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21社论丨供需共同发力,持续扩大消费
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-16 00:19
Group 1 - In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43,898 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. Excluding automobiles, the retail sales amounted to 39,444 billion yuan, growing by 2.5% [1] - From January to November, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 456,067 billion yuan, an increase of 4.0%. Excluding automobiles, the retail sales were 411,637 billion yuan, growing by 4.6% [1] - The recent decline in the year-on-year growth rate of retail sales is attributed to a high base from the previous year and the early release of some consumer demand due to ongoing policies promoting the replacement of old goods [1] Group 2 - The Chinese government has allocated 500 billion yuan in long-term special bonds for "two new" initiatives in 2025, with 200 billion yuan for large-scale equipment updates and 300 billion yuan for consumer goods replacement [1] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that from January to November, the replacement of consumer goods generated over 25,000 billion yuan in sales, benefiting over 360 million people and playing a significant role in boosting consumption [1] Group 3 - The expansion of consumption is a long-term strategy that requires joint efforts from both supply and demand sides, particularly focusing on the 400 million middle-income group with a demand for upgraded consumption [2] - There is a need to enhance the quality and innovation of service supply, as the middle and high-income groups are increasingly shifting towards service consumption [2] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of implementing special actions to boost consumption and developing plans to increase income for urban and rural residents [2] Group 4 - The real estate market has been adjusting, and the central economic work conference proposed high-quality urban renewal, focusing on renovation rather than large-scale demolition, which can create more jobs and establish a sustainable investment model [2] - Creating more service industry jobs is a long-term strategy, as the productive service industry is knowledge and talent-intensive, requiring further development [3] - To make domestic demand the main driver of economic growth, it is essential to address the imbalance between strong supply and weak demand, promoting internal growth through reforms [3]
供需共同发力,持续扩大消费
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-15 23:17
Group 1 - In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43,898 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. Excluding automobiles, the retail sales amounted to 39,444 billion yuan, growing by 2.5% [1] - From January to November, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 456,067 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 4.0%. Excluding automobiles, the retail sales reached 411,637 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.6% [1] - The recent slowdown in the year-on-year growth rate of retail sales is attributed to a high base from the previous year and the early release of some consumer demand due to ongoing policies promoting the replacement of old goods [1] Group 2 - The expansion of consumption is a strategic priority for economic growth, requiring efforts from both supply and demand sides. The middle-income group in China has reached 400 million, indicating a demand for consumption upgrades [2] - There is a need to enhance the quality and innovation of service supply, particularly as the middle and high-income groups are increasingly shifting towards service consumption [2] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of implementing special actions to boost consumption and developing plans to increase income for urban and rural residents [2] Group 3 - The creation of more service industry jobs is essential for long-term economic stability. The productive service industry, which is knowledge and talent-intensive, still requires further development [3] - Addressing the "involution" competition in certain industries is necessary to improve the quality and scale of the productive service sector [3] - To make domestic demand the main driver of economic growth, it is crucial to address the imbalance between strong supply and weak demand, and to promote internal growth through reforms [3]
商业活力注入,一个老街区年产值过亿元(迈向“十五五”的发展图景)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 22:49
坚持城市内涵式发展,大力实施城市更新,建设创新、宜居、美丽、韧性、文明、智慧的现代化人民城 市。 ——摘自"十五五"规划建议 沿崖壁步道蜿蜒而上,店铺生意兴旺,远眺嘉陵江对岸,高楼林立。重庆市渝中区沧白路社区戴家巷, 位于繁华的解放碑商圈,与洪崖洞景区仅隔着一道崖壁。 过去,这里交通不便、设施破旧。"房子漏水、管网老化。"沧白路社区党委书记夏梦回忆,临江崖壁杂 草丛生,从崖上到江边要绕行半小时,"大多数原住户陆续搬走了。" 2021年,戴家巷街区更新改造完成。步道改造连通、设施焕然一新,更明显的变化是商业活力的涌入, 空气中飘着咖啡香,文创店里顾客络绎不绝,老街区在网络上开始走红。如今,戴家巷片区常住人口与 改造前相比增加约八成。 "叮——"居民曾代林从电梯中走出,"现在上下楼有电梯,家门口就有各种商店,方便多了。" 随着戴家巷成为网红打卡地,矛盾也逐渐显现。 "楼下说话声、碰杯声吵得我们睡不着,窗户一打开,全是火锅油烟,衣服都没法晾。"居民一开始对火 锅店投诉很多。 一场"院坝协商会"很快开起来,居民代表、商户代表、运营公司围坐一圈。最终,商家同意加装隔油 池、优化烟道走向、控制营业时间。还有餐饮店主动提出 ...
