Group 1 - The stock market has patterns and trends that can be followed for profit, requiring years of experience to understand its dynamics [2] - Investors should focus on learning and adapting strategies, as market conditions can change rapidly [4] - Smart investors collect shares at low prices, which is considered the correct approach to bottom-fishing [4] Group 2 - There are three main forms of accumulation by major players: 1. Raising prices to accumulate shares, which involves a prolonged collection phase followed by a rapid price increase [4] 2. Pressuring prices down to accumulate shares, often seen during market downturns, leading to panic selling by retail investors [7] 3. Sideways accumulation at low prices, which requires patience as it may take a long time [9] Group 3 - Investors should avoid rigid strategies, as the stock market is highly dynamic and requires constant adaptation [11] - Blind faith in technical analysis can lead to losses, as it is merely a tool with limitations [12] - Maintaining a cash position is crucial, as being fully invested can result in missed opportunities [13] Group 4 - Relying on insider information can be risky, as such information is often unreliable and outdated by the time it reaches retail investors [14] - Buying stocks that have already surged in price carries risks, as it may lead to being trapped in a losing position [15] Group 5 - Specific stop-loss strategies include: 1. A percentage-based stop-loss, typically set at 3% to 5% of total assets [17] 2. Exceeding a set volatility threshold for stop-loss, which is based on historical price movements [20] Group 6 - Common signs of major players' strategies include: 1. Accumulation of shares at low prices without significant volume increase [21] 2. Using downward price movements to accumulate shares while maintaining an upward price trend [22] 3. Selling shares while creating upward price movements to mislead other investors [24] Group 7 - The phenomenon of stocks gapping up and then declining is often due to major players selling at high prices after attracting retail investors [28] - Positive news can lead to short-term price spikes followed by declines, as major players take profits [29] - Major players often wash out retail investors during price increases to facilitate further gains [30] Group 8 - Market conditions can significantly impact major players' strategies, as unexpected downturns can force them to adjust their positions [32]

Investment Basics - Investment is defined as the act of allocating funds to an asset or project with the expectation of future returns. It can be short-term or long-term, and can involve varying levels of risk and return [3] - The relationship between risk and return is typically proportional; higher returns are associated with higher risks, while lower risks correspond to lower returns. Investors must choose investment types and strategies based on their risk tolerance and investment goals [3] - Diversification involves spreading investments across different asset types to reduce overall portfolio risk, encapsulated in the adage "don't put all your eggs in one basket" [3] Common Investment Tools - Stocks represent ownership in a company and allow investors to participate in its profits through dividends and capital appreciation. Stock investments carry higher risks but also the potential for substantial returns [4] - Bonds are debt instruments issued by governments or corporations to raise funds. Investors in bonds effectively lend money and receive principal and interest at maturity. Bonds are generally lower risk, appealing to those seeking stable returns [4] - Funds are managed investment vehicles that pool money from multiple investors to invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds, or other assets. They offer professional management and risk diversification [6] - Futures are financial derivatives that obligate the buyer to purchase, or the seller to sell, an asset at a predetermined future date and price. Futures trading is characterized by high leverage and risk, suitable for experienced investors [6] - Forex investment involves trading different currencies to profit from exchange rate fluctuations. The forex market is the largest financial market globally, requiring strong risk management and market analysis skills [6] Practical Investment Strategies - Long-term investment focuses on allocating funds to assets with strong growth potential and holding them over an extended period to benefit from compounding and mitigate short-term volatility [7] - Value investing seeks to identify undervalued companies through fundamental analysis, aiming to profit when the market recognizes the company's true value [7] - Growth investing targets companies with high growth potential, focusing on innovation and market expansion, despite the associated higher risks [7] - Technical analysis uses historical price data and trading volumes to predict future price movements, based on the belief that market prices reflect all available information [7] - Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy where investors regularly invest a fixed amount in an asset or fund, regardless of market conditions, to lower average costs over time [8] Risk Management in Investment - Setting stop-loss points helps investors limit losses by predefining a threshold for selling an investment to prevent further losses [10] - Dynamic portfolio adjustment is essential as market conditions change, allowing investors to maintain a balanced asset allocation and optimize returns [10] - Enhancing risk awareness is crucial for investors to understand the risk characteristics of their investments, make rational decisions, and avoid emotional trading [10] Conclusion - Mastering fundamental investment knowledge and strategies, along with effective risk management, can lead to stable returns and wealth growth in financial markets. Continuous learning and practice are vital for achieving investment success [11]

