菜籽系产业日报 2025-05-12 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽油(日,元/吨) | 9378 | 23 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽粕(日,元/吨) | 2544 | -7 | | | 菜油月间差(9-1):(日,元/吨) | 178 | 30 菜粕月间价差(9-1)(日,元/吨) | 232 | 4 | | | 主力合约持仓量:菜油(日,手) | 292927 | -15753 主力合约持仓量:菜粕(日,手) | 576482 | 4096 | | 期货市场 | 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:菜油(日,手) | 25914 | -9564 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:菜粕(日,手) | -37241 | 6117 | | | 仓单数量:菜油(日,张) | 1707 | 0 仓单数量:菜粕(日,张) | 31218 | 1993 | | | 期货收盘价(活跃):ICE油菜籽(日,加元/吨) | 711.7 | 12.2 期货收盘价(活跃合约): ...

林剑表示，关于中美经贸高层会谈，中方已经发布了消息。我们刚拿到这个相关的情况，双方已经发布了会谈 达成的联合声明，你可以具体查阅。 商务部新闻发言人就中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发表谈话 当地时间5月10日至11日，中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝森特和 贸易代表格里尔在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会谈。双方围绕落实今年1月17日中美元首通话重要共识进行 了坦诚、深入、具有建设性的沟通，在经贸领域达成一系列重要共识。当地时间5月12日上午9:00，双方发布 《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》。商务部新闻发言人就此发表谈话。 2025年4月以来，美国政府在此前单边加征关税的基础上，又对华加征所谓"对等关税"，中国进行了坚决正当 反制。随后美方轮番升级关税措施，将对华"对等关税"税率从第一轮的34%先后提升至84%和125%。美高额关 税严重损害双边正常经贸往来，严重破坏国际经贸秩序。本次会谈达成了联合声明，是双方通过平等对话协商 解决分歧迈出的重要一步，为进一步弥合分歧和深化合作打下了基础、创造了条件。 双方在联合声明中达成多项积极共识。双方认识到双边经贸关系对两国和全球经济的重要性， ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant reduction of tariffs between the US and China, as announced in the joint statement from the Geneva trade talks [1][3] - Following the announcement, gold prices dropped nearly $50, while the US dollar index rose above the 101 mark [1] - Oil prices surged over 3% on the day of the announcement, indicating a positive market reaction to the tariff reductions [1] Group 2 - The US has committed to modifying tariffs on Chinese goods by suspending 24% of the tariffs for the first 90 days and retaining a 10% tariff, while also canceling additional tariffs imposed under previous executive orders [3] - China will reciprocate by suspending 24% of tariffs on US goods for the first 90 days and retaining a 10% tariff, along with canceling additional tariffs as per their announcements [3] - Both parties will establish a mechanism for ongoing consultations regarding trade relations, with representatives from both sides designated for future discussions [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The iron ore market is expected to show a volatile trend. The supply is generally loose as overseas shipments are on the rise and major mines' shipments are gradually recovering, despite a decline in arrivals last week. On the demand side, although steel mills' profitability improved last week, leading to increased production and a slight rise in molten iron output, downstream demand weakened, and molten iron output is expected to decline in the next period. At the macro - level, domestic growth - stabilizing policies have been implemented, and significant progress has been made in China - US economic and trade talks [1][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Transaction Data | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate (%) | Total Trading Volume (Lots) | Total Open Interest (Lots) | Price Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SHFE Rebar | 3022 | -74 | -2.39 | 8123194 | 2893444 | Yuan/ton | | SHFE Hot - Rolled Coil | 3157 | -47 | -1.47 | 2485168 | 1395031 | Yuan/ton | | DCE Iron Ore | 696.0 | -7.5 | -1.07 | 1895858 | 699233 | Yuan/ton | | DCE Coking Coal | 877.5 | -53.0 | -5.70 | 1356112 | 418835 | Yuan/ton | | DCE Coke | 1446.5 | -91.5 | -5.95 | 98662 | 50876 | Yuan/ton | [2] 3.2 Market Review - **Demand Side**: Last week, steel mills' profitability improved, leading to active production and a slight increase in molten iron output. However, downstream demand weakened, and molten iron output is expected to decline in the next period. The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 84.62%, a 0.29 - percentage - point increase from the previous week and a 3.12 - percentage - point increase year - on - year. The blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate was 92.09%, a 0.09 - percentage - point increase from the previous week and a 4.42 - percentage - point increase year - on - year. The steel mill profitability rate was 58.87%, a 2.59 - percentage - point increase from the previous week and a 6.92 - percentage - point increase year - on - year. The daily average molten iron output was 2.4564 million tons, a 0.22 - million - ton increase from the previous week and an 11.14 - million - ton increase year - on - year [4]. - **Supply Side**: Last week, both shipments and arrivals declined month - on - month, maintaining a medium level. The total iron ore shipments from Australia and Brazil were 25.404 million tons, a decrease of 2.18 million tons from the previous week. Australian shipments were 17.692 million tons, a decrease of 2.26 million tons from the previous week, and the amount shipped from Australia to China was 15.184 million tons, a decrease of 1.288 million tons from the previous week. Brazilian shipments were 7.712 million tons, an increase of 0.08 million tons from the previous week. The total global iron ore shipments were 30.505 million tons, a decrease of 1.377 million tons from the previous week. The inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports across the country was 147.6471 million tons, a decrease of 0.8356 million tons from the previous week, and the daily average port clearance volume was 3.2851 million tons, a decrease of 0.1673 million tons [5]. 3.3 Industry News - China - US economic and trade high - level talks were held in Geneva, Switzerland, from May 10th to 11th. The talks were candid, in - depth, and constructive, reaching important consensus and making substantial progress. The two sides agreed to establish a China - US economic and trade consultation mechanism [9]. - In April, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.0%, a 1.5 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month, indicating a decline in the manufacturing prosperity level [9]. - The Federal Reserve announced to maintain the target range of the federal funds rate between 4.25% and 4.50%, which was in line with market expectations. This was the third consecutive time since January this year that the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged. After the Fed's interest rate decision was announced, traders still expected the Fed to cut interest rates before July and predicted three interest rate cuts this year [9]. - On May 7th, three departments issued a package of financial policies to stabilize the market and expectations. The central bank announced ten policy measures, including a 0.5 - percentage - point comprehensive reserve requirement ratio cut, a 0.1 - percentage - point reduction in policy interest rates, a 0.25 - percentage - point reduction in the interest rates of structural monetary policy tools and provident fund loans, and the establishment of a 500 - billion - yuan "service consumption and elderly care re - loan". The Financial Regulatory Administration will introduce eight incremental policies, including accelerating the introduction of a financing system suitable for the new real - estate development model and approving a 60 - billion - yuan long - term investment pilot for insurance funds. The China Securities Regulatory Commission will fully support Central Huijin to play the role of a quasi - "stabilization fund" and introduce policies and measures to deepen the reform of the Science and Technology Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [9]. 3.4 Related Charts The report provides multiple charts showing the trends of futures and spot prices, basis, production, inventory, and consumption in the iron ore and steel industries, including the trends of rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore futures and spot prices, steel mill profits, steel production, and port inventories [7][10][12].

