Market Overview - The A-share market showed balanced performance with technology stocks rebounding, including significant gains in companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, which rose by 8.31% to a market value of 449.6 billion yuan [1] - The consumer sector also saw an increase, particularly in tourism and home appliances, with high-dividend assets like coal and gas stocks experiencing substantial gains [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.49% [3] Technology Sector - Technology stocks rebounded in the morning session, with notable increases in consumer electronics, computing power, and semiconductor supply chains [4] - Companies like Haiguang Information and Cambrian reported strong third-quarter earnings, with Haiguang achieving a revenue of 9.49 billion yuan, up 54.65%, and a net profit of 1.96 billion yuan, up 28.56% [6] - Cambrian's revenue for the same period reached 4.61 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 2386.38%, marking a significant turnaround with a net profit of 1.61 billion yuan [6] AI Chip Sector - The listing process for domestic AI chip "unicorns" is progressing smoothly, with the upcoming review of Muxi Integrated Circuit Co., Ltd. by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [7] - Stocks related to Muxi, such as UCloud and Zhongke Blue News, saw significant price increases [8] Policy Support - Recent policies from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aim to accelerate the deployment of high-performance networks and enhance the infrastructure for computing power centers [8] - The optimistic outlook for capital expenditures from leading cloud vendors suggests sustained high demand across the AI computing power industry chain [8] Solid-State Battery Sector - The solid-state battery sector experienced a surge, with companies like Haike New Source and Zhuhai Guanyu seeing substantial stock price increases [9] - Recent breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology from research teams in China promise to significantly enhance battery range and efficiency [12] - Chery Automobile showcased a solid-state battery module with an energy density of 600 Wh/kg, potentially increasing the range to 1200-1300 kilometers [12]

Macro Strategy - The report discusses the potential benefits of monetary policy easing, such as interest rate cuts, on equity assets, emphasizing that investor expectations for future corporate profits may be more critical than discount rates in DCF models [1][9] - It highlights that if monetary easing coincides with improved profit expectations and economic recovery, equity markets may perform better despite a bearish bond market [1][9] - Defensive stocks are likely to benefit more from monetary easing compared to growth stocks, which require specific conditions to see direct benefits [1][9] Company Analysis High Energy Environment (603588) - The company reported a significant increase in non-recurring profit by 29% in Q3 2025, driven by rising metal prices and improved operational efficiency [3][13] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.16 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.28% year-on-year, while net profit reached 646 million yuan, an increase of 15.18% [3][13] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is set at 800 million, 910 million, and 1.05 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.5, 12.8, and 11.1 [3][13] Fuan Energy (002911) - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 23.501 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.38%, with net profit reaching 490 million yuan, up 6.07% [4][14] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 65% from 2025 to 2027, ensuring shareholder returns [4][14] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan, with PE ratios of 19.3, 18.2, and 17.2 [4][14] Minshida (920394) - The company reported a 38% year-on-year increase in non-recurring profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 343 million yuan, a 21.77% increase [5][16] - The sales gross margin improved to 40.37%, reflecting strong operational performance [5][16] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 134 million, 171 million, and 216 million yuan, with PE ratios of 45, 35, and 28 [5][16] 361 Degrees (01361.HK) - The company experienced a 10% increase in offline sales for its main brand and children's clothing, with a 20% increase in e-commerce sales [7][18] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.62 billion yuan, with low PE ratios of 8 for all three years [7][18] Haiguang Information (688041) - The company reported a revenue of 9.49 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.65%, with a net profit of 1.961 billion yuan, up 28.56% [8][19] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI applications and has a comprehensive product matrix in the GPU sector [8][19] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 3.116 billion, 4.617 billion, and 6.529 billion yuan [8][19]

Group 1 - Trump continues to signal tariff easing, exempting dozens of products from "reciprocal tariffs" and indicating willingness to exclude more items from tariffs during trade agreements [3] - Recent earnings reports from domestic computing power leaders show significant revenue increases, catalyzing the domestic computing power sector [3][4] - The Chinese AI market is expected to reach $50 billion this year, with a growth rate exceeding 50%, highlighting the importance of domestic computing power development [4] Group 2 - The AI application market is experiencing rapid growth, with advancements in large models enhancing performance and reshaping software and hardware functionalities [5] - The communication ETF (515880) is positioned well, with nearly 50% of its holdings in optical modules, representing a strong opportunity for investment [6] - The communication ETF ranks first among its peers with a total scale of $8.46 billion, indicating robust fundamentals in computing hardware [6]

