Core Viewpoint - The Euro/USD exchange rate is experiencing a narrow fluctuation below the 1.14 level as the market awaits key economic data from Europe and the US, with a critical directional choice looming due to a strong resistance level [1] Fundamental Analysis - The recent pressure on the US dollar is attributed to two main factors: a significant decline in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield dropping from 4.59% to around 4.25%, and signs of easing in the Trump administration's trade policies, which have reduced the market's demand for the dollar as a safe haven [3] - The Eurozone's economic recovery shows structural divergence, with Italy's Q1 GDP growth at 0.3% (YoY 0.6%), slightly above market expectations, while Germany's GDP growth was only 0.2% (YoY -0.2%), highlighting the challenges faced by the manufacturing sector due to global trade weakness [3] - This divergence limits the upward potential of the Euro, although the European Central Bank's relatively hawkish stance compared to the Federal Reserve supports the exchange rate [3] Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that the Euro/USD has maintained an upward trend since the January 2025 low of 1.0177, reaching a peak of 1.1572 in April, but is now facing strong technical resistance at the Fibonacci 76.4% retracement level of 1.1683 [3] - The MACD indicator shows a clear bearish divergence, while the RSI is hovering between 60-68, suggesting a potential weakening of upward momentum [3] - On the weekly level, the 14-week RSI remains in an upward trend, but a close below 1.1271 this week would confirm a short-term top formation [4] Market Sentiment - Despite marginal improvements in Eurozone economic data, market sentiment remains cautious, with Italy's GDP exceeding expectations providing some support for the Euro, while concerns about the sustainability of the Eurozone recovery persist due to Germany's economic weakness [4] - CFTC positioning data shows an increase of 23,000 net long positions in the Euro as of April 23, but this has not broken through the 2024 high, indicating limited enthusiasm for chasing the rally [4] Monetary Policy Expectations - Diverging monetary policy expectations continue to develop, with the US core PCE price index expected to fall to 3.3% in March, leading to increased market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year [5] - In contrast, European Central Bank officials have signaled a "no rush to cut rates" stance, with futures pricing indicating that the ECB's first rate cut is expected to occur about three months later than that of the Federal Reserve, providing mid-term support for the Euro [5] Market Strategy - In terms of technical strategy, if the exchange rate effectively breaks through the 1.1450-1.1500 resistance zone, bullish targets could be set at 1.1683, with key support levels at 1.1271 and the psychological level of 1.1000 [6] - Conversely, if the rate falls below the 1.1300 support, caution is warranted regarding potential pullback risks, with targets shifting to the 1.1271 and 1.1000 areas [6] - Key data points to monitor include the US April non-farm payroll report (expected to add 180,000 jobs), the Eurozone's April CPI preliminary value (expected YoY 2.4%), and the Federal Reserve's May interest rate decision statement, as these will be crucial catalysts for breaking the current fluctuation pattern [6]

第一，黄金方面：这一周下来，只有昨日布局失败，日内走的也相对揪心； 原本前日隔夜弱势收盘，第二天早间先拉升则要试探继续压制看跌，选择的位 置是3338一线，即昨日跌幅反抽618分割阻力，也是顶底转换位置，同时是日线趋势线反压点，多重共振，较好的参考点，结果一早的持续拉升力度超预 期，越过3338，冲击3366一线；然后计划等3380一线前日高点去继续尝试看跌，却不给机会；当午后冲高回落，重新打回反压线之下，则提示3334、3345分 批看跌，3345差两三美金未触及，3334么持仓七八个小时，一直无法很好下跌，美盘前保守选择了小赚出局，结果没多久，迎来30美金下挫；小时线大阴下 破，则尾盘再跟随一次短线看跌，依托618分割阻力3330下，结果目标差2美金未给到，后半夜慢慢震荡洗盘走高； 郑氏点银：黄金短期继续看调整不变，今晚二次看跌 第二，白银方面：日线大阳上攻，昨日研报计划回踩33顶底支撑跟随看涨，价格并未给到机会； 今日行情分析解读： 第一，黄金日线级别：昨日收报一根大阳，实体部分几乎吞没前一日阴K，表面上看似想要企稳样子，实际上它依然收盘未能突破站上MA5日，同时也处于 3057-3245前几处历史高位 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the current market sentiment, indicating a neutral summary with a mix of buy and sell signals across different time frames [2][5]. - Technical indicators show a strong sell recommendation overall, with specific indicators like RSI and MACD suggesting bearish trends [5][6]. - Moving averages indicate a sell signal for longer periods (MA20, MA50) while shorter periods (MA5, MA10) show mixed signals [4][5]. Group 2 - The support and resistance levels are outlined, with key levels identified for potential trading strategies [6]. - The article highlights the volatility in the market, as indicated by the ATR value, suggesting a need for cautious trading [5]. - The overall market condition is described as neutral, with a balance of buy and sell signals across various indicators [2][6].

