Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustments in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) and deposit rates by major banks are aimed at stimulating the real economy and enhancing the quality of development in the banking sector [1][2][4]. LPR Adjustment - The LPR has been lowered for the first time this year, with the one-year rate decreasing by 10 basis points to 3% and the five-year rate also dropping by 10 basis points to 3.5% [1][3]. - This adjustment follows a previous reduction in the policy interest rate by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on May 7, which was expected to influence the LPR downwards [3][4]. - The PBOC has established the 7-day reverse repurchase rate as a new pricing anchor for the LPR, indicating a shift in monetary policy tools [3][4]. Deposit Rate Adjustment - Major banks, including six state-owned commercial banks, have adjusted their RMB deposit rates, with changes ranging from 5 to 25 basis points [5][6]. - The adjustments include a 5 basis point decrease in the demand deposit rate and a 15 basis point decrease for various fixed-term deposits [5][6]. - This move is seen as a necessary step for banks to lower funding costs and stabilize net interest margins following the LPR decline [7]. Impact on the Real Economy - The dual reduction in lending and deposit rates is expected to lower the overall financing costs for the economy, thereby stimulating investment and production [8]. - The coordinated macroeconomic policies have enhanced market confidence, directing more funds towards capital markets and real enterprises [8]. - The banking sector is encouraged to utilize various structural monetary policy tools to support key areas such as technological innovation, consumption, and small and micro enterprises [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of interest rate marketization in China, highlighting its role in effectively transmitting monetary policy signals to the real economy, especially during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][10]. Group 1: Interest Rate Marketization Reform - The interest rate marketization reform has entered a deep-water zone during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with the establishment of a market-oriented transmission mechanism that allows monetary policy signals to reach the real economy efficiently [1][2]. - Key breakthroughs in the reform include the comprehensive smoothing of the interest rate transmission mechanism, optimization of the policy interest rate system, and the formal establishment of a market-oriented interest rate system [2][3]. Group 2: Policy Rate and Market Rates - In 2024, the central bank will establish the 7-day reverse repurchase rate as the main policy interest rate, replacing the MLF rate, which enhances the short-term interest rate's guiding role in the market [2][3]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has guided market interest rates to operate smoothly around the policy interest rate, improving liquidity management among institutions [3][4]. Group 3: Impact on Loan and Deposit Rates - The reform has led to a decline in the weighted average interest rate of RMB loans since 2019, effectively reducing the overall financing costs for society [4][5]. - The PBOC has established a market-oriented adjustment mechanism for deposit rates, allowing banks to adjust rates based on the 10-year government bond yield and the 1-year LPR [4][5]. Group 4: Challenges and Optimization - Despite significant achievements, there is still room for optimization in the interest rate transmission mechanism, particularly in enhancing the quality of LPR quotations and addressing the mismatch between quoted rates and actual preferential rates [6][7]. - The article highlights the need to address the "scale obsession" in the banking sector, which has led to unhealthy competition and affected the sustainability of financial support for the real economy [8][9]. Group 5: Future Directions - Looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan," the focus will be on optimizing the interest rate transmission mechanism and ensuring that monetary policy is flexible and forward-looking to support the real economy [10][12]. - Recommendations include further simplifying the policy interest rate system and exploring a tiered reserve requirement system to enhance banks' willingness to lend to specific groups [11][12].

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is enhancing financial support for inclusive micro and small enterprises, with a significant growth in inclusive micro and small loans [1][2] - As of June 2025, the balance of inclusive micro and small loans reached 35.6 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3%, which is 5.2 percentage points higher than the growth rate of all loans [1] - The average interest rate for newly issued inclusive micro and small enterprise loans was 3.48% in June 2025, down 12 basis points from March and 66 basis points from the same period last year [1] Financial Support Mechanisms - The PBOC is focusing on policy guidance, funding support, and capacity building to improve the financing accessibility, inclusiveness, and convenience for enterprises [1] - The total increase in inclusive micro and small loans in the first half of the year was 2.6 trillion yuan, indicating a substantial rise [1] Credit Loan Trends - The proportion of credit loans within inclusive micro and small loans has increased, with nearly 30% of these loans being credit-based as of June, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous quarter [2] - The balance of loans for technology-based small and medium enterprises reached 3.5 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 22.9% [2] - Approximately 274,000 technology-based small and medium enterprises received loan support, with a loan acquisition rate of 50% [2]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reported a 12.3% year-on-year growth in inclusive micro and small enterprise loans as of June, with an increase of 2.6 