Core Insights - The People's Bank of China released financial statistics for the first half of 2025, indicating a significant increase in social financing and loans to the real economy compared to the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Social Financing and Loans - The total social financing increment for the first half of 2025 reached 22.83 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.74 trillion yuan year-on-year [1]. - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.74 trillion yuan, which is 279.6 billion yuan more than the previous year [1]. - Foreign currency loans to the real economy decreased by 63.8 billion yuan, a decline of 55.8 billion yuan year-on-year [1]. - Trust loans increased by 144.3 billion yuan, but this was a decrease of 165.5 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1]. - Net financing through corporate bonds was 1.15 trillion yuan, down 256.2 billion yuan year-on-year, while government bonds saw a net financing of 7.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 432 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Monetary Statistics - As of June 2025, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year growth [2]. - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 265.22 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7% [2]. - The balance of foreign currency loans was 1.22 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 26.6% year-on-year [2]. - The broad money supply (M2) stood at 330.29 trillion yuan, with an 8.3% year-on-year growth [4]. Group 3: Deposits and Interest Rates - The total balance of deposits (both RMB and foreign currency) was 327.46 trillion yuan, with an 8.6% year-on-year increase [7]. - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending was 1.46%, lower than both the previous month and the same month last year [9]. - The average weighted interest rate for pledged bond repos was 1.5%, also lower than the previous month and year [9]. Group 4: Foreign Exchange and Cross-Border Transactions - The national foreign exchange reserves were reported at 3.32 trillion USD as of June 2025 [9]. - The cross-border RMB settlement amount under current accounts reached 8.3 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlements amounting to 4.11 trillion yuan [9].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the zinc industry is "Oscillating Downward" [1] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The report presents the latest data on zinc's fundamentals, including prices, trading volumes, open interests, premiums, and inventories, and indicates a downward trend for zinc [1] Group 3: Summary Based on Related Content 1. Zinc Market Data - **Prices**: The closing price of SHFE zinc main contract was 22,320 yuan/ton, down 0.11%; the closing price of LME zinc 3M electronic trading was 2,729.5 dollars/ton, down 1.18% [1] - **Trading Volumes**: The trading volume of SHFE zinc main contract was 105,121 lots, a decrease of 77,539 lots; the trading volume of LME zinc was 14,107 lots, an increase of 2,308 lots [1] - **Open Interests**: The open interest of SHFE zinc main contract was 108,084 lots, a decrease of 2,397 lots; the open interest of LME zinc was 189,343 lots, a decrease of 568 lots [1] - **Premiums and Discounts**: Shanghai 0 zinc premium was 0 yuan/ton, unchanged; LME CASH - 3M premium was -6 dollars/ton, a decrease of 4.2 dollars/ton [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE zinc futures inventory was 14,982 tons, a decrease of 76 tons; LME zinc inventory was 100,825 tons, a decrease of 3,975 tons [1] 2. News - People's Bank of China Deputy Governor Zou Lan stated that from the first - half financial data, the effect of monetary policy in supporting the real economy was relatively obvious. At the end of June, the year - on - year growth rate of the stock of social financing scale was 8.9%, M2 increased by 8.3% year - on - year, and RMB loans increased by 7.1% year - on - year [2] 3. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of zinc is -1, indicating a relatively bearish outlook [2][3]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China Shanghai Headquarters reported on the monetary credit operation in the Yangtze River Delta region for the first half of 2025, indicating a robust growth in loans and credit [1] Loan Balances - As of the end of June, the total loan balance in the Yangtze River Delta region reached 75.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.2%, with an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The balance of RMB loans stood at 74.62 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, also up by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Foreign currency loans amounted to 123.1 billion USD, which represents a year-on-year decline of 13.1%, although the growth rate improved by 3.4 percentage points from the previous month [1] Loan Increases in the First Half - In the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 4.81 trillion yuan, which is 505 billion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - Household sector loans rose by 264.4 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 27.8 billion yuan year-on-year, with short-term loans decreasing by 94.9 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 359.3 billion yuan [1] - Corporate loans increased by 4.45 trillion yuan, which is 175.1 billion yuan more than the previous year, with short-term loans rising by 1.91 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 2.37 trillion yuan, alongside a rise in bill financing by 85.7 billion yuan [1] - Loans from non-bank financial institutions decreased by 13.1 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year reduction of 44.3 billion yuan [1] - In June alone, RMB loans increased by 901.8 billion yuan, which is 117.6 billion yuan more than the same month last year [1]

