Group 1 - The "Private Economy Promotion Law" was passed, marking the first foundational law specifically for the development of the private economy in China, effective from May 20, 2025. It addresses key concerns such as "fair competition," "investment and financing promotion," "technological innovation," "business regulation," "service guarantee," and "rights protection" for private enterprises [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce noted that the U.S. has expressed willingness to negotiate on tariff issues, and China is currently evaluating this situation [2] Group 3 - A new proactive fiscal policy is set to be introduced in 2024, including a one-time increase of 6 trillion yuan in local special bond limits to replace hidden debts, issuance of special government bonds to support state-owned banks, and measures to stabilize the real estate market [3] Group 4 - In April, the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.0%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing PMI remained in the expansion zone at 50.4% [4] Group 5 - The U.S. President announced a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad entering the U.S., indicating a significant trade policy shift [5] Group 6 - U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 177,000 in April, exceeding market expectations, while the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%. This led to a decrease in market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve [6] Group 7 - Global risk assets saw a comprehensive rise, with the Hang Seng Tech Index leading with a 3.1% increase, indicating a recovery trend in Chinese assets [7] Group 8 - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened by purchasing 46.539 billion HKD in U.S. dollars to maintain the currency peg, marking its first intervention in five years [8] Group 9 - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority attributed the recent strength of the Hong Kong dollar to increased demand related to stock investments and the appreciation of several regional currencies against the U.S. dollar [9] Group 10 - Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder meeting addressed trade policies and investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of global trade [10] Group 11 - New energy vehicle companies reported significant growth in April deliveries, with XPeng Motors seeing a 273% year-on-year increase [11] Group 12 - Travel booking platform Fliggy reported an over 80% increase in customized travel bookings for the May Day holiday, indicating a shift towards more personalized travel experiences [12] Group 13 - OPEC+ announced an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day starting in June, reflecting a response to current market conditions [13] Group 14 - Upcoming new stock offerings include three companies, with specific details on their subscription codes [14] Group 15 - CITIC Securities indicated that risk appetite is expected to rise in May, focusing on themes related to technology and consumption [15] Group 16 - Zhongtai Securities highlighted that opportunities in May will be more pronounced in technology, consumption, and certain cyclical sectors, suggesting a focus on improving performance and policy support [16]

丨证券研究报告丨 世界经济与海外市场丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 就业稳健，令美联储"有条件再等一等" ——4 月美国非农就业数据点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 4 月，美国非农就业数据高于预期，整体来看关税对就业市场的冲击尚未完全显现。家 庭调查数据来看，美国季调失业率持平于前值，仍为 4.2%符合预期。整体而言，当前美国劳动 力市场仍然处于缓降温进程，关税对就业市场的影响尚未显现，美联储仍有继续等待的空间。 往前看，我们认为，美国就业市场的超预期稳健让美联储"有条件再等一等"，未来，密集的贸 易谈判后，各国"对等关税"的落地情况，及其对美国经济的实际影响将是决定后续货币政策 的关键。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于博 敬成宇 SAC：S0490520090001 SFC：BUX667 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 就业稳健，令美联储"有条件再等一等" 2] ——4 月美国非农就业数据点评 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2025 年 5 月 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll data, traders still anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates nearly four times this year [1] Group 1 - The expectation of interest rate cuts reflects traders' confidence in a potential easing of monetary policy [1] - The non-farm payroll data may influence the Federal Reserve's decision-making process regarding interest rates [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the anticipation surrounding the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report and its potential impact on the market [1] - It highlights the significance of the non-farm employment data in relation to the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions [1] - The article encourages participation in a contest related to the April non-farm employment numbers, offering prizes for accurate predictions [1]

Market Overview - The market experienced a mixed performance with a notable number of stocks hitting both upper and lower limits, indicating divergent trends among individual stocks [3][4] - Despite a significant number of stocks facing selling pressure, the overall market managed to maintain a trading volume above 1 trillion [4] Investor Sentiment - Investors are currently in a wait-and-see mode, particularly ahead of the upcoming May Day holiday, with many contemplating whether to hold positions over the break [5][6] - Three main strategies for holding positions during the holiday are identified: buying volatility, maintaining directional strategies based on market outlook, and selling to capture time value [6][7] External Influences - The market is heavily influenced by external factors, particularly the actions of former President Trump and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations, especially regarding interest rate cuts [8][10] - Trump's fluctuating policies have led to significant declines in the U.S. stock market since his inauguration, with his approval ratings hitting a historical low [9][10] Technical Analysis - Current technical indicators show limited volatility across major indices, suggesting a potential wait for clearer direction post-holiday [16]