金十图示：2025年04月15日（周二）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（一小时图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 21467.7 | 21442.7 | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | MA10 | 21491.7 | 21455.7 | | | 卖出 | 菜出 | | MA20 | 21449.2 | 21374.2 | | | 卖出 | 买人 | | 每小时 | | 5小时 | 每日 | 每周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总结 | 英出 | | | | | 移动平均线 | | 卖出 | 买入5 | 卖出7 | | 技术指标 | | 卖出 | 买入2 | 卖出5 | | MA50 | | 21029.0 | 21050.6 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 求人 | 求人 | | MA100 | | 20515.9 | 21115.7 | | | | 买入 | 求人 | | MA200 | | 21703.1 | 21598.3 | | | | 英H | ...

金十图示：2025年04月11日（周五）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（日图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 20163.1 | 20924.3 | | | 买入 | 买入 | | MA10 | 21635.0 | 21474.9 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA20 | 22847.5 | 22199.3 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | 每小时 | | 5小时 | 毎日 | 每周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总结 | 強力卖出 | | | | | 移动平均线 | | 卖出 | 买入4 | 卖出8 | | 技术指标 | | 强力卖出 | 买入2 | 卖出8 | | ะ | 技术指标 >> | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年04月12日 北京时间03:00 | | | | 名称 | 价格 | 动作 | | RSI(14) N10. | 39.553 | 卖出 | | STOCH(9,6) | 76.439 | 买入 | | STOCHRSI(14) | ...

Core Viewpoints - The current macroeconomic environment is generally favorable for equity, bond, industrial products, and gold assets, while the technical analysis indicates a downward trend for equity, bond, and industrial products, and an upward trend for gold assets [1][3][21]. Macroeconomic Perspective - The analysis categorizes macroeconomic indicators into upward and downward trends, assessing their impact on asset returns. A significant difference in average returns is noted based on the trend direction of these indicators [3][4]. - The macroeconomic indicators suggest a positive outlook for equity, bond, industrial products, and gold assets [5][6]. Technical Perspective - The trend indicators for various asset classes show that as of March 31, 2025, equity, bond, and industrial products are trending downwards, while gold is trending upwards [10][11]. - The equity asset valuation is currently low, with a historical 5-year ERP percentile of 78.36% [14][15]. Asset Flow Indicators - As of February 2025, the equity asset's net inflow is 462 billion, indicating a state of capital inflow [17][18]. Summary of Views - The combined scores from macro and technical analyses indicate a bullish outlook for equity and gold, a neutral stance for industrial products, and a bullish view for bonds [19][21]. Asset Allocation Performance Tracking - Historical performance data shows that the fixed ratio combined with macro and technical indicators yielded a return of 1.20% in March 2025, with an annualized return of 11.92% since March 2006 [2][27]. - The volatility-controlled and risk-parity combinations yielded returns of 1.72% and 1.18%, respectively, with annualized returns of 9.33% and 9.66% since March 2006 [28].

