12月4日金价速报，国内品牌金店金价整体持稳，部分金店金价有走低迹象。今日的金店最高价暂报 1328元/克，最低价仍是上海中国黄金的1232元/克。今日金店金价高低价差稍有缩小，报96元/克。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价： 今日金价 单位 变动幅度 涨跌 老庙黄金价格 1325 元/克 2 跌 六福黄金价格 1326 元/克 元/克 0 0 平 周大福黄金价格 1328 元/克 0 平 周六福黄金价格 1289 平 金至尊黄金价格 今日金店黄金价格一览（2025年12月4日） 金店报价 1326 元/克 0 平 老凤祥黄金价格 1325 元/克 2 跌 潮宏基黄金价格 1328 元/克 0 平 周生生黄金价格 1327 元/克 6 跌 菜百黄金价格 1290 元/克 0 平 上海中国黄金价格 1232 元/克 0 平 0 平 今日金店黄金价格有探跌趋势，铂金价格反弹上涨，拿周大福黄金来说，今日铂金饰品价格上涨8元/ 克，报671元/克。如需了解其他品牌铂金价格，欢迎留言，我们将及时汇总更新。 另外，今日黄金回收价格下跌5.9元/克。不同品牌回收价差较大，以下为部分金店回收参考价： 今日金价 单位 黄金 周大生 ...

Ernest HoffmanErnest Hoffman is a Crypto and Market Reporter for Kitco News. He has over 15 years of experience as a writer, editor, broadcaster and producer for media, educational and cultural organizations. Ernest began working in market news in 2007, establishing the broadcast division of CEP News in Montreal, Canada, where he developed the fastest web-based audio news service in the world and produced economic news videos in partnership with MSN and the TMX. He has a Bachelor's degree Specialization in ...

. 贵金属有色金属产业日报 2025/12/03 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z0002220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和建议。 在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形下做出修 改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，交易者（您）并不能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交 易者（您）依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可，任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用 或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的，需在允许的范围内使用，并注明出处为"东亚期货"，且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 本 ...

Core Insights - Central banks worldwide showed strong demand for gold in October, with net purchases reaching 53 tons, a 36% month-over-month increase, marking the largest monthly net demand of the year [1] - The total net gold purchases by central banks for the year reached 254 tons as of October, indicating a slowdown compared to the previous three years, likely due to rising gold prices [3][6] - Emerging market central banks continue to purchase gold strategically, highlighting its importance amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties [3] Group 1: Central Bank Purchases - The National Bank of Poland was the most active buyer in October, purchasing 16 tons of gold, raising its reserves to 531 tons, which constitutes 26% of its total reserves [6][8] - The Central Bank of Brazil also increased its gold holdings by 16 tons in October, following a 15-ton purchase in September, bringing its total reserves to 161 tons, or 6% of total reserves [6] - Other notable purchases in October included the Central Bank of Uzbekistan (9 tons), Bank Indonesia (4 tons), and the Central Bank of Turkey (3 tons) [7] Group 2: Long-term Trends and Goals - The National Bank of Serbia aims to increase its gold reserves to at least 100 tons by 2030, nearly doubling its current reserves of 52 tons, emphasizing gold's strategic asset status [10] - Madagascar and South Korea expressed intentions to increase their gold reserves, although no specific timelines were provided [10] - A WGC survey indicated that 95% of respondents expect an increase in gold reserves among central banks over the next year [10]

Core Viewpoint - The long-term strategic value of gold is highlighted, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increasing demand for safe-haven assets due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [1][2]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Trends - The market anticipates an 80% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, up from 30%, suggesting a bullish outlook for gold [1]. - Geopolitical factors, including U.S. debt expansion and trade tensions, are enhancing the demand for gold as a strategic asset [1]. - Recent price movements in precious metals indicate a strong recovery after short-term profit-taking, reflecting underlying strength and interest in these assets [4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis and Risks - Investors are cautioned about potential technical corrections in precious metals due to crowded long positions and the nearing of fully priced rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. - Silver and platinum are noted to have greater price elasticity compared to gold, indicating that any market corrections could be more pronounced in these metals [2]. - The current market dynamics suggest that while there is strong demand for precious metals, caution is warranted to avoid irrational investment risks [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Central bank gold purchases and increasing investment demand are expected to support higher price levels for precious metals in the medium to long term [2]. - The potential for a peaceful resolution in the Russia-Ukraine conflict could impact gold prices, with any escalation likely to drive prices higher [3]. - The technical and fundamental backdrop for silver appears increasingly constructive, suggesting a potential for continued outperformance in the precious metals market [4].

