Core Viewpoint - Buying quality dividend stocks near multiyear lows can be advantageous for long-term investors, especially if the dividend remains intact as the stock price declines [1] Group 1: PepsiCo - PepsiCo has seen a 25% decline in value over the past 12 months, with first-quarter sales down approximately 2% [4] - Despite challenges, PepsiCo generated over 1% organic growth in the first quarter, and the decline in sales was significantly impacted by foreign exchange [5] - The company produced $7.3 billion in free cash flow over the last 12 months, matching its dividend payments, indicating that the dividend payout is not in imminent danger [6] Group 2: UnitedHealth Group - UnitedHealth Group is trading near a four-year low due to rising costs affecting its bottom line [7] - The company experienced a 4% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share in the first quarter, despite challenges in its Medicare Advantage business [8] - With a modest payout ratio of 35%, UnitedHealth is not at serious risk of cutting its dividend, and it trades at a P/E multiple of 17, below its five-year average of nearly 20 [9] Group 3: United Parcel Service (UPS) - UPS is trading near its 52-week low, with revenue for the first quarter totaling $21.5 billion, slightly down from $21.7 billion in the previous year [10][11] - The company plans to cut 20,000 jobs and reduce deliveries involving Amazon to improve margins amid economic challenges [11] - UPS's diluted earnings per share were $1.40, below its quarterly dividend of $1.64, but the company has a plan to improve profitability, making it a potential contrarian buy [12][13]

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略深度报告 策略深度报告 20250508 5 月港股金股：关税阴霾渐退 2025 年 05 月 08 日 [观点Table_Tag] 3、港股反弹还需增量资金和政策刺激。当前增量资金主要以南向为主，香 港本地资金和海外资金还有增配空间。此外，尽管 5 月 2 日，美元兑港币 汇率触及 7.75 强方兑换保证，仍需继续观察外资流入情况。 ◼ 我们相对看好 AI 科技、内需，同时建议配置部分高股息用作防御： 1、看好 AI 科技：一是，美股科技业绩部分亮眼，一定程度上对全球科技 叙事有所提振；二是，业绩进入真空期，业绩干扰减少，利好主题行情， AI 科技东升仍是重点；三是，港交所和香港证监会推出"科企专线"，进 一步利好科创风偏。 2、考虑配置部分高股息：一是，整体海外风险还在，如果美股科技大跌可 能传导至港股科技；二是，二季度部分港股可能提前派息潮。为避免下半 年可能的在岸人民币压力，部分企业可能提前支付股息。三是，近期港币 流动性有宽松信号，若资金成本继续下降，进一步利好高股息。 3、内需消费仍是全年主线。4 月底政治局会议，明确表示要扩大消费，大 力发展服务消费，增强消费对经济拉 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a positive outlook for the A-share market, driven by significant policy support and favorable market conditions [1][2][3] - Key factors contributing to the market's performance include the upcoming US-China trade negotiations and the implementation of interest rate cuts, which have bolstered investor confidence [1][2] - The market has shown a clear divergence in individual stock performance, with a notable increase in trading volume reaching over 1.5 trillion [1] Group 2 - The capital market's core position is being reinforced, with a clear supportive attitude from higher authorities, suggesting a stable long-term outlook [2] - The short-term market is expected to fluctuate around the upward gap created, with future movements dependent on the outcomes of trade negotiations and the performance of high-dividend sectors [2] - The insurance sector is anticipated to increase its market participation as risk factors are adjusted downwards, which could lead to a more favorable environment for high-dividend stocks [2]

公募基金重磅改革方案落地 公募基金迎来重大行业变革。5月7日，《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》正式发布。《方案》以25 条举措直击行业痛点，通过优化主动管理权益类基金收费模式、强化基金公司与投资者的利益绑定、提 升行业服务投资者的能力、提高公募基金权益投资的规模和稳定性等重点内容，着力督促基金公司、基 金销售机构等行业机构从"重规模"向"重回报"转变，形成行业高质量发展的"拐点"。在《方案》发布 后，证券时报记者第一时间采访了多家基金公司，对《方案》带来的行业意义进行解读。受访基金公司 表示，《方案》的出台为公募基金改革提供了明确的行动指引，未来基金公司与投资者利益更加紧密绑 定，投资者回报、基金公司报酬和投研人员激励将更为统一。公募基金行业将更加突出投资人利益导 向，以更合理的收费机制与更多的创新产品为投资者带来更好的投资体验，切实提升投资者的"获得 感"和"安全感"。（人民财讯） 公募基金行业2024年业绩全景透视：头部机构韧性凸显 随着上市公司2024年年报披露收官，公募基金行业整体经营画像清晰呈现。在资本市场深化改革、费率 调整和国际金融市场动荡的背景下，行业呈现出"强者恒强、特色突围"的发展态势。 ...