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, indicating strong support for the sector [1][2] Group 1: Loan Growth and Policy Support - Inclusive micro and small loans have outpaced overall loan growth by 5.2 percentage points, reflecting effective policy measures by the PBOC [1] - The PBOC has implemented various policies to enhance financial support for micro and small enterprises, improving the accessibility and convenience of financing [1] - The average interest rate for newly issued inclusive micro and small enterprise loans was 3.48% in June, down 12 basis points from March and 66 basis points from the previous year [1] Group 2: Credit Loan Proportion and Support for Tech SMEs - The proportion of credit loans within inclusive micro and small loans has increased to nearly 30%, improving financing convenience [2] - Loans to technology-based small and medium enterprises reached 3.5 trillion yuan, growing by 22.9% year-on-year, significantly higher than the overall loan growth rate [2] - The loan coverage for technology-based SMEs has reached 274,000, with a loan acquisition rate of 50%, providing strong financial support for overcoming technical challenges [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant decline in bank deposit interest rates, with the average three-month rate dropping to 0.949%, marking a historical low and entering a new era of low rates [1][2][6] - The decline in interest rates began on May 20, when major state-owned banks adjusted their rates, leading to a widespread reduction across various banks, including smaller institutions [2][8] - The interest rates for different terms have also decreased, with six-month rates at 1.156%, one-year rates at 1.287%, and three-year rates at 1.695%, reflecting a notable drop compared to previous months [2][8] Group 2 - The attractiveness of bank deposits has significantly weakened, prompting some depositors to shift their assets to higher-yielding investment products such as money market funds and bond funds [6][8] - A notable trend is the "deposit migration," where residents have withdrawn a total of 2.46 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, the largest decline for the same period historically [2][6] - The interest rate for large certificates of deposit has also decreased, with rates now ranging from 0.9% to 1.55%, leading to reduced earnings for depositors [5][6] Group 3 - The articles suggest that the era of relying on fixed deposits for passive income is over, and depositors need to reassess their asset allocation strategies to seek higher returns [8][10] - Financial advisors are increasingly recommending R2-level investment products with annual yields around 2%-2.5%, which are significantly higher than traditional deposit rates [6][8] - The total amount of fixed deposits maturing in 2025 is estimated to be around 89 trillion yuan, indicating a substantial volume of capital that could be reallocated [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a continuous decline in bank deposit rates, with average rates for medium to long-term deposits entering the "1" range and 3-month deposit rates dropping into the "0" range [1][2] - As of June 2025, the average interest rates for various deposit terms are as follows: 3-month at 0.949%, 6-month at 1.156%, 1-year at 1.287%, 2-year at 1.372%, 3-year at 1.695%, and 5-year at 1.538%, showing a decline across all terms compared to May [1] - Major state-owned banks and national joint-stock banks have lowered their deposit rates, with the maximum reduction reaching 25 basis points, and some 1-year fixed deposit rates falling below 1% [1][2] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced a reduction in the 1-year LPR to 3% and the 5-year LPR to 3.5%, both down by 10 basis points from previous values, prompting banks to adjust their rates accordingly [2] - Analysts suggest that the downward trend in deposit rates may continue in the medium to long term due to ongoing pressure on banks' net interest margins as a result of lower LPR rates [2] - In June 2025, the average interest rates for large denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) were reported as follows: 3-month at 1.179%, 6-month at 1.391%, 1-year at 1.477%, 2-year at 1.462%, 3-year at 1.768%, and 5-year at 1.700%, with declines noted across most terms compared to May [3]

Group 1 - Since June, bank deposit rates have continued to decline, with medium and long-term deposit rates entering the "1 era" and some short-term deposit rates entering the "0 era" [1] - In June, the average interest rates for various term deposits were reported as follows: 6-month at 1.156%, 1-year at 1.287%, 2-year at 1.372%, 3-year at 1.695%, and 5-year at 1.538%, while the 3-month term average rate fell to 0.949% [1] - Compared to May, all term deposit rates decreased in June, with the 3-month rate dropping by 5.5 basis points (BP), 6-month by 5.6 BP, 1-year by 5.2 BP, 2-year by 5.6 BP, 3-year by 1.6 BP, and 5-year by 3.5 BP [1] Group 2 - The average interest rates for large denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) also showed a downward trend, with 3-year CDs at 1.55%, 2-year at 1.2%, and 1-month and 3-month rates entering the "0 era" at 0.9% [1] - In June, the average interest rates for large denomination CDs were reported as follows: 3-month at 1.179%, 6-month at 1.391%, 1-year at 1.477%, 2-year at 1.462%, 3-year at 1.768%, and 5-year at 1.700% [2] - The decline in interest rates for large denomination CDs was significant, with the 1-year rate down by 8.39 BP, 2-year by 18.67 BP, and 3-year by 30.01 BP [2] Group 3 - The phenomenon of "storing for 5 years is worse than storing for 3 years" has become more common, indicating a narrowing gap between large denomination CDs and term deposits [2] - The average expected yield for structured deposits in June was reported at 1.78%, a decrease of 7 BP from the previous month, while the average expected maximum yield was 2.14%, down 11 BP [2] - The recent trend of declining deposit rates is attributed to the ongoing market-oriented interest rate reforms and the pressure on