国金证券近日发布电力设备与新能源行业研究：地面数据中心与太空算力潜在需求共振，美国光伏"自 主可控"诉求空前强化，中国光伏产业优势将助力"太空光伏"快速放量，设备等核心企业将明确受益； 光伏主产业链代表企业陆续披露年度业绩预告，Q4经营端"业绩底"二次确认伴随报表端资产质量优 化，轻装上阵迎接2026景气复苏。 以下为研究报告摘要： 子行业周度核心观点： 整体观点：太空光伏产业链相关企业近期持续有重磅进展落地，但仍集中于原本就具备相关产品储备与 布局的企业、及此类企业之间的合作，验证该赛道的高壁垒属性；中国光伏供应链对美国重点客户的赋 能，无疑将加快整个太空光伏市场的放量，并加速空天时代的到来，坚定看好！此外，风电出海与电网 设备板块本周迎重磅利好催化，重点关注。 光伏&储能：地面数据中心与太空算力潜在需求共振，美国光伏"自主可控"诉求空前强化，中国光伏产 业优势将助力"太空光伏"快速放量，设备等核心企业将明确受益；光伏主产业链代表企业陆续披露年度 业绩预告，Q4经营端"业绩底"二次确认伴随报表端资产质量优化，轻装上阵迎接2026景气复苏。 风电：英国政府发布AR7海风拍卖结果，本次拍卖总计签约8.4GW海风 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in the chemical industry, focusing on price movements, supply-demand dynamics, and investment opportunities in undervalued leading companies amid a backdrop of strong downstream demand and geopolitical tensions [1][3][7]. Industry Dynamics - In the week of January 12-18, 49 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 20 experienced declines, and 31 remained stable. The average price of 49% of products rose month-on-month, while 39% fell [2]. - The average price of WTI crude oil futures increased by 0.54% to $59.44 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures rose by 0.66% to $63.76 per barrel during the same week [3]. - As of January 9, U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 2.72 million barrels compared to the same period last year [3]. Price Movements - The price of butadiene rose to 9,663 yuan per ton, up 4.04% week-on-week and 25.98% month-on-month, although it is down 20.8% year-on-year [4]. - Epoxy propane prices increased to 8,620 yuan per ton, reflecting an 8.84% rise week-on-week and a 9.88% increase year-on-year [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - As of January 18, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the basic chemical sector is 14.68, while the oil and petrochemical sector stands at 13.44, indicating potential investment opportunities in undervalued leading companies [7]. - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from strong downstream demand, including electronic materials and certain new energy materials companies, as well as companies that are well-positioned amid supply-side reforms [7]. - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, with a focus on companies in emerging fields such as semiconductor materials and OLED materials [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the "space photovoltaic" sector, indicating it as a key investment theme for 2026, driven by strong demand and geopolitical narratives [7][8]. Core Insights - The space photovoltaic industry is experiencing significant advancements, primarily among companies already established in the sector, highlighting the high barriers to entry [7][8]. - The Chinese photovoltaic supply chain is expected to accelerate the growth of the space photovoltaic market, benefiting from the U.S. demand for "self-sufficiency" in solar products [7][8]. - The wind power and grid equipment sectors have also received substantial positive catalysts, with notable developments in offshore wind projects and significant investments planned by the State Grid [7][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Space Photovoltaics - Recent developments in the space photovoltaic sector include strategic partnerships and investments by companies like JunDa and Dongfang Risen, focusing on advanced technologies such as perovskite and HJT cells [8][9]. - The U.S. is facing a critical need for domestic solar supply chains due to trade barriers, which presents a significant opportunity for Chinese companies to capitalize on this demand [11][12]. Wind Power - The UK government has signed contracts for 8.4GW of offshore wind projects, exceeding market expectations, which strengthens the outlook for domestic supply chain exports [13][14]. - The auction results indicate a favorable pricing environment for developers, enhancing the profitability of future projects [14]. Grid Equipment - The State Grid's investment plan of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan represents a 40% increase from the previous plan, establishing a strong foundation for long-term growth in the grid sector [3][15]. - The aging infrastructure in North America is driving demand for new transformers and grid solutions, creating opportunities for companies like Siyuan Electric and Jinpan Technology [17][19]. Lithium Batteries - New regulations on battery recycling are set to take effect in April 2026, emphasizing the importance of a comprehensive management system for used batteries [22][23]. - Companies like Fulin Precision are expanding their production capabilities in lithium iron phosphate batteries, indicating a positive trend in the lithium battery market [25][26]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The hydrogen industry is poised for growth, with significant policy support and increasing sales of hydrogen vehicles expected in the coming years [4][5].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of significant growth driven by AI demand and capital expenditures [28][29]. Core Insights - TSMC's AI guidance and CAPEX are above expectations, with projected revenue for Q1 2026 between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, and a gross margin of 63-65% [1]. - The company anticipates a nearly 30% year-over-year revenue growth for 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% for revenue from 2024 to 2029, and 55-60% CAGR for AI processor revenue [1]. - The demand for AI is confirmed as genuine, leading to increased production capacity and a planned CAPEX of $52-56 billion for 2026 [1]. - Major North American cloud service providers (CSPs) are expected to increase their AI infrastructure investments, potentially reaching a total investment of $600 billion by 2026 [1]. - The report highlights strong demand for AI-related products, particularly in the PCB and semiconductor sectors, with companies actively expanding production [4][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Consumer Electronics - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion of AI applications in consumer electronics, particularly in the Apple supply chain and smart glasses [5]. - AI mobile applications are expected to drive significant growth, with a focus on products like foldable phones and AI glasses [5]. 2. PCB - The PCB industry is maintaining high demand, particularly for copper-clad laminates, with expectations of price increases due to tight supply [6][28]. - The report indicates a robust outlook for AI-PCB companies, with strong orders and production capacity utilization [4][28]. 3. Semiconductor - The semiconductor sector is projected to benefit from increased demand for AI and cloud computing, with a positive outlook for memory chips and DRAM prices [22][24]. - The report notes that the semiconductor equipment and materials sectors are also expected to see growth due to geopolitical factors and domestic production initiatives [25][27]. 4. Key Companies - Notable companies mentioned include TSMC, NVIDIA, and Micron, which are expected to benefit from the AI-driven demand surge [28][29]. - Specific companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei are highlighted for their advancements in semiconductor equipment and technology [30][31]. 5. Market Trends - The report indicates a strong upward trend in the semiconductor and PCB markets, driven by AI and cloud computing demands [28][37]. - The overall sentiment in the electronics sector is positive, with significant growth expected in the coming quarters [37].

