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独家专访拉米:美国实质上已退出WTO,全球化路在何方?
Core Viewpoint - The World Trade Organization (WTO) appellate body has been "inactive" for nearly six years due to the United States' unilateral and protectionist measures, which have undermined the organization's principles and obstructed the appointment of appellate body members [2][3] Group 1: WTO's Current Situation - The WTO appellate body officially ceased operations on December 11, 2019, after over 20 years of functioning [2] - Pascal Lamy, former WTO Director-General, suggests that the WTO must adapt to new realities and continue to operate even without U.S. participation [2][3] - Lamy warns that avoiding large-scale wars and environmental degradation should be prioritized in the coming years, as 90% of the global population is affected by these crises [2] Group 2: Climate Change and Trade - Lamy emphasizes the need for a friendly trade environment to protect against the harmful effects of environmental degradation while utilizing Earth's resources more effectively [3][4] - There is a lack of consensus between developed and developing countries on addressing climate change, necessitating a platform to resolve North-South tensions [3] - Existing global agreements lack enforceable regulations, leading to fragmented actions that could escalate trade frictions [3][4] Group 3: Global Trade Regulations - Some global regulations have pointed the way to resolving trade disputes, but trade protectionism remains a significant barrier [4] - Lamy notes that developed countries often adopt avoidance strategies regarding climate issues, while some developing countries resist discussions that could lead to negotiations within the WTO [4][5] - A proposed comprehensive forum on climate change and trade could facilitate discussions based on expertise and openness, rather than formal negotiations [5] Group 4: The Future of Global Trade - Lamy argues that the world must pursue open trade, environmental protection, and domestic economic development simultaneously, especially for developing countries [5][6] - The transition from "fast globalization" to "slow globalization" is underway, with international trade still growing but at a slower pace [6] - The new normal of the multilateral trade system is characterized by trade weaponization, U.S. protectionism, and the rise of preventive trade measures due to public health and environmental concerns [6][7] Group 5: China's Role in Global Trade - China's total import and export value is projected to reach 43.85 trillion yuan in 2024, a 5% increase year-on-year, with exports growing by 7.1% and imports by 2.3% [7] - As a major player in global trade, China must balance its macroeconomic rebalancing with the need to explore emerging markets and optimize trade structures [7][8] Group 6: Digitalization and Trade - Digitalization is reshaping global trade dynamics by lowering transaction costs and facilitating service trade growth [8] - However, significant differences in data governance and regulatory frameworks across countries create new barriers for service trade [8] Group 7: Reforming the WTO - The WTO faces a systemic contradiction as the U.S. participates in decision-making while having withdrawn from its constraints [9] - Lamy calls for reforms to improve the WTO's structure and efficiency to better address complex new issues [9] - A rebalancing of power between members and the secretariat is necessary to enhance decision-making efficiency within the WTO [9]
光伏破局:全面调整期的“反内卷”攻坚与价值重构丨2025·大复盘
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-12-08 07:57
Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is facing severe challenges in 2025, with significant overcapacity and price declines across the supply chain, leading to widespread losses [2][4] - The industry is transitioning from an "efficiency era" to a "value era," with a focus on quality and technological differentiation as companies target emerging overseas markets [3][25] - The "anti-involution" campaign is gaining momentum, aiming to curb unhealthy competition and stabilize prices, with various government initiatives and industry meetings addressing these issues [5][6] Group 1: Industry Challenges - By Q2 2025, nominal capacities for silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules exceeded 1200 GW, while global new installation demand is projected at only 570-630 GW, indicating severe overcapacity [2] - The price of silicon materials dropped to 35,000 CNY/ton, with significant declines in other components, leading to substantial losses for companies in the sector [4] - A total of 50+ photovoltaic companies have filed for bankruptcy or liquidation, reflecting the industry's dire financial situation [10] Group 2: Government and Industry Response - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote quality improvements in the photovoltaic sector [5][6] - Various meetings and policies have been initiated to address the "anti-involution" issue, including a focus on orderly exit of outdated capacities and establishing a warning mechanism for companies selling below cost [6][9] - The establishment of a silicon material storage mechanism is being considered to balance supply and demand, with industry leaders expressing cautious optimism about its implementation [7][9] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is expected to see a decline in new installations in 2026, influenced by policy changes and market conditions, with projections of 270-300 GW for 2025 and a potential drop in 2026 [31][32] - The average prices for silicon materials, wafers, and cells have shown signs of recovery, with increases of 31.6%, 6.8%, and 6.5% respectively by September 2025 [11] - Companies are increasingly focusing on overseas markets, with significant growth in exports to emerging markets, despite a decline in overall export value [16][20] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The industry is undergoing a technological shift from P-type to N-type solar cells, with TOPCon technology leading in market share and efficiency improvements [25][26] - Innovations such as silver-free and low-silver technologies are being pursued to reduce costs, particularly in light of rising silver prices [27] - The integration of different technologies, including TOPCon, HJT, and BC, is expected to shape the future landscape of the photovoltaic industry [25][29]
何小鹏谈汽车出海:要和国内市场同等重视,奇瑞比亚迪打了非常好的样板
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 05:43
专题:2025《中国企业家》影响力企业家年会 他还表示,汽车和飞机落地全球化极其困难,风险很高,我认为要用40年,因此我们要学习丰田、现 代,必须扎根海外一步步走,不能像互联网那样快速推进。今天奇瑞、比亚迪打了很好的样板,可以多 思考借鉴。 新浪声明:所有会议实录均为现场速记整理,未经演讲者审阅,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目 的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。 新浪声明:所有会议实录均为现场速记整理,未经演讲者审阅,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目 的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。 责任编辑:李思阳 专题:2025《中国企业家》影响力企业家年会 小鹏汽车董事长、CEO何小鹏在2025(第二十三届)影响力企业家年会谈到汽车出海时表示,全球化不 应先做好国内再做海外,要同等重视。我最近看到很多创业公司只做海外或95%做海外,这是全新的创 业和全球化逻辑。 小鹏汽车董事长、CEO何小鹏在2025(第二十三届)影响力企业家年会谈到汽车出海时表示,全球化不 应先做好国内再做海外,要同等重视。我最近看到很多创业公司只做海外或95%做海外,这是全新的创 业和全球化逻辑。 他还表示,汽车和飞机落地全球化极其 ...
任正非最新发言:中国使用美国技术和芯片有好处,中国人才到美国是好事情,华为也有可能裁员
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 16:20
中国顶尖人才都去美国了,这事儿你怎么看,任正非说,人才到美国成长是好事,这又是一个让人吃惊的观点,谷歌安卓,技术造福全球,中国也受益了, 人才获得物质回报,这很正常,中国创业环境越来越好,也能吸引人才回流,他这么说,好像也不是没道理,人才流动,对全球科技进步有好处,中国怎么 才能更有吸引力,把人才留住,人才逆差,背后原因很多,教育,科研环境,这些都需要改进,大家都在想,这到底是怎么一回事。 华为搞自主研发,是被美国逼的,他说自己也想全球化,可是没办法,只能自己搞,并不是所有企业都要搞自主研发,要鼓励中国企业用美国技术,不要浪 费资源,集中力量把核心业务做好,听到这,突然觉得,他也挺无奈的,好多事情,不是想怎么样就怎么样。 最近科技圈真热闹,任正非又说话了,这次说的大家有点懵,好像和现在流行的不太一样,国产替代喊得震天响,他说要用美国技术啊。他到底想说什么, 大家都想知道,他是不是有别的想法,背后是不是有什么深意,我们好好看看,他到底想干嘛。 现在很多人都觉得,用美国技术就是不爱国,这话说的有点绝对,任正非不这么看,他说用美国技术对中国产业发展有好处,这真是逆向思维,想当年改革 开放,不就是学习世界,融入全球市 ...
