fed rate cut december, fed rate cut. Photo by BeInCrypto The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.50%–3.75%, delivering the cut markets overwhelmingly expected — but without offering clear momentum toward further easing.  Today’s decision was non-unanimous, reinforcing the uncertainty that has dominated investor sentiment over the past week. Guidance Is the Market Focus, Not the Cut The FOMC acknowledged slowing job gains, a higher unemployment trend thro ...

Andrew Harnik / Getty Images The Federal Reserve's policy committee voted Wednesday to cut its influential interest rate. Key Takeaways The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter-point Wednesday, as widely expected. The Fed's policy committee was unusually divided, with three members voting against the decision. The slowing job market and stubborn inflation are pulling the Fed in opposite directions. The Federal Reserve lowered borrowing costs Wednesday to boost hiring, but it coul ...

Enjoy your Fed interest rate cut today—it may be the last one for a while. There is a 90% certainty that U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will announce a 0.25% cut to the base rate this afternoon, bringing it down to the 3.5% level, according to speculators on the CME FedWatch Fed funds futures index. But after that, the FedWatch index is indicating no certainty for any further cuts in 2026.Here are what the levels of certainty for keeping the rate at 3.5% look like for 2026, per FedWatch: Januar ...

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices are expected to trade sideways as analysts anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut already priced in. Silver, however, shows a positive bias, nearing all-time highs driven by industrial demand and tightening inventories. Investors are closely watching the Fed meeting for potential volatility, while China continues to boost its gold reserves. ...

Core Viewpoint - Toll Brothers is expected to perform well in the current housing market, potentially meeting or exceeding earnings expectations due to strong management and a solid balance sheet [2][3][12]. Company Performance - Toll Brothers has consistently beaten earnings expectations in the last two quarters, indicating effective earnings management even in a challenging environment [3]. - The company is viewed as the best among its peers, reflected in its share performance [3][12]. Market Conditions - The housing sector has faced headwinds for the past couple of years primarily due to high mortgage rates, which have significantly increased housing costs [2][5]. - Current mortgage rates are over 6%, which has doubled the cost of housing compared to when rates were under 3% [5]. Luxury Housing Market - The luxury housing market remains active, with some sellers pulling their homes off the market, indicating a cautious approach among potential buyers [4]. - There is a belief that the luxury market could rebound strongly once housing demand increases [2]. Investment Outlook - The stock is considered a value trade, currently priced at nine times earnings, which is seen as attractive for patient investors [12][13]. - The performance of Toll Brothers and similar stocks is closely tied to the movement of mortgage rates, with a need for rates to decrease for significant stock appreciation [5][9]. Economic Indicators - Future performance may hinge on Federal Reserve actions regarding interest rates, particularly in 2026, which could influence mortgage rates and overall economic strength [6][12].

Core Inflation and Fed Policy - The core PCE likely rose 2.9% year-on-year in September, moving away from the Fed's target of a 2% annual rate, marking 55 consecutive months above the target [2] - Persistent inflation is expected to strengthen the position of Fed hawks who advocate for slower rate cuts [2] Market Volatility and Expectations - Volatility indices, such as the bitcoin implied volatility index (BVIV), remain stable around 36%, indicating a 24-hour expected price swing of 1.88%, suggesting low volatility expectations [3] - Anticipated Fed rate cuts next week are likely influencing the low volatility, with a 25 basis point cut on December 10 priced in as a certainty [3] Impact on Cryptocurrency - A softer-than-expected PCE report could lead to a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%, potentially allowing Bitcoin (BTC) to break out of its recent trading range of $92,000-$94,000 [4] - Analysts suggest that a contained PCE and softer labor data would support a rebound in cryptocurrencies, while any upside surprise may keep markets range-bound until the Fed's direction is clarified [4] Alternative Cryptocurrencies Volatility - Analysts at ING caution that any decline in benchmark yields may be temporary, with similar impacts expected on alternative cryptocurrencies [5] - Ether's one-day implied volatility index stands at 57.23%, indicating a 24-hour price swing of 3%, while SOL and XRP show volatility indices suggesting price moves of 3.86% and 4.3%, respectively [5]

