跨期套利
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有色套利早报-20251016
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-16 01:53
有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/10/16 铜:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/16 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 85250 10745 7.86 三月 85850 10717 7.97 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - -1521.41 现货出口 - 锌:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/16 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22010 3076 7.16 三月 22040 2936 5.83 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 铝:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/16 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20920 2764 7.57 三月 20935 2757 7.59 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 镍:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/16 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123550 15044 8.21 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - -1281.18 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据 ...
有色套利早报-20251015
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-15 01:24
有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/10/15 铜:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/15 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 85925 - - 三月 84380 10527 8.18 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 现货出口 - 锌:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/15 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22210 - - 三月 22255 2978 5.73 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 铝:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/15 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20890 - - 三月 20875 2736 7.65 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 镍:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/15 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123150 - - 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - -1256.48 跨期套利跟踪 2025/10/15 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -590 -620 -710 -760 理论价差 527 952 1386 1820 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 15 50 80 100 理论价差 214 334 454 ...
甲醇日报:港口基差快速走强-20251014
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-10-14 05:50
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core View of the Report - The port basis of methanol has strengthened rapidly due to factors such as the intensification of Sino - US trade conflicts and the potential impact on Iranian methanol vessel berthing. The support from the inland to the port has weakened as the coal - based methanol operating rate has rebounded and inland inventory has increased from a low level. Traditional downstream industries have seen varying degrees of decline in operating rates [3]. Summary by Directory I. Methanol Basis & Inter - period Structure - The report includes multiple figures related to methanol basis, such as the methanol Taicang basis and the basis of methanol in different regions relative to the main futures contract, as well as the price differences between different methanol futures contracts (MA2601 - MA2605, etc.) [7][9][21] II. Methanol Production Profit, MTO Profit, Import Profit - Figures show the import price difference between Taicang methanol and CFR China, price differences between CFR Southeast Asia - CFR China, FOB US Gulf - CFR China, FOB Rotterdam - CFR China, as well as the production profit of Inner Mongolia coal - based methanol and the MTO profit in East China [25][29][33] III. Methanol Operation, Inventory - Information on methanol port total inventory, MTO/P operating rate (including integrated), inland factory sample inventory, and China's methanol operating rate (including integrated) is presented [34][36][40] IV. Regional Price Differences - The report provides data on regional price differences, such as the price difference between northern Shandong and the northwest, between Taicang and Inner Mongolia, and between different regions like Guangdong and East China [38][45][48] V. Traditional Downstream Profits - Figures display the production gross margins of traditional downstream products, including Shandong formaldehyde, Jiangsu acetic acid, Shandong MTBE isomerization etherification, and Henan dimethyl ether [49][57] Strategy - Unilateral: Cautiously go long on hedging at low prices - Inter - period: Go long on the spread of MA2601 - MA2605 at low prices - Inter - variety: Narrow the spread of PP01 - 3MA01 at high prices [4]
有色套利早报-20251014
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-14 01:09
铅:跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16925 - - 三月 17110 2007 11.09 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 跨期套利跟踪 2025/10/14 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 120 120 80 90 理论价差 527 952 1386 1820 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 50 85 115 135 理论价差 214 334 454 574 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 20 25 25 30 理论价差 215 332 448 564 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -5 10 5 25 理论价差 211 317 424 530 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 260 430 700 880 锡 5-1 价差 80 理论价差 5841 期现套利跟踪 2025/10/14 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -10 110 理论价差 98 585 锌 当月合约-现货 ...
