大好。可以说在 市场最近延续震荡分化、交易情绪明显不佳的背景下，走出了一波明显的独立趋势。 背后的原因一方面是因为经济弱修复底色并未发生改变，虽然今天中美经贸会谈的具体细节就要发布，但是落地还需要时间，市场避险需求持续旺盛。 另一方面，无风险利率持续下行的大环境下（上周再度出台降准、降息政策），红利资产的股息率相对十年国债收益率吸引力也在持续增加，都为红利资产 ...

1.中信证券：聚焦三大不变趋势 中信证券裘翔称，配置上，除短期热点主题轮动，建议聚焦三个大趋势：一是中国自主科技能力的提升 趋势；二是欧洲重建自主防务，提升能源、基建和资源储备的趋势；三是中国势必要走通"双循环"，加 速完善社会保障并激发内需潜力是政策的必选项。 【 机构观点综评 】中信证券称，配置上，除短期热点主题轮动，建议聚焦三个大趋势。中金固收团队 称，建议把握二三季度配置窗口，布局债市牛市行情。 一、焦点锐评 1. 降准、降息加增量政策，三部门发力稳预期！ 5月7日，三部门发布一揽子金融政策稳市场稳预期。央行宣布推出十项政策措施，其中包括全面降准 0.5个百分点，下调政策利率0.1个百分点，降低结构性货币政策工具利率和公积金贷款利率0.25个百分 点，设立5000亿元"服务消费与养老再贷款"等。金融监管总局将推出八项增量政策，包括加快出台适配 房地产发展新模式的融资制度、再批复600亿元保险资金长期投资试点等。证监会将全力支持中央汇金 发挥好类"平准基金"作用，出台深化科创板、创业板改革政策措施等。 【点评】当前宏观经济面临国内政策变动和经济波动超预期的风险，尤其在中美经贸关系尚未明朗、关 税影响逐步 ...

兴证全球基金经理童兰认为，不管是红利资产还是成长类资产，本质上都是资产。"作为投资人，我关 注的是它的核心本质，也就是其在全生命周期当中创造现金流，折算到当前价值的合理水平。"童兰 说。 具体到红利资产的细分配置方向，睿郡资产执行董事杜昌勇认为，共识过于一致的资产市场表现已经很 充分，更应关注部分共识度较低、基本面又比较好的资产。"有些行业，比如说运营商行业是非常稳定 的小幅成长行业，过去市场表现很充分，市场的共识也很一致。这两年我们关注到的另一些公用事业行 业，比如电力行业，目前市场上分歧还是挺大的。未来这个板块的稳定性会显示出来，可以慢慢地看到 业绩的稳定性和成长性，又有很高的分红比例承诺。从这个角度来看，兼具分红和成长的属性。" 进入5月，一季度小有收获的公募基金开始为下半年行情做准备。在此背景下，机构对红利资产的关注 度显著提升。在机构人士看来，低估值、基本面稳健的红利资产依然是组合的压舱石，但在哪些红利资 产更具配置价值方面，则存在一定的分歧。 今年以来，公募主动权益类基金的业绩有所修复。Choice统计数据显示，截至4月30日，今年以来全市 场普通股票型基金和偏股混合型基金的平均回报皆为正，分别为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a strong rebound this week, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices rising approximately 2%, driven by significant policy support and improved market sentiment [1][2]. Policy Support and Market Activity - Following the May Day holiday, trading activity in the A-share market improved significantly, with an average daily trading volume of 1.35 trillion yuan, a notable increase from the previous week [2]. - The State Council emphasized "expectation management" and the importance of capital markets, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) pledging to support the market's recovery and promote long-term capital inflows [2]. Index Performance - The 每经品牌100指数 (Everyday Brand 100 Index) surged by 3.19% this week, closing at 1086 points, approaching the 1100-point mark [2]. - A total of 74 constituent stocks within the index saw price increases, with 75% of the stocks rising [2]. Notable Stock Performances - Key stocks such as 吉利汽车 (Geely Automobile) and 浦发银行 (Shanghai Pudong Development Bank) recorded significant weekly gains of 10.07% and 7.66%, respectively [3][4]. - Other notable performers included 宁德时代 (CATL), 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank), and 美团 (Meituan), all achieving over 5% weekly growth [4]. Market Capitalization Growth - Several stocks, including 宁德时代, 招商银行, and 贵州茅台 (Kweichow Moutai), saw their market capitalizations increase by over 50 billion yuan this week [4]. - The 每经品牌100指数 outperformed major A-share indices over the past year, with a reported increase of 17.37% from May 9, 2024, to May 7, 2025 [4]. Historical Highs and Dividend Yields - Multiple constituent stocks reached historical highs, with 建设银行 (China Construction Bank) and 浦发银行 hitting 9.33 yuan and 11.88 yuan, respectively [5]. - The dividend yield for 建设银行 is reported at 6.56%, while 浦发银行's yield stands at 2.76%, both significantly higher than the 3.2% yield of the CSI 300 index [5]. Insurance Investment Trends - After four years of decline, the number of shares held by insurance companies in A-share bank stocks has shown signs of recovery, increasing from 383 billion shares at the end of 2024 to 391 billion shares by the end of Q1 2025 [5]. Telecommunications Sector Insights - Stocks of 中国电信 (China Telecom) and 中国移动 (China Mobile) are nearing historical highs, with projected dividend yields of 73% and 72% for 2024, respectively [6]. - The demand for IDC and intelligent computing resources is expected to improve due to the rapid growth in computing power needs driven by DeepSeek [6]. Public Fund Reforms - Recent reforms in public funds emphasize performance-based fee structures and performance assessments for fund managers, potentially benefiting dividend assets [7]. - The reforms suggest that dividend assets may see increased allocation, particularly for long-term holdings, as they have historically outperformed broader indices [7]. Dividend Indices - The 中证红利指数 (CSI Dividend Index) and 红利低波100ETF (Low Volatility Dividend ETF) focus on high dividend yield and stable dividend-paying companies, reflecting the overall performance of such securities [8][11].