因地制宜引入新业态(专家点评)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 22:13
(作者为北京清华同衡规划设计研究院副总规划师,本报记者丁怡婷采访整理) (文章来源:人民日报) 因地制宜引入新业态进行城市更新,与居民的社会生活传统、城市的产业基础相关联,能够实现经济和 社会效益双赢。比如,江苏苏州根据老城生活性服务业聚集的特征,在平江路等历史文化街区引入多元 业态,留住老宅格局肌理,让游客感受老城生活方式;江西景德镇通过打造陶阳里历史文化街区等,重 现千年陶瓷文化,营造历史与现代并存、景观与居民共生的体验空间。 "十五五"时期,要坚持以人民为中心,坚持实事求是,在城市更新中持续提升公共空间品质,植入新业 态新功能,激发老旧街区活力,城市人居环境将明显改善,风貌特色将更加彰显,更好满足人民群众高 品质生活需要。 城市更新满足人民美好生活需要,但资金需求量较大,不能单纯靠政府投入,可持续的城市更新应做到 民生能改善、经济有账算。 ...
克而瑞地产研究:房价环比止跌城市增多 供求结构指标持续优化
智通财经网· 2025-12-15 11:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the real estate market is undergoing a critical phase of inventory digestion, price confidence rebuilding, and demand transformation, with a shift from urbanization-driven growth to housing renewal and quality upgrades as the main demand drivers [21][22] - In November, the new housing price index decreased by 2.8% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, while the number of cities where prices stabilized increased significantly to 11, up by 5 from the previous month [1][9] - The overall sales area of new homes in the first eleven months fell by 7.8% year-on-year, with the decline in November showing a slight narrowing to 17%, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [5][23] Group 2 - The industrial production showed stable growth, with the added value of the equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors growing by 7.7% and 8.4% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth [2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43.898 billion yuan in November, growing by 1.3% year-on-year, although the growth rate slowed by 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The fixed asset investment in the first eleven months decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline in November, reflecting a trend of aligning investment with sales in the real estate sector [16] Group 3 - The new housing construction area in the first eleven months was 5.3 million square meters, down 20.5% year-on-year, indicating a significant reduction in new projects, which helps alleviate inventory pressure [13] - The completion area of housing reached 3.9 million square meters in the first eleven months, down 18% year-on-year, but showing signs of cyclical recovery in November, reflecting ongoing efforts to ensure housing delivery [15] - The investment-sales gap is narrowing, with real estate development investment in the first eleven months exceeding new housing sales by 4.6%, indicating a shift towards a more rational development model [16][21]
行业数据|房价环比止跌城市增多,供求结构指标持续优化
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-12-15 09:50
投资销售比、土地成交/新房成交、新开工销售比、待售面积等指标持续改善 ◎ 文 / 马千里 12月15日上午,国家统计局如期发布2025年11月宏观经济和房地产数据。国民经济稳步增长,社零同比增速出现回落。地产 行业方面,因行业正处于转型发展的关键时期,再加之上年基数上升的影响,销售规模、房价、投资、国房景气指数均延续 调整。不过从具体城市和项目的角度来看,新房价格、项目去化率等方面仍存有结构性亮点,行业供求压力也在持续好转。 居民中长期贷款规模迎来止跌回升, 初步统计显示11月环比增长622亿元。当前房地产行业销售正处于调整关键期,中长期贷 款能够实现止跌,充分体现出行业运行的积极变化。近期央行行长发表署名文章明确,未来将强化房地产金融宏观审慎管 理,推动房地产市场平稳健康发展。而12月11日公布的经济工作会议报告也着重强调,要积极有序化解地方政府债务风险, 督促各地主动化债,坚决遏制新增隐性债务;同时优化债务重组与置换机制,通过多措并举化解地方政府融资平台经营性债 务风险。 展望未来,金融政策将更加聚焦行业风险管理,政策重心也将从侧重化解企业风险,进一步转向兼顾企业风险与地方债务风 险化解。这一调整将释放多 ...
