Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 17 billion for the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, with a net profit of RMB 2.64 billion, up 15.9% year-on-year [9]. - The company is focusing on optimizing store operations and enhancing customer engagement to improve same-store sales, particularly in the domestic market, while continuing to expand its global footprint [10]. - The gross profit margin improved by 3.7 percentage points to 44.9%, benefiting from an optimized product mix and increased direct market share overseas [10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the retail trade sector, with a current H-share price of HKD 29.05 and a market capitalization of RMB 36.35 billion [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of RMB 2.64 billion for 2024, with an expected increase to RMB 3.1 billion in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 19% [12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be RMB 2.48 in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 times [12]. Product Portfolio - The company's product mix is heavily weighted towards MINISO, which accounts for 94.2% of its revenue, while TOPTOY contributes 5.8% [4]. Market Expansion - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 6.67 billion in 2024, a 42% increase year-on-year [10]. - The total number of stores reached 3,118, marking a 25.4% increase from the previous year, with significant growth in the U.S. and U.K. markets [10]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a dividend of USD 0.0817 per share [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating for the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high gross margin of 44.9% in 2024, driven by accelerated overseas direct sales and improved single-store efficiency [3][4]. - Total revenue for 2024 reached 17 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.8%, with significant contributions from both domestic and overseas markets [1][2]. - The company plans to continue its expansion strategy, with expectations of revenue and profit growth in 2025 and 2026 [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the overall revenue was 4.71 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%. For the entire year, revenue was 17 billion CNY, up 22.8% [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 44.9%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points from the previous year [4]. Regional Performance - Domestic revenue in mainland China for Q4 was 2.3 billion CNY, growing by 6.5% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 2.13 billion CNY, marking a 42.7% increase [1]. - For the full year, domestic revenue was 9.33 billion CNY (up 10.9%) and overseas revenue was 6.67 billion CNY (up 41.9%), accounting for 39.3% of total revenue [1]. Channel Performance - The brand achieved total revenue of 16 billion CNY in 2024, a 22% increase, while the TOP TOY brand generated 980 million CNY, growing by 44.7% [2]. - The company opened 1,219 new stores globally, bringing the total to 7,780 stores by the end of 2024 [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing its IP strategy and expanding its overseas presence, with the first TOP TOY store opening in Bangkok, Thailand [4]. - The adjusted net profit for 2024 was 2.721 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.4% [4]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned a total of 1.575 billion CNY to shareholders in 2024 through cash dividends and share buybacks [5].

Summary of Miniso Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Miniso - **Ticker**: 9896 HK (H shares), MNSO US (ADR) - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately $5.9 billion USD / $5.7 billion HKD Key Industry Insights - **China SSSG Recovery**: Expected to recover from a high single-digit decline in 2024 to a mid-single-digit growth in 2025, driven by improved consumer sentiment and strategic initiatives [1][5] - **Overseas Expansion**: Significant growth anticipated with 50-70% of new store openings planned for international markets, contributing to a projected 1.1 percentage point uplift in operating profit margin [1][5] - **Yonghui Acquisition**: Miniso's acquisition of a 29.4% stake in Yonghui is expected to lead to a clearer turnaround strategy, with a target to significantly reduce losses in 2025 [1][5] Financial Performance - **2024 Revenue Growth**: Revenue and adjusted earnings increased by 22.8% and 15.4% year-over-year, respectively, aligning with expectations [1][5] - **2025 Forecasts**: Revenue and earnings are projected to grow at compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) of 18% and 24% from 2025 to 2027 [1][5] - **Price Target Adjustments**: New price targets set at $22 for ADR and HK$43 for H shares, based on a 15x 2025E P/E ratio [1][5] Strategic Initiatives - **Store Expansion Plans**: Miniso plans to open 500-600 new stores overseas in 2025, including 200-300 direct-to-consumer (DTC) stores, with a focus on the US market [5][10] - **IP Strategy**: Aiming for 90 new intellectual property (IP) projects in 2025 to enhance consumer engagement and drive same-store sales growth [5][9] - **Membership Growth**: Plans to expand the membership system, as members reportedly spend 2.2 times more than non-members [5][9] Operational Insights - **DTC Store Margins**: Current DTC stores have the lowest margins, but improvements are expected as the store count increases and operational efficiencies are realized [5][9] - **Cost Management**: Strategies to manage costs include sourcing 30% of products from outside China and adjusting pricing to maintain stable gross margins amid tariff pressures [12][13] Earnings Estimates - **2025 Revenue and Profit Projections**: Group revenue is expected to grow by 25.8% in 2025, with adjusted operating profits anticipated to accelerate compared to 2024 [15][21] - **Adjusted Net Profit Growth**: Forecasted adjusted net profits for 2025 are projected to grow by 21.2% year-over-year [21][15] Risks and Considerations - **Market Concerns**: Ongoing concerns regarding SSSG performance and margin erosion due to investments in overseas DTC stores [6][19] - **Tariff Risks**: Miniso is actively working to mitigate risks associated with US tariffs through supply chain diversification and pricing strategies [12][13] Conclusion Miniso is positioned for recovery and growth in 2025, with strategic initiatives in place to enhance its market presence both domestically and internationally. The focus on IP development, store expansion, and cost management will be critical in navigating the challenges ahead while capitalizing on emerging opportunities in the retail sector.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has deepened its IP strategy and accelerated globalization, achieving a record high gross margin [1] - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 16.