昨日黄金又是过山车的走势，高位震荡回踩向下，同时保持高位抗跌走势。晚间最低回落4163，不过尾盘又强势收回失地。黄金如果继续保持这样的走势， 那么不排除后续日K会震荡上升，盘面重新回到多头主导。 黄金虽短期面临获利回吐压力，但美联储降息预期、央行强劲购金、美债收益率回落、美元走弱以及地缘政治不确定性等多重因素合力推动向上突破。临近 年末，展望未来，5000美元目标可能并非遥不可及。大家多多关注美联储和关键数据的表现。 早盘反弹继续关注4245和4265附近阻力，接近不破轻仓空。回测先关注4183附近，进一步下破关注4163附近支撑。目前来看多空都有机会，反复性强，短线 处于高位反复迂回洗盘，小周期可能伴随反复的冲高回落。积存金关注945-940。日内操作有两个难点：一是支撑快速刺破容易被扫损，二是回踩后持续抗 跌拉升难以形成趋势性回落。保持好自己的节奏，最近不去追单，注意下操作手法 【汇金趋势掌乾坤，每日思路见真章】 【操作思路】 反弹4245轻仓试空，突破关注4265附近压制 回落4183不破多，破位关注4163支撑 积存金关注945-940 更多实时关注李槿后续 投资有风险，入行需谨慎 昨日超神回落多拿下 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the medium - to long - term, central bank gold purchases and the growth prospects of investment demand will boost the price of precious metals. In the short - term, low inventory and potential short - term demand release increase the upward price elasticity. Platinum and palladium prices mainly follow gold and silver [3]. - The arrival of domestic electrolytic copper is scarce, and downstream restocking at low prices has led to a decline in inventory, keeping the futures market strong. However, new downstream orders are growing weakly, and the market will maintain a high - level shock consolidation after the breakthrough [15]. - The Shanghai Aluminum futures are oscillating strongly due to improved macro - sentiment and the impetus from copper and silver. Alumina is in an oversupply situation. Cast aluminum alloy has strong follow - up to Shanghai Aluminum and has strong downside support [34][35]. - Macro - sentiment has improved, and the probability of interest - rate cuts is considered high. On the fundamental side, smelters are competing fiercely for ore, leading to a significant decline in TC. Supply is shrinking, and demand is entering the off - season. The market is in a stalemate and will oscillate strongly in the short - term [65]. - Nickel iron prices have been declining recently, and some iron plants are inclined to cut production. Stainless steel is running strongly, but its upward momentum is expected to be limited [80]. - In the short - term, the supply of tin has raw - material problems and frequent disturbances, so Shanghai Tin will maintain a high - level shock [96]. - In the context of Ningde's resumption of production, the supply - demand game in the lithium carbonate market will intensify, and price fluctuations are expected to widen. There is a short - term pressure at the 100,000 yuan/ton mark, and prices may experience a phased correction [109]. - Industrial silicon is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and its fundamentals are difficult to improve in the short - term. In the long - term, the downward price space is limited. The short - term trading of the polysilicon market focuses on the game between warehouse receipts and open interest, and price fluctuations are expected to increase [121]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Precious Metals - **Price Forecast**: London Silver's target has been raised to 65 after breaking through 55, with the first resistance at 60. London Gold has resistance at 4250 and strong resistance at 4400, with support at 4000 [3]. - **Price Index**: SHFE gold and silver futures prices, COMEX gold prices and gold - silver ratios, and the relationship between gold prices, the US dollar index, and US Treasury real interest rates are presented [4][8][9]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and COMEX gold and silver inventories are shown [14]. Copper - **Market Situation**: The futures market is strong due to low inventory, but new downstream orders are growing weakly. The market will maintain a high - level shock [15]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, import profits and losses, and refined - scrap price differences are provided [15][22][26][29]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and LME copper inventories are presented [30][31]. Aluminum - **Market Situation**: Shanghai Aluminum is oscillating strongly due to macro - factors and the impetus from other metals. Alumina is in an oversupply situation [34]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, price differences between different contracts, and import profits and losses are provided [36][43][50][56]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and LME aluminum and alumina inventories are presented [58]. Zinc - **Market Situation**: Macro - sentiment has improved, but the fundamental side is in a stalemate. The market will oscillate strongly in the short - term [65]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, price differences between different contracts, and LME zinc's 0 - 3m and 3 - 15m spreads are provided [66][71]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and LME zinc inventories are presented [74][76]. Nickel - **Market Situation**: Nickel iron prices are declining, and some iron plants are inclined to cut production. Stainless steel is running strongly, but its upward momentum is limited [80]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, trading volume, open interest, and basis are provided [81]. - **Related Data**: Nickel ore prices, inventory, and downstream profit margins are presented [87][88][90]. Tin - **Market Situation**: The supply of tin has raw - material problems and frequent disturbances, so it will maintain a high - level shock [96]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, import profits and losses, and processing fees are provided [97][102][107]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and LME tin inventories are presented [104]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Situation**: The supply - demand game will intensify, and price fluctuations are expected to widen. There is short - term pressure at the 100,000 yuan/ton mark, and prices may correct [109]. - **Price Data**: Futures and spot prices, price differences between different contracts, and price differences between different grades are provided [110][113]. - **Inventory**: Exchange and social inventories are presented [119]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Situation**: Industrial silicon is in a weak supply - demand situation, and its fundamentals are difficult to improve in the short - term. The polysilicon market's short - term trading focuses on the game between warehouse receipts and open interest [121]. - **Price Data**: Industrial silicon and polysilicon spot and futures prices are provided [121][131]. - **Related Data**: Production, inventory, and cost data of industrial silicon and polysilicon are presented [145][152][154].