Core Insights - The social financing scale in Liaoning Province increased by 279.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking the highest level for the same period in the past decade [1] - The total RMB loan balance of financial institutions in Liaoning reached 5.36 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, with an increase of 167.3 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, and a year-on-year increase of 130.1 billion yuan [1] Loan Structure - State-owned banks maintained a high growth rate in lending [1] - Inclusive small and micro loans grew by over 20%, with a balance of 473.1 billion yuan at the end of June, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.5%, which is 7.1 percentage points higher than the previous quarter [1] - Loans for scientific research and technical services increased significantly, with a balance of 32.4 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 65.01% [1] - Manufacturing loans also saw a year-on-year increase, with a balance of 698.8 billion yuan at the end of June, an increase of 43.5 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, and a year-on-year increase of 40.8 billion yuan [1] Deposits Overview - The total RMB deposit balance of financial institutions in Liaoning reached 8.54 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4% [1] - Household deposits and non-financial enterprise deposits stood at 6.48 trillion yuan and 1.01 trillion yuan, respectively [1]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of Q2 2025, the balance of various RMB loans from financial institutions reached 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] - In the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan [1] Summary by Categories Loan Balance - The total balance of RMB loans stood at 268.56 trillion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [1] - This represents a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [1] Loan Growth - In the first half of 2025, the increase in RMB loans amounted to 12.92 trillion yuan [1]

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In June 2025, new social financing (社融) reached 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations by 0.9 trillion yuan and higher than the average of 3.75 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2024[3] - The year-on-year growth rate of social financing stock was 8.9%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month[3] - New RMB loans amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1 trillion yuan[4] Group 2: Loan Structure and Trends - In June, the new RMB loans accounted for 56% of the total social financing, indicating strong loan growth from financial institutions[11] - Short-term loans for enterprises saw a significant year-on-year increase of 4.9 trillion yuan, while corporate bill financing decreased by 3.716 trillion yuan[4] - M1 and M2 growth rates were 4.6% and 8.3%, respectively, with M1 rebounding by 2.3 percentage points from the previous month[4] Group 3: Economic Signals and Policy Implications - The government bond net financing in June was 1.3508 trillion yuan, contributing approximately 32% to the new social financing[9] - The People's Bank of China emphasized a "stable" monetary policy, maintaining ample liquidity and signaling no further expansion of bond investment regulation for small and medium banks[14] - The economic environment has improved since May, positively influencing corporate production and investment willingness, as indicated by a mild rebound in the manufacturing PMI index[13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant recovery in M1 and M2 growth rates, with M1 increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and M2 by 8.3% year-on-year, influenced by low base effects and local government debt management [3][4] - The report indicates that the new credit issuance in June exceeded market expectations, with a total of 4.20 trillion yuan in social financing, slightly above the consensus forecast of 4.0 trillion yuan [4] - The report emphasizes that while short-term loans are showing growth, medium to long-term loans remain weak, indicating a slow recovery in the real economy [5][6] Summary by Sections Section: Monetary Data - M1 and M2 growth rates have rebounded significantly, with M1 at 4.6% and M2 at 8.3% year-on-year, attributed to low base effects and local government debt management [3] - The social financing (社融) increased by 4.20 trillion yuan in June, surpassing market expectations, with a year-on-year increase in general loans [4] Section: Credit Market - The average interest rate for new corporate loans was approximately 3.3%, down 45 basis points from the same period last year, while personal housing loan rates were around 3.1%, down 60 basis points [5] - Short-term loans contributed significantly to the overall loan growth, with a notable increase in corporate short-term loans [5][6] Section: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a stable outlook for the banking sector, with expected steady growth in revenue and net profit, recommending banks such as CITIC Bank and Everbright Bank, and highlighting cyclical beneficiaries like Suzhou Bank [6]

