9月28日，白银价格强势拉升，截至28日14时40分左右， 现货白银向已突破46美元/盎司，涨幅达1.91%，创出14年新高。铂金一周飙升 15.4%，突破1500美元/盎司，创出12年新高。 | W | 现货铂金(美元/盎司) | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTPTUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | | | 1575.90 ª | 1511.00 | | | 总量 | | | 0 | | +64.90 | +4.30% 开盘 | | 1525.50 | 现手 | | | 0 | | 最高价 | 1586.28 | 持 | 0 | A 营 | | | 0 | | 最低价 | 1514.00 仓 | 博 | 0 | 内 | | | O | | 分时 | 日K 園K モ日 | | | 目K | | 电子 | | | 叠加 | | | | 均价:0.00 | | | | | 1586.28 | | | | 4.89% 卖一 | 1586.90 | | | | | | | | | 1575.90 | | ...

今年以来黄金已经36次刷新历史新高，累计涨幅达到43%。市场对黄金持有的信心空前高涨，全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR的持仓量已经达到1005.72吨， 持仓规模创2022年8月以来最高。 经过一轮猛涨"整顿"，市场基本没有看空黄金的声音。 德意志银行表示，黄金价格再度刷新纪录高位，主要是因为避险恐慌。该行分析师亨利·艾伦在一份研报中对客户表示："投资者一方面看好股市，但同时也 担忧存在重大下行风险。黄金价格的驱动因素很多，其中之一就是它被视为恐慌时期的避风港"。 高盛在9月初的报告中预计，基准情景下，到2026年中国际金价将飙升至每盎司4000美元；在"尾部风险情景"下，金价或达每盎司4500美元；若美国私人持 有的国债市场中仅1%的资金流入黄金，金价预计将接近每盎司5000美元。 | | 日期 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | ○ 黄金ETF持仓量 | | | | | 黄金ETF持仓(当前持仓:1005.72) | | | | 实时更新(最近更新日期:2025-09-26) | | 日期 | 净持仓量(吨) | 持仓量增减(吨) | | 2025-09-26 | 1005. 72 | ...

石家庄市民在选购黄金饰品。河北经济日报记者 烟成群 摄 长城网·冀云客户端讯（河北经济日报记者 烟成群）随着国庆中秋假期的临近，黄金市场再度成为消费 者关注的焦点，然而不断创出新高的金价，却让不少人"望而却步"。 北京时间9月23日，美国纽约商品交易所（COMEX）黄金盘中一度突破3800美元/盎司，最近几天继续 维持高位。国内多家品牌金店报价也再创新高，以人民币计价突破1100元/克。 9月24日，记者在石家庄北国商城的黄金销售区看到，尽管多个品牌推出每克减100元左右的优惠措施， 顾客仍寥寥无几。 一家品牌金店的销售负责人告诉记者，由于最近两个月黄金价格涨势明显，除了结婚、生孩子的消费 者，很多人暂缓购买黄金。"一位顾客今年2月初时花3万元买了一个金手镯，当时金价700多元，加上工 费是794元。按现在的价格，一克可以赚50元，比存银行收益高多了。"该店员说，金价超过了1000元， 店里销量大减，今年9月以来只有70克，是去年同期的十分之一。 金价上涨，购金者观望气氛浓厚。河北经济日报记者 烟成群 摄 与商场销售饰品金不同，各银行主要销售投资性金条，没有手续费。 工行河北省分行一位贵金属业务 负责人介绍， ...

黄金新高大跌超70美金，止跌横盘震荡收窄，多空争夺后，再次上破，大涨50美金，冲高回落调整，持 续高位调整。 下周的走势 昨天震荡收窄后，再次上破。 上演冲高回落，重回3760附近调整。 下周再探3756的前高阻力，关注此位置反弹。 再次支撑反弹，上方挑战3790。 昨天主要因素： 一方面，美物价表现平平，没有出现大的升温，说白了，特朗普的关税遇到了美联储的限制政策，受伤 的还是美自己。不过物价的表现，再给了美联储降息的预期，或加码年内继续降息的次数，推升黄金突 破大涨。 另外一方面，美债务危机持续，流动性欠缺，特朗普取消会晤，直接打消了临时法案，美政府关门风险 上升。叠加，特朗普又开始作妖了，继续升级关税，不断扩张到更多的领域，而且或高达100%的关 税，继续冲击全球供应链，支撑黄金。 下周非农周 重磅当属美非农数据，这个重要的就业数据，又来扰乱市场来了，10月和12月是否继续降息，尤其关键 的参考意义。 当然了，还有超级数据，美9月ISM制造业PMI数据，检测美经济的核心指标，经济强弱如何，或直接 冲击美股美债。 再次破高，持续看新高3800的关口，或更高位置，不猜顶。 同时，上不破顶，继续看高位调整。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold is treated differently in terms of taxation compared to other investments, which may influence investment strategies and decisions in the market [1] Group 1 - Gold investments are not subject to the same tax regulations as stocks or bonds, potentially making them more attractive for certain investors [1] - The unique tax treatment of gold can lead to different financial outcomes for investors, impacting overall portfolio performance [1]