Core Viewpoint - Recent factors such as supply tightness, strong demand for silver ETFs, and rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have led to silver outperforming gold in price increases [1] Group 1: Silver Market Performance - Spot silver has recently reached a historical high, surpassing $58 per ounce, with a peak at $58.84 per ounce, and the Shanghai silver night market also saw a rise of over 5% [1] - As of December 2, spot silver experienced a sudden drop of over 2%, trading around $56.777 per ounce, following a year-to-date increase that exceeded 100%, significantly higher than gold's 60% increase [1] Group 2: Gold Market Performance - Concurrently, spot gold has shown volatility, with a decrease of 0.5%, trading around $4210 per ounce [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - From a medium to long-term perspective, central bank gold purchases and increasing investment demand (due to monetary easing prospects, phase-based risk aversion trades, and defensive allocations towards AI stocks) are expected to support higher precious metal prices [1] - In the short term, low inventory levels and the potential for increased demand may provide upward price elasticity, with silver having already set new highs [1] - The target price for silver has been raised to $65 per ounce after breaking the $55 per ounce mark, with the first resistance at the $60 per ounce level; for gold, resistance is at $4250 per ounce and strong resistance at $4400 per ounce, with support at $4000 per ounce [1]

Group 1 - The recent rise in gold prices is primarily driven by increased expectations of interest rate cuts in December, with a long-term view of reshaping the monetary credit landscape and an anticipated increase in the U.S. fiscal deficit following the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act [1] - China's current gold reserves are relatively low, and the central bank's gold purchases are expected to be a long-term trend, indicating that the pricing factors for gold are currently prioritizing safety over yield, which may boost bullish sentiment in the gold market [1] - After April 2024, the People's Bank of China is expected to halt gold purchases, but will resume buying for 12 consecutive months from November 2024 to October 2025, suggesting a potential upward trend in gold prices [1] Group 2 - The valuation of the precious metals sector is currently at the lower end of its historical range, indicating potential for continued recovery and growth [1] - Investors are advised to consider participating in the market during subsequent pullbacks and to gradually accumulate positions, with a focus on direct investment in physical gold and tax-exempt gold ETFs [1] - Specific ETFs mentioned include the gold fund ETF (518800) and the gold stock ETF (517400), which covers the entire gold industry chain [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a bullish outlook on precious metals, particularly gold and silver, driven by recent economic data and signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding potential interest rate cuts in December [1] - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities indicates that the expectation for a rate cut has increased significantly, rising from below 40% to over 80%, which supports the rebound in precious metal prices [1] - The silver market is experiencing accelerated inventory depletion, which may lead to a short squeeze scenario [1] Group 2 - The overall market for non-ferrous metals is supported by multiple factors, including rigid supply, expanding new demand, and improved liquidity, with the CSI Shenwan Non-ferrous Metals Index valuation at a near 10-year low, indicating solid long-term investment value [1] - The recommendation to focus on the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400.SH) is based on the favorable market conditions and the anticipated upward movement of gold and silver prices [1]