美联储利率调整预期则是全球市场焦点，直接主导美元交易走向。受此前政府停摆影响，官方经济数据发布延迟，供给持续匮乏。12月10日利率决议临近， 决策层陷入困境——劳动力市场与通胀水平均缺乏最新数据支撑判断。 12月交易开启，英镑对美元周一开盘即下行，当日跌幅约0.25%，汇价重回关键技术面聚合区域。全球资金若持续流向美元，这一区域的技术特征或将进一 步作用于英镑交易情绪。 英镑走势当前深度绑定英国政治与财政动态。财政大臣蕾切尔·里夫斯因政府预算议题引发热议，外界质疑其对财政状况的表述存在偏差。 英国预算责任办公室（OBR）最新数据显示，工资增长、税收收入双双超预期，不仅抵消生产率下滑影响，更令政府财政从预估赤字转为盈余。即便如 此，蕾切尔·里夫斯仍坚持推进预算税负调整。 首相基尔·斯塔默领导的政府在议会举步维艰：民调支持率持续下滑，工党内部支持也在弱化。这种政治不确定性已成为影响英镑交易的关键变量，近期资 金流出特征明显，直接限制了英镑对美元的上行空间。 具体到英镑对美元价格表现，周一汇价在1.3250水平遇强阻，盘中买盘未能推动突破，最终回落至1.3200附近。 技术面显示，1.3250区域同时叠加50日与2 ...

All right. We spend a lot of time looking at stats about the markets and the and Q4 and seasonality. Is that something you're paying attention to. Do you think that's something that global investors are paying attention to.>> Yeah, we tend not to pay too much attention to what happens in one quarter, per se. And actually, if you take a step back and if you're an investor, it's been a pretty good year. Uh many asset classes have done incredibly well this year on a year-to- date basis.So even if you set aside ...

Group 1: Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly above the market expectation of 52,000 and the previous value of 22,000 [1] - The unemployment rate in September was reported at 4.4%, slightly above the expected 4.3% and unchanged from the previous month [1] Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the employment data release, U.S. stock futures initially rose, with the Dow Jones futures up by 0.80%, S&P 500 futures up by 1.49%, and Nasdaq 100 futures up by 2.02% [1] - However, by the end of the trading day, all three major indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down by 0.84%, Nasdaq down by 2.15%, and S&P 500 down by 1.55% [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Outlook - The interest rate swap market indicates a low probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in December, with traders expecting the Fed to skip a rate cut [5] - According to CME's FedWatch, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates in December is 60.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 39.6% [6] Group 4: Public Sentiment on Economic Policy - A recent poll shows increasing dissatisfaction among the American public regarding the economic policies of the Trump administration, with 76% of respondents rating the economy as "poor," up from 67% in July [7][8] - Only 15% of respondents believe that the Trump administration's economic policies have had a positive impact, while 46% feel these policies have worsened the economic situation [9] Group 5: Energy Department Restructuring - The U.S. Department of Energy announced a restructuring that prioritizes fossil fuels and nuclear energy, moving away from the previous focus on renewable energy and efficiency [13] - The new structure includes the establishment of several new offices, such as the Hydrocarbon and Geothermal Energy Office and the Fusion Office, while the Clean Energy Demonstration Office was dissolved [13]

Core Viewpoint - Most Gulf stock markets experienced subdued trading due to falling oil prices, with investors awaiting a delayed U.S. jobs report for insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gulf stock markets were generally subdued in early trade on Wednesday [1] - The decline in oil prices contributed to the lackluster performance of these markets [1] Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Investors are closely monitoring a delayed U.S. jobs report for indications regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate path [1]