9月中旬，市场传言10余家深圳水贝地区黄金料商相继出现经营异常状况，其中部分黄金料商早已人去 楼空，引起广泛关注。 证券时报记者此前也曾去网传"跑路"的几家公司进行实探，其中粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司（简称"粤宝 鑫"）门店已经关灯闭门，店内物品基本清空，也有部分商家处于正常营业状态当中。 9月26日晚间，深圳市黄金珠宝首饰行业协会官方微信号发布倡议书称，在当前金价高位波动的背景 下，个别商家假借实物黄金交易之名，违规开展类期货性质的"黄金投资"业务，此类行为潜藏高杠杆对 赌、资金链断裂等重大风险，不仅严重扰乱市场秩序，更直接损害"水贝"整体形象。司法机关已对相关 违法行为立案查处，违规人员将依法追究责任。 加强行业自律，共建监督机制，商户之间相互提醒、监督。如发现违规行为，应主动向行业协会或相关 主管部门报告，形成协同共治的良好局面。 作为中国最大的金饰加工产业基地，深圳水贝地区云集大量民营金饰加工企业，每年创造数千亿元的金 饰加工产值。所谓黄金料商，主要是黄金原料提供商，他们一方面通过代理商等渠道回收大量民间旧金 条金饰，另一方面将这些旧金条金饰打造成标准的黄金板料，再出售给黄金零售商（用于制作新的金饰 金条销 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices have surged 120% over the past three years, with a 40% increase in the first half of this year alone, surpassing last year's 26% rise [1][3] - Institutions have raised their gold price forecasts, with some predicting prices could reach $5,000 per ounce [3][4] - Central banks are increasing their gold reserves, with China's central bank purchasing gold for ten consecutive months, leading to a significant shift in reserve strategies [6][8] Group 2 - The decline in interest rates makes holding gold more attractive, as it reduces the opportunity cost of not holding interest-bearing assets [10][12] - Geopolitical risks, such as tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, are driving investors towards gold as a safe asset [12][14] - Historical data shows that gold prices tend to rise significantly during crises, averaging a 5.5% increase within 8-20 days after such events [14][18] Group 3 - Analysts have mixed views on the future of gold prices, with some predicting continued upward momentum while others caution against chasing high prices [16][21] - Goldman Sachs reports a historic high in the number of investors bullish on gold prices [19] - Predictions for gold prices in the short to long term vary, with potential ranges from $2,500 to $4,500 depending on various economic factors [22] Group 4 - Consumers are advised to approach gold investments cautiously, considering options like gold ETFs or physical gold bars, while avoiding high-risk instruments like futures [27][29] - Young consumers looking to purchase gold jewelry are exploring alternatives due to rising prices, such as buying gold bars directly or using old gold for exchanges [30][31] - Retailers in the gold jewelry sector are facing challenges, with significant declines in sales and store closures attributed to high gold prices [33]

来源：涨基财富 近期黄金价格突破3800美元/盎司，创历史新高，年内涨幅已超38%。 多家权威机构持续看多金价，其中高盛指出，在极端情景下（如美联储独立性受质疑导致资金从美债转 向黄金），金价可能触及5000美元/盎司。摩根大通、瑞银等机构也普遍看好金价中长期站上4000美 元。 以下是主要黄金基金类型及其特点： 1、黄金ETF，通过持有黄金现货合约跟踪黄金价格的基金，在证券交易所上市交易，支持T+0交易（当 日可买卖），交易效率最高，资金实时到账。 这些机构看涨黄金的逻辑主要集中在以下几个方面： 1、央行持续购金：各国央行是黄金市场的重要买家。世界黄金协会报告指出，央行们计划在未来五年 内增加黄金持有量，同时减少美元储备。 2、美联储货币政策转向预期：市场普遍预期美联储将进入降息周期。降息通常会压低美元价值和债券 收益率，从而提振黄金这类非生息资产的价格。 3、对美联储独立性的担忧：高盛指出，若美联储的独立性受到质疑（例如面临政治压力），可能导致 通胀预期上升、美元信誉受损，从而触发资金从美元资产流向黄金。他们测算，若有1%的私人持有美 债资金转向黄金，金价就可能接近5000美元。 4、地缘政治与经济不确定 ...

Group 1 - The price of gold has been rising, leading to increased demand for gold investments among investors [1][3] - As of September 26, there are 48 existing wealth management products in the market that include "gold" in their names, with over ten of these being bank wealth management products [1] - On September 23, Jianxin Wealth Management launched its first structured wealth management product linked to gold, which is designed to provide returns based on the price of gold and includes a mix of low-risk fixed income assets and a small portion in gold options [3] Group 2 - Other financial institutions such as Zhaoyin Wealth Management and Minsheng Wealth Management have also issued structured wealth management products linked to gold [3] - The advantages of structured wealth management products include customized risk-return profiles, enhanced return mechanisms through derivatives, risk diversification, and adaptability to various risk preferences [3] - Experts recommend that investors maintain a rational investment approach and fully understand the characteristics, return methods, and risk levels of gold wealth management products before investing [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices, particularly after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, has led to increased interest in gold-linked bank wealth management products, which are offering attractive annualized returns compared to other fixed-income products [1][2][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Since September, gold prices have been on the rise, with COMEX gold futures reaching over $3,800 per ounce [1]. - As of September 26, the highest price recorded was $3,783.5 per ounce, reflecting a 0.33% increase [4]. - The current gold price increase is supported by macroeconomic factors, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and increased gold reserves by emerging market central banks [4]. Group 2: Bank Wealth Management Products - Banks and wealth management subsidiaries are actively promoting gold-related financial products, with many offering annualized returns exceeding 5% in the past month [1][2]. - Specific products, such as a structured deposit linked to gold prices, have been highlighted, with a typical allocation of 8% to 10% in gold [2]. - Notable products include a shark fin structure from China Merchants Bank with a 6.27% annualized return and another from Xingyin Wealth Management with a 7.49% return in the last month [2]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Experts suggest that while gold products remain valuable, investors should be cautious due to the current high price levels and potential volatility [5]. - The design of some products includes risk control mechanisms, as evidenced by early terminations due to reaching profit-taking conditions [3]. - Investors are advised to incorporate gold into their portfolios strategically and to stay informed about market dynamics and economic indicators [5].