这家企业正用第三代半导体技术，绣制着自主可控的"中国芯"。 转自：贵州日报 本报讯（记者 何欣）1月12日，贵阳南明区泰新半导体（贵州）有限公司洁净车间里，一场静默的"微 观手术"正在进行。操作员凝神屏息，双眼紧贴高倍显微镜，手指微调着操纵杆。一根直径仅25微米、 细若游丝的金线——大约是头发丝的五分之一，在他的操控下精准探出，稳稳"点焊"在比指甲盖还小的 芯片焊盘上。 "这一'点'，就是芯片的'神经缝合'。线细了易断，粗了影响性能，力度、角度差一丝都不行。"公司总 经理王海军轻声解释，生怕惊扰了这份精密。他身后，经过划片、装架的微小芯片，正通过这道名 为"键合"的关键工序，被赋予"生命"，即将奔赴5G/6G基站、相控阵雷达等高端装备领域。 射频芯片是无线通信的"心脏"。在向6G和空天信息网络迈进的时代，对芯片频率和功率的要求日益严 苛。"我们的'王牌'是氮化镓材料。"王海军拿起氮化镓功率放大器晶粒说，相比传统材料，氮化镓天 生"耐高压、抗高温"，能让芯片在极高频率和功率下稳定工作。 目前，公司已聚集本土技术团队，产品覆盖八大系列，广泛应用于5G/6G基站、卫星互联网、无人机集 群等领域。"我们的目标，就是在 ...

说到现实，就不得不提那份硬生生落地的政策——白宫宣布自15日起对部分进口半导体、半导体制造设备及衍生品加征25%从价关税，这一刀劈下去，直接 切到的是高端制造的神经，这不是简单的税率变动，这是把全球供应链的地形图又翻了一页，谁是受益者，谁是受损者，非常值得深思。 半导体不是普通商品，它既是"工业之粮"，又是战略资本，给它加税，短期看是对本土产业的保护伞，长期看却可能自缚手脚，因为芯片生产链条漫长且高 度国际化，设备、材料、设计、封测、人才，每一环都可能跨境协作，单方面提高关税，能否真正把产业链拉回本土，还是把制造成本和不确定性一并推给 下游企业，这个账要算清楚。 历史上，贸易保护常以产业保全为名，却常以成本上升为实，这不是危言耸听，而是有前车之鉴，关税会不会在短期内刺激国内相关行业投资，答案或许是 肯定的，但那投资的投向和效率，能否抵消因为关税带来的价格上涨与报复性政策，未必，且别忘了——半导体高度依赖资本设备和专业人才，这些不是关 税能马上创造的东西。 而"褐皮书"则给出另一面资料美联储十几天发布的这份调研显示，多数联储区经济以轻微至温和速度扩张，消费有节日支撑，招聘活动整体稳定，价格总体 温和上涨，且关税 ...