有色套利早报-20251013
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-13 02:19
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for various non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on October 13, 2025, including prices, ratios, spreads, and profit data [1][4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 13, 2025, the domestic spot price was 86,550, the LME price was 10,706, and the ratio was 8.11. The profit from spot import was - 947.78 [1]. - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,310, the LME price was 3,104, and the ratio was 7.19. The profit from spot import was - 4,175.73 [1]. - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20,990, the LME price was 2,780, and the ratio was 7.55. The profit from spot import was - 2,342.57 [1]. - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 124,900, the LME price was 15,131, and the ratio was 8.25. The profit from spot import was - 1,256.48 [1]. - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,925, the LME price was 1,988, and the ratio was 8.51. The profit from spot import was - 642.27 [3]. Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 820, - 820, - 790, and - 850 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 536, 969, 1412, and 1855 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 10, 20, 50, and 65, and the theoretical spreads were 214, 335, 455, and 576 [4]. - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 120, - 105, - 105, and - 130, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 334, 452, and 569 [4]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 40, 50, 65, and 35, and the theoretical spreads were 211, 317, 424, and 530 [4]. - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 2080, - 1890, - 1700, and - 1550 [4]. - **Tin**: The spread for 5 - 1 was - 150, and the theoretical spread was 5921 [4]. Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 75 and - 745, and the theoretical spreads were 174 and 533 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 30 and - 40, and the theoretical spreads were 81 and 211 [4]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 175 and 215, and the theoretical spreads were 117 and 230 [5]. Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 13, 2025, for the cross - variety ratios: copper/zinc (Shanghai: 3.85, London: 3.50), copper/aluminum (Shanghai: 4.09, London: 3.83), copper/lead (Shanghai: 5.01, London: 5.21), aluminum/zinc (Shanghai: 0.94, London: 0.92), aluminum/lead (Shanghai: 1.22, London: 1.36), lead/zinc (Shanghai: 0.77, London: 0.67) [5].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月10日)-20251010
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 01:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report is a daily report on futures variety arbitrage data of Baocheng Futures on October 10, 2025, presenting the basis, inter - period, and inter - variety data of various futures products including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, shows that the basis on October 9 was - 102.4 yuan/ton, the same as September 30 and 29, while on September 26 it was - 100.4 yuan/ton, and on September 25 it was - 95.4 yuan/ton. The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads were all 0.0 [2] Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from September 25 to October 9, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on October 9 was 13.42 yuan/ton [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP are provided. For instance, the basis of rubber on October 9 was - 765 yuan/ton [9] - Inter - period spreads (5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 5 - month) for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rubber was - 35 yuan/ton [11] - Inter - variety spreads (LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, PP - 3*methanol) from September 25 to October 9, 2025, are shown. For example, on October 9, LLDPE - PVC was 2318 yuan/ton [11] Black Metals - **Inter - period Spreads**: 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month(10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month(10) minus 5 - month spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rebar was 58.0 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: Spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from September 25 to October 9, 2025, are presented. For example, on October 9, rebar/iron ore was 3.92 [20] - **Basis Data**: Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For example, the basis of rebar on October 9 was 154.0 yuan/ton [21] Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin in the domestic market are provided. For example, the basis of copper on October 9 was - 750 yuan/ton [30] - **London Market**: On October 9, 2025, LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (24.90) [34] Agricultural Products - **Basis Data**: Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on October 9 was - 15 yuan/ton [41] - **Inter - period Spreads**: 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc., are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 29 yuan/ton [41] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: Spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from September 25 to October 9, 2025, are shown. For example, on October 9, soybeans No.1/corn was 1.85 [41] Stock Index Futures - **Basis Data**: Basis data from September 25 to October 9, 2025, for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on October 9 was 20.28 [52] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The spreads of the next - month minus the current - month and the next - quarter minus the current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given. For example, the next - month minus the current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 8.8 [52]
有色套利早报-20251010
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 00:57