今日导读 ·士兰微19日公告，与厦门市政府、厦门市海沧区政府签署了《12英寸高端模拟集成电路芯片制造生产 线项目战略合作协议》。项目规划总投资200亿元，规划产能4.5万片/月，分两期实施。 ·沐曦集成电路（上海）股份有限公司科创板IPO将于10月24日接受上市审核委员会审议。 ·南京港北极航线首航成功，欧洲直航节省10天。 ·中国人寿预计前三季度归母净利润约1567.85亿元到1776.89亿元，同比增长约50%到70%。 上证精选 ·财政部将提前下达2026年新增地方政府债务限额。近期，中央财政从地方政府债务结存限额中安排 5000亿元下达地方。 ·中国证监会修订发布《上市公司治理准则》，进一步规范上市公司董事、高级管理人员和控股股东、 实际控制人行为。 ·农业农村部部长韩俊10月18日在第二十二届中国国际农产品交易会"强农论坛"上表示，要稳定提升农 业综合生产能力，加快提升农业科技装备水平，大力发展智慧农业。 ·国家知识产权局局长申长雨10月18日在第二十二届上海知识产权国际论坛上表示，持续完善人工智能 领域知识产权制度规则，强化高价值知识产权技术供给，运用人工智能大模型技术提升知识产权领域治 理效能。 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing a strong inflow of incremental funds, with investors showing a strong willingness to accumulate positions on dips, indicating a potential recovery in market momentum [1] Short-term Strategy - Focus on previously popular sectors such as domestic computing power, semiconductor self-sufficiency, controllable nuclear fusion, military industry, and commercial aerospace, which may rebound as risk appetite increases [1] Long-term Strategy - Long-term investments should consider the potential economic resonance between China and the U.S. in 2026 and the trend of rising Producer Price Index (PPI), with an emphasis on allocating resources to low-position cyclical sectors [1]

中科蓝讯：持有沐曦股份85.43万股，占其首次公开发行前总股本的0.24%。 超讯通信：为"沐曦"品牌GPU产品特定行业总代理商。 据上证报报道，上交所上市审核委员会将于10月24日召开2025年第46次审议会议，审议沐曦集成电路 (上海)股份有限公司科创板IPO事宜。此前，另一家国产GPU公司摩尔线程9月26日已率先过会。 民生证券认为，以沐曦股份、摩尔线程为代表的国产GPU企业上市进程在不断加速，这不仅是国产GPU 产业的一次资本飞跃，通过募资推动国产GPU在制程工艺、芯片架构、计算密度和能效比等方面不断迭 代，缩小与国际领先水平的代差，更是代表国产GPU产业链正从技术追赶迈向生态构建，打造自主可控 的国产算力产业链，国产算力有望全面崛起。 公司方面，据上证报表示， *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 *风险提示：股市有风险，入市需谨慎 ...

Group 1: Computing Power - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's listing review committee will meet on October 24, 2025, to review the IPO of Muxi Integrated Circuit (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. [1] - The listing process for domestic GPU companies like Muxi and Moole Technology is accelerating, representing a capital leap for the domestic GPU industry and aiming to narrow the technological gap with international leaders [1][2] Group 2: Shipping - The "Hongwei" vessel successfully completed its two-month Arctic route task, significantly reducing transportation time from 36 days to 26 days, thus lowering costs [1][2] - The successful operation of this Arctic route marks a significant milestone in the development of Nanjing as a regional shipping logistics center [2] Group 3: Satellite Internet - The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology released a technical roadmap for intelligent connected vehicles, emphasizing the need for enhanced communication capabilities and network coverage [3] - Satellite internet is expected to bridge the digital divide and support emerging scenarios like intelligent driving and low-altitude economy [4] Group 4: Robotics - UBTECH won a bid for a project in Guangxi with an order amount of 126 million yuan, further accelerating the commercialization of humanoid robots [4][5] - The Walker series humanoid robots have secured over 630 million yuan in orders this year, indicating a shift from demonstration to large-scale deployment in industrial scenarios [5] Group 5: Tourism - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments released guidelines to promote high-quality development in the accommodation industry, proposing 17 specific measures [5][6] - The accommodation industry is undergoing structural upgrades driven by policy support, technological innovation, and consumption upgrades, with a projected market size of 15.5 trillion yuan by 2030 [6] Group 6: Battery Recycling - The State Administration for Market Regulation has approved five national standards for battery recycling, enhancing resource utilization efficiency [7] - The battery recycling market is in a golden development period, with predictions of 820,000 tons of retired batteries by 2025, potentially generating an industry value of 280 billion yuan [7] Group 7: Macro and Industry News - The State Council meeting emphasized the need to accelerate the improvement of green trade policies and promote the integration of logistics data with artificial intelligence [8] - A video call between Chinese and U.S. officials agreed to hold new rounds of economic and trade consultations [10]

