Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Coke's fourth - round price cut has been implemented, with wet - quenched coke down by 220 yuan/ton and dry - quenched coke down by 240 yuan/ton. Steel is in the off - season, and its price is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. Steel mills' production enthusiasm is good, and iron - molten output has slightly rebounded. Coke supply is tending to be loose, and its futures price is expected to fluctuate. [6] - For coking coal, due to stricter safety inspections and environmental supervision in some coal mines in Shanxi, supply has tightened marginally. Coal prices have stopped falling and stabilized. The coking coal spot market is running steadily, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate. [6] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures and Spot Market Data - **Coke Futures**: For example, J2601 closed at 1424.0, down 24.5; J2605 closed at 1450.0, down 32.0. [2] - **Coking Coal Futures**: JM2601 closed at 843.5, down 16.0; JM2605 closed at 866.0, down 13.5. [2] - **Spot Market**: Coke's邢台出厂价is 1560 yuan/ton with no change; coking coal's澳洲低挥发is 868 yuan/ton, down 1. [2] - **Coking Profit**: 01盘面利润is 251.7 yuan/ton, down 8.3 yuan/ton compared to the previous day. [2] 3.2 Fundamental Data - **Coke Fundamentals**: 247 steel enterprises' iron - molten daily output is 241.6, up 0.57 (0.24% month - on - month). The daily output of all - sample independent coking plants is 65.0, down 0.34 (- 0.52% month - on - month). [2] - **Coking Coal Fundamentals**: 110 coal - washing plants' refined coal daily output is 47.8, down 3.5 (6.70% month - on - month). The inventory of all - sample independent coking plants' coking coal is 798.1, down 2.3 (- 0.29% month - on - month). [2] 3.3 Important News - In May 2025, the crude steel output of 70 countries/regions included in the World Steel Association statistics was 158.8 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.8%. [4] - On June 24, the main port iron ore transactions in China were 81.30 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 31.2%; 237 mainstream traders' construction steel transactions were 9.32 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 9.5%. [5] 3.4 Trading Strategies - Coke: With the fourth - round price cut implemented, steel is in the off - season, and coke supply is loose. Futures prices are expected to fluctuate. [6] - Coking Coal: Supply has tightened marginally, prices have stopped falling and stabilized. The spot market is stable, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate. [6]

Group 1 - Iranian President Pezeshkian announced the end of a 12-day war initiated by Israel, urging institutions to focus on reconstruction efforts [2] - The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated that the Fed is in a position to consider policy adjustments based on upcoming economic data, with potential for early interest rate cuts [2] Group 2 - U.S. stock markets saw all three major indices rise over 1%, with the Dow Jones reaching a new closing high since early March [3][4] - Major tech stocks mostly increased, with Intel rising over 6% and Nvidia, Netflix, and Amazon each gaining over 2% [3][4] - Chinese concept stocks experienced a significant rally, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising 3.31%, marking the largest single-day gain since May 13 [3][4] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs maintained an overweight recommendation on Chinese stocks, projecting a target of 4600 for the CSI 300 index, implying about a 10% upside [7] - The People's Bank of China and five other departments issued guidelines to boost consumption, including a 500 billion yuan service consumption and elderly care relending program [6] Group 4 - The U.S. current account deficit surged to a record $450.2 billion in Q1, widening from $312 billion in the previous quarter [17] - Guangdong province is accelerating initiatives for trade-in programs for various consumer goods, including automobiles and home appliances [18] Group 5 - The price of lemons has skyrocketed by 300% due to extreme weather and increased costs in international trade, leading some beverage shops to temporarily remove lemon drinks from their menus [20] - The Ministry of Commerce announced plans for a nationwide campaign to promote new energy vehicle consumption in 2025 [21] Group 6 - The National Press and Publication Administration approved 11 imported games and 147 domestic games in June, with a total of 55 imported games approved this year [10] - Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang began selling shares of Nvidia, with a total of 100,000 shares sold for nearly $14.5 million [11]

Group 1 - Six departments in China have introduced 19 measures to enhance financial support for consumption, focusing on improving residents' consumption capacity and optimizing credit products for eligible sectors [1] - The Ministry of Commerce announced the organization of a "New Energy Vehicle Consumption Season" in 2025, promoting vehicle trade-in policies and enhancing the availability of suitable new energy models in rural areas [1] - The draft amendment to the Food Safety Law was presented for review, focusing on enhancing regulation of liquid food transport and stricter penalties for violations [1] - The draft Medical Security Law was introduced, aiming to establish a comprehensive medical security service system and improve direct settlement mechanisms for medical expenses [1] - The World Economic Forum's Summer Davos Forum commenced in Tianjin, indicating a strong commitment to global economic cooperation despite challenges [1] - The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank elected a new president, Zhao Jiayi, who has extensive experience in international financial cooperation [1] - JD Logistics announced the recruitment of full-time delivery personnel to support its expanding food delivery business, enhancing operational efficiency [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities has been approved to issue up to 10 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds [4] - Daikin Heavy Industries plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [4] - Jinjiang Hotels received preliminary approval from the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission for its H-share issuance plan [4] - Changchuan Technology intends to raise no more than 3.132 billion yuan through a private placement [4] - Xinyangfeng plans to invest 1.15 billion yuan in a new specialized fertilizer project [4] - Sanhua Intelligent Control expects a year-on-year net profit increase of 25%-50% for the first half of the year [4] - Guangda Special Materials anticipates a year-on-year net profit increase of approximately 367.51% for the first half of the year [4]

