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宁波银行(002142):存贷实现高增,不良生成放缓
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 10:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved over 5% growth in both revenue and profit, with significant increases in loans and deposits, while the generation of non-performing loans slowed down [1][2] - The revenue growth rate of 5.6% in Q1 2025 was a decrease of 2.6 percentage points compared to 2024, and the net profit growth rate of 5.8% was a decrease of 0.5 percentage points compared to 2024 [2] - The company is expected to achieve mid-to-high single-digit growth in revenue and profit for the year 2025, supported by strong loan and deposit growth in Q1 [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue was 18,495 million, up 5.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 7,417 million, up 5.8% year-on-year [1][13] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.76% as of the end of Q1 2025, with a provisioning coverage ratio decreasing by 19 percentage points to 371% [1][5] Profitability Growth - The company's net interest margin decreased by 8 basis points to 1.78% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yields compared to improvements in liability costs [4] - The increase in impairment losses was significant, with a year-on-year growth of 26.5% in Q1 2025 [2][4] Loan and Deposit Growth - In Q1 2025, the net increase in loans and deposits accounted for 73% and 128% of the total net increase for the entire year of 2024, respectively [3] Asset Quality - The generation of non-performing loans showed a slowdown, with the TTM non-performing loan generation rate decreasing by 9 basis points to 1.18% [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 is 7.71%, 7.83%, and 8.69%, respectively, with corresponding BPS of 34.19, 37.93, and 42.00 [6] - The target price is set at 34.19 CNY per share, corresponding to a PB of 1.00 for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 41% from the current price [6]
成都银行(601838):向经营要效益,稳健、可持续的ROE更为关键
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-29 09:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chengdu Bank [2] Core Views - The bank's revenue for 2024 and Q1 2025 showed year-on-year growth of 5.9% and 3.2%, respectively, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10.2% and 5.6% [5][7] - The bank's strategy focuses on achieving sustainable growth in return on equity (ROE) above 15%, despite a temporary dip due to convertible bond dilution [7][10] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains at a low level of 0.66%, with a high provision coverage ratio of 456% [7][10] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 21,702.19 million in 2023 to 23,985.39 million in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.37% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 11,671.12 million in 2023 to 13,617.38 million in 2025E, reflecting a growth rate of 5.90% [6] - The bank's ROE is forecasted to decline from 18.78% in 2023 to 15.66% in 2025E [6] Loan Growth and Composition - The bank's loan growth remains strong, with a 16.9% increase in Q1 2025, driven primarily by corporate loans, which grew approximately 18% [7][11] - Retail loans are gradually improving, with Q1 2025 showing an increase of 23 million, compared to 10 million in the same period last year [7][11] Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin is projected to decline to 1.58% in Q1 2025, down 15 basis points year-on-year, with a focus on improving funding costs [10][14] - The bank's cost-to-income ratio has improved, contributing positively to profit growth [7][10] Risk Management - The bank maintains a low NPL ratio and a strong provision coverage, indicating effective risk management practices [10][11]
成都银行(601838):2024年度报告暨2025年一季报点评:规模扩张动能强劲,息差降幅同比收窄
EBSCN· 2025-04-29 08:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 17.74 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for 2024 reached 23 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.9 billion CNY, up 10.2% year-on-year [3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was 1.66%, showing a narrowing decline compared to previous periods, indicating a stabilization in interest income [8]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.66% at the end of 2024, maintaining a low level [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Chengdu Bank achieved operating income of 230 billion CNY, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 129 billion CNY, reflecting a 10.2% growth [3]. - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 58 billion CNY, up 3.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 30 billion CNY, a 5.6% increase [3]. Revenue Composition - The growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income in 2024 were 4.6% and 11.7%, respectively, with a notable decline in non-interest income growth in Q1 2025 [4][9]. - Non-interest income accounted for 17.4% of total revenue in Q1 2025, down 2.3 percentage points from 2024 [9]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.66% at the end of 2024, with a coverage ratio of 456% [10][11]. - The bank's credit impairment losses for Q1 2025 were 8.6 billion CNY, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous year [10]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the core tier 1 capital ratio was 8.8%, with a risk-weighted asset (RWA) growth rate of 16.1% [11][33]. - The bank's capital structure has been strengthened through the conversion of convertible bonds, increasing the total share capital [11]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.61, 5.42, and 5.30 [12][34].
