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货币市场日报:9月18日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 13:47
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 487 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net injection of 195 billion yuan due to 292 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with the overnight Shibor rising by 3.10 basis points to 1.5140%, while the 14-day Shibor fell by 2.60 basis points to 1.5810% [1][2] - The overall interbank pledged repo market continued to see slight increases, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rising by 2.6 basis points and 3.0 basis points, respectively [4] Group 2 - The money market maintained a tight stance, with overnight pledged rate certificates trading at 1.65% or weighted +10 basis points, while 7-day trades were between 1.53% and 1.55% [8] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 146.16 billion yuan on September 18, with 74 certificates issued [8][9] - The upcoming issuance of the 7th Central Bank Bill, with a fixed interest rate and a total issuance of 60 billion yuan, is scheduled for September 22, 2025 [11]
货币市场日报:9月17日
Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 418.5 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net injection of 114.5 billion yuan after 304 billion yuan matured on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) saw a slight increase across most tenors, with the overnight Shibor rising by 4.60 basis points to 1.4830%, the 7-day Shibor increasing by 4.40 basis points to 1.5190%, and the 14-day Shibor climbing by 10.10 basis points to 1.6070% [2][4] Interbank Market Activity - In the interbank pledged repo market, the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rose by 4.4 basis points and 7.6 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes decreasing by 333.5 billion yuan and 247.2 billion yuan [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 increased by 4.3 basis points and 4.9 basis points, with transaction volumes rising by 178 billion yuan and 1.268 billion yuan [4] Funding Conditions - As of September 17, the funding environment shifted to a balanced but slightly tight state, with overnight rates for pledged deposits ranging from 1.47% to 1.50% and 7-day rates around 1.47% to 1.48% [8] - A total of 91 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on September 17, with an actual issuance volume of 203.24 billion yuan [8] Yield Trends - Long-end yields continued to decline, alleviating tax period funding pressures, while overall trading sentiment remained positive [9] - The 1-month national bank stock ended at 1.58%, up approximately 1.5 basis points from the previous day, while the 3-month and 6-month national bank stocks also saw slight increases [9] Credit Market Insights - As of the end of July, the balance of loans in key service consumption sectors reached 2.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [11] - From January to August, the national general public budget revenue totaled 14.8198 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [11]
资金观察,货币瞭望:央行净投放维持资金面均衡,预计9月资金利率季节性上行
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-17 05:28
Core Insights - The report indicates that the central bank's net injection maintains a balanced liquidity environment, with expectations for a seasonal rise in funding rates in September [3][4][11]. Group 1: Monetary Market Indicators - The overseas monetary market shows a consensus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for September, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields declining [6]. - Domestic monetary market indicators reveal that the average interbank and exchange repo rates mostly declined in August, with R001, GC001, R007, and GC007 changing by -5BP, -7BP, -5BP, and -5BP respectively [3][12]. - The overnight transaction volume in both interbank and exchange markets increased compared to the previous month, with the exchange's transaction volume share also rising [43]. Group 2: Funding Outlook - The report predicts a seasonal tightening of liquidity at the end of the quarter, with funding rates expected to rise in September [3][11]. - The central bank's net injection and seasonal reduction in fiscal deposits are anticipated to lead to a rebound in the excess reserve ratio in September [4][11]. - The central bank's net injection in August was 1,446 billion yuan, with a significant amount of reverse repos conducted, indicating a continued effort to maintain liquidity balance [47][81]. Group 3: Seasonal Trends - The seasonal increase in M0 was noted, with an increase of 557 billion yuan in August, and a forecast of a 2,100 billion yuan increase in September [62]. - The report highlights that fiscal deposits are expected to decrease seasonally by 2,500 billion yuan in September due to concentrated tax collections and increased government spending [68]. - The report also mentions that the foreign exchange reserves are expected to decrease by 700 billion yuan in September amid ongoing U.S.-China tariff negotiations [73]. Group 4: Interest Rate Trends - The average yield on short-term bonds generally increased in August, with 1-year government bonds and 1-year policy bank bonds rising by 1BP and 4BP respectively [34]. - The report notes that the central bank's operations are aimed at stabilizing the funding environment, with expectations for a seasonal rise in market rates in September [85]. - Historical data indicates that the average monthly change in R001 and R007 rates in September over the past three years has been 9BP and 12BP respectively, suggesting a pattern of rising rates [82].