周观点 | 特朗普政府政策焦点转向机器人 关注T链主线【国联民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-12-07 15:21
Market Performance - The A-share automotive sector rose by 1.4% from December 1 to December 7, outperforming the CSI 300 index which increased by 0.5% [1] - Within the automotive sub-sectors, commercial passenger vehicles, automotive parts, motorcycles and others, automotive services, commercial freight vehicles, and passenger vehicles saw increases of 4.7%, 1.9%, 1.9%, 0.7%, 0.6%, and 0.2% respectively [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended core stocks include Geely Automobile, Xpeng Motors, BYD, Bertel, Top Group, New Spring Co., Hu Guang Co., and Chunfeng Power [2][9] - For passenger vehicles, focus on quality autonomous brands accelerating in intelligence and globalization, recommending Geely, Xpeng, BYD, Xiaomi Group, and others [5][11] - In the parts sector, recommended companies include Bertel, Horizon Robotics, and others focusing on intelligent driving and smart cockpits [5][12] Robotics Industry Insights - The Trump administration is shifting focus to accelerate the robotics industry, with plans for administrative orders and the establishment of a robotics task force [3] - Tesla's production progress and technology iterations remain a core focus, with domestic robotics manufacturers like Yushutech expected to enter the IPO stage soon [3][16] - Investment in robotics is seen as a catalyst for growth, with a focus on hardware segments showing significant marginal changes [3][16] Strategic Investments - China FAW Group completed a strategic investment of over 3.6 billion yuan in Shenzhen Zhuoyu Technology, becoming its second-largest shareholder, aimed at enhancing its competitive edge in intelligent driving [4][10] - The investment is part of a dual-track strategy focusing on core technology self-research and ecosystem co-construction [4][10] Motorcycle Market Trends - The large-displacement motorcycle market is expanding rapidly, with significant sales growth in the 500cc to 800cc segment, showing a year-on-year increase of 128.7% [22][24] - Recommended leading companies in this segment include Chunfeng Power and Longxin General [22][24] Heavy Truck Market Dynamics - The heavy truck market saw sales of approximately 93,000 units in October 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 40% [25][26] - The expansion of the vehicle replacement subsidy policy is expected to stimulate demand for new purchases [25][26] Tire Industry Outlook - The tire industry is experiencing a global expansion, with a focus on smart manufacturing capabilities and product structure optimization [27][28] - Recommended companies in the tire sector include Sailun Tire and Senki Lin [29]
美的集团董事长方洪波:丹纳赫模式,为中国企业提供一套“穿越周期的行动纲领”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 15:04
《丹纳赫模式》的价值不仅在于解构一家企业的传奇,更在于为中国企业提供一套"穿越周期的行动纲 领"。在不确定的时代,唯有倚赖战略的定力、对常识的坚持和文化的韧性,方能破浪前行。 作者:方洪波(美的集团董事长兼总裁) 02 不断延伸企业核心能力的辐射半径 01 中国企业穿越周期的行动纲领 美的集团自2004年开始学习国际先进企业的丰田生产系统(ToyotaProduction System),尝试在美的工厂推 进丰田生产系统精益改善活动,但效果一直不显著。十多年前,经高瓴资本引荐,我去美国拜访了丹纳 赫集团,对DBS(丹纳赫商业系统)有了更深入的认识。从那时起,我们开始系统地学习DBS,并聘请 了一家有DBS背景的咨询公司助力,培养精益人才。根据顾问建议,关的集团开始着手规划设计关的商 业系统(Midea Business System,MBS),设立了建立精益人才体系、打造方法论、实现工厂精益转型三 大目标。2015年底,MBS在家用空调工厂试点,2016年扩大到其他工厂,试点过程中逐步开展中高层 精益训练营,建立人才培养流程和标准,设计"改善周"模式,设定统一指标体系和精益成熟度评价标 准,效果显著。2017 ...
