Workflow
水风光一体化
icon
Search documents
华能水电(600025):2024年量价齐升,1Q25利润亮眼
HTSC· 2025-04-25 12:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of 11.48 RMB [7][10]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.882 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.297 billion RMB, up 8.63% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.385 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 21.84%, and a net profit of 1.508 billion RMB, up 41.56% year-on-year, primarily due to increased energy storage release and the full capacity operation of TB hydropower station [1][2]. - The company’s dividend per share (DPS) for 2024 is 0.2 RMB, with a payout ratio of 43.39%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.97 percentage points [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's on-grid electricity volume increased by 4.51% year-on-year to 1,110.24 billion kWh in 2024, driven by favorable water conditions and increased photovoltaic capacity [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price (excluding tax) for 2024 is estimated at 0.222 RMB/kWh, a rise of 0.02 RMB/kWh year-on-year, attributed to the growth in market prices for clean energy in Yunnan province [2]. Q1 2025 Insights - The comprehensive on-grid electricity price (excluding tax) for Q1 2025 is estimated to have decreased by 0.02 RMB/kWh to 0.255 RMB/kWh, influenced by market price changes and the structure of electricity volume [3]. - The company’s electricity volume from lower-priced hydropower stations increased significantly, which affected the overall pricing structure [3]. Valuation and Forecast - The target price of 11.48 RMB is based on a revised PE ratio of 24.0x for 2025, reflecting a decrease from the previous target price of 11.82 RMB [4]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is adjusted down by 2.9% to 8.608 billion RMB, with further projections for 2026 and 2027 showing net profits of 9.342 billion RMB and 9.673 billion RMB, respectively [4][6].
华能水电:2024年量价齐升,1Q25利润亮眼-20250425
HTSC· 2025-04-25 11:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 11.48 RMB [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 24.882 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.297 billion RMB, up 8.63% year-on-year [1][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 53.85 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.84%, and a net profit of 15.08 million RMB, which is a significant increase of 41.56% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the integrated development of hydropower, wind power, and solar energy, which is anticipated to enhance long-term value [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's electricity generation increased by 4.51% to 1110.24 billion kWh in 2024, driven by favorable water conditions and increased solar capacity [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price (excluding tax) for 2024 is estimated at 0.222 RMB/kWh, a rise of 2 cents compared to the previous year [2]. - The company’s financial expenses decreased by 2.04% year-on-year in 2024 [2]. Q1 2025 Insights - The comprehensive on-grid electricity price (excluding tax) for Q1 2025 is estimated to have decreased by 2 cents to 0.255 RMB/kWh, influenced by market price changes and electricity volume structure [3]. - The company’s electricity generation from lower-priced hydropower stations increased significantly, which may support overall pricing despite anticipated market price declines [3]. Valuation and Forecast - The target price of 11.48 RMB is based on a projected PE ratio of 24.0x for 2025, reflecting a downward adjustment from the previous target of 11.82 RMB [4]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is adjusted to 8.608 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.9% from previous estimates [4][6].