Domestic News - The central bank will research and formulate a new stage financial technology development plan, and issue policy documents to deepen the application of financial technology to promote the digital and intelligent transformation of finance [3]. International News - Trump believes both Israel and Iran have violated the ceasefire agreement but stated that there will be no consequences for these violations. He also expressed that he does not wish for a regime change in Iran [4]. - Oil price increases since Israel's attack on Iran on June 13 have been completely erased [4]. - U.S. media reported that preliminary intelligence assessments indicate that strikes against Iran did not destroy nuclear facilities, which the White House denied [4]. - After a conversation between U.S. and Israeli leaders, Israel has halted further military strikes against Iran [4]. - The Iranian president stated that Iran is prepared to engage in dialogue at the negotiation table [4]. - Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicated that current policies are in a favorable position, suggesting a wait-and-see approach before considering interest rate adjustments. Most officials believe a rate cut later this year is appropriate [4]. - Bostic stated there is currently no need for a rate cut, expecting a 25 basis point cut later this year [4]. - Harker mentioned there is no urgent reason to cut rates, and monetary policy may remain unchanged for a considerable time [4]. - Kashkari noted that the Federal Reserve is in a wait-and-see mode due to tariff uncertainties [4]. - Williams indicated that tariffs and uncertainties will lead to slower economic growth and rising inflation this year [4]. - Collins emphasized that a moderately restrictive monetary policy stance is necessary [4]. - Bullard stated that monetary policy is in a favorable position, and the Federal Reserve will observe how the economic situation develops [4].

【重点关注】 ·中国人民银行等六部门发布19条举措加强金融支持提振和扩大消费 ·近日，国际星闪联盟秘书长曾国松在华为开发者大会上表示，在标准化方面，星闪标准引领产业生态 发展。星闪SLE国家标准预计今年正式发布；采用星闪SLB技术的《营运车辆全景环视系统技术要求和 试验方法》（商用车360度环视）是目前唯一满足多路高清视频传输的无线技术，该标准已成为交通运 输部行标，国家标准立项正在推进中。 ·广东：以外贸企业为重点统筹政策、资源、资金帮助企业消化库存、开拓市场、降低成本 ·伊朗军方否认停火后向以色列发射导弹 【国内要闻】 ·近日中国人民银行等六部门联合印发《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》。《意见》从支持 增强消费能力、扩大消费领域金融供给、挖掘释放居民消费潜力、促进提升消费供给效能、优化消费环 境和政策支撑保障等六个方面提出19项重点举措。《意见》指出，要夯实宏观经济金融基础，支持居民 就业增收，优化保险保障，积极培育消费需求。强化结构性货币政策工具激励，加大对服务消费重点领 域信贷支持，发展债券、股权等多元化融资渠道。 ·6月24日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。在回答有关涉芬太尼的问题时，郭 ...

今天，A股三大指数集体走强，上证指数站上3400点关口。截至收盘，上证指数、深证成指分别上涨 1.15%、1.68%，创业板指数上涨2.30%。 自昨天小波段见底以来，上证指数才反弹两天，在时间上和上述三个小波段差距甚大。因此，达哥认 为，大盘的反弹行情还没有结束，同时整个反弹周期也还没有结束。 今天整个市场放量近3000亿元，这意味着上证指数还有冲刺3月高点的动能。 板块方面，保险、证券两大板块指数今天的涨幅分别为3.19%、2.60%，分别位居行业板块涨幅榜的第 二、第七位。银行板块继续走高，板块指数上涨0.68%。 综上，无论是反弹时间，还是上方空间，上证指数都还有空间，因此，继续按照轻指数、重板块个股的 思路来进行操作。 关于A股未来两年的行情，最近半年多以来，达哥从政策、资金、技术分析等角度分享得比较多，用四 个字总结就是：坚决看多。 沪深两市成交额达到14146亿元，较昨日大幅放量2920亿元。整个市场有4771只个股上涨，578只个股下 跌，个股涨跌幅的中位数为上涨1.89%。 上周末，市场对以伊冲突担心之时，达哥明确指出，不用忧虑，大盘至少会走出类似于2024年三四月份 的横盘震荡态势。从本周 ...

