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比亚迪(002594):系列点评二十七:出口驱动盈利,智驾平权加速
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 04:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 370.83 CNY per share [5]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 170.36 billion CNY in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.15 billion CNY, up 100.3% year-on-year but down 39.1% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market presence, with plans to establish factories in Brazil, Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia, which is expected to boost profitability [3]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 1,014.12 billion CNY, 1,237.23 billion CNY, and 1,477.25 billion CNY respectively, with net profits of 58.12 billion CNY, 67.09 billion CNY, and 74.17 billion CNY [4]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company sold 1.001 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, with an average selling price (ASP) of 133,400 CNY, which is a slight decrease compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for Q1 2025 was 20.1%, with the automotive and battery gross margin at 23.9%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.8 percentage points [2]. - The report indicates that the increase in net profit is primarily due to the higher proportion of export sales and enhanced economies of scale [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to accelerate its intelligent driving initiatives, leveraging its data advantages to promote widespread adoption of smart driving technologies [3]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) to be 19.12 CNY, 22.08 CNY, and 24.41 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19, 17, and 15 [4].
车展对话|五菱思行:在配置功能介绍上做“减法”
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 03:43
Core Viewpoint - SAIC-GM-Wuling is shifting its strategy to capture the mid-size car market with the launch of the Wuling Xingguang, which features L2-level assisted driving technology and starts at a pre-sale price of 109,800 yuan [1][9]. Group 1: Product Strategy - The company aims to target a younger demographic with a more youthful design and practical technology configurations in its products [2][5]. - Wuling's product line is focused on moving "upward" in the market, with plans to introduce the Xingguang S SUV and potentially other models like MPVs [4][9]. - The company intends to simplify the introduction of product features, focusing on essential functionalities to meet real user needs [6][9]. Group 2: Market Positioning - The mid-size car market is highly competitive, with prices for joint venture models like Passat and Camry dropping below 150,000 yuan [5]. - Wuling plans to leverage the spaciousness of its vehicles and refresh the interior design to compete effectively in this segment [5]. Group 3: Technology and Cost Management - The Xingguang is Wuling's first model equipped with advanced assisted driving capabilities, including highway navigation and full-scene parking functions [9]. - The company aims to reduce costs through scale and pragmatic technology, ensuring that users receive a good experience at a lower price point [9]. Group 4: Channel Strategy - Wuling is undergoing a channel transformation by separating commercial and passenger vehicle sales, allowing dealerships to focus on specific market segments [10].
比亚迪:2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩表现亮眼,三电核心技术再突破-20250427
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-27 01:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD [1] Core Views - The Q1 performance of BYD is impressive, with revenue reaching 170.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36% [7] - The company expects a sales growth of 25-30% for the year, with a target of 5.5 million vehicles sold [7] - BYD's net profit for Q1 is reported at 9.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 100% [7] - The report anticipates a target price of 507 yuan for 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 28x [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for BYD are as follows: - 2023: 602.3 billion yuan - 2024: 777.1 billion yuan - 2025: 983.3 billion yuan - 2026: 1,157.1 billion yuan - 2027: 1,316.1 billion yuan - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 30.0 billion yuan - 2024: 40.3 billion yuan - 2025: 55.0 billion yuan - 2026: 68.3 billion yuan - 2027: 82.1 billion yuan - The report indicates an EPS of 9.88 yuan for 2023, increasing to 27.02 yuan by 2027 [1][8] Sales and Market Share - BYD's Q1 sales reached 1 million vehicles, with a domestic market share of 35% [7] - The export volume for Q1 was 210,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 110% [7] - The report highlights that high-end vehicle sales reached 53,000 units in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 37% [7] Cost and Profitability - The average selling price per vehicle in Q1 was 151,000 yuan, with a gross profit of 32,000 yuan per vehicle [7] - The report projects that single vehicle profit will maintain above 9,000 yuan despite an expected increase in costs due to the introduction of smart driving models [7] Capital Expenditure and Inventory - BYD's capital expenditure in Q1 was 37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42% [7] - The inventory at the end of Q1 was reported at 154.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 33% increase from the beginning of the year [7]
【招商电子】蓝特光学:24年及25Q1业绩高增长,光学创新、智驾及AR驱动成长
招商电子· 2025-04-26 14:38
24 年业绩高增长主要系光学棱镜及玻璃晶圆业务带动,微棱镜需求大幅提升 。 2024 年公司实现营业收入 10.34 亿元,同比 +37.08% ;归母净利润 2.21 亿元,同比 +22.58% ;扣非归母净利润 2.15 亿元,同比 +33.21% 。分业务来看:① 光学棱镜业务: 2024 年收入 6.54 亿元,同比 +59.01% 。主要系 24Q3 发 布的 iPhone16 将潜望式模组由此前一款 Pro Max 机型下沉为两款 Pro+Pro Max 机型,应用于摄像头模 组的微棱镜需求进一步扩张。② 玻璃晶圆业务: 2024 年收入 0.73 亿元,同比 +38.91% ,应用于 AR/VR 、汽车 LOGO 投影、半导体等领域的显示玻璃晶圆、衬底玻璃晶圆、深加工玻璃晶圆业务实现了稳 健发展。③ 玻璃非球面透镜业务: 2024 年收入 2.51 亿元,同比 +4.08% 。面对激烈的行业竞争,公司加 强产能储备的同时采取积极的"降本增效"措施,营收规模提升的同时实现了成本规模的收窄。 24 年毛利率 39.85% ,同比 -2.22pcts ,净利率 21.4% ,同比 -2.57pcts ...
