Group 1 - The market showed positive performance last week, with the China Securities Xinhua National Brand Index rising by 1.78% to 1679.33 points [1] - Key stocks such as Sungrow Power, Tigermed, and Kangtai Biological performed strongly, with Sungrow Power leading with a 12.50% increase [1] - Year-to-date, notable performers include Xinlitai with a 47.42% increase, WuXi AppTec with a 43.21% rise, and Anji Technology up by 38.52% [2] Group 2 - The market sentiment is shifting towards a bullish outlook, with institutions optimistic about future performance due to a lack of systemic risks and positive reactions to favorable information [2] - Key sectors of interest include computing power chains, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with high-dividend assets expected to attract institutional investment [2] - The ongoing revaluation of Chinese assets is supported by continuous breakthroughs in domestic technology innovation and favorable policies, which are expected to enhance supply-demand dynamics in the domestic market [3]

Group 1 - The report from Huatai Securities suggests that the electronic sector is expected to maintain high prosperity due to the continuous iteration of large model architectures and the potential acceleration of inference demand driven by Scaling Law [1] - In terms of self-controllability, the domestic manufacturing sector is advancing in terms of advanced process capacity, presenting opportunities for domestic equipment manufacturers as new capacities continue to emerge, leading to an increase in localization rates [1] - On the AI front, AI glasses are anticipated to reach a turning point in the second half of the year, while the smart driving sector is expected to accelerate its industrial trend due to continuous price reductions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector is experiencing a surge in demand driven by the North American computing power chain, particularly in the ASIC industry, with expectations for significant growth in AI-related PCB and optical module markets [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends and Performance - The "three musketeers" of optical modules, namely Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication, have seen cumulative stock price increases of over 20% since June [2]. - Victory Technology, closely tied to Nvidia, has become the new PCB market leader, with its stock reaching an all-time high, while Huadian shares have increased by 12% this week [2]. - The ASIC and GPU-driven AI PCB market is expected to double this year and grow by 65% next year due to increased investments from major tech companies [2]. Group 2: ASIC Market Developments - Major cloud providers are accelerating their ASIC chip projects to reduce customization costs, with Google, Meta, and Amazon all planning significant launches in 2024 [4][10]. - Broadcom's recent earnings call highlighted a robust demand for AI processing chips, projecting revenues of $5.1 billion from AI-related products, a 60% year-over-year increase [5][6]. - Marvell has raised its market expectations for AI custom chips, projecting a potential market size of $94 billion by 2028, up from $75 billion, with a target market share of 20% [8]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Production Capacity - Meta plans to upgrade its ASIC-based server clusters significantly, aiming to ship between 1 million to 1.5 million chips between 2025 and 2026, which could strain wafer production capacity [12][13]. - The ASIC market's complexity requires higher performance PCB materials, with Meta's designs featuring 36 to 40 layers, indicating a shift towards advanced manufacturing capabilities [24][25]. - Companies like Huadian and Shenghong Technology are positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end PCBs, with margins significantly higher than industry averages due to their focus on advanced technology [26][29]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ASIC narrative is expected to quadruple the value of the AI PCB industry by 2025-2026, presenting substantial growth opportunities for suppliers [30][31]. - The increasing share of AI-related orders is a major catalyst for valuation improvements in high-end PCB companies [29].

淡水泉投资表示，中国科技企业具有基本面持续成长潜力，以及抵御国际基本面风险的实力，具体来 看：一是企业与材料、高端制造紧密相关的产业，未来两三年有望广泛受益于AI应用、算力链、汽车 智能化等行业的发展，且深度参与到上下游的产品创新和价值创造。二是国产替代、自主可控方向产 业，例如国产算力和设备供应商，主要靠内需驱动，受宏观经济影响比较小，可能会受益。三是继续看 好电力设备领域，未来有望受益于行业需求回暖、企业产能利用率提高，甚至扩产等景气周期向上的机 会。"后续将持续关注企业中期盈利、市场风险偏好等因素，做好投资评估和预案。" （文章来源：证券日报） 本报讯 （记者王宁）近期，国际贸易形势引发全球股票市场动荡，受此影响，A股和港股整体保持宽幅 震荡态势。近日，淡水泉（北京）投资管理有限公司（以下简称"淡水泉投资"）发布最新研报表示，近 期A股市场呈现出两个特征：一是内需与自主可控类资产获得资金青睐，公用事业、农林牧渔等防御性 品种表现好于大盘。二是多数上市公司股价得到修复，反映出市场已在理性区分"情绪影响"与"基本面 实质影响"的差异。 淡水泉投资认为，当前中国完备的工业体系与高效的供应链，不仅具备成本优势， ...

