Core Viewpoint - In Q1 2025, China Merchants Bank reported a decline in both operating income and net profit, indicating a slowdown in performance compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the bank achieved operating income of 83.751 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.09%, with the decline rate widening by 2.61 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.286 billion yuan, down 2.08% year-on-year, with a decline of 3.3 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - The average return on total assets and average return on equity were 1.21% and 14.13%, respectively, both showing year-on-year declines of 0.14 percentage points and 1.95 percentage points [2]. Revenue Structure - Net interest income for Q1 2025 was 52.996 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.92%, continuing the growth trend from Q4 2024 [2]. - Net fee and commission income was 19.696 billion yuan, down 2.51% year-on-year, with wealth management fees increasing by 10.45% [2]. - The revenue from agency wealth management surged by 39.47% due to growth in agency scale and product structure optimization, while agency insurance income continued to decline due to falling insurance sales [2]. - Other net income was 11.059 billion yuan, down 22.19% year-on-year, primarily impacted by rising market interest rates leading to a decrease in the fair value of bond and fund investments [2]. Cost Management - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.91%, down 11 basis points year-on-year and 3 basis points quarter-on-quarter, with the decline rate narrowing [3]. - The deposit cost rate decreased by 34 basis points year-on-year to 1.29%, positively affecting the net interest margin due to lower deposit rates and regulatory restrictions on high-interest deposit solicitation [3]. Asset Quality - As of the end of Q1 2025, the non-performing loan ratio was 0.94%, a slight improvement of 0.01 percentage points from the end of the previous year [3]. - The non-performing loan ratio for corporate loans improved to 0.95%, while the retail loan non-performing ratio increased to 1.01%, indicating ongoing pressure on retail loan asset quality [3]. - The provision coverage ratio was 410.03%, down 1.95 percentage points from the end of the previous year [3]. Investment Outlook - The bank maintains a "buy" rating, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 30% and a projected cash dividend of 2 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.91% based on the closing price on April 30 [4]. - The estimated net asset value per share for 2025 is 45.25 yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.90 times [4].

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，A股非金融ROE环比基本持平，结合一季度盈利增长明显反弹和 上述积极变化，预计本轮盈利下行周期的增速低点已过，但二季度以后需要重视关税政策对企业基本面 的影响。中金判断，关税对上市公司销售的冲击程度好于实体经济，但需要关注降价和供需失衡导致的 利润率下降。配置上，建议从景气回升和关税低影响两个维度寻找机会。 中金主要观点如下： 盈利增长方面，2024年全A/金融/非金融归母净利润同比分别为-3.0%/+9.0%/-14.2%，四季度大量减值损 失导致非金融盈利加速探底，全年房地产和光伏行业是主要拖累项；1Q25全A/金融/非金融归母净利润 同比为+3.5%/+2.9%+4.2%，下游行业改善明显。行业层面，有色金属、部分出口链以及TMT板块亮点 突出，高景气行业稀缺的格局发生积极变化。 盈利能力来看，A股非金融ROE环比基本持平，从2021年2季度以来，本轮ROE下行周期已持续15个季 度，拆分来看，净利润率边际企稳反弹，但资产周转率仍明显下行拖累。结构上，上游行业ROE仍在快 速下滑，下游行业若剔除地产后处于改善趋势中。其中ROE连续两个季度改善的行业包括电子、家电、 非 ...

上 市 公 司 ——业绩承压但负向边际有限，看好大行稳健股息优势 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 29 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 9.36 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 9.47/6.97 | | 市净率 | 0.7 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 6.38 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 89,797 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,286.65/9,849.80 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 12.92 | | 资产负债率% | 92.03 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 250,011/9,594 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/240,417 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 2025 年 04 月 30 日 建设银行 (601939) 04-29 05-29 06-29 07-29 08-29 09-29 10-29 11-29 12 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company's revenue and profit showed steady growth in Q1 2025, with operating income reaching 22.986 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.98%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.774 billion yuan, up 0.99% year-on-year. The new signed orders increased by 18.87% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in production and operations [1][4]. - The gross margin slightly decreased to 14.51%, down 1.29 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved, indicating enhanced cost control capabilities [2]. - The infrastructure investment in Sichuan province is expected to grow, with a target of 280 billion yuan in 2025, which supports the company's long-term performance [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 8.098 billion yuan, representing a 12.32% increase year-on-year. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.93 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.58 [5][12]. - The company plans to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio of 60%, leading to a dividend yield of 6.3% for 2025 [4][5]. - The company's total assets are projected to be 235.25 billion yuan in 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 77.16% [12][13].