比亚迪: 车王还是车王!但能否再继续狂奔?
海豚投研· 2025-04-26 11:18
比亚迪股份于北京时间 4 月 25 日晚,港股盘后发布了 2025 年第一季度业绩。要点如下: 1. 再次交出惊艳的汽车毛利率答卷,比亚迪强降本能力毋庸置疑: 在一季度卖车周期底部,比亚迪仍然实现了非常不错的卖车毛利率水平(一季度汽车毛利率 24%,超市场预期 22.3%)。 而从历史可比性的毛销差角度来看(会计调整将质保金从销售费用端拉到销售成本端,天然拉低毛利率),一季度毛销差达到了 16.4%,竟然做到了去年一季度大 超市场预期的毛利率水平,背后仍然体现的是强供应链溢价能力 + 高垂直整合能力 + 出海高毛利三重优势的释放。 2. 卖车收入端不及预期,但在清库存周期中海豚君认为问题不大: 一季度卖车收入端看似不及预期,但海豚君认为市场对比亚迪卖车收入单价预期过高,虽然一 季度由于出海放量,出海销量占比达到新高,对单价端有正向的拉动作用(可能也是市场预期本季度单价还在环比上行的核心原因),但其实海豚君了解到,比 亚迪一季度仍然在以清老款车库存为主,且降价幅度很大,而智驾版车型的实际上市时间较晚,所以这样的卖车单价是在海豚君意料之内的。 3. 单车净利端表现不错,略超预期中枢: 对于投资者同样关注的单车净利 ...
四维图新程鹏:搭建智驾需求金字塔模型,坚守安全刚需底线
四维图新CEO程鹏透露,在发布中高阶辅助驾驶新品、深化生态合作的同时,四维图新旗帜鲜明地提 出"安全刚需"技术路线。(四维图新供图) 中国青年报客户端讯(中青报·中青网记者 王志远)4月23日,四维图新以"数智共生"为主题,携全新的 舱驾产品矩阵量产解决方案亮相2025上海车展,并与高通技术公司(以下简称"高通")宣布深化合作, 发布中高阶辅助驾驶新品。 作为汽车智能化领域的核心参与者,四维图新在发布中高阶辅助驾驶新品、深化生态合作的同时,旗帜 鲜明地提出"安全刚需"技术路线,为行业破解智能驾驶安全与效率平衡难题提供了创新范式。 四维图新CEO程鹏告诉记者,以马斯洛需求层次理论为纲,四维图新产品团队搭建了从"底层安全-功能 可靠-体验舒适-效率价值-用户价值"的五层金字塔模型。该模型能够解析用户对于驾驶辅助系统相关产 品的需求,将安全的刚性约束视为最基础、也是必须坚守的安全底线。 据介绍,这两款辅助驾驶新品技术上均采用多重安全兜底的架构,在保留端到端强泛化能力的同时,规 避了黑盒模型的安全隐患,优先满足对于刚需层级的安全和体验感知诉求,并不断打磨高频场景。 "前几年各个车企的智驾方案都以无高精地图为主。一方面 ...