banks' net interest margins due to the continuous decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a continuous decline in bank deposit rates across various terms, reflecting broader trends in the banking sector and the impact of market reforms [1][2][3]. Deposit Rate Trends - The average deposit rates for different terms in June 2025 are as follows: 3-month at 0.949% (down 5.5 BP), 6-month at 1.156% (down 5.6 BP), 1-year at 1.287% (down 5.2 BP), 2-year at 1.372% (down 5.6 BP), 3-year at 1.695% (down 1.6 BP), and 5-year at 1.538% (down 3.5 BP) [2][3]. - The 5-year average rate has decreased by approximately 1 percentage point from 2.433% in June 2024 to 1.538% in June 2025 [2]. Market Reactions - Major state-owned banks adjusted their deposit rates on May 20, with the 1-year fixed deposit rate falling below 1%, prompting other banks to follow suit [3]. - The ongoing trend of declining deposit rates is attributed to the pressure on banks' net interest margins due to lower Loan Prime Rates (LPR) [3]. Structural Deposit Products - The average term for structured deposits in June 2025 is 103 days, with an average expected middle yield of 1.78% (down 7 BP) and an average expected maximum yield of 2.14% (down 11 BP) [4]. - Different types of banks show varying average terms and yields for structured deposits, with state-owned banks averaging 70 days and a maximum yield of 1.99% (down 19 BP) [4]. Performance by Linked Assets - For structured deposits linked to different assets, the average expected middle yield for currency-linked deposits is 1.77% (down 24 BP), while gold-linked deposits yield 1.78% (down 2 BP) [5]. - Deposits linked to indices, funds, and stocks show an increase in average expected middle yield to 2.00% (up 1 BP) [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the continuous decline in bank deposit rates, with many banks entering the "1 era" for medium to long-term rates, indicating a broader trend of decreasing interest rates in the banking sector [1][2][4]. Summary by Sections Bank Deposit Rates - As of June 2025, the average interest rates for various term deposits are as follows: 3-month at 0.949%, 6-month at 1.156%, 1-year at 1.287%, 2-year at 1.372%, 3-year at 1.695%, and 5-year at 1.538% [3]. - Compared to May, the rates have decreased: 3-month by 5.5 basis points (BP), 6-month by 5.6 BP, 1-year by 5.2 BP, 2-year by 5.6 BP, 3-year by 1.6 BP, and 5-year by 3.5 BP [3]. Factors Influencing Rate Changes - The decline in deposit rates was anticipated following the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) reduction of the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on May 20, which led major banks to lower their deposit rates by up to 25 BP [3][4]. - The ongoing marketization of interest rates and the pressure on banks' net interest margins are contributing to the trend of decreasing deposit rates [4][5]. Large Certificates of Deposit (CDs) - The average interest rates for large CDs have also decreased, with 3-month at 1.179%, 6-month at 1.391%, 1-year at 1.477%, 2-year at 1.462%, 3-year at 1.768%, and 5-year at 1.700% [7]. - The decline in rates is more pronounced for longer-term CDs, with significant reductions observed across all terms compared to May [7]. Structural Deposits - The average term for structured deposits has increased to 103 days, with an average expected middle yield of 1.78% and an average expected maximum yield of 2.14% [11]. - The yields for structured deposits linked to various assets have shown mixed trends, with some categories experiencing declines while others, like those linked to indices, have seen slight increases [12]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the downward trend in deposit rates will continue due to multiple factors, including the need for banks to manage their funding costs and the overall low-interest-rate environment [13]. - The expectation is that banks will further adjust their deposit rates to mitigate risks associated with high-interest liabilities in a declining rate environment [9][13].

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a continued decline in bank deposit rates, with many rates entering the "1" era, reflecting a broader trend influenced by market conditions and regulatory changes [1][2][3]. Deposit Rate Trends - As of June 2025, the average interest rates for various term deposits are as follows: 3-month at 0.949%, 6-month at 1.156%, 1-year at 1.287%, 2-year at 1.372%, 3-year at 1.695%, and 5-year at 1.538% [2]. - Compared to May, the rates have decreased across all terms, with the 3-month rate dropping by 5.5 basis points (BP), and the 5-year rate down by 3.5 BP [2]. Market Influences - The decline in deposit rates is anticipated due to the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) recent cuts in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), which has pressured banks' net interest margins [2][3]. - The net interest margin for commercial banks has narrowed to 1.43%, a decrease of 9 BP from the previous quarter [3]. Large Certificate of Deposit (CD) Trends - The average interest rates for large CDs have also decreased, with the 3-month rate at 1.179% and the 5-year rate remaining unchanged [4]. - The decline in rates has led to a significant reduction in the sales of large CDs, as the interest rate differential between regular deposits and large CDs has diminished [4][5]. Structural Deposit Changes - The average term for structured deposits has increased to 103 days, with an average expected middle yield of 1.78% [7]. - The average expected highest yield for structured deposits varies by bank type, with state-owned banks at 1.99% and foreign banks at 4.34% [7][8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the downward trend in deposit rates will continue, driven by the need for banks to optimize their liability structures and manage costs effectively [5][6]. - The overall market conditions suggest that deposit rates may have further room for decline, influenced by multiple factors including policy rate adjustments and banks' cost control needs [8].