嘲笑技术分析的人和嘲笑价值投资的人一样狭隘，没有什么区别，都是思维僵化、认知封闭的毛病。而 同在技术分析范畴的裸K分析派和指标分析派之间又相互瞧不起，文人相轻何其怪哉，殊不知量化的收 割机已经在你头顶隆隆作响。 流行俗语往往蕴含尖刻洞见，比如有云：指标是股价走出来的结果，股价是因指标是果，不是指标推动 了股价，而是股价带着指标走。这话有没有道理？当然有道理，而且十分正确。这就有了裸K派。 工具是什么，工具是连接主客观的纽带，是人类认知世界和改造世界的纽带，人类正是因为懂得使用工 具才进化成为人类。这好像是高中时候哲学课的知识。 你用裸K分析和用其它指标分析，就好比中医用手搭脉，西医用心电图的差别。但有一点相同：多少得 用点工具或者手段。指标的作用是测量，通过测量认知现状，通过认知现状触发主观能动性，再与客体 互动，仅此而已。 又有一句俗语说：市场永远是对的。这句话有没有道理，当然有道理，深不深刻，当然深刻。但是，再 往里想想，市场是一个绝对的客观真理吗？显然，这也不能，为什么，因为市场也无非是众多主观的总 和。 所以，主客本是一体，万物皆有心，工具是纽带。 接着坐在金字塔尖的神秘资金笑了，说：什么昨日流进今日 ...

金十图示：2025年06月19日（周四）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（一小时图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 23464.3 | 23438.4 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA10 | 23531.6 | 23504.5 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA20 | 23593.8 | 23601.5 | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | MA50 | | 23841.9 | 23764.4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 卖品 | 卖用 | | MA100 | | 23944.9 | 23835.3 | | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA200 | | 23882.2 | 23811.8 | | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | 买入:0 总结:强力卖出 | 卖出:12 | | | | 技术指标 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年06月19日 北京时间11:10 | | | | 名称 | 价格 | 动作 | | RSI(14) 1N10. | 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技's stock price has shown a strong upward trend, breaking through key technical levels and indicating a bullish market sentiment [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock reached a peak of 41.4 HKD, surpassing the upper Bollinger Band at 40.4 HKD, with a latest price of 40.6 HKD [1]. - The price has broken through all major moving averages, with the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages at 38.87 HKD, 38.45 HKD, and 39.55 HKD respectively, indicating a bullish alignment [1]. - The MACD indicator maintains a buy signal, confirming the establishment of a medium-term upward trend [1]. - The current important support level is at 38.7 HKD, with a stronger support at 37.3 HKD; the key resistance level above is at 42.3 HKD, which if broken, could challenge 44.9 HKD [3]. - The RSI indicator is at 62, nearing the overbought zone, while the Williams indicator shows a sell signal for overbought conditions; however, the CCI indicator and Bollinger Bands still maintain buy signals, reflecting overall upward momentum [3]. Investment Instruments - For investors optimistic about 瑞声科技's future, the call option 15694 offers a leverage of 4.2 times with an exercise price of 44.88 HKD, making it suitable for cost-conscious investors [6]. - Other options include UBS call option 13898 with a leverage of 3.2 times and an exercise price of 52.38 HKD, and Huatai call option 16584 with an exercise price of 52.43 HKD, which is 29.13% out of the money [6]. - For bearish investors, Citibank put option 14757 provides a leverage of 1.3 times with an exercise price of 40.88 HKD, also featuring a low premium characteristic [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level in three years due to US tariff policies and economic uncertainty, and it is expected to remain weak over the next 12 months [1] - As of mid-June, the dollar index has dropped nearly 10% this year, with the CIO noting that harsher-than-expected US tariff measures have undermined confidence in the "American exceptionalism" narrative [1] - The report indicates that despite previous support from expansionary fiscal policies and tightening monetary policies, the situation is changing as US government spending is constrained and trade war uncertainties persist [1] Group 2 - The report suggests that investors should adopt a strategy of "reduce, hedge, and diversify" to manage dollar risk exposure, predicting that the euro to dollar exchange rate could rise to 1.20 by June 2026 [1] - Technical analysis shows signs of stabilization for the dollar, with a potential bullish divergence indicated by the relative strength index (RSI) despite the dollar hitting new lows [2] - Market sentiment is extremely pessimistic, with current bearish sentiment towards the dollar reaching extreme levels not seen in the past 20 years, which could signal a market correction [2] Group 3 - The historical high correlation between the dollar and US Treasury yields has weakened, with the correlation coefficient dropping from 0.86 to 0.42 this year, suggesting potential for a dollar rebound if the relationship normalizes [2] - The dollar index is close to breaking a key downward trend line, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a significant improvement in the technical outlook [2] - If the dollar falls below the June 12 closing price of 97.92 and the RSI weakens again, expectations for a dollar rebound may be dashed, indicating a critical moment for market direction [3]