A股三大指数今日（1月16日）集体小幅回调，沪指险守4100点关口。截至收盘，沪指跌0.26%，报4101.91点；深证成指跌0.18%，创业板指跌0.20%。沪深 京三市成交额达到30568亿元，较昨日放量1180亿元。 盘面上，电子板块逆市领涨，荟聚电子板块核心龙头的电子ETF（515260）全天红盘活跃，场内价格最终收涨2.7%，重仓电子、计算机等行业的智能制造 ETF（516800）场内收涨2.42%；新能源、新材料板块部分个股表现亮眼，新材料ETF（516360）、智能电动车ETF（516380）场内价格双双收涨超1%。 一、台积电业绩远超预期！半导体逆市狂飙，电子ETF（515260）翘尾收涨2.7%，尾盘溢价飙升！兆易创新等4股涨停 电子板块逆市领涨A股所有行业，荟聚电子板块核心龙头的电子ETF（515260）全天红盘活跃，场内价格最终收涨2.7%，斩获日线3连阳！尾盘溢价飙升， 收盘溢价率高达0.93%，显示买盘资金更为强势！ 下跌方面，AI医疗概念继续"降温"，全市场规模最大医疗ETF（512170）下挫2.6%；AI应用概念股全线回调，双线布局"算力+AI应用"的创业板人工智能 ETF（1 ...

（来源：逍遥财情） 昨日，全球最大的芯片代工厂商台积电公布远超市场预期的炸裂财报，其2025年第四季度净利润同比增长35%，同时表示今年 资本支出规模最高达560亿美元，较2025年实际支出409亿美元大幅增长37%，创下该公司历史新高。这一信号被市场解读为， 该公司对人工智能产业持续扩张抱有坚定信心。 业绩情况：2025年报预增中值：473.71% 同时，央视财经报道，近期内存条大幅涨价引发广泛关注，自2025年9月以来，DDR5内存条价格上涨超300%，DDR4内存条 涨幅也超150%。 当前国内市场，先进逻辑与存储产能扩产有望形成共振，叠加自主可控趋势下国产化率的进一步提升，共同带动半导体设备 与材料需求持续向上。 本文特梳理，国内半导体芯片产业，已发布2025年报预增的公司，筛选增幅最高的10家公司，以供参考。 1、中泰股份 细分领域：深冷设备制造及气体运营 业绩情况：2025年报预增中值：677.22% 芯片业务：公司的核心产品板翅式换热器已有多套应用于英特尔、三星、美光、台积电等芯片巨头的电子气装置中。与韩企 浦项制铁合资公司生产的高纯度稀有气体，能满足韩国半导体市场50%以上氪氙气体的需求。 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The electronic sector is leading the A-share market, with the electronic ETF (515260) showing strong performance, closing up 2.7% and achieving a premium rate of 0.93% at the end of the trading day, indicating strong buying interest [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The electronic sector received a net inflow of 30.511 billion, ranking first among all 31 Shenwan primary industries [2][3] - Major stocks in the electronic ETF, including Zhaoyi Innovation and Changdian Technology, attracted 4.538 billion and 3.181 billion respectively, topping the A-share inflow rankings [2][3] - Semiconductor leaders such as Changdian Technology, Zhaoyi Innovation, and Tongfu Microelectronics hit the daily limit, while Huazhong Microelectronics rose over 13% [4] Group 2: Industry Trends - TSMC's recent earnings report for Q4 2025 exceeded expectations, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, and raised its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to 52-56 billion USD, reflecting strong and sustainable demand in the AI industry chain [5] - The U.S. government's recent imposition of a 25% tariff on specific semiconductors may create a stronger "accelerated replacement" window for domestic equipment amid increasing supply chain uncertainties [5] - The trend of "self-control and AI resonance" is expected to strengthen further in 2026, with a focus on domestic computing power and semiconductor equipment [5] Group 3: Investment Tools - The electronic ETF (515260) and its linked funds are designed to passively track the electronic 50 index, heavily investing in semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors, including AI chips, automotive electronics, and PCB [5] - The ETF serves as an efficient tool for investors to gain exposure to core assets in the electronic sector [5]

A股三大指数今日（1月16日）集体小幅回调，沪指险守4100点关口。截至收盘，沪指跌0.26%，报 4101.91点；深证成指跌0.18%，创业板指跌0.20%。沪深京三市成交额达到30568亿元，较昨日放量1180 亿元。 盘面上，电子板块逆市领涨，荟聚电子板块核心龙头的电子ETF（515260）全天红盘活跃，场内价格最 终收涨2.7%，重仓电子、计算机等行业的智能制造ETF（516800）场内收涨2.42%；新能源、新材料板 块部分个股表现亮眼，新材料ETF（516360）、智能电动车ETF（516380）场内价格双双收涨超1%。 下跌方面，AI医疗概念继续"降温"，全市场规模最大医疗ETF（512170）下挫2.6%；AI应用概念股全线 回调，双线布局"算力+AI应用"的创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场内收跌1.81%回踩五日线。 港股方面，市场整体疲软，港股芯片逆市飘红，全市场首只聚焦"港股芯片"产业链的港股信息技术ETF （159131）早盘高开后震荡走弱，收盘仍坚挺收涨0.31%。 | 序号 代码 类型 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | | 1 515260 主 电子ET ...