货币市场日报:9月16日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 13:56
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 287 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous level, resulting in a net injection of 40 billion yuan due to 247 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed a slight increase, with overnight Shibor rising by 2.90 basis points to 1.4370%, 7-day Shibor up by 0.50 basis points to 1.4750%, and 14-day Shibor increasing by 0.20 basis points to 1.5060% [2][4] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, short-term rates slightly increased, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates rising by 2.8 basis points and 3.0 basis points to 1.4424% and 1.4778%, respectively [4] - The overall funding situation turned to a balanced but slightly tight state, with overnight rates for pledged deposits trading between 1.47% and 1.50% and 7-day rates around 1.47% to 1.48% [8] Group 3 - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 173.6 billion yuan with 125 certificates issued on September 16 [8] - The long-end yields continued to decline, easing the pressure on tax period funds, and overall trading sentiment remained positive [9]
货币市场日报:9月15日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 15:03
Monetary Policy Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 280 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net injection of 88.5 billion yuan after 191.5 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] Interbank Offered Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) saw slight increases in the overnight and 7-day rates, with the overnight Shibor rising by 4.10 basis points to 1.4080% and the 7-day Shibor increasing by 1.00 basis point to 1.4700%. The 14-day Shibor, however, decreased by 2.00 basis points to 1.5040% [2][3] Repo Market Activity - In the interbank pledged repo market, most rates experienced slight increases. The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rose by 4.9 basis points and 5.0 basis points, respectively, to 1.414% and 1.4474%. The transaction volumes for DR001 increased by 36.9 billion yuan, while R001 saw a decrease of 146.5 billion yuan [6] Market Stability - The funding environment remained balanced on September 15, with overnight transaction rates for collateralized deposits ranging from 1.46% to 1.48%. The 7-day transactions were stable, with rates around 1.46% [11] Interbank Certificate of Deposit Issuance - On September 15, a total of 99 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with an actual issuance volume of 170.59 billion yuan, indicating a positive trading sentiment in the primary market [11][12] Financial Education Initiatives - The Financial Regulatory Bureau, People's Bank of China, and China Securities Regulatory Commission launched a financial education campaign aimed at enhancing consumer awareness and understanding of financial products and services [14] Cross-Border RMB Transactions - In the first seven months of the year, the total amount of cross-border RMB transactions in Shanghai reached 18.83 trillion yuan, with foreign-related income and expenditure totaling 3.26 trillion USD. The establishment of a one-stop account opening platform for foreign institutions aims to facilitate their entry into the bond market [15]
货币市场日报:9月12日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 11:42
Core Points - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 230 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on September 12, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - A total of 1,961 billion yuan was net injected into the market this week, with 12,645 billion yuan in reverse repos conducted and 10,684 billion yuan maturing [1] - The overnight and 7-day Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) slightly decreased, while the 14-day Shibor saw a minor increase [1][2] Monetary Market Rates - In the interbank pledged repo market, most rates experienced slight declines, with R007 transaction share dropping to 9.5% [3] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreased by 0.6 basis points and 1.1 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes dropping significantly [3] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 also fell, while DR014 saw a slight increase [3] Funding Conditions - The funding environment was reported to be loose, with overnight and 7-day rates showing a downward trend [7] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 154.03 billion yuan on September 12, with a generally positive trading sentiment in the primary market [8] Financial Statistics - As of the end of August, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 331.98 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8% year-on-year [10] - The total social financing stock was reported at 433.66 trillion yuan, also reflecting an 8.8% year-on-year increase [11] - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first eight months was 26.56 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous year's figures [12]
货币市场日报:9月4日
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 212.6 billion yuan for a 7-day term, with both the bidding and winning amounts at 212.6 billion yuan and an operation rate of 1.40% [1] - On the same day, 416.1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 203.5 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with overnight Shibor unchanged at 1.3160%, 7-day Shibor up by 0.40 basis points to 1.4370%, and 14-day Shibor down by 1.00 basis points to 1.4760% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, the 7-day rates showed mixed trends, with R007 and R014 rates remaining stable compared to the previous trading day [5] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 increased by 0.1 basis points and 0.3 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes rising to 296.6 billion yuan and 913 billion yuan [5] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 saw a slight increase and decrease, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a mixed trend [5] Group 3 - The funding market on September 4 exhibited a balanced and slightly loose stance, with overnight rates fluctuating around 1.43%-1.45% [9] - By the afternoon, the funding prices showed slight declines, with overnight rates dropping to around 1.36% [9] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 99 issues, with an actual issuance volume of 144.11 billion yuan [10] Group 4 - A report from Caitong Securities indicated that despite increased volatility in late August, the average funding rates reached the lowest level of the year, with a decrease in funding gaps compared to July [12] - The People's Bank of China announced plans for a 10 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on September 5, with a 3-month term, effectively rolling over the same amount maturing on that day [12]