军工股又爆发了。 今天上午A股市场整体强劲上涨，其中国防军工板块走势强劲，一度大涨逾6%，多股盘中涨停，其中华如科技（301302）早盘9:38直线拉升，9:39涨停。 港股市场今天上午整体上行。恒生指数盘中重新突破23000点整数关口。 港股通标的股中，龙蟠科技港股暴涨，盘中涨幅一度超过50%。 国防军工板块爆发 今天上午A股市场整体强劲上涨，主要指数不同程度上涨。截至中午收盘，上证指数上涨0.37%，深证成指上涨1.06%，创业板指上涨1.72%，北证50指数上涨 2.27%。 | 行情 | 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | 3354.53 | 10234.09 | 1410.60 | | +12.53 +0.37% | +107.27 +1.06% | +31.29 +2.27% | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1006.18 | 2046.39 | 5109.72 | | -0.14 -0.01% +34.63 +1.72% | | +38.61 +0.76% | | 沪深300 | 中证500 ...

来源：同花顺iFinD 板块题材上，军工、中船系、商业航天、机器人、固态电池、消费电子板块涨幅居前；贵金属、种业、 创新药、电力板块跌幅居前。 盘面上，军工板块持续走强掀涨停潮，七丰精工30cm涨停创新高，昆船智能、航天南湖、华如科技等 超20股涨停。受中美谈判利好消息影响，消费电子板块今日集体反弹，东尼电子、朝阳科技涨停，福立 旺、蓝思科技、安克创新纷纷上扬。固态电池概念股亦表现活跃，龙蟠科技一字涨停，曼恩斯特、灵鸽 科技、山东章鼓涨幅居前。 创新药板块今日集体调整，迈威生物跌超10%，百济神州大跌9%，舒泰神、百利天恒、恒瑞医药纷纷 下挫。黄金股同样表现不佳，西部黄金、四川黄金、山东黄金均有所下跌。消息面上，美国总统特朗普 在其社交平台上表示，5月12日上午9点（北京时间周一21点）将在白宫签署一项美国历史上影响极为深 远的行政命令，处方药和药品价格几乎会立即下降30%至80%。 中美经贸高层会谈达成重要共识的背景下，5月12日，A股早盘三大指数纷纷飘红。截至午间休盘，沪 指涨0.37%报3354.53，深成指涨1.06%报10234.09，创业板指涨1.72%报2046.39，北证50指数涨2.27%报 ...