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations on May 9, with the ChiNext Index leading the decline. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.3%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.69%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.87% [1] - Over 4,000 stocks declined, with total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets at 1.19 trillion yuan, a decrease of 101.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Dividend stocks and certain consumer themes showed strength, while technology growth styles weakened [3] - The banking sector performed well, with the banking ETF reaching a historical high and all 42 constituent stocks in the sector showing gains [4] - The dividend index rose by 0.61% but is down 4.68% year-to-date [5] Monetary Policy Impact - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, injecting approximately 1 trillion yuan into the market, and a 0.1% decrease in policy interest rates [8] - Analysts from China Galaxy Securities noted that macro policy remains unchanged, with expansionary domestic demand policies creating business opportunities for banks [9] Investment Strategy - The market is expected to remain in a structural phase, with a focus on low-volatility dividend stocks as a defensive base and domestic demand recovery as an offensive strategy [15] - The military industry is highlighted as a sector with strong potential, driven by macroeconomic stability and ongoing themes in low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, and military intelligence [14]

Group 1 - The core conclusion indicates that active equity funds have increased their positions, with a preference for Hong Kong stocks and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][18] - In Q1 2025, the market value of active equity funds decreased slightly to 2.50 trillion yuan, with a net redemption of approximately 482 billion yuan, indicating manageable pressure on the market [10][15] - The allocation to Hong Kong stocks has risen for five consecutive quarters, while the main board and ChiNext have seen significant declines in allocation [18][21] Group 2 - Active equity funds have shown a trend of profit-taking in growth and consumer sectors, with notable reductions in positions in electronics, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage sectors [2][38] - The only sector to see an increase in active equity fund positions in Q1 2025 was the automotive sector, while the electric power equipment sector experienced significant reductions [40][45] - The top five industries by allocation in active equity funds include electronics (18.4%), electric power equipment (11.0%), pharmaceuticals (10.6%), food and beverage (8.8%), and automotive (7.8%) [22][23] Group 3 - The pricing power of active equity funds is highest in the automotive (2.9%) and electronics (3.5%) sectors, with a notable increase in automotive pricing power [3][49] - The overall pricing power of active equity funds has slightly decreased, with the exception of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which have shown an upward trend [47][49] - The top five industries by pricing power are home appliances (3.8%), electronics (3.5%), electric power equipment (3.0%), automotive (2.9%), and pharmaceuticals (2.7%) [49]