新加坡商人吕文扬全球化步履
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 04:56
Core Insights - The article highlights the global expansion strategy of a Singaporean entrepreneur, emphasizing the importance of technology, local foundations, and standards in promoting Chinese-made window and door products internationally [1][7] Group 1: Global Market Strategy - The company utilizes a technology-driven approach to create customized solutions for different climate zones, such as the "Storm Shield Window System" for Southeast Asia and "Desert Oasis Energy-Saving Windows" for the Middle East [3][4] - By 2025, the company's products will cover 28 countries, with overseas revenue accounting for 55% of total sales, maintaining a top-three market share in the ASEAN window and door sector [4] Group 2: Localized Operations - The company adopts a "global design + local manufacturing" model, establishing smart production bases in Indonesia and Vietnam, employing over 1,200 local workers, and achieving 80% local material procurement [4] - Collaborations with local entities, such as the Thai royal family for training programs, and the establishment of the "Northeast Africa Green Building Alliance" in Dubai, enhance local talent development and government recognition [4][5] Group 3: Standardization and Industry Influence - The company plays a significant role in shaping industry standards, contributing to ASEAN green building standards and leading the development of the "Southeast Asia Smart Window Technology Specification" [5] - Initiatives like the "Global Window Sustainability Initiative" at the Singapore International Green Building Expo have garnered responses from 32 national industry associations, positioning Singapore as a key player in global green window standards [5]
我,全球贸易中的“一头蒜”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 04:19
Core Insights - The article highlights the significance of Chinese garlic in the global market, emphasizing its role in international trade and the interconnectedness of supply chains [2][5]. Industry Overview - China produces 80% of the world's garlic, with Jinxiang accounting for two-thirds of the national trading volume, indicating its dominance in the global garlic market [2]. - The garlic industry in Jinxiang has a mature supply chain that includes planting, storage, processing, and trade, which connects local producers to global enterprises [2]. Market Dynamics - The garlic from Jinxiang is highly valued in various international markets, particularly in Indonesia, where it is essential for local cuisine, with annual imports ranging from 350,000 to 400,000 tons [2]. - The processing capabilities in foreign markets allow for the transformation of raw garlic into high-value products, increasing its market price significantly [4]. Trade Relationships - The article illustrates successful trade partnerships, such as a barter deal where a Jinxiang company exchanged garlic for Thai durian, showcasing innovative trade practices that reduce costs and enhance cooperation [4]. - The narrative emphasizes that the stability of global supply chains is crucial, as disruptions could adversely affect producers, consumers, and businesses across countries [5].
找钢集团孟龙:三大战略驱动 以AI重塑B2B交易生态
Core Insights - The conference "21st Century Outstanding Board Annual Meeting" focused on the theme "New Blueprint, New Opportunities" and discussed the development opportunities of the industrial internet during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - The company has established three core strategies: globalization, diversification, and comprehensive AI integration to promote the digital upgrade of the industrial raw materials sector [1] - The company is expanding its global footprint, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, to replicate its successful domestic platform model and capture the vast infrastructure market [1] Group 2: Business Expansion - The company is extending its business from a single steel focus to a full range of industrial materials, currently covering sectors such as electrical appliances and non-ferrous metals [1] - The company anticipates that an increasing number of industrial raw materials will be traded online, marking a shift towards a more efficient and secure trading model [1] Group 3: AI Application - The company envisions applying AI in the B2B sector, where the long transaction chains and rapid price fluctuations present significant opportunities for AI integration [2] - The company plans to utilize AI to optimize complex pre-sale and post-sale processes, aiming to enhance the efficiency of the B2B trading ecosystem significantly [2]
超1280亿,2025年11月这些GP被LP选中
母基金研究中心· 2025-12-06 08:48
母基金研究中心据公开信息统计, 2 0 2 5年11月1日至11月3 0日资讯涉及的募资动态共1 6起, 折合人民币规模合计超过1 2 8 0亿元。以下是内容提要与具体资讯。 【内容提要】 01 源码资本完成新一期双币成长基金募资总规模达6亿美元 1 . 源码资本完成新一期双币成长基金募资 总规模达 6亿美元 2 . Mo n o lit h募集4 . 8 8亿美元 3 . 2 0亿,杭州润苗基金正式启动 4 . 5 0 亿元央企产业基金扎根武汉,信科产业基金助力产业升级再提速 5 . 凯德投资募资超 6 . 5亿美元 6 . 深投控与交通银行签约新基金,规模 2 0亿 7 . 芯联资本完成首支主基金 1 2 . 5亿元募集,预计终关超1 5亿 8 . 菜鸟联合中国人寿设立 1 7亿仓储基金 9 . 联想上海基金成立,首期 1 0亿 1 0 . 南京金雨茂物战新软信人工智能基金落地,规模 1 0亿元 11 . 力合天使基金设立,规模 1 0亿元 1 2 . 北极光创投 1 0 0 0万美金合格境外有限合伙人(QFLP)项目落地 1 3 . 中银集团在湖北成功落地第二只 AIC股权投资基金,首期规模1 0亿 1 ...