中美经贸高层会谈5月10日至11日在瑞士日内瓦举行。中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰当地 时间11日晚在出席中方代表团举行的新闻发布会时表示，此次中美经贸高层会谈坦诚、深入、具有建设 性，达成重要共识，并取得实质性进展。双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商机制。中美双方将尽快敲定相 关细节，并将于5月12日发布会谈达成的联合声明。 文章封面图来源于AI，以上观点来自相关机构，不代表天天基金的观点，不对观点的准确性 和完整性做任何保证。收益率数据仅供参考，过往业绩和走势风格不预示未来表现，不构成 ↓ 点击"阅读原文" 或上天天基金APP搜索【777】 何立峰说，在当前形势下，本次会谈受到国际社会高度关注。经过中美双方的共同努力，会谈富有成 效，迈出了通过平等对话协商解决分歧的重要一步，为进一步弥合分歧和深化合作打下了基础、创造了 条件。 何立峰表示，中美经贸关系既对两国意义重大，也对全球经济稳定和发展有着重要影响。中方愿同美方 一道，积极落实今年1月17日两国元首通话重要共识，本着解决问题的务实态度，坦诚对话、平等协 商、管控分歧，深挖合作潜力，拉长合作清单，做大合作蛋糕，推动中美经贸关系取得新的发展，为世 界经 ...

特别提示 微信公众号机制调整，请点击顶部"仪器信息网" → 右上方"…" → 设为 ★ 星标，否则很可能无 法看到我们的推送。 自5月初开始升温的中美关税 贸易战 ，刚刚取得了实质性进展。 中美经贸高层会谈5月1 0日至11日在瑞士日内瓦举行。中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何 立 峰 当 地 时 间 11 日 晚 在 出 席 中 方 代 表 团 举 行 的 新 闻 发 布 会 时 表 示 ， 此 次 中 美 经 贸 高 层 会 谈 坦 诚、深入、具有建设性， 达成重要共识，并取得实质性进展。双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商 机制。 中美双方将尽快敲定相关细节，并将于5月1 2日发布会谈达成的联合声明。 何立峰说，在当前形势下，本次会谈受到国际社会高度关注。经过中美双方的共同努力，会谈 富有成效，迈出了通过平等对话协商解决分歧的重要一步，为进一步弥合分歧和深化合作打下 了基础、创造了条件。 何立峰表示，中美经贸关系既对两国意义重大，也对全球经济稳定和发展有着重要影响。中方 愿同美方一道，积极落实今年1月17日两国元首通话重要共识，本着解决问题的务实态度，坦 诚对话、平等协商、管控分歧，深挖合作潜力，拉长合作清单， ...

【申万宏源纺服】纺织制造更新：深圳上市公司见面会及调研反馈，期待中美高层经贸会谈催化积极信号！ 根据商务部新闻发布，5月10上午中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，中共中央政治局委员、国务院副 总理何立峰作为中美经贸中方牵头人，当天与美方牵头人、美国财长贝森特举行会谈。 重要积极信号，有望催化优质纺织制造迎来超跌反弹行情！ 1【华利集团】25Q1是全年营收较低季度，以及正处于效率爬坡 【申万宏源纺服】纺织制造更新：深圳上市公司见面会及调研反馈，期待中美高层经贸会谈催化积极信号！ 根据商务部新闻发布，5月10上午中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，中共中央政治局委员、国务院副 总理何立峰作为中美经贸中方牵头人，当天与美方牵头人、美国财长贝森特举行会谈。 重要积极信号，有望催化优质纺织制造迎来超跌反弹行情！ 1【华利集团】25Q1是全年营收较低季度，以及正处于效率爬坡初期的新工厂较低，因此25Q1利润率低于往年同 期属于正常情况，后季大概率回升。 Adidas对华利产能的诉求十分强烈，目前已为其快速开设5个工厂（其中3个专有工厂），年中还将开设1个新工 厂，计划三年内6个工厂全数爬坡满产。 2【伟星股份】预估 ...

中美双方一致同意建立经贸磋商机制，就双方在经贸领域的各自关切保持沟通。 何立峰表示，中美拥有广泛的共同利益和广阔的合作空间，两国经贸关系的本质是互利共 赢。作为发展阶段、经济制度不同的两个大国，中美双方在经贸合作中出现分歧和摩擦是正常 的，关键要以两国元首重要共识为指引，本着相互尊重、和平共处、合作共赢的原则，通过平等 对话协商，找到妥善解决问题的办法。贸易战没有赢家，中方不愿打贸易战，但也不怕打。倘若 美方执意侵害中方权益，中方将坚决反制，奉陪到底。维护中美经贸关系健康、稳定、可持续发 展，符合两国和两国人民的根本利益，也有利于全球经济增长。双方应深挖合作潜力，拉长合作 清单，做大合作蛋糕，推动中美经贸关系不断取得新的发展，为世界经济注入更多确定性和稳定 性。 来源：新华社 新华社日内瓦5月11日电 当地时间5月10日至11日，中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何 立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会 谈。双方围绕落实1月17日中美元首通话重要共识进行了坦诚、深入、具有建设性的沟通，达成 一系列重要共识，会谈取得实质性进展。 ...