1. Cross - market Arbitrage Tracking Copper - Spot price in China is 85,900, LME price is 10,843, and the ratio is 7.69; three - month price in China is 86,820, LME price is 10,868, and the ratio is 7.90. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.11, with a loss of 968.44, and a profit of 1465.36 for spot export [1] Zinc - Spot price in China is 22,140, LME price is 3,096, and the ratio is 7.15; three - month price in China is 22,335, LME price is 3,030, and the ratio is 5.59. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.53, with a loss of 4264.28 [1] Aluminum - Spot price in China is 20,960, LME price is 2,796, and the ratio is 7.50; three - month price in China is 21,085, LME price is 2,788, and the ratio is 7.53. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.38, with a loss of 2476.58 [1] Nickel - Spot price in China is 121,850, LME price is 15,358, and the ratio is 7.93. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.19, with a loss of 2247.17 [1] Lead - Spot price in China is 16,775, LME price is 1,986, and the ratio is 8.46; three - month price in China is 17,135, LME price is 2,016, and the ratio is 11.02. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.83, with a loss of 734.46 [3] 2. Cross - term Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 3400, 3470, 3500, and 3400 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 519, 936, 1361, and 1787 [4] Zinc - The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 1175, 1195, 1230, and 1260 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 209, 323, 438, and 553 [4] Aluminum - The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 380, 375, 375, and 370 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 215, 330, 446, and 561 [4] Lead - The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 690, 710, 720, and 595 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 207, 310, 413, and 517 [4] Nickel - The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 4170, 4350, 4540, and 4810 respectively [4] Tin - The spread of the 5 - 1 contract is - 210, and the theoretical spread is 5939 [4] 3. Spot - futures Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are - 2370 and 1030 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are - 208 and 762 [4] Zinc - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are - 1000 and 175 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 116 and 246 (also mentioned as 59 and 240) [4][5] Lead - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are - 350 and 340 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 44 and 156 [5] 4. Cross - variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) are 3.89, 4.12, 5.07, 0.94, 1.23, and 0.77 respectively; for LME (three - continuous contracts) are 3.61, 3.88, 5.35, 0.93, 1.38, and 0.67 respectively [5]
有色套利早报-20251009
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-09 00:59
Report Overview - The report provides cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals on October 9, 2025 [1] Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking Copper - Spot price in China is 83240, LME price is 10339, and the ratio is 8.06; March price in China is 83110, LME price is 10382, and the ratio is 8.00. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.10, with a profit of - 295.06 [1] Zinc - Spot price in China is 21820, LME price is 2971, and the ratio is 7.34; March price in China is 21850, LME price is 2915, and the ratio is 5.81. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.53, with a profit of - 3533.69 [1] Aluminum - Spot price in China is 20720, LME price is 2663, and the ratio is 7.78; March price in China is 20690, LME price is 2665, and the ratio is 7.79. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.39, with a profit of - 1618.40 [1] Nickel - Spot price in China is 120150, LME price is 15012, and the ratio is 8.00. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.18, with a profit of - 1281.13 [1] Lead - Spot price in China is 16775, LME price is 1949, and the ratio is 8.62; March price in China is 16985, LME price is 1991, and the ratio is 11.00. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.83, with a profit of - 406.67 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to the spot month are - 240, - 240, - 300, - 300 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 519, 936, 1361, 1787 [4] Zinc - The spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to the spot month are 685, 710, 735, 785 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 209, 323, 438, 553 [4] Aluminum - The spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to the spot month are - 30, - 20, - 10, - 10 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 215, 330, 446, 561 [4] Lead - The spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to the spot month are 515, 560, 570, 530 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 207, 310, 413, 517 [4] Nickel - The spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to the spot month are 590, 750, 960, 1260 respectively [4] Tin - The 5 - 1 spread is 300, and the theoretical spread is 5700 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are 155 and - 85 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 314 and 739 [4] Zinc - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are - 680 and 5 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 129 and 257 [4] Lead - The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot are - 350 and 165 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 77 and 190 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) are 3.80, 4.02, 4.89, 0.95, 1.22, 0.78 respectively, and for LME (three - continuous) are 3.47, 3.83, 5.16, 0.91, 1.35, 0.67 respectively [5]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年9月29日):一、动力煤-20250929
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 02:33