投资收益骤降近10亿元,长沙银行2024年业绩增速创近十年来最低
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-04-29 08:14
华夏时报(www.chinatimes.net.cn)记者 卢梦雪 北京报道 在市场竞争格局的变化下,投资收益成为不少银行增收的重要途径。然而,当投资收益受到市场波动而减少时, 一些银行业绩增速便开始放缓。 长沙银行(601577.SH)就是其中的典型代表。作为发展战略的八大重点之一,金融投资带来的投资收益长期成 为长沙银行营收的重要构成。2023年,在投资收益大增19.60%的带动下,长沙银行营收实现了8.46%的增速。然 而,随着2024年该行投资收益缩水了24.18%,长沙银行2024年营收增速也放缓至4.57%,创近十年来最低。 "以摊余成本计量的金融资产终止确认的投资收益"这一数据反映了银行在处置或到期收回以摊余成本计量的金融 资产时,实际实现的收益或损失。2024年,长沙银行该项收益实现了-744.5万元,较上一年减少了1.21亿元,同比 减少了106.53%,是投资收益中降幅最大的项目。 具体是什么投资项目的变化导致的投资收益缩水?长沙银行未就此回复采访,但记者注意到,基金产品和债券产 品投资力度的增大,成为2024年长沙银行投资收益缩水的主要影响因素。 投资收益由增转降 2024年是长沙银行新 ...
瑞丰银行(601528):单季息差企稳回升,资产质量保持稳定
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-29 08:03
公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 瑞丰银行(601528)2025 年一季报点评 推荐(维持) 单季息差企稳回升,资产质量保持稳定 目标价:6.86 元 事项: 4 月 28 日晚,瑞丰银行披露 1Q25 季报,实现营业收入 11.09 亿元,同比增长 5.12%;营业利润 3.96 亿元,同比增长 4.04%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润 4.24 亿元,同比增长 6.69%。不良率环比持平于 0.97%,拨备覆盖率环比增加 5.2pct 至 326%。 评论: 农商行 2025 年 04 月 29 日 | | | 华创证券研究所 证券分析师:贾靖 邮箱:jiajing@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360523040004 证券分析师:徐康 电话:021-20572556 邮箱:xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360518060005 证券分析师:林宛慧 邮箱:linwanhui@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360524110001 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 196,216.14 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 170,544.22 | | ...
苏州银行(002966):2024年报暨2025年一季报点评:拨备覆盖率高位,净息差降幅收窄
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 07:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company maintains good growth in performance, with operating income for 2024 and Q1 2025 reaching 12.22 billion and 3.25 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 3.0% and 0.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 and Q1 2025 is 5.07 billion and 1.55 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.2% and 6.8% [1] - Non-interest income significantly contributed to revenue growth, with a 27.6% increase in 2024, while Q1 2025 saw a decline in non-interest income growth to 3.3% [1][2] - The net interest margin decline has narrowed, with average net interest margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 at 1.38% and 1.34%, down 30bps and 18bps year-on-year [2] - The company shows strong asset quality with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% as of March 2025, remaining stable compared to the beginning of the year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Operating income for 2024 is projected at 12.22 billion, with a growth rate of 3.0% [5] - Net profit for 2024 is estimated at 5.07 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 5.42 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.59 billion respectively, with growth rates of 6.9%, 10.0%, and 10.7% [4][5] Asset Quality - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio, which decreased to 484% at the end of 2024 and further to 447% by March 2025 [3] - The non-performing loan generation rate for 2024 is 0.60%, which is still below the industry average [3] Market Position - The company benefits from a clear geographical advantage and has shown a gradual stabilization in net interest margins [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 0.76x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 4.93% [4]
净息差1.98%居上市股份行首位!招商银行息差“保卫战”如何打?
