Economic Performance - The GDP growth rate for the first half of the year was recorded at 5.3%, with Q1 at 5.4% and Q2 at 5.2%[8] - Achieving the annual target growth rate of 5% is deemed feasible, with a projected 4.7% growth rate needed in the second half[8] Policy Direction - The meeting emphasized "enhancing flexibility and foresight" in policy implementation, indicating a proactive approach to potential external shocks[3] - Fiscal policy will focus on accelerating government bond issuance and improving fund utilization efficiency, while monetary policy aims to maintain ample liquidity and reduce overall financing costs[10] Market Stability - The government aims to prevent inflation from rising rapidly, with expectations for the price level to remain moderate and controllable throughout the year[4] - The focus on high-quality investment and structural tools in monetary policy suggests a cautious approach to broad interest rate cuts[12] Risk Management - Key risks include uncertainties surrounding US-China tariffs and the potential for slower export growth in Q3[6] - The meeting highlighted the need for systematic debt risk management, particularly regarding local government debt[15] Consumer and Investment Focus - Policies will prioritize stimulating domestic demand, with an emphasis on service consumption and improving living standards to support sustained consumption[13] - The government aims to invigorate private investment and ensure effective investment in key projects to support economic growth[14]

Group 1: Economic Growth and Policy Direction - The Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need to consolidate and expand the positive momentum of economic recovery, with GDP growing by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year [2] - The meeting highlighted the importance of maintaining policy continuity and stability while enhancing flexibility and foresight in economic measures [3][4] - A series of important deployments were made, including the acceleration of government bond issuance and improving the efficiency of fund utilization [5] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The meeting stressed the need to effectively release domestic demand potential, with final consumption expenditure contributing 52% to economic growth in the first half of the year [6][7] - It was noted that there is a need to implement special actions to boost consumption, particularly in the service sector, to address gaps in supply [8] - Expanding consumption demand is crucial for improving people's livelihoods and stabilizing employment, especially for vulnerable groups [9] Group 3: Investment and Infrastructure - Investment is identified as a key driver for expanding domestic demand, with a focus on high-quality promotion of "two重" construction to stimulate private investment [10] - The meeting underscored the importance of infrastructure investment as a support for economic growth and related industry chains [10] Group 4: Reform and Innovation - The meeting called for unwavering commitment to deepening reforms, particularly in technology innovation and market competition [11] - Emphasis was placed on fostering a healthy development of the private economy and optimizing the business environment to drive high-quality growth [11] Group 5: External Trade and Investment - The meeting highlighted the need to expand high-level opening up and stabilize the fundamentals of foreign trade and investment [12] - Support measures for foreign trade enterprises were discussed, including enhancing financing support and promoting integrated development of domestic and foreign trade [13] Group 6: Risk Management and Financial Stability - Continuous prevention and resolution of risks in key areas were emphasized to ensure stable economic development [14] - The meeting addressed the need for effective management of local government debt risks and enhancing the attractiveness of the domestic capital market [16] Group 7: Social Welfare and Employment - The meeting reiterated the importance of solidifying social welfare measures and ensuring that development benefits are equitably shared among the population [17] - Employment policies were prioritized, particularly for key groups such as recent graduates and migrant workers, to stabilize the labor market [17]

Group 1 - The report highlights the strategic direction set by the Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30, focusing on the upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan and addressing current economic recovery challenges [2][6][7] - The meeting emphasizes the importance of the next five years as a critical period for achieving modernization goals, with a focus on maintaining strategic determination and enhancing confidence in overcoming challenges [7][8] - Key economic work for the second half of the year includes consolidating economic recovery, with macro policies aimed at precise support and enhancing domestic demand through dual drivers [8][12] Group 2 - The report identifies three strategic directions for investment focus: technological self-reliance, restructuring the domestic demand system, and high-level opening up [16][20] - The first strategic direction emphasizes the cultivation of emerging pillar industries such as semiconductors and AI, and the integration of technology with traditional manufacturing [20] - The second strategic direction focuses on building a unified national market and promoting new growth points in service consumption, alongside measures to ensure common prosperity [21] - The third strategic direction highlights opportunities for enterprises in integrated domestic and foreign trade, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [22]