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report provides daily arbitrage data for various futures commodities on September 29, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, showing the basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads of these commodities. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - The basis for power coal on September 26, 2025, was - 100.4 yuan/ton, compared to - 95.4 yuan/ton on September 25, 24, and 23, and - 96.4 yuan/ton on September 22. The spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month were all 0.0 [2]. Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - For energy commodities, the basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from September 22 to 26, 2025, are presented, along with the price ratios. For example, on September 26, the basis of INE crude oil was 13.13 yuan/ton, and the price ratio was 0.1417 [7]. Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from September 22 to 26, 2025, are provided. For instance, on September 26, the basis of rubber was - 770 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 5 - month) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of rubber was - 30 yuan/ton [11]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from September 22 to 26, 2025, are shown. On September 26, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2261 yuan/ton [11]. Black Metals - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal (5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month(10) vs 1 - month, 9 - month(10) vs 5 - month) are presented. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of rebar was 58.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from September 22 to 26, 2025, are provided. On September 26, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.94 [20]. - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from September 22 to 26, 2025, are given. On September 26, the basis of rebar was 126.0 yuan/ton [21]. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin in the domestic market from September 22 to 26, 2025, are presented. On September 26, the basis of copper was 40 yuan/ton [28]. London Market - For LME non - ferrous metals on September 26, 2025, the LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin are provided. For example, the LME spread of copper was (38.91), and the import profit and loss was (452.74) [33]. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from September 22 to 26, 2025, are given. On September 26, the basis of soybeans No.1 was 125 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of various agricultural products (5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 5 - month) are presented. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 33 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from September 22 to 26, 2025, are shown. On September 26, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.81 [39]. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 22 to 26, 2025, are provided. On September 26, the basis of CSI 300 was 25.05 [50]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next - month vs current - month, next - quarter vs current - quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given. For example, the next - month vs current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 14.0 [50].
有色套利早报-20250929
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 01:34
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoint - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, nickel, and tin on September 29, 2025 [1][3][4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On September 29, 2025, the domestic spot price was 82,480, the LME price was 10,233, and the ratio was 8.08. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.12, with a profit of - 652.74, and the profit for spot export was 134.27. The three - month domestic price was 82,480, the LME price was 10,272, and the ratio was 8.04 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 21,950, the LME price was 2,957, and the ratio was 7.42. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.55, with a profit of - 3,338.99. The three - month domestic price was 21,995, the LME price was 2,918, and the ratio was 5.85 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20,770, the LME price was 2,651, and the ratio was 7.83. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.40, with a profit of - 1,511.91. The three - month domestic price was 20,755, the LME price was 2,656, and the ratio was 7.82 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,900, the LME price was 1,964, and the ratio was 8.62. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.84, with a profit of - 437.61. The three - month domestic price was 17,125, the LME price was 2,006, and the ratio was 10.99 [3] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 120,550, the LME price was 15,043, and the ratio was 8.01. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.20, with a profit of - 2,042.46 [1] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 190, - 180, - 240, and - 260 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 515, 929, 1351, and 1773 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 50, - 35, - 5, and 30, and the theoretical spreads were 213, 332, 451, and 571 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 15, - 5, - 5, and 0, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 331, 446, and 562 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 50, 65, 80, and 65, and the theoretical spreads were 210, 317, 423, and 529 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 1300, - 1080, - 920, and - 670 [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was 310, and the theoretical spread was 5680 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 210 and 20 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 383 and 811 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 80 and 30, and the theoretical spreads were 151 and 279 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 160 and 210, and the theoretical spreads were 167 and 280 [4] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On September 29, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) were 3.75, 3.97, 4.82, 0.94, 1.21, and 0.78 respectively, and for London (three - continuous contracts) were 3.52, 3.83, 5.08, 0.92, 1.33, and 0.69 respectively [5]