行业 豆粕 日期 2025 年 6 月 10 日 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.co m期货从业资格号：F3055047 | 表1：行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量变化 | | 豆粕2507 | 2800 | 2813 | 2844 | 2805 | 2839 | 39 | 1.39% | 134320 | 283206 | -25076 | | 豆粕2509 | 2991 | 3002 | 3023 | 3000 | 3019 | 28 | 0.94% | 1083924 | 2292836 | 18496 | | 豆粕2511 | 3030 | 3040 | 30 ...

期货热点追踪 大商所铁矿石期货止跌回升，但季节性需求转淡预期限制涨幅，未来价格走势如何？ 相关链接 ...

期货热点追踪 玻璃期货价格逼近950元关口，接下来会反弹还是继续下跌？ 相关链接 ...

Core Insights - U.S. corn futures prices have reached a six-month low, indicating a significant decline in market sentiment [1] - In contrast, U.S. soybean futures prices are experiencing an upward trend, suggesting a divergence in market dynamics [1] - The market is currently navigating between supply and demand expectations, which will play a crucial role in determining future price movements [1] Group 1 - U.S. corn futures prices have hit a six-month low, reflecting bearish market conditions [1] - U.S. soybean futures prices are rising, indicating a potential bullish trend amidst the overall market fluctuations [1] - The ongoing supply and demand dynamics are critical in shaping the future price trajectory of these commodities [1]

马棕油期价连续三日上涨，出口数据强劲，但库存增加的阴影仍在，未来走势如何？ 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

期货热点追踪 黄金3250美元支撑暗藏玄机！市场押注美联储9月出手，金银铜未来价格走势如何？ 相关链接 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the volatile nature of U.S. wheat futures, which have experienced significant price fluctuations, while corn and soybean futures have also seen declines due to multiple factors including the dollar, weather conditions, and supply-demand dynamics [1] Group 2 - U.S. wheat futures have shown a rollercoaster trend, indicating high volatility in the market [1] - The decline in corn and soybean futures suggests a broader impact on agricultural commodities, influenced by external economic factors [1] - The interplay of the dollar's strength, weather patterns, and supply-demand conditions will be critical in determining future price movements in these markets [1]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report - The methanol 2509 contract is expected to run weakly, with a short - term and medium - term outlook of oscillation and an intraday view of oscillation on the weak side [1][5]. 3) Summary by Related Content Price and Market Performance - On the night of Monday this week, the domestic methanol futures 2509 contract slightly closed down 0.53% to 2,269 yuan/ton [5]. Core Logic - With the gradual digestion of macro - positive factors, there is a lack of fundamental support for the continued upward movement of methanol futures prices [5]. - Multiple domestic coal - to - methanol plants have restarted one after another, and the supply pressure has rebounded again, hitting a new weekly production high [5]. - The improvement in downstream demand is limited, and the profit of methanol - to - olefin futures has declined, which is not conducive to the continued reduction of port inventories [5]. - With the expected increase in external imports, the pressure on social inventory accumulation will increase in the future [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On May 16, 2025, the glass futures price hit a new low, with a decline of over 2% and a minimum of 1002 yuan/ton, and a trading volume of 1.6316 million. Multiple factors contributed to this, and the price may remain weak in the short - term and depend on various factors in the long - term [3]. - A - shares had a full - line decline after continuous upward oscillations, and there is a high probability of entering an adjustment and oscillation phase. Foreign investors are optimistic about the overweight opportunities of Chinese assets [6]. - Gold is in an adjustment phase, but the general direction is still bullish, and the most important support is the low point after Tomb - Sweeping Festival [11]. - Iron ore faces supply surplus pressure in May due to export reduction and shipping increase, and the weak reality increases the high - valuation risk. Technically, it should be viewed with a bearish and oscillating mindset [14]. - The glass futures market requires the manifestation of real - estate stimulus effects or major policy announcements for demand to increase. Technically, it should be viewed bearishly [17]. - PTA has fundamental pressure to break through the resistance level due to low PX device operating rates and weak downstream polyester demand, and shows signs of reaching a phased peak [21]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Hot Focus - On May 16, 2025, the glass futures price hit a new low. Supply has a potential contraction trend, but inventory is at a near - three - year high. Demand is weak, raw material costs have decreased, and macro - policies have not effectively supported the demand side. In the short - term, the price may remain weak, and in the long - term, it depends on multiple factors [3]. Technical Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: A - shares declined after continuous upward oscillations, and there is a high probability of entering an adjustment and oscillation phase. Foreign investors are optimistic about the overweight opportunities of Chinese assets [6]. - **Gold**: It is in an adjustment phase, but the general direction is still bullish, and the most important support is the low point after Tomb - Sweeping Festival [11]. - **Iron Ore**: In May, there is supply surplus pressure due to export reduction and shipping increase, and the weak reality increases the high - valuation risk. Technically, it should be viewed with a bearish and oscillating mindset [14]. - **Glass**: Demand needs real - estate stimulus or major policies to increase. Technically, it should be viewed bearishly [17]. - **PTA**: It has fundamental pressure to break through the resistance level due to low PX device operating rates and weak downstream polyester demand, and shows signs of reaching a phased peak [21].

期货热点追踪 分析师预测，未来几周CBOT大豆期货将陷入区间震荡，玉米和小麦价格可能下滑，关键支撑和阻力分 别位于…… 相关链接 ...