金十数据6月24日讯，商务部办公厅发布组织开展2025年千县万镇新能源汽车消费季活动的通知。各地 要广泛动员社会力量参与新能源汽车消费季活动，支持独立第三方二手车信息查询平台提升运营质效， 加强新能源在用车检测平台推广应用，扩大新能源二手车交易。加快县乡地区新能源汽车停车场、充电 桩、售后服务站点、报废汽车回收服务网点等设施建设，便利群众交旧换新，解决日常用车后顾之忧； 积极探索依托现有加油站，打造一批集车辆销售维保、停车补能、餐饮住宿等功能于一体的乡镇汽车驿 站。 商务部：加强新能源在用车检测平台推广应用，扩大新能源二手车交易 ...

1-5月新能源汽车销量达560.8万辆，同比增长44% 新能源车靠啥"跑"出这个增速？ 6月11日，中国汽车工业协会发布的数据显示，今年1-5月，汽车产销分别完成1282.6万辆和1274.8万 辆，同比分别增长12.7%和10.9%。其中，新能源汽车产销累计完成569.9万辆和560.8万辆，同比分别增 长45.2%和44%，新能源汽车新车销量达到汽车新车总销量的44%。 业内人士分析，今年以来，"两新"政策加力扩围，持续显效，叠加车企新品投放、多地车展促销等利好 因素，助力汽车市场消费活力加速释放。未来需从优化充电基建、丰富适配车型、创新灵活金融服务、 强化售后网络覆盖四方面发力，构建汽车消费需求持续释放的长效机制。 车市掀起消费热浪 今年4月，在北京顺义区工作的李华完成了一次重要的出行设备升级--将陪伴自己多年的燃油车，置换 成一辆国产纯电动SUV。提车后，李华对新能源汽车也有了不一样的认识。 李华告诉记者，为节约开支，他充分利用夜班时段在单位充电，电费为每千瓦时0.83元，以车辆百公里 耗电15千瓦时计算，每公里用电成本约为0.12元。相比此前燃油车每公里近1元的油耗支出，新能源车 为他节省了大量出行 ...

Core Insights - The "old-for-new" vehicle replacement policy has significantly stimulated the automotive market, with over 10 million subsidy applications since its implementation, indicating strong consumer interest and market activity [2][3] - In the first four months of 2024, China's automotive sales reached 10.06 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, while new energy vehicle sales surged to 4.3 million units, marking a 46.3% growth [2] - The urgency among consumers to purchase vehicles is heightened by the impending expiration of full tax exemptions for new energy vehicles in 2026, prompting many to consider buying sooner rather than later [6][8] Policy Impact - The "old-for-new" policy has been pivotal in reversing negative growth trends in the automotive market, with over 6.8 million vehicles replaced under this initiative in 2024 alone [3][5] - The expansion of the policy to include vehicles meeting the National IV emission standards has broadened its impact, benefiting more consumers and stimulating demand [3][5] - The combination of subsidies and tax exemptions is expected to drive significant sales growth in the automotive sector, particularly for new energy vehicles, with projections suggesting sales could reach 17 million units by 2025 [6][8] Market Dynamics - The automotive market is experiencing a shift, with approximately 60% of vehicles replaced under the "old-for-new" policy being new energy vehicles, reflecting a growing consumer preference for greener options [4][5] - The anticipated withdrawal of subsidies and tax exemptions may lead to a demand surge in the short term, but could also result in a demand pullback in subsequent years as consumers rush to take advantage of current incentives [7][8] - The automotive industry is urged to develop long-term strategies to stabilize market demand and reduce reliance on temporary stimulus measures [11] Infrastructure and Consumer Behavior - The lack of adequate parking and charging infrastructure remains a significant barrier to consumer adoption of new energy vehicles, highlighting the need for improved urban planning and resource allocation [10] - Recent policy adjustments in major cities to ease vehicle purchase restrictions have sparked renewed consumer interest, indicating that regulatory changes can effectively stimulate market activity [10] - The industry is encouraged to explore new growth areas, such as the automotive aftermarket and battery recycling, to sustain long-term demand and market health [14]

Group 1 - On May 26, Beijing released 133,000 new energy vehicle (NEV) quotas, followed by a NEV festival in Fengtai District featuring nearly twenty popular models [2] - The event showcased models such as BYD Han L EV, Leap C10, and GAC Toyota Zhizhi 3X, with customized purchasing plans and promotional activities including a lottery for discounts up to 5,000 yuan [2][3] - Fengtai District has over 60 regulated automotive sales enterprises, leading in retail sales of NEVs in Beijing, with the event targeting the mainstream NEV market priced between 100,000 to 300,000 yuan [2] Group 2 - Various financial incentives were offered by car manufacturers, including up to 5,000 yuan in financial subsidies and 3,680 yuan for home charging service packages for the Leap C10 [3] - BYD's Han L EV series offered "0 down payment/0 interest" financing along with a 2,980 yuan decoration gift package, significantly reducing initial payment burdens [3] - Fengtai District plans to establish a comprehensive ecosystem for NEVs, including two Huawei AITO Super Experience Centers, enhancing the consumer experience from vehicle display to after-sales service [3]