Xiao Fei Ri Bao Wang· 2025-04-29 07:28
记者在招商银行手机银行App看到,其"灵动存"1年期、2年期产品年利率为1.60%、1.70%,起存金额为1000元。而3年期、5年期年利率分别为1.50%和 1.55%,起存金额更低,仅50元。在行业看来,这反映了市场对未来利率的预期,也是银行加强负债成本管控的措施之一。 消费日报网讯(记者卢岳)近期,银行纷纷下调中长期存款利率,个别银行定期存款利率出现了"倒挂"现象。 随着我国金融市场进入低利率时代,商业银行净息差持续收窄。2024年上市银行年报已披露,据梳理,2024年,9家上市股份行的净息差较上年末均承压, 降幅从0.01%至0.51%不等。其中,招商银行凭借零售业务优势维持行业领先,净息差1.98%(集团口径)在上市股份行中排在首位。 在业绩发布会上,招商银行管理层表示,今年息差收窄的趋势可能还会延续,压力依然存在。招行的目标是息差收窄的幅度较上年有所改善,同时息差水平 仍然保持同业领先。为实现这一目标,招商银行如何打这场息差"保卫战"? 持续压降负债成本 "近期没有监管指导,属于自发调降,主要出于控制成本的考虑,以应对市场利率环境的变化。"对于近期新一轮的存款降息潮,某银行从业人员如是表示。 净息 ...
江苏银行(600919):2025年一季报点评:净息差亮眼,规模维持高增
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's profitability remains high, with Q1 2025 revenue of 22.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.21%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.78 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [1][3] - The net interest income saw a significant increase of 21.9% year-on-year, while non-interest income decreased by 22.7%, primarily due to net losses from other fair value changes [1][2] - The company maintains a strong asset quality with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.86%, down 3 basis points from the beginning of the year, and a provision coverage ratio of 344% [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 net interest income increased by 21.9%, while non-interest income decreased by 22.7% due to market volatility [1][2] - The total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, with loans and deposits growing by 12.8% and 13.8% respectively [2] Profitability Metrics - The annualized weighted average ROE was 16.5%, up 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong profitability [1][2] - The company forecasts net profits of 35.4 billion yuan, 40.2 billion yuan, and 45.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 11.2%, 13.5%, and 13.2% [3][4] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PB ratio of 0.72x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 5.14% [3][4] - The forecasted PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.2, 4.6, and 4.1 respectively, indicating attractive valuation levels [4][9]
宁波银行(002142):2025 年一季报点评:不良生成率拐点向下
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 06:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit growth rates have slightly declined, with Q1 2025 revenue at 18.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and net profit at 7.4 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year [1][2] - The asset growth is robust, with total assets increasing by 17.6% year-on-year to 3.40 trillion yuan, driven by a 20.2% increase in deposits and a 20.4% increase in loans [1] - The non-performing loan generation rate has decreased, indicating improved asset quality, with a year-on-year decline of 0.13 percentage points to 1.15% [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 financial highlights include: - Revenue: 185 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year - Net profit: 74 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year - Annualized weighted ROE: 14.2%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Loan growth was significant, with new loans of 164.1 billion yuan in Q1, compared to 109.4 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net interest margin for Q1 was 1.80%, a decrease of 10 basis points year-on-year [1][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 29.2 billion yuan, 31.6 billion yuan, and 34.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 8.4%, and 7.8% [2][4] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 4.27 yuan, 4.64 yuan, and 5.01 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][4] - Current stock price corresponds to a PE of 5.9, 5.4, and 5.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, and a PB of 0.71, 0.65, and 0.59 respectively [2][4]
瑞丰银行:盈利显韧性-20250429
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 05:55
瑞丰银行(601528) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 28 日 盈利显韧性 ——瑞丰银行 2025 年一季报点评 投资要点 ❑ 瑞丰银行 2025Q1 盈利韧性显现,息差小幅回升,其他非息拖累。 ❑ 业绩概览 瑞丰银行 2025Q1 营收同比增长 5.1%,增速较 24A 放缓 10.2pc;归母净利润同比 增长 6.7%,增速较 24A放缓 4.6pc。2025Q1末不良率环比持平于 0.97%;2025Q1 末拨备覆盖率 326%,较 24A 末上升 5.2pc。 ❑ 营收降幅收窄 瑞丰银行 2025Q1 营收同比增长 5.1%,增速较 24A 放缓 10.2pc;归母净利润同 比增长 6.7%,增速较 24A 放缓 4.6pc。驱动因素来看,规模扩张放缓和其他非息 波动拖累营收增速放缓。①规模,25Q1 末总资产同比增长 11.1%,增速较 24A 末放缓 0.9pc。25Q1 末贷款同比增长 11.7%,增速较 24A 末放缓 3.8pc,贷款投 放动能边际减弱。②息差,25Q1 单季息差(期初期末口径,下同)为 1.45%, 环比上升 5bp,息差回暖对营收形成支撑。③非息,25Q1 其他非息 ...