Group 1 - The U.S. government's tariff policy has caused global market turmoil, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showing signs of a rebound after initial declines, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.7% and the Hang Seng Index dropped by 4.33% [1] - The core factor affecting the market in April was the U.S. tariff policy, particularly aimed at China, with President Trump attempting to achieve multiple goals through comprehensive tariff increases, but facing significant uncertainty due to conflicting objectives [1] - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions have led to a stalemate, with both sides likely to seek negotiation opportunities in the near future, especially given the upcoming inflation pressures and debt maturities in the U.S. [1] Group 2 - China's robust industrial system and efficient supply chain provide cost advantages and a strong defense against decoupling risks, as highlighted in the recent political bureau meeting emphasizing long-term strategies and economic stability measures [2] - In response to tariff impacts, the market has shown a preference for domestic demand and self-sufficient assets, with defensive sectors like utilities and agriculture performing better than the broader market [2] - Companies with exposure to U.S. or global markets have experienced indiscriminate declines but have largely recovered, indicating a market differentiation between emotional impacts and fundamental realities [2] Group 3 - There are significant investment opportunities in the technology sector, particularly for quality leaders with reasonable valuations that are either irreplaceable in global supply chains or strong in self-sufficiency [3] - Companies closely related to materials and high-end manufacturing are expected to benefit from developments in AI applications and automotive intelligence over the next two to three years, provided that extreme confrontations in U.S.-China tariffs do not occur [3] - The domestic demand-driven companies, especially in the computing power and equipment supply sectors, are likely to be less affected by the economic environment and may even benefit from external tariff pressures [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Viewpoints - The sales decline of the top 100 real estate companies has stabilized, with a year-on-year sales amount decrease of 7.8% and a sales area decrease of 18.9% from January to April 2025, showing a significant narrowing compared to the previous year [5][6] - Cement prices continue to decline, while prices for fiberglass from small and medium enterprises are loosening [5][6] - Recommendations include focusing on the African supply chain and computing power chain, with leading companies in existing markets being the main focus for the year [8][9] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In April 2025, the year-on-year sales amount for the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 10.3%, and the sales area decreased by 18.3%, showing slight improvement compared to the previous month [5][6] - The sales amount in April decreased by 12.4% month-on-month, which is better than 2024 but weaker than the average from 2018 to 2024 [5] Cement Market - As of late April, domestic cement market demand has slightly improved, with a national shipment rate of 49.3%, up by approximately 2.1 percentage points month-on-month but down by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [6][23] - The national average cement price is 391.94 yuan/ton, down by 3.06 yuan/ton month-on-month but up by 27.74 yuan/ton year-on-year [24] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing weak transactions, with limited price adjustments and general market demand [7][34] - The national average glass price is 75.13 yuan/weight box, up by 0.06 yuan/weight box month-on-month but down by 17.23 yuan/weight box year-on-year [37] Fiberglass Market - The market for non-alkali roving has seen price loosening among some small and medium enterprises, with overall trading activity declining [42] - The electronic yarn market prices have remained stable, with downstream purchasing being demand-driven [42] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the African supply chain, particularly highlighting Keda Manufacturing as a leading local player with advantages in production, channels, and brand [8] - In the computing power chain, Zhongcai Technology is recommended as a leading domestic special fiberglass cloth manufacturer benefiting from domestic substitution [8][9]

②中信建投：海外算力链业绩表现亮眼，关注三大投资方向 外围市场： 截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌0.95%，报40,829.00点；标普500指数跌0.77%，报5,606.91点；纳斯达克指数 跌0.87%，报17,689.66点。 热门中概股多数上涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨0.42%，阿里巴巴涨0.86%，京东平收，拼多多涨 0.42%，蔚来汽车跌1.51%，小鹏汽车跌1.00%，理想汽车涨1.70%，哔哩哔哩平收，百度涨1.07%，网易 跌0.76%，腾讯音乐涨1.48%。 券商晨会观点速递 ①华泰证券：继续看好大消费板块基本面逐步向好与龙头估值重估行情 华泰证券研报指出，五一消费延续回暖态势，多数省市假期消费稳健增长，以旧换新及情绪价值消费表 现亮眼。旅游方面，出游意愿提升，文旅消费多元化；离境退税政策提振入境游活力。酒店免税餐饮方 面，酒店价格企稳回升，消费券拉动需求，下沉市场活力更旺。伴随提振消费政策陆续落地，继续看好 2025年大消费板块的基本面逐步向好与龙头估值重估行情。 凤凰网财经讯 5月7日，沪指高开1.17%，深证成指涨1.35%，创业板指涨1.91%。 中信建投研报指出，随着年报与一季报的落地 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The recent update from U.S. Customs on April 11, 2025, announced a reduction in tariffs for certain products, which is expected to benefit companies like Nvidia and Apple [2] - The tariff impact is now at a low level, presenting a recovery opportunity for the fruit supply chain and computing power chain [2] - Companies in the Apple supply chain have been diversifying their global production capacities, which has shown strategic value following the tariff exemption policy [2] - The Nvidia supply chain is less affected by tariffs due to the production of high-end AI products being largely outside mainland China [2] - Despite uncertainties regarding future tariff changes, the high-value technology products primarily generate profits for U.S. companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Qualcomm, making it counterproductive for the U.S. to sever ties with Chinese suppliers [2] - The current valuation levels of related stocks have significantly deviated from their fundamentals, indicating a potential recovery opportunity [2] Summary by Sections Tariff Impact - The U.S. has updated its exemption list, reducing tariffs on certain products, effective from April 5, 2025 [2] - Relevant product categories include smartphones, data processing devices, integrated circuits, and related components [2] Supply Chain Analysis - The Apple supply chain has established production capacities in countries like Vietnam, Thailand, India, and Mexico, enhancing resilience against geopolitical risks [2] - Nvidia's GB200 series products are expected to enter mass production, with previous restrictions potentially being lifted [2] Recommended Stocks - Suggested stocks in the fruit supply chain include Lens Technology, Lianyi Intelligent Manufacturing, Dongshan Precision, Sunny Optical, and Fuliwang [2] - Suggested stocks in the computing power chain include Industrial Fulian, Shenzhen South Circuit, Huadian Technology, Jingwang Electronics, Shenghong Technology, and Shengyi Technology [2]