来源：纪要逻辑社 Q：长存公司近期盈利表现如何？盈利大幅改善 的核心驱动因素是什么？ A：长存公司近期盈利实现显著提升，核心驱动因素是行业景气周期下产品价格的大幅上调，推 动毛利 率和净利润快速增长。具体来看，25年 Q3毛利率已达38%，Q4预估可进一步攀升至 47%，距离海外龙 头50%-60%的水平仅一步之遥。同时，严格的成本管控和上半年资本支出缩 减带来的折旧优势，也为 盈利改善提供了支撑。 尽管前三季度净利仍亏损19.6亿，但招股书预测 全年将实现20-30亿利润，其中 25年Q4单季利润 预期高达70-80亿，产品成本刚性使得所有涨价都能直接转化为利润。 Q：长存公司未来业绩增长的核心动力有哪些？ 全球存储市场格局对其有何影响？ A：长存公司未来业绩增长主要依赖两大动力： 一是加速扩产以匹配市场需求，应对全球存储供 需紧 张的格局；二是客户构成多样化，目前服务器业务收入占比已从个位数跃升20%-30%，业 务结构实现 重大转变。从行业环境来看，市场分析认为未来三年全球存储供需或将持续紧张，这 一格局将支撑存 储产品价格持续看涨，为公司业绩增长提供有力支撑。此外，AI服务器需求激 增，叠加三星、美光 ...

有色金属日报 2025-12-31 张世骄 从业资格号：F03120988 交易咨询号：Z0023261 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号：F03121027 交易咨询号：Z0023147 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 陈仪方 从业资格号：F03152004 0755-23375125 chenyf3@wkqh.cn 离岸人民币走强，贵金属和铜价明显回升，昨日伦铜收涨 3.99%至 12673 元/吨，沪铜主力合约收至 99220 元/吨。LME 铜库存减少 5100 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of timely and professional information analysis in investment decision-making, focusing on the investment value of significant events, industry chain companies, and key policy interpretations [1] Group 1: Company Insights - The company is involved in providing products for humanoid robot motor drives and perception systems, with its MOS products supplied to Tesla-related applications [1] - The company's silicon carbide products are widely used in AI server power supplies and new energy vehicles, indicating a strong position in the semiconductor power device market [1] - The company ranks among the top three in China's semiconductor power device market share and is the eighth globally, showcasing its competitive strength [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information regarding the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term sentiment of precious metals has ebbed, but the copper price still has strong support due to tight supply in the copper industry and potential downstream consumption recovery. The aluminum price has a strong support as well, with low inventory and possible consumption increase after price decline. Lead shows a supply - demand weak pattern, and low inventory and supply contraction in the recycling end drive the price up. Zinc's fundamentals are weak, and the inventory is decreasing. Tin's supply has limited upward momentum, and demand is supported by emerging fields. Nickel's short - term price bottom may have emerged. The price of lithium carbonate is affected by capital games, and there is an expectation of supply - demand repair. Alumina's supply - side reform needs actual production cuts. Stainless steel may rise if the nickel ore supply quota tightens. Cast aluminum alloy prices are expected to be strongly volatile [2][5][8][11][13][15][19][22][25][28]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Copper - **Market Information**: The London copper rose 0.45% to $12,187 per ton, and the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 96,060 yuan per ton. LME copper inventory decreased by 2,450 tons, and domestic electrolytic copper social inventory increased by 21,000 tons [1]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply of copper mines is tight, and the copper price has strong support. If the price continues to adjust, downstream consumption may improve. The reference range for the Shanghai copper main contract is 95,500 - 99,000 yuan per ton, and for the London copper 3M is $12,000 - 12,500 per ton [2]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: The London aluminum fell 0.2% to $2,950 per ton, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 22,320 yuan per ton. The inventory of domestic aluminum ingots and aluminum rods increased [4]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The downstream demand is in the off - season, but the low inventory and possible consumption recovery support the price. The reference range for the Shanghai aluminum main contract is 22,200 - 22,600 yuan per ton, and for the London aluminum 3M is $2,920 - 2,980 per ton [5]. Lead - **Market Information**: The Shanghai lead index fell 0.40% to 17,477 yuan per ton, and the domestic social inventory increased slightly [7]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The primary lead supply is loose, the secondary lead supply is contracting, and the lead market is in a supply - demand weak pattern. Low inventory and supply contraction in the recycling end drive the price up, but the exit of long - positions may impact the price [8]. Zinc - **Market Information**: The Shanghai zinc index rose 0.34% to 23,271 yuan per ton, and the zinc ingot social inventory decreased by 6,000 tons [10]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The zinc ore inventory is decreasing, and the fundamentals are weak. The exit of long - positions may impact the price [11]. Tin - **Market Information**: On December 29, 2025, the Shanghai tin main contract fell 1.17% to 334,590 yuan per ton. The supply has limited upward momentum, and demand is supported by emerging fields [12]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The short - term tin price is expected to fluctuate with market sentiment. The reference range for the domestic main contract is 300,000 - 350,000 yuan per ton, and for the overseas London tin is $39,000 - 43,000 per ton [13]. Nickel - **Market Information**: The Shanghai nickel main contract fell 0.81% to 126,080 yuan per ton. The nickel ore price was stable, and the nickel - iron price rose [14]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The short - term price bottom of nickel may have emerged. The reference range for the Shanghai nickel price is 110,000 - 135,000 yuan per ton, and for the London nickel 3M is $13,000 - 16,000 per ton [15]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The MMLC spot index of lithium carbonate fell 2.03%, and