18.73亿巨资落地!铜陵西湖新区三宗宅地成交,开启城市更新新纪元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 07:45
NO.1|壹 成交数据亮眼:三宗地块细节全解析 根据铜陵市自然资源和规划局的公告,本次成交的三宗地块均位于西湖新区,土地用途为城镇住宅用地,出让年限70年。以下是基于公告内容的详细数据 拆解: | | | | 士地 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 用 | | | | | 宗地编号 | 土地位置 | 土地面积 | 途及 | 规划指标 | 受让方 | 成交价 成交日期 | | | | (m) | нн | 要求 | | (万元) | | | | | 让年 | | | | | | | | 限 | | | | | | | 规划用地面积12936 | | 容积率 | | | | 铜土储字〔202 铜陵市陵江大道以东、碎石 | | 1.3300m: | 70 | ≤1.8 | 铜陵市新西湖城市更 | 67915.000 2025年12 | | 5] 29号 | 岭加油站以北 | 土地出让面积12936 | | 建筑密度≤30%;绿 | 新运营有限公司 | 0 月11日 | | | | 1.3300㎡ | | 地率≥35% | | | ...
中央经济会议定调内需,提振消费政策值得期待
China Post Securities· 2025-12-15 04:49
发布时间:2025-12-15 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5178.51 | | 52 周最高 | 5417.39 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 研究所 建材行业报告 (2025.12.08-2025.12.14) 中央经济会议定调内需,提振消费政策值得期待 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《需求逐步进入淡季,期待地产及化债 政策落地》 - 2025.12.08 投资要点 中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行,会议提出坚 持内需主导,建设强大国内市场。深入实施提振消费专项行动,制定 实施城乡居民增收计划。扩大优质商品和服务 ...
绿意点亮京城——环二环绿道西城段全线景观提升改造完成
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-12-15 03:24
转自:北京日报客户端 这里,曾是北京城车水马龙的"灰色环线" 如今,却化身成为在钢铁森林中 铺陈开来的"绿色动脉" 全线景观提升改造完成的环二环绿道 作为环二环绿道上的5个重要空间节点之一,西直门地铁站B口对空间环境的优化不仅仅体现在对电动 车的停车治理上。区园林绿化局利用现状墙体,结合提取了城门元素的拱形门,将空间自然分隔成为展 示西直门历史变迁的文化休闲场地和趣味儿童活动场地。地铁站外,简约大气的台阶座椅错落有致地分 布,供行人在都市生活的快节奏中得以放慢脚步,坐下小憩。放学后的孩子们敲起墙面上铺陈的木琴与 打击鼓,深厚的历史积淀与蓬勃的城市活力在此奏成一曲和谐的乐章。 作为一条融合了通勤、休闲、文化 与生态功能的慢行系统 正悄然改变着城市肌理与生活节奏 初冬清晨的第一缕阳光照亮环二环绿道,也照亮了跑者朝气满满的脸庞。在广内街道中国移动创新大楼 附近上班的跑步爱好者小李告诉记者,自从今年4月底环二环绿道主线贯通以来,这条线路就成了跑步 爱好者的热门打卡地,大家都觉得能用自己的脚步丈量二环是一件很有意义的事。记者注意到,绿道边 不仅有标识牌将沿途景点、驿站等场所指示清楚,地面上"北京绿道"与箭头的引导标识也 ...
中国银河证券:反内卷+扩内需重塑格局 出海共振引领估值修复
智通财经网· 2025-12-15 02:00
消费、投资共同发力扩内需,消费升级推动建材高品质转型 消费端,中央经济工作会议提到,2026年要"深入实施提振消费专项行动,清理消费领域不合理限制措 施",与十五五规划建议稿中提到的"清理汽车、住房等消费不合理"相呼应,预计26年各地区居民住房 限购政策将逐步放开,家装市场回暖预期增强,有望带动消费建材需求恢复。投资端,中央经济工作会 议提到"推动投资止跌回稳,优化实施'两重'项目",与十五五规划建议稿对"扩大有效投资"的描述相契 合,水泥等传统建材需求与基建投资高度相关,"两重"项目建设将是缓解地产新开工疲软的主要对冲力 量,预计明年"两重"项目将托底传统建材市场需求。与此同时,近年我国居民消费水平不断提高,中央 经济工作会议提到"高质量推进城市更新"及"有序推动'好房子'建设",在地产进入存量时代背景下,城 市更新及高品质建设成为建材市场重要抓手,一方面,随着明年城市更新工作的推进与落地,城市基础 设施建设及城市综合管廊建设等相关的建材产品需求有望加速释放;另一方面,消费升级趋势下,具备 品牌属性及品质优势的龙头企业有望受益。 深化推进"反内卷",传统建材供需格局预期向好 中央经济工作会议提到"制定全国统 ...