2024年财报解读:四维图新拿到了智驾终局的船票
Zhong Jin Zai Xian· 2025-04-26 07:01
2025年,被称为"全民智驾元年"。 这意味着,从今年开始智驾渗透开始进入加速期。与此同时,一场残酷的智驾淘汰赛也在悄然开启,智 驾能力成为车企能否"上牌桌"的关键。 在这场关于关乎技术、生态与商业化的竞争里,已经有一些公司开始崭露头角,四维图新就是其中一 家。 4月25日晚间,四维图新发布2024年年报。财报显示,公司全年营业收入35.18亿元,较2023年的31.22亿 元同比增长12.68%。考虑到去年的宏观环境,两位数的增长殊为不易。 在营收加速增长的同时,公司的经营性亏损也明显收窄。2024年,公司扣非净利润亏损较2023年收窄了 21.69%。 比财务数据更令人欣喜的是,公司在云、芯、舱、驾等业务的全面爆发。 其中,智云板块大幅增长28.96%;智芯业务实现营业收入5.66亿元,同比增长10.92%。在智驾方面, 2024年初至2025年一季度,四维图新成功斩获基础行车产品300万套及舱泊产品60万套的新增定点。 这些真金白银的数据,不仅标志着四维图新智驾业务真正实现了量产落地,也意味着其正式拿到了智驾 终局的船票。 / 01 /业务全面突破,智云业务大涨28.96% 业绩转好背后,是公司业务全面 ...
比亚迪,日挣1亿!
DT新材料· 2025-04-25 16:00
此外, 在手机部件及组装业务领域 ,比亚迪将持续加强核心技术研发及高端制造创新能力,进一步提升垂直整合优势,全方位深化大客户战略合作。 此外,AI数据中心、AI服务器等新兴业务有望快速推进,开启新的成长曲线。 国泰海通证券认为,比亚迪一季度业绩符合预期。该机构表示,公司出海战略与中高端品牌持续发力,提供了强劲的业绩增长动力。同时,公司新发布 的超级e平台、兆瓦闪充等技术,有望继续夯实纯电市场技术领先地位。 【DT新材料】 获悉,4月25日, 比亚迪 披露2025年一季报,公司实现营业收 入1703.6亿元,同比增长36.35%;归母净利润91.55亿元,同比增长 100.38%。截至报告期末, 比亚迪总资产为8405.27亿元。 今年一季度,比亚迪累计新能源汽车销量为100.08万辆,同比增长59.81%, 再创同期历史新高 。其中,公司的海外市场表现尤为亮眼。1-3月,比亚 迪的海外销量分别为66336辆、67025辆、72723辆,较2024年的月度海外销量有明显增长。 | | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 增减(% ...
【招商电子】电连技术:25Q1盈利能力短期承压,看好后续智驾平权带动车载业务高增长
招商电子· 2025-04-25 10:27
点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 事件: 公司发布 2024 年及 25Q1 业绩, 24 全年营收 46.6 亿元,同比 +49.0% ,归母净利润 6.2 亿元,同比 +74.7% 。 25Q1 公司营收 11.96 亿元,同比 +15.0%/ 环比 -9.9% ;归母净利润 1.23 亿元,同比 -23.8%/ 环比 -24.7% 。我们点评如下: 24 全年收入及净利润同比高增,汽车、软板等业务贡献业绩增量。 24 全年营收 46.6 亿元,同比 +49.0% ,归母净利润 6.2 亿元,同比 +74.7% ,扣非归母净利润 6.1 亿元,同比 +75.6% ;毛利率 33.64% ,同比 +1.26pct 。分业务看, 24 全年公司汽车连接器 / 射频连接器及线缆组件 / 电磁兼容 件 / 软板 / 其他主营业务营收分别为 14.6/10.4/9.1/5.4/7.1 亿元,同比 +77.4%/30.1%/14.8%/73.1%/ 77.4% ;毛利率 39.4%/43.2%/30.8%/12.6%/27.6% ,同比 -0.7/+0.8/+1.7/+6.5/ +3.9pct 。其中 1 ) 汽 ...
【特斯拉(TSLA.O)】1Q25业绩承压,聚焦关税变化、新车与AI指引兑现——2025年一季报业绩点评(倪昱婧)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-25 08:46
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 1Q25业绩承压 1Q25总收入同比-9.2%/环比-24.8%至193.4亿美元,总毛利率同比-1.1pcts/环比持平至16.3%,R&D费用率同比 +1.9pcts/环比+2.3pcts至7.3%,SG&A费用率同比持平/环比+1.4pcts至6.5%,Non-GAAP归母净利润同比-39.2%/ 环比-55.7%至9.3亿美元(Non-GAAP单车净利润同比-30.1%/环比-34.8%至2,774美元)。我们判断,1Q25特斯 拉业绩承压主要受累于产线升级(Model Y新老产品交替)+欧美市场品牌危机等多方因素导致的销量回落影 响。 车端销量走低拖累盈利,储能业务毛利率再创新高 汽车业务:1Q25特斯拉全球交付量同比-13. ...