2024年度现金分红总额前10名 2024年度股息率前10名 截至日期：4月29日21时 数据来源：Wind 高志刚 制表 郭晨凯 制图 ◎记者 高志刚 在新"国九条"等政策引导下，A股市场已形成常态化分红机制，2024年度现金分红规模再次创出历史新 高。 Wind数据显示，截至4月29日21时，共有5304家A股上市公司发布2024年年报，其中3600余家披露现金 分红方案，占已发布年报公司总数的近七成，年度现金分红合计金额高达2.3万亿元（含当年季报、半 年报、年报现金分红，下同），这一数字不仅刷新历史纪录，更实现连续三年站上2万亿元关口。 从企业类型看，央企、地方国企、民企"同台共舞"，通过提升分红金额和比例，积极回馈股东。大盘蓝 筹公司更是常年保持超百亿元分红，成为A股市场现金分红的"中流砥柱"。 | 公司简称 | 2024年度累计 分红总额(亿元) | 公司简称 | 2024年度 股息率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 工商银行 | 1097.73 | 美盈衰 | 16.13 | | 中国移动 | 1007.89 | 东方雨虹 | 13.81 | | 建设银行 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 6.89 RMB [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 88.003 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.31%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.753 billion RMB, an increase of 18.92% [1]. - The company has a strong dividend capability with a dividend per share (DPS) of 0.29 RMB (including tax) for 2024, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 50.15% and a dividend yield of 4.97% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 12.09% year-on-year to 17.602 billion RMB, with a net profit decrease of 40.81% to 1.074 billion RMB, primarily due to a larger-than-expected decline in investment income from joint ventures [1][3]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's controllable and joint venture thermal power net profit for 2024 is estimated at approximately 6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 45%, driven by a 94% increase in controllable thermal power net profit [2]. - The estimated net profit per kilowatt-hour for controllable thermal power in 2024 and Q1 2025 is 3.5 and 1.2 fen respectively, with a year-on-year increase of 1.7 fen and a decrease of 1.2 fen [2]. Investment Income - The investment income from joint ventures for 2024 was 3.766 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, with significant contributions from nuclear power, gas turbines, and coal machines [3]. - In Q1 2025, the investment income from joint ventures dropped by 32% to 841 million RMB, mainly due to pressure on the utilization hours and electricity prices of some joint venture power plants [3]. Valuation and Forecast - The target price has been adjusted to 6.89 RMB, down from a previous value of 7.23 RMB, reflecting a 13x PE for 2025E, considering the company's higher dividend payout ratio compared to peers [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 has been reduced by 12.0% and 13.3% to 7.105 billion RMB and 7.199 billion RMB respectively [4].