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, with adjusted net profit of 2.72 billion yuan, up 15.4% [5] - The company expects to maintain strong performance in the second half of 2025, driven by its IP strategy and expansion of overseas direct stores [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20.95 billion yuan, 25.51 billion yuan, and 30.97 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.3%, 21.7%, and 21.4% [5] - Net profit projections for the same years are 3.05 billion yuan, 3.72 billion yuan, and 4.57 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.5%, 22.1%, and 22.7% [5] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 44.9% in 2024 to 50.6% in 2027 [5] Market Performance - The company has optimized its store layout and enhanced IP penetration in China, with revenue from the mainland reaching 9.33 billion yuan, a 10.9% increase [5] - The overseas revenue reached 6.68 billion yuan, a 41.9% increase, with a significant increase in the number of direct stores [5] - The company is focusing on enhancing its online sales and expanding its product categories to drive growth [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][11] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high gross margin of 47.0% in Q4 2024, driven by its IP strategy and strong performance in the overseas direct sales market [6][7] - Total revenue for 2024 reached 169.9 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.8% in Q4 [6][10] - The company expects revenue growth in the second half of 2025 to outpace the first half, despite a slight decrease in the number of new store openings compared to 2024 [6][10] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a net profit of 7.9 billion RMB, a 20.0% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 16.8% [6][7] - The company’s total number of stores reached 7,504 by the end of 2024, with significant growth in overseas locations [7][10] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was 12.3 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [7] Revenue Breakdown - In Q4 2024, revenue from the Miniso brand was 44.3 billion RMB, up 21.3% year-on-year, with overseas revenue growing by 42.7% [7] - The TOPTOY brand contributed 2.8 billion RMB in revenue, marking a 50.3% increase year-on-year [7] Future Projections - Revenue is projected to grow to 208 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23% [10][11] - Adjusted net profit is expected to reach 32 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 19% increase [10][11] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin, supported by the rising contribution from overseas and IP sales [7][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for MINISO [4][15] Core Insights - MINISO's overseas expansion and IP strategy are accelerating, contributing to revenue growth and improved profitability [3][15] - The company reported slightly below expectations for its 4Q24 and FY24 results, with a revenue of Rmb4.71 billion, a gross margin of 47.0%, and an adjusted net profit of Rmb793 million [7][9] Financial Performance Summary - For FY24, MINISO achieved a revenue of Rmb16.99 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, and an adjusted net profit of Rmb2.72 billion, up 15.4% [7][9] - The company forecasts revenue growth to Rmb21.13 billion in 2025, with a projected adjusted net profit of Rmb3.11 billion [8][15] Revenue Growth Drivers - Domestic store expansion and TOP TOY's strong sales contributed to revenue growth, with MINISO's domestic revenue reaching Rmb2.30 billion, a 6.5% increase year-on-year [10] - Overseas store count reached 3,118, with a revenue increase of 65.5% year-on-year in 4Q24, contributing significantly to overall revenue [11][12] Gross Margin and Profitability - The gross margin reached a record high of 47.0%, driven by an increased proportion of direct-operated stores and improved execution of the IP strategy [12][15] - Adjusted net margin for 4Q24 was 16.8%, reflecting healthy profitability despite increased selling expenses [12] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - MINISO is enhancing its partnership with Yonghui to accelerate retail transformation and is collaborating with IPs to support global brand expansion [13][14] - The company aims to assist 100 Chinese IPs in going global over the next decade, which is expected to drive long-term sales growth [14]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for Q4 2024, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and profit, indicating robust operational momentum and effective brand strategies [3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 16.99 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.62 billion yuan, up 16.2% [3]. - For Q4 2024, the company recorded revenue of 4.71 billion yuan, a 22.7% increase year-on-year, and a profit of 810 million yuan, reflecting a 26.7% growth [3]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 44.9%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 2024 gross margin reaching 47.0%, up 3.9 percentage points [4]. - The MINISO brand revenue for 2024 was 16 billion yuan, growing by 22.0%, driven by a 10.9% increase in domestic revenue and a 41.9% increase in overseas revenue [4]. Brand and Market Expansion - The company expanded its store network significantly, adding over 600 stores internationally, bringing the total to 7,504 MINISO stores and 276 TOP TOY stores by the end of 2024 [5]. - The opening of the MINISO LAND store in Beijing introduced an immersive IP experience, enhancing brand engagement and customer attraction [5].

Financial Overview - The total revenue for FY24 is 17 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%, with an average store count increase of 18% and same-store sales showing a slight decline in low single digits [1][2] - The gross profit margin for 2024 increased by 3.7 percentage points to 44.9%, marking eight consecutive quarters of growth, primarily driven by the IP strategy [2][3] - The adjusted net profit for FY24 was 6.2 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 1.41% [1] Revenue Breakdown - MINISO brand revenue reached 16 billion RMB, up 22% year-on-year, with domestic revenue at 9.3 billion RMB (up 11%) and international revenue at 6.7 billion RMB (up 42%) [1][2] - The overseas revenue accounted for 39% of total revenue, an increase from 34% the previous year [1] Store Expansion - As of December 2024, the total number of stores reached 7,780, with a net increase of 1,290 stores, exceeding the opening targets for 2024 [3][4] - The number of MINISO stores in China reached 4,386, with a net increase of 460 stores [4] Membership and Customer Engagement - Global registered members exceeded 100 million, with member purchases accounting for over 60% of total sales, and average member spending being 2.2 times that of non-members [4] Future Outlook - The company maintains an optimistic revenue growth outlook for 2025, anticipating lower growth rates in the first half due to base effects, with higher growth expected in the second half [2] - The store expansion strategy aims to double the number of stores by the end of 2028 compared to the end of 2023 [2]