- The report introduces a timing system model based on the distance between the 120-day long-term moving average and the 20-day short-term moving average of the WIND All A Index. The model's construction involves calculating the difference between the two moving averages, with the short-term average currently above the long-term average. The formula for the distance is expressed as: $ Distance = \frac{Short\ Term\ MA - Long\ Term\ MA}{Long\ Term\ MA} $ where Short Term MA represents the 20-day moving average and Long Term MA represents the 120-day moving average. The current distance is 12.26%, down from 12.89% last week, and remains significantly above the threshold of 3%[2][11][17] - The report evaluates the timing system model as effective in identifying market trends, noting that the recent shift from an upward trend to a volatile trend is captured by the model. The model's core observation focuses on changes in risk appetite during volatile periods[2][11][17] - The report highlights the "TWO BETA" model for industry allocation, which recommends focusing on technology sectors, including domestic computing power and the Hang Seng Internet sector. The model emphasizes policy-driven sectors such as photovoltaics and chemicals, alongside dividend assets[3][12][17] - The report suggests using a position management model to adjust stock allocation based on the WIND All A Index. The model recommends a 60% allocation for absolute return products, considering the index's PE at the 85th percentile and PB at the 50th percentile, indicating a medium valuation level[3][12][17] - The timing system model's backtesting results show that the current WIND All A Index trend line is at 6264 points, while the closing price is 6108 points, significantly below the trend line. The market's profitability effect indicator has turned negative for the first time in six months, signaling a potential end to the upward trend[2][11][17]

Core Insights - The Chinese computing power industry is receiving significant policy support, marking a transition from the first phase of scale expansion to a second phase focused on deep integration with the real economy and value creation [1] - The national strategy emphasizes the construction of new information infrastructure and the application of computing power in various industries, with a focus on security and data protection [1][10] Policy and Infrastructure Development - On October 11, a joint implementation plan was released by multiple government departments to promote service-oriented manufacturing innovation, setting a new direction for the computing power industry [1] - Shanghai has responded with its own action plan for high-quality development of the intelligent terminal industry, aiming to create a cluster for intelligent computing servers and promote the large-scale application of core components [1] - The establishment of a national computing power network is underway, with various cities forming alliances to meet regional computing demands [3][4] Industry Growth and Company Initiatives - Companies like Dongfang Guoxin and Qidi Design are actively investing in intelligent computing center construction, with significant project investments reported [5][6] - The computing power infrastructure is expanding rapidly, with cities like Ceyuan and Langfang leading in data center operations and service provision [4][5] Technological Advancements - The domestic computing power industry is experiencing a historic shift from "usable" to "well-used" due to policy guidance and technological breakthroughs [7] - Major companies like Huawei are advancing their AI chip development, with plans for continuous product iterations and high-performance cluster solutions [7][8] AI Commercialization and Industry Integration - The integration of computing power with various industries is accelerating, with a focus on creating high-quality industry data sets and promoting the commercialization of AI applications [10][11] - Companies are forming strategic partnerships to enhance AI capabilities in sectors such as finance, education, and security, indicating a trend towards deeper industry integration [11][12] Future Outlook - The demand for computing power is expected to grow significantly as AI applications become more widespread, with emerging sectors like low-altitude economy poised for rapid development [13]