Economic Data - In June, China's social financing increased by 4.2 trillion yuan, with new RMB loans amounting to 2.24 trillion yuan, and the M2-M1 spread narrowing [1] - China's exports in June, measured in USD, grew by 5.8% year-on-year, while imports increased by 1.1% [1] - Rare earth exports reached the highest level since 2009, iron ore imports hit a year-to-date high, and steel exports in Q2 set a record [1] Market Reactions - The S&P 500 index barely rose as investors awaited US inflation data [1] - Bitcoin experienced a pullback after reaching a new high [1] - Crude oil prices fell by 3% [1] Trade Relations - The EU is preparing to impose counter-tariffs on US goods worth 720 billion euros [1] - Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Russia if a peace agreement regarding Ukraine is not reached within 50 days [1] Corporate Developments - Elon Musk announced that a "monumental" demonstration of the next-generation Optimus robot is expected by the end of the year [1] - Meta is planning to invest hundreds of billions to build the world's largest data center and is considering shifting from open-source to closed-source [1] Upcoming Data Releases - China is set to release significant GDP data on Tuesday, while the US will announce June CPI data on the same day [1]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of June 2025, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [1] - The broad money (M2) balance reached 330.29 trillion yuan, growing by 8.3% year-on-year [1] - The balance of RMB loans stood at 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] Financial Support for the Real Economy - The financial system's credit support for the real economy remained at a high level, with RMB loans increasing by 12.92 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [2] - Corporate loans accounted for 89.5% of the total new loans, with an increase of 11.57 trillion yuan, marking a 6.6 percentage point rise compared to the previous year [2] - The structure of loans continued to optimize, with significant increases in loans to manufacturing and infrastructure sectors [2] Loan Growth in Key Areas - Loans in the "Five Major Areas" showed total growth and expanded coverage, with a balance of 103.3 trillion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [3] - Technology loans reached a balance of 43.3 trillion yuan, growing by 12% year-on-year, with technology-related enterprises receiving 22.5 trillion yuan [3] - Green, inclusive, pension, and digital loans also saw significant year-on-year growth rates of 27.4%, 11.2%, 38%, and 9.5% respectively [3] Social Financing and Money Supply - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first half of 2025 was 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [4] - Government bond net financing reached 7.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.32 trillion yuan year-on-year, with local government bonds contributing significantly [4] - The M2 balance grew by 8.3%, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the previous year [4][5] Factors Influencing Financial Growth - Increased government bond issuance and financial institutions' bond investments contributed to the rise in money supply [5] - The stable growth of credit also supported money supply expansion, alongside a recovery in corporate deposits [5] - Overall, the financial data for the first half of the year indicates a reasonable growth in social financing and money supply, aligning with economic growth and price level expectations [5]

Monetary Supply - As of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) reached 330.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 113.95 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, marking the highest growth since May 2023 [1] - The net cash injection in the first half of the year amounted to 363.3 billion yuan, indicating a stable liquidity environment [1] Credit Growth - In June, new RMB loans totaled 2.24 trillion yuan, significantly increasing by 1.62 trillion yuan month-on-month and 110 billion yuan year-on-year, stabilizing the loan balance growth rate at 7.1% [2] - For the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, with corporate loans showing a recovery in growth [2] - The increase in corporate short-term loans by 4.9 billion yuan and the end of a four-month decline in medium to long-term loans indicate an improvement in credit structure [2] Social Financing - In June, new social financing (社融) reached 4.20 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 1.91 trillion yuan and a year-on-year increase of 900.8 billion yuan, pushing the social financing stock growth rate to 8.9% [3] - The growth in social financing was primarily driven by government bond financing, which increased by 503.2 billion yuan year-on-year [3] - The continuous year-on-year increase in social financing for seven consecutive months reflects the ongoing support of financial policies for the real economy, with expectations for further growth in July [3]