7月30日，市委书记周红波会见中国进出口银行党委书记、董事长陈怀宇一行。 市委常委、常务副市长霍慧萍，中国进出口银行党委副书记张劭辉参加。 双方表示，要聚焦扩大高水平对外开放进一步深化合作，衔接贯通各自"十五五"发展重点，抢抓服 务业扩大开放等政策机遇，加大与本地金融机构的合作和各类金融资源投放力度，聚焦稳订单、拓市 场、降成本、增动能，探索运用多种金融工具，助力外贸企业和制造业企业发展壮大。要合力打造面 向"一带一路"共建国家的贸易平台，不断提升政策性金融服务质效，助力南京加快塑造更高水平开放型 经济新优势。 ...

智观年中经济形势 编者按7月30日召开的中共中央政治局会议研判了当前经济形势，部署了下半年经济工作。上半年中国经济顶住压力，实现了5.3%的平稳增长。面对外部 环境复杂多变、内部风险挑战增多的局面，下半年经济形势和政策走向备受瞩目。对此，围绕财政收入、固定资产投资、产业经济、对外开放、创新动 能、地区经济六个维度，中国经济时报邀请国家高端智库等权威机构专家，研判上半年经济形势，展望下半年政策走向。 核心观点： 下半年，面临更加复杂严峻的国际国内形势，要以更大力度推进高水平对外开放，为中国式现代化作出更大贡献。一是更大力度强化政策制 度制定和实施，二是更大力度提升开放平台功能，三是更大力度推进多双边经贸合作。 ■崔卫杰 今年上半年，面对风高浪急的国际环境和艰巨繁重的国内任务，我国坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放，有效应对外部冲击，对外开放各项工作取得积极成 效，展现出强大韧性和良好发展态势。下半年，面临更加复杂严峻的国际国内形势，中国对外开放将继续承压前行，但我国综合优势明显，随着各项开放 措施持续发力，我国对外开放工作仍不乏亮点。下一步，要更大力度强化高水平对外开放政策制度的制定和落实，更大力度提升开放平台功能，更 ...

文章称，中美在经贸领域拥有广泛共同利益和广阔合作空间。中国高质量发展和高水平对外开放不断推 进，为中美互利合作创造了更多机遇。例如，在制造业领域，因为中国产业发展的配套全、生态优、动 力足，更多美国企业选择扩大在华布局，以整合两国要素优势，提升企业全球竞争力。又比如，在消费 领域，中国正将扩大内需视为战略之举，多措并举积极扩大进口，美国企业是重要受益者。 ...

Group 1: Summer Economic Activities - The summer economy is revitalizing consumption with unique cultural and tourism activities, such as the martial arts-themed attractions in Kaifeng, which saw a 230% increase in visitor numbers compared to last year [2][3] - Various regions are promoting differentiated cultural tourism activities, leading to a surge in summer travel, with new projects enhancing visitor experiences [3] Group 2: National Unified Market Development - The construction of a national unified market is advancing, with initiatives like the seamless migration of businesses across provinces, exemplified by a company moving from Chongqing to Yibin [4] - The Central Economic Committee has outlined plans to deepen the national unified market, with multiple regions implementing measures to facilitate this integration [4][5] Group 3: Acceleration of Major Projects - Major infrastructure projects are being expedited, including the completion of a 750 kV power transmission project around the Tarim Basin and the production commencement of the world's largest single green ammonia facility in Jilin [6][7] - The government has allocated 800 billion yuan for construction projects, supporting 1,459 initiatives to stimulate economic growth [6] Group 4: Expansion of High-Level Opening Up - High-level international exhibitions are being successfully held, showcasing innovations and attracting significant foreign participation, such as the third Chain Expo with 172 overseas delegations [8][9] - China's commitment to expanding high-level opening up is evident through various foreign investment projects, including the opening of the largest LEGO park in Shanghai and the launch of a major ExxonMobil project [9][10]