Group 1 - The A-share market is currently experiencing a coexistence of policy benefits and market volatility, with all three major indices showing positive performance in the morning session [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Bosera (513690) and the Low Volatility 100 ETF (159307) have shown relatively stable performance, maintaining prices close to the previous day's closing [1] Group 2 - The core goal of recent policies is to stabilize the market and expectations, emphasizing support rather than aggressive growth, with interest rate cuts primarily benefiting public housing loans rather than commercial loans [3][4] - The market sentiment is leaning towards defensive strategies, favoring dividend stocks due to their stability amid fundamental pressures and tariff negotiations [4][5] Group 3 - The logic behind the preference for dividend stocks includes lower interest rates making dividends more attractive, with the dividend yield of dividend indices at 6.5% compared to a 1.63% yield on ten-year government bonds [5] - There is a surge in demand for safe-haven assets, as dividend assets exhibit lower volatility and stable dividends, with institutions using them as a substitute for bonds [6] Group 4 - The technical outlook indicates that the Low Volatility 100 Index has found support near previous lows and is showing signs of recovery, with prices above several short-term moving averages [9] - The market is expected to continue rotating between "dividend defense" and "technology rebound," with key factors being the outcome of US-China negotiations and the extent of domestic fiscal stimulus [10]

在昨日一系列利好加持下，今日早盘A股三大指数依旧强势，不过大家有没有注意到，交易情绪正在减弱：目前成交量较昨日同期缩量 超过1700亿，做多情绪明显不高。 虽然有利好加持，但总归当下的市场环境中仍然存在着诸多不确定因素：全球经济复苏的步伐并不一致、贸易保护主义、中美印巴冲突 时有发生，这些是外部冲击。 A股方面，随着2024年年报和2025年一季报的披露工作全面完成，可以看到上市公司的业绩表现虽有韧性，但也面临着一定的压力。因 此，在这样复杂的局面下，业绩确定性相对较强的红利板块，依旧是资金关注热点。 而且昨天的降准降息这一政策组合拳，对于红利资产也有着显著的利好作用。 另一方面，降准降息会使红利资产对于无风险利率的超额收益更加明显。当无风险利率下降，比如国债收益率下行，原本投资于债券等 固定收益资产的资金，就会因为红利资产能提供更高的相对收益，而纷纷转向股市中的红利板块，从而提升了红利资产的吸引力。 以$港股红利低波ETF(SH520550)$跟踪的恒生港股通高股息低波动指数为例：当前指数股息率超过8%，较国债收益率高出6个百分点以 上，远超A股其它红利类指数。这种"利差保护"在不确定性加大的市场中，可以为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, alongside a 0.1 percentage point decrease in policy interest rates, creating a favorable environment for high-dividend assets [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Impact - The recent monetary policy adjustments are aimed at implementing a more proactive macroeconomic policy, which is expected to support the performance of dividend assets in the long term [1] - The decline in the risk-free interest rate is anticipated to enhance the attractiveness of stable dividend income, positioning dividend assets as a key focus for long-term capital seeking value [1] Group 2: ETF Products Overview - E Fund's dividend series ETFs have been progressively developed, with the recent launch of the Dividend Value ETF (563700) complementing existing products like the E Fund Dividend ETF (515180) and the Dividend Low Volatility ETF (563020), providing comprehensive coverage of A-share and Hong Kong markets [1] - The four E Fund dividend ETFs are designed with a core focus on high dividend yields and feature a low management and custody fee of 0.20% per year, which can enhance long-term returns [2] Group 3: Index Composition - The E Fund Dividend ETF (515180) tracks the CSI Dividend Index, which selects 100 stocks with high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend stocks [2] - The Dividend Value ETF (563700) tracks the CSI Dividend Value Index, selecting 50 stocks with good liquidity, continuous dividends, and high dividend yields, using a dividend yield weighting approach [4] - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (563020) tracks the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index, focusing on 50 stocks with low volatility and high dividend yields, catering to long-term capital allocation needs [6] Group 4: Dividend Distribution Policies - The three ETFs (563700, 563020, 159545) evaluate excess returns quarterly, with distinct distribution evaluation dates throughout the year, ensuring coverage of dividend distributions across all 12 months [4] - The Heng Seng Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159545) evaluates excess returns and distributable profits on the last trading day of January, April, July, and October [4]