中国人民银行行长潘功胜5月7日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，人民银行将加大宏观调控强度，推出一揽 子货币政策措施，主要有三大类共十项措施。 潘功胜介绍，一是数量型政策，通过降准等措施，加大中长期流动性供给，保持市场流动性充裕；二是 价格型政策，下调政策利率，降低结构性货币政策工具利率，同时调降公积金贷款利率；三是结构型政 策，完善现有结构性货币政策工具，并创设新的政策工具，支持科技创新、扩大消费、普惠金融等领 域。 ·《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》印发证监会：提升投资者回报更大力度"引长钱" 新华财经北京5月8日电四大证券报内容精华摘要如下： 中国证券报 ·降准降息创设新工具人民银行推出十项货币政策措施 中国证监会主席吴清5月7日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，将大力推动中长期资金入市。在引导上市公司 完善治理、改善绩效，持续提升投资者回报的同时，更大力度"引长钱"，协同各方继续提升各类中长期 资金入市规模和占比，抓紧印发和落实《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，更好地体现基金管理人 与投资者同甘共苦、共同发展、相互成就，努力形成"回报增—资金进—市场稳"的良性循环。 同日，证监会印发上述行动方案，以落实2024年 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 05 月 08 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 3342.67 | 0.80 | | 深证成指 | 10104.13 | 0.22 | | 创业板指 | 1996.51 | 0.51 | | 科创 50 | 1030.19 | 0.36 | | 北证 50 | 1367.57 | -0.46 | | 沪深 300 | 3831.63 | 0.61 | A 股市场概览 | 类别 | 总市值 | 流通市 | 市盈率 | 市净率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (亿元) | 值(亿元) | PE | PB | | 上证指数 | 642789 | 501941 | 11.76 | 1.22 | | 深证成指 | 214303 | 181760 | 19.75 | 2.08 | | 创业板指 | 55958 | 44337 | 26.19 | 3.62 | | 科创 50 | 35649 | 23190 | 57.82 | 4.30 | | 北证 50 ...

今年一季度港股市场的大爆发令人瞩目，恒生指数涨幅高达15.25%。然而，随着全球资本市场步入动 荡期，二季度以来不确定性显著增加。在此环境下，不少机构、券商纷纷建议投资者寻找市场震荡时 的"避风港"，将目光投向盈利预期稳健的高股息公司，把这类资产作为底仓配置，以获取相对确定的股 息收益。 不过，多位专家也提醒，需警惕"高股息陷阱"。广发证券发展研究中心董事总经理、首席资产研究官戴 康认为，相比A股、美股市场，港股的高股息策略表现更突出，是长期优胜策略，但传统的高股息投资 方法会产生两大陷阱，包括"股息陷阱"和"估值陷阱"，需要甄别选取真正的高股息品种。 能源银行公用事业领衔 根据2025年最新数据，港股市场上高股息率的股票呈现出明显的行业聚集特征，主要集中在能源、银 行、公用事业及部分央企领域。 以恒指成份股为例，Wind的统计显示，截至5月7日收盘，83只港股蓝筹股中，总共有49只股息率 （TTM）超过4%，其中东方海外国际、中国宏桥的股息率超过10%。 东方海外国际的主要业务为货柜运输及物流，2024年上半年每股派息0.63美元，已于2024年10月派发； 董事会建议派发末期股息每股1.32美元，将于20 ...

重要的消息有哪些 1．5月8日（周四）申购提示：新股方面，太力科技申购代码301595，发行价17.05元/股，申购上限0.65 万股。威高血净申购代码732014，发行价26.50元/股，申购上限1.10万股。投资有风险，申购需谨慎。 2．国务院新闻办公室将于2025年5月8日（星期四）上午10时举行新闻发布会，请司法部副部长王振江 和全国人大常委会法工委、国家发展改革委、金融监管总局、全国工商联负责人介绍《中华人民共和国 民营经济促进法》有关情况，并答记者问。 3．5月7日，外交部发布消息，何立峰副总理将于5月9日—12日访问瑞士，其间与美方举行会谈。外交 部发言人林剑表示，美方近期不断表示，希望同中方进行谈判。这次会谈是应美方请求举行的，中方坚 决反对美国滥施关税这一立场没有任何变化。同时我们也多次说过，中方对对话持开放态度，但任何对 话都必须建立在平等、尊重、互惠的基础上，任何形式的施压、胁迫，对中国都是行不通的。中方将坚 定维护自身的正当利益，维护国际的公平正义。（央视新闻） 4．中国人民银行7日发布公告，从5月8日起，下调公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率0.1个百分点。自5月 15日起，下调金融机构存 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with military stocks surging, while real estate and large financial sectors also showed strength, indicating a positive sentiment in specific sectors driven by regulatory support for insurance investments [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices opened high but closed lower with narrow fluctuations [1] - Military stocks saw a significant rally, while major banks like China Bank and Agricultural Bank rose over 1% [1] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The head of the Financial Regulatory Bureau announced plans to expand the long-term investment pilot for insurance funds, with an additional 60 billion yuan to be approved soon [1] - Adjustments to solvency regulation rules will lower the risk factor for stock investments by 10%, encouraging insurance companies to increase market participation [1] - A long-term assessment mechanism will be promoted to enhance institutional engagement and support "long money long investment" strategies [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities estimates that insurance funds will inject an additional 600-800 billion yuan into the market over the next three years, with high-dividend stocks accounting for 300-400 billion yuan of this amount [1] - The low interest rate environment and asset scarcity make high-dividend stocks a necessary choice for insurance companies, leading to an expected annual increase of 300-400 billion yuan in high-dividend allocations [1] Group 4: Investment Products - The Redundant ETF National Enterprise (530880) closely tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange National Enterprise Dividend Index, which includes 30 state-owned enterprises with high cash dividend yields and stable dividends [1] - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities through the Redundant ETF National Enterprise's linked funds [1]