Group 1: Summer Economic Activation - The summer economy is revitalizing consumer spending, with unique cultural and tourism activities driving increased visitor numbers, such as a 230% year-on-year increase in visitor traffic at a themed attraction in Henan [5][10] - Various regions are launching differentiated cultural tourism activities to boost summer travel, including adventure sports and cultural festivals, contributing to a rise in tourism consumption [5][10] Group 2: National Unified Market Development - The construction of a national unified market is progressing, with initiatives to facilitate business migration and streamline administrative processes, exemplified by a company relocating with reduced bureaucratic hurdles [11][14] - Collaborative agreements among regions, such as the Yangtze River Delta, are enhancing market integration and regulatory cooperation, supporting the establishment of a unified market [11][14] Group 3: Acceleration of Major Project Construction - Major infrastructure projects are being expedited, with significant milestones achieved, such as the completion of a 4,197 km power transmission project and the production commencement of a large-scale green ammonia facility [17][20] - The government has allocated 800 billion yuan for construction projects, supporting 1,459 initiatives, which is crucial for stabilizing the economy and boosting domestic demand [17][20] Group 4: Expansion of High-Level Opening Up - High-level international exhibitions are being successfully held, attracting increased participation and showcasing innovations, which reinforces China's commitment to opening its markets [23][26] - Foreign investment cases, such as the opening of the largest LEGO park in Shanghai and significant projects by multinational corporations, highlight the ongoing expansion of China's openness to global business [23][26]

Group 1: Summer Economic Activity - The summer economy is revitalizing consumption, with various regions launching unique cultural and tourism activities to boost summer travel [2][3] - The Wansui Mountain Scenic Area in Kaifeng, Henan, reported a 230% increase in visitor numbers compared to last year, with around 70,000 daily visitors during the summer [2] - Regions like Guizhou and Xinjiang are creating new consumption scenarios by integrating culture, tourism, sports, and food [2] Group 2: National Unified Market Development - The construction of a national unified market is advancing, with 355 administrative service items achieving "Chuan Yu Tong Ban" (Sichuan-Chongqing mutual recognition) [3][4] - The Central Economic Committee has outlined plans to deepen the construction of a unified national market, with various regions actively participating [3][4] - The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is focusing on industrial transfer and restructuring, while Jiangsu is enhancing regulatory frameworks to support market integration [3][4] Group 3: Major Project Acceleration - Major infrastructure projects are being expedited, including the completion of the 750 kV transmission project around the Tarim Basin, which spans 4,197 kilometers [5][6] - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 800 billion yuan for "two heavy" construction projects, supporting 1,459 projects [6] - The successful progress of these projects is crucial for stabilizing the economy and expanding domestic demand [6] Group 4: High-Level Opening Up - High-level international exhibitions are being successfully held, with the third Chain Expo seeing a 2.2 times increase in foreign delegations compared to the previous year [7][8] - The opening of the world's largest LEGO park in Shanghai and the launch of ExxonMobil's ethylene project in Guangdong highlight China's commitment to foreign investment [8][9] - China's proactive approach to expanding high-level opening up is seen as a source of confidence and opportunity for global development [8][9]

7月30日召开的中共中央政治局会议指出，要扩大高水平对外开放，稳住外贸外资基本盘。帮助受冲击 较大的外贸企业，强化融资支持，促进内外贸一体化发展。优化出口退税政策，高水平建设自贸试验区 等开放平台。商务部研究院研究员白明表示，当前外部环境复杂严峻，稳住外贸外资基本盘要加码、加 油、加力。会议提到"高水平建设自贸试验区等开放平台"，和之前"实施自贸试验区提升战略"一脉相 承，自贸试验区开放政策举措有望加码。在他看来，自贸试验区要结合自身资源禀赋，在扩大高水平开 放中争当新的"排头兵"。在当前外需增长存在压力的情况下，自贸区的发展有助于企业应对压力，增强 竞争力。(上海证券报) ...