Core Viewpoint - Effective international spot gold trading strategies are crucial for investors to achieve returns in the financial market [1] Trading Strategies Summary - **Risk Management**: Investors should set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit points to control risk exposure. Diversification is also an effective method to reduce risk by investing in different asset types [3] - **Trend Trading**: Gold price movements exhibit certain trends, which are difficult to change once established. Investors should respect the trend unless a clear market change occurs [3] - **Limit Price Platforms**: Choosing limit price platforms for trading can help control risks by allowing investors to set stop-loss and take-profit levels effectively [3] - **Technical Analysis**: Analyzing charts and technical indicators, such as moving averages and RSI, can help predict price movements and inform buy/sell decisions [4] - **Light Position Trading**: Investors should operate with light positions and follow market trends to increase the chances of success while avoiding excessive risk [4] - **Timing the Market**: Due to high volatility in the gold market, investors must choose appropriate entry points based on market trends and their risk tolerance [5] - **Understanding Price Influences**: Gold prices are affected by various factors, including the US dollar exchange rate, global political situations, and economic data, which investors need to monitor closely [5] - **Range Trading Strategy**: This strategy is suitable for stable market conditions, where investors buy near support levels and sell near resistance levels to profit from price fluctuations [6] - **Maintaining Composure**: Trading psychology significantly impacts outcomes. Investors should remain calm and rational, adhering to their strategies without succumbing to market emotions [7] - **Continuous Learning**: Patience and discipline are essential qualities for successful trading. Investors should cultivate these traits and consistently improve their trading skills and experience [9]

郑氏点银：黄金修正三日，坚守日线10均线，该做出决断了 郑氏点银：黄金修正三日，坚守日线10均线，该做出决断了 回顾昨日行情走势及出现的技术点： 第一，黄金方面：昨日亚欧盘震荡慢反弹，但美盘并未延续，而是打压破了日内低点，尾盘再企稳反抽，日线延续震荡下调，但力度不大，整体上走势相对 颠簸； 第二，白银方面：和黄金走势同步，白盘震荡一路慢涨，美盘掉头往下，再企稳； 第三，原油方面：前几日一直运行的震荡扫荡区间，隔夜是承压了下，但回调力度有限，今日有所上破； 今日行情分析解读： 第一，黄金日线级别：昨日再次回踩，依旧坚守MA10日之上，高位已修正三个交易日。一般来讲，短期调整三天是极限，看今日能否收一个不错的阳K 线； MA10日支撑上移3008一线，也是早间启动点，而MA5日阻力在3030一线，只有收盘站上它，才能回归走强单边去刷新高；因此，这两日来讲，仍是耐 心等待两均线之间的争夺；最终不管如何，都迟早会刷3056新高，无非就是调整时间的长短罢了，能企稳于3000之上，调整时间就应该差不多了，随时会强 攻；而若失守3000向下，则还有进一步下调时间，后市就需要再耐心磨几天； 第二，黄金4小时级别：此周期的关键 ...

关键价格水平： 技术指标分析： 狗狗币多空比转强，0.17美元支撑成关键；XRP飙升至 1400 美元？ 狗狗币市场情绪转暖，技术面显示潜在上行空间 最新数据显示，狗狗币（DOGE）市场情绪出现明显转变。过去24小时内，该加密货币的多空比率从0.85上升至1.20，达到近一周高点，表明看涨情绪正 在增强。 多位技术分析师指出，XRP/USDT周线图已完成重要技术形态突破，可能开启长期上涨行情。主要观点如下： 1. 牛市旗形突破： 1. 短期技术结构： 当前支撑位：0.17美元 短期阻力位：0.182美元（50日均线） 潜在上行目标：0.22-0.23美元区间 下行风险位：0.16美元 1. 相对强弱指数（RSI）维持在50附近中性区域 2. 布林带呈现收窄态势 3. MACD指标保持平稳 4. 这些技术信号通常预示着价格可能进入波动阶段。 历时6年的下降通道被有效突破 根据技术形态量度目标，理论涨幅可达1452美元 该形态通常被视为趋势延续信号 市场观察： 历史数据显示，当DOGE多空比率突破1.00阈值时，价格往往会出现相应波动。目前该代币在0.17美元附近获得支撑，若能维持在这一水平上方，可能为 测试更高 ...