郑氏点银：黄金今日欧盘连阴走弱，今晚看探底拉升； 今日时间问题，简单粗暴讲一下今晚大概走势预判： 第三，原油方面：日线级别趋势已转多， 今天和黄金一样，也是早间高开之后，一路压制走弱，那么暂时也是维持高位区间一定整理，修正完毕之后再发 力上攻； 欧盘弱，美盘也存在二次打压概率，下方支撑关注70.7一线，看能否形成小双底，触及企稳看涨，阻力73-73.1，重新突破则看日内高点； 以上是笔者技术剖析的几个观点，作为参考，也是十二年以来，每日12小时以上盯盘、复盘所积累的技术经验总结，每天都会公开技术点，配合文字和视频 解读，想学习的朋友，结合实际走势可以去对比参考；认可思路的可以参考操作，带好防守，风控第一；不认可的就当飘过就行；感谢大家的支持和关注； 【文章观点仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎，理性操作，严格设损，控制仓位，风控第一，盈亏自负】 第一，黄金方面而言：对于日，周，月周期趋势一直始终不变，维持多头不变；并且周线开始连阳，大概率要向上进行逐步突破； 日线暂时维持以3245- 3293作为底部两低点支撑，3382-3452作为两顶部高点阻力形成的上行通道，上轨目前压制存在，虽然周末以伊依旧打的激烈，但市 ...

| 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 24060.4 | 24042.9 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA10 | 24110.7 | 24060.5 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA20 | 24040.6 | 24039.1 | | | 菜品 | 卖出 | | MA50 | 23986.6 | 24024.5 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | MA100 | 24077.2 | 23965.1 | | | 菜品 | 买入 | | MA200 | 23766.7 | 23847.9 | | | 买入 | 买入 | | 买入:3 菜田:d 总结:卖出 | | | 金十图示：2025年06月17日（周二）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（一小时图） | 毎小时 | | 5小时 | 每日 | 每周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总结 | 强力卖出 | | | | | 移动平均线 | | 卖出 | 买入3 | 卖出9 | | 技术指标 | | 强力卖出 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always wrong, regardless of the situation [1] - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with a notable drop of $70 in a single day, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors regarding geopolitical tensions [1][3] - The oil market is also undergoing substantial fluctuations, with recent price movements comparable to the volatility seen over the past two months, driven by geopolitical factors [4][6] Group 2 - For gold trading, key support levels are identified at the 3360-55 range, with potential resistance at 3405-07, indicating a strategic approach to trading based on these levels [3] - In the silver market, a bearish outlook is suggested, with primary resistance levels at 37 and 37.5, while support is noted at 35.5 and 34.8-6 [3] - The crude oil market is advised to consider buying on dips around the 70 level, with significant resistance at 72.5-73 and 75, indicating a tactical approach to trading in response to market conditions [6]

Core Viewpoint - The newly launched aluminum alloy futures have attracted significant market attention, with initial trading showing a strong upward trend due to lower listing prices compared to spot prices [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the first trading day, aluminum alloy futures saw an overall increase, with the main contract 2511 rising by over 4% [2]. - The weighted average price of aluminum alloy increased by 4.41%, reaching 19,175 [2]. - The main continuous contract rose by 4.49%, with a latest price of 6,161 [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Due to the lack of historical data for the newly listed aluminum alloy futures, traders are advised to focus on smaller time frame charts to capture sufficient volatility details for decision-making [4]. Group 3: Fundamental Analysis - Approximately 70% of the aluminum alloy futures correspond to the transportation sector, including automotive, motorcycle, and electric vehicle industries, while the remaining demand comes from power electronics, home appliances, and machinery manufacturing [7]. - Despite being in a consumption off-season with low purchasing enthusiasm from downstream processing enterprises, the upcoming 618 mid-year consumption event and stable order volumes from automotive profile manufacturers may provide short-term support for aluminum alloy prices [7]. - However, there are concerns about potential oversupply due to relatively low technical barriers in aluminum alloy production, which could lead to high inventory pressure and selling hedging pressure if terminal consumption weakens [9].