the LC2605 contract fell 8.96% [18]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The price of lithium carbonate is affected by capital games, and there is an expectation of supply - demand repair. The reference range for the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2605 contract is 112,100 - 122,500 yuan per ton [19]. Alumina - **Market Information**: On December 29, 2025, the alumina index fell 1.04% to 2,720 yuan per ton. The inventory of futures decreased [21]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The ore price is expected to decline, and the alumina smelting capacity is in surplus. Short - term, it is recommended to wait and see. The reference range for the domestic main contract AO2602 is 2,400 - 2,900 yuan per ton [22]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless steel main contract fell 0.35% to 12,910 yuan per ton. The social inventory decreased [24]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Policy expectations drive up raw material prices and inventory reduction. It is recommended to buy at low prices and pay attention to policy implementation [25]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The main AD2602 contract of cast aluminum alloy rose 0.94% to 21,590 yuan per ton, and the inventory decreased [27]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The price of cast aluminum alloy is expected to be strongly volatile due to cost support and supply disturbances [28].

Core Insights - The global power semiconductor market is expected to grow due to the increasing demand from AI servers and electric vehicles, driven by sustainable energy initiatives [2] - A competitive landscape is emerging with G2 dynamics, as European, American, Japanese, and Taiwanese semiconductor suppliers form alliances to counter the rise of Chinese firms [2] Group 1: Market Trends - By June 2025, China's power substrate capacity is projected to exceed 2.42 million pieces, marking a significant increase from a mere 6% market share in silicon carbide (SiC) substrates in 2021 to nearly 40% by 2025 [3] - The GaN power component market is experiencing similar trends, with Chinese firm Innoscience leading with a projected 32% market share in 2025, followed by Power Integrations at 17% and Infineon at 16% [4] Group 2: Competitive Dynamics - The price competition initiated by Chinese firms in the GaN market is exerting pressure on non-Chinese suppliers, with Innoscience's pricing strategy significantly impacting the market [4] - The ongoing U.S.-China tech tensions have led to a tightening of the power semiconductor supply chain in China, indicating that Chinese firms are gaining both technological and production capabilities [5]

Core Viewpoint - International Composite Materials (301526.SZ) is advancing its transformation towards high-end manufacturing by agreeing to construct a project for producing 36 million meters of high-frequency, high-speed electronic fiber cloth annually [1] Group 1 - The company aims to strategically position itself in emerging fields such as AI servers and optical modules [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The Q fabric (Q 布) industry is experiencing a significant boost due to the deployment of A-grade chips, which is enhancing the overall PCB (Printed Circuit Board) market sentiment. The market is particularly focused on the store segment, driven by projected demand for AI PCBs and the value share of CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) in 2026 [2][4]. Key Insights and Arguments - The announcement of NVIDIA's CPS (Cloud Processing Service) solution has clarified the market's understanding of the supply-demand relationship, with approximately 1,000 million meters of demand already met for 70% of PCB capacity compensation [2][4]. - In 2026, the demand is expected to increase significantly, with Robin's mass production of the Switch version anticipated to add around 4 million meters of demand. If Google's TPU V8 series adopts the proposed repair solution, an additional 8 million meters of demand could arise, potentially doubling total demand from 1,000 million meters to over 2,000 million meters [2][5][6]. - Looking ahead to 2027, if NVIDIA's ROPIN ULTRA series fully adopts the proposed solutions and Google's TPU V8 and V9 chips reach a production target of 5 million units, total demand could exceed 80 million meters [6]. Production Challenges - The production of Q fabric faces three main challenges: 1. High purity and low impurity requirements for quartz raw material. 2. Complex quartz rod drawing processes that require uniformity control and are prone to breakage. 3. Strict weaving processes that involve maintaining smoothness and applying lubricants [7]. - Currently, only two suppliers, Feiliwa and Asahi Kasei, can produce quartz fibers with a dielectric constant DF value below 5/10,000 in small batches. Feiliwa has a mature drawing process capable of supporting 300,000 meters of customer production monthly, with plans to expand to a capacity of 1,200 million meters by 2026 [7]. Company-Specific Developments - New Qimei Beauty Company is optimistic about its prospects in the PCB equipment sector, with new products like CO2 laser drills and advanced packaging expected to ramp up production next year. The company is positioned to benefit from the rising PCB market, potentially achieving a second growth curve and enhancing its valuation [3][8]. - Other domestic companies, such as Xi'an Laide Optoelectronics, are also making strides in the Q fabric supply chain, including upstream quartz mining and downstream weaving processes. Shanghai Telai Crystal is expected to reach a production capacity of 1 million meters per month by 2027, contingent on successful capacity construction and validation [9].