货币市场日报:9月2日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 13:07
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 255.7 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with a net withdrawal of 150.1 billion yuan on the day [1][10] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with the overnight Shibor down by 0.10 basis points to 1.3140%, and the 7-day Shibor down by 0.70 basis points to 1.4310% [1][3] - The interbank pledged repo market saw fluctuations, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rising slightly, while DR007 and R007 rates decreased [3][7] Group 2 - The funding environment on September 2 was characterized as balanced and slightly loose, with overnight rates around 1.45% and 7-day rates also near 1.45% [7][10] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit was reported at 119.36 billion yuan, with 72 issues on the day [7][8] - The sentiment in the primary market for certificates of deposit improved compared to the previous day, with slight increases in rates across various maturities [8][10] Group 3 - The central bank reported a net injection of 300 billion yuan through Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and a net withdrawal of 160.8 billion yuan through Pledged Supplementary Lending (PSL) in August [10][11] - Zheshang Bank announced a capital increase of 999.4 million yuan for its subsidiary, Zhejiang Zhiyin Financial Leasing Co., increasing its stake from 51.00% to 54.04% [10]
货币市场日报:8月29日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 15:34
Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 782.9 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate; with 361.2 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing, the net injection was 421.7 billion yuan [1] - This week, the central bank performed a total of 2.2731 trillion yuan in reverse repos and 600 billion yuan in one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operations, resulting in a total net injection of 496.1 billion yuan after accounting for maturing operations [1] Interbank Market Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products remained stable, with the 7-day Shibor slightly declining; specifically, the overnight Shibor rose by 1.50 basis points to 1.3310%, while the 7-day Shibor fell by 1.60 basis points to 1.5100% [2][3] - The weighted average rates for various repo products showed mixed movements, with DR001 and R001 increasing by 1.6 basis points and 5.4 basis points respectively, while DR007 and R007 decreased by 2.4 basis points and 4.7 basis points [4] Funding Conditions - The funding environment on August 29 was characterized by a balanced and slightly loose stance; overnight rates for non-bank institutions were around 1.65%, while 7-day rates were approximately 1.55% [9] - Following the central bank's operations, the funding market became more relaxed, with overnight rates stabilizing around 1.45% and 7-day rates between 1.48% and 1.50% [9] Banking Sector Performance - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reported a revenue of 409.08 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with a net profit of 168.80 billion yuan and a non-performing loan ratio of 1.33% [12] - Postal Savings Bank achieved a revenue of 179.45 billion yuan, up 1.5%, with a net profit of 49.23 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.85% [12] - Bank of China reported a revenue of 329.4 billion yuan, a 3.61% increase, with a net profit of 126.1 billion yuan, showing stable performance [12] - Agricultural Bank of China posted a revenue of 369.8 billion yuan, up 0.7%, and a net profit of 139.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.5% increase [12] - China Merchants Bank's revenue decreased by 1.73% to 169.92 billion yuan, while its net profit increased by 0.25% to 74.93 billion yuan [13] - Everbright Bank reported a revenue of 65.92 billion yuan and a net profit of 24.74 billion yuan, marking a 0.5% increase [14]
货币市场日报:8月27日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 15:10
Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 379.9 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 236.1 billion yuan due to 616 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed slight fluctuations, with the overnight Shibor decreasing by 0.20 basis points to 1.3150%, while the 7-day Shibor increased by 2.40 basis points to 1.4910% [1][2] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, various rates saw slight increases, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rising by 0.0 and 0.1 basis points to 1.3145% and 1.3608%, respectively [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 increased by 2.0 and 1.2 basis points to 1.5123% and 1.5379%, with transaction volumes decreasing [4] Funding Conditions - Throughout the day, the funding environment transitioned from loose to gradually tightening, with overnight rates stabilizing around 1.36%-1.40% and 7-day repo rates around 1.53%-1.55% [10] - By the end of the day, the interbank certificate of deposit market saw 59 issuances totaling 110.9 billion yuan [10] Financial Performance of Companies - China Life reported a revenue of 239.235 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 2.10%, with a net profit of 40.931 billion yuan, up 6.90% [14] - China Pacific Insurance achieved a premium income of 323.282 billion yuan, a 3.6% increase, with a net profit of 24.455 billion yuan, reflecting a 32.3% growth [14]