以下文章来源于六亿居士 ，作者六亿居士 六亿居士 . 雪球2024年度十大影响力用户。每周发布指数估值表，坚持指数基金(ETF)低估定投，分享指数基金基础分析，让我们：买入有依，持有有底，卖出有 据。 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 六亿居士 来源：雪球 随着市场继续震荡，我们在较低估值时期待了很久，我相信不少朋友，尤其是新朋友心里难免会有一些忐忑。 不少人总说这个市场是零和博弈，那么我们低估定投指数基金，到底能赚到钱么？ 如果低估定投指数基金能赚到钱，是赚了哪部分的钱？这个钱是否可以持续？以及有没有更好的办法，赚更多的钱？ 一、赚了哪些钱：投资的基础收益来源 在《共同基金常识》一书中，约翰博格总结了股市长期回报率的公式： 股市长期回报率 = 初始投资时刻的股息率 + 盈利增长率 + 估值变化 ，这个简明的公式完整诠释了长期投资需要关注的三大要素：初始股息率、增 速水平和估值水平。 1、初始股息率 初始股息率是投资收益的核心基础，本质上股票、债券等资产都可以统称为" 生息资产 "，在付出相应代价，获得相应权益后，持有这些资产便会 获得一定的利息或股 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 6.89 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 88.003 billion for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.31%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 7.753 billion, an increase of 18.92% [1]. - The company has a strong dividend capability with a dividend per share (DPS) of RMB 0.29 (including tax), resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 50.15% and a dividend yield of 4.97% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 12.09% year-on-year to RMB 17.602 billion, with a net profit decrease of 40.81% to RMB 1.074 billion, primarily due to a larger-than-expected decline in investment income from joint ventures [1][3]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's controllable and joint venture thermal power net profit for 2024 is estimated at approximately RMB 6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45%, driven by a 94% increase in net profit from controllable thermal power [2]. - The estimated net profit per kilowatt-hour for controllable thermal power in 2024 and Q1 2025 is 3.5 and 1.2 cents respectively, with a year-on-year increase of 1.7% for 2024 and a decrease of 1.2% for Q1 2025 [2]. Investment Income - The investment income from joint ventures for 2024 was RMB 3.766 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, with significant contributions from nuclear power, gas turbines, and coal machines [3]. - In Q1 2025, the investment income from joint ventures dropped by 32% to RMB 841 million, mainly due to pressure on the utilization hours and electricity prices of some joint venture power plants [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s average on-grid electricity price for 2025-2026 has been revised down by 11.0% and 11.3%, leading to a reduction in net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 12.0% and 13.3% to RMB 7.105 billion and RMB 7.199 billion respectively [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 0.53, 0.54, and 0.55 respectively, with a target price based on a 13x PE ratio for 2025 [4].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 29.859 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.23% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.342 billion yuan, up 17.15% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 2.38 yuan, reflecting a 12.8% increase [1] Coal Business - In 2024, both coal production and sales increased by 3%, reaching approximately 48 million tons and 47.76 million tons respectively [2] - The unit selling price of coal rose by 9% to 213.5 yuan per ton, while the sales cost remained stable at 89.3 yuan per ton, resulting in a gross profit of 124 yuan per ton, up 16% year-on-year [2] Aluminum Industry - The aluminum segment saw a 21.6% increase in gross profit per ton due to rising aluminum prices, with production and sales also increasing by 3% to 900,000 tons [2] - The unit selling price for aluminum was 17,402 yuan per ton, a 7% increase, while the unit cost was 14,326 yuan per ton, up 0.4% [2] Power Business - The company experienced a 95% increase in sales from renewable energy, while coal power sales decreased by 1% to 5 billion kWh [3] - The unit revenue for coal power was 0.34 yuan per kWh, down 3%, and the unit gross profit decreased by 17% to 0.07 yuan per kWh [3] - For renewable energy, the unit price was 0.27 yuan per kWh, down 13%, with a gross profit of 0.12 yuan per kWh, down 29% [3] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company announced a cash dividend of 1.793 billion yuan, representing 35.67% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a dividend yield of 4.5% [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 29.9 billion, 35 billion, and 36.6 billion yuan, with net profits of 5.56 billion, 6.14 billion, and 6.54 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to expected growth in coal, aluminum, and electricity businesses [4]

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Bank reported a revenue of 33.086 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.06%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.464 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year. The bank's income structure is becoming more balanced, with net interest income and non-interest income showing different trends [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Everbright Bank achieved a net interest income of 22.538 billion yuan, down 6.84% year-on-year, but the decline was less than that of the entire year of 2024 [1]. - Non-interest income for Q1 2025 was 10.548 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.46%, driven by growth in fee income and investment net income [1]. - The bank's projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 41.7 billion, 41.8 billion, and 42.4 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.05%, 0.20%, and 1.51% respectively [1]. Group 2: Loan and Deposit Growth - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total loan principal was 4.11 trillion yuan, representing a year-to-date growth of 5.24%, which is higher than the growth rates observed in 2024 [2]. - The deposit balance at the end of Q1 2025 was 4.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.49% year-on-year, reversing the negative growth trend seen in the previous three quarters [2]. - The bank's deposit cost rate decreased by 14 basis points to 2.18% year-on-year, partially offsetting the decline in asset yield [2]. Group 3: Asset Quality and Dividends - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25% at the end of Q1 2025, indicating overall asset quality stability [3]. - The provision coverage ratio was 174.44%, down 6.15 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3]. - The cash dividend payout ratio increased to 30.14% of net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders, up from 28.41% in 2023, with a dividend yield of 4.86% as of April 28, 2025 [3].