Core Viewpoint - Qiangda Circuit (301628.SZ) has announced a significant financing plan to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 550 million yuan, aimed at expanding its production capacity in the high-end PCB sector, particularly for AI servers, optical modules, and intelligent driving applications [1][2]. Group 1: Financing and Investment - The 550 million yuan raised will be specifically allocated to the Nantong Qiangda Circuit Technology Co., Ltd. project, which aims to produce 960,000 square meters of multilayer boards and HDI boards annually [1][2]. - The total investment for the Nantong expansion project is 1 billion yuan, focusing on advanced automation and intelligent production lines to create a modern PCB factory [2]. Group 2: Market and Industry Outlook - The global multilayer board market is projected to grow from 28 billion USD in 2024 to 34.9 billion USD by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5% [3]. - The global HDI board market is expected to increase from 12.5 billion USD in 2024 to 17 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of 6.4% [3]. - The PCB market for AI and high-performance computing is anticipated to expand from 6 billion USD in 2024 to 15 billion USD by 2029 [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Qiangda Circuit reported revenues of 706 million yuan and a net profit of 96.32 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.74% and 20.91%, respectively [1][6]. - The company's total assets reached 1.529 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, marking a historical high and a year-on-year increase of 79.25% [8]. Group 4: Research and Development - Qiangda Circuit has invested a total of 128 million yuan in R&D over the past three years, emphasizing the importance of technological innovation in maintaining competitive advantage [7]. - The company has been actively pursuing research in various fields, including automotive radar, drones, AI servers, and 5G communication, resulting in multiple patent applications [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved a significant milestone with the mass production of LCP film products, marking a breakthrough in the consumer electronics sector and providing a new growth avenue for the company [2][3]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Impact - The LCP film products have undergone years of technical development and market validation, leading to large-scale production and supply to major clients in the consumer electronics industry [2]. - The successful certification by leading clients in the consumer electronics sector signifies a shift in the market, breaking the long-standing foreign monopoly in high-end LCP film applications [2]. - The mass production of LCP film products is expected to meet the rising market demand as new high-end mobile devices are launched, indicating a potential for significant growth [2]. Group 2: Future Prospects and Strategic Focus - The company plans to increase R&D investment in LCP resins, films, and fibers to enhance product performance, expand application scenarios, and increase market share [3]. - The focus on achieving technological breakthroughs in key areas such as brain-computer interfaces, AI servers, embodied intelligence, and satellite communications is aimed at driving future revenue growth [3]. - The advancements in LCP film technology are anticipated to have a profound impact on various terminal fields under 6G/millimeter-wave high-frequency communication networks [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully achieved large-scale production of LCP film products, marking a significant milestone in the consumer electronics sector and breaking the long-standing foreign monopoly in high-end LCP film applications [1][2]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Impact - The LCP film products have undergone extensive development and validation, demonstrating superior properties such as low dielectric constant, high heat resistance, and low water absorption, which have been validated by leading clients in the consumer electronics industry [1]. - The company has commenced mass supply of LCP film products for a new generation of consumer electronic mobile terminal soft board antennas, coinciding with the launch of a high-end model by a major client [2]. - This large-scale shipment signifies the first application of LCP film products in mobile terminal devices, contributing significantly to the domestic consumer electronics supply chain's self-sufficiency [2]. Group 2: Future Opportunities and Strategic Focus - The successful application of LCP film products is expected to create new growth points and market opportunities for the company, particularly in the context of the upcoming 6G/millimeter-wave high-frequency communication networks [2]. - The company plans to leverage this milestone to increase R&D investment in LCP resins, films, and fibers, aiming to optimize product performance and expand application areas to enhance market share [2]. - Future technological breakthroughs in critical fields such as brain-computer interfaces, AI servers, embodied intelligence, and satellite communications are anticipated to drive significant performance growth for the company [2].