一样的行情，不一样的指导，不一样的人生。新手的特点就是不懂技术，盲目进场。他们每次交易只考虑一个问题：认为只要预判了市场涨跌就可以去做这 笔交易。这种重方向、轻位置的做法使得交易者一败涂地。其实，顺势而为的"势"跟"方向"是有很大差别的，因为市场的运动方向呈现震荡的形态运行，而 市场的趋势往往是全局性的。在我这里，我能做的是帮你合理的把控仓位，利用支撑和阻力位下单，让每一单有理可依，有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意 进场，请对自己的资金负责。如果你对行情真的无法把握，可以前来找到我，多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失，永远记住一句话，专业的人做专业的 事，一切实战只为盈利，合作只为双赢。 黄金最新行情趋势分析： 黄金消息面解析：周三（8月27日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于3390.85美元/盎司附近。周二（8月26日），美国总统特朗普突然宣布解雇美 联储理事库克，理由是其在抵押贷款申请中存在"不当行为"。这一举动不仅直接挑战美联储的独立性，更瞬间点燃了市场的避险情绪。黄金价格应声飙升至 逾两周最高点，现货黄金单日上涨0.83%，收于3393.43美元/盎司，为近两周最高收盘价。与此同时，美元指数下跌0 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 贵金属早报—— 2025年8月26日 大越期货投资咨询部 项唯一 从业资格证号： F3051846 投资咨询证号： Z0015764 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 黄金 1、基本面：早间特朗普称解除美联储理事Cook职务，早间金价短线拉升；美国三大 股指全线收跌，欧股收盘普遍下跌；美债收益率集体上涨，10年期美债收益率涨 0.78个基点报4.269%；美元指数涨0.74%报98.44，离岸人民币对美元升值报 7.1581；COMEX黄金期货跌0.23%报3410.70美元/盎司；中性 2、基差：黄金期货779.18，现货775.67，基差-3.51，现货贴水期货；中性 3、库存：黄金期货仓单37515千克，增加60千克；偏空 4、盘面：20日均线向上，k线在20日均线上方； ...

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Gold has reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in its gold business and improved profitability of its subsidiaries [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 28.44 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 87.89% [2][3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 656 million yuan, up 49.66% compared to the same period last year [2][3]. - Basic earnings per share increased to 0.42 yuan, a 50% rise from the previous year [2][3]. - Operating cash flow reached 498 million yuan, a substantial increase of 626.61% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company maintained a cash balance of 1.145 billion yuan, indicating strong liquidity [2]. Business Segmentation - Gold business revenue was 26.92 billion yuan, accounting for 94.68% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 93.82% [4][5]. - Antimony business revenue was 1.33 billion yuan, representing 4.66% of total revenue, with a growth of 17.46% [4][5]. - Tungsten business revenue was 68 million yuan, making up 0.24% of total revenue, with a growth of 12.49% [4][5]. - The external purchase of non-standard gold business was a major growth driver, with revenue reaching 25.8 billion yuan, doubling year-on-year with a growth of 103.57% [5][6]. Production and Market Conditions - The company produced 37,300 kg of gold, a year-on-year increase of 37.97% [12]. - Antimony production decreased by 19.89% to 12,100 tons, while tungsten production increased by 12.97% to 554 standard tons [12]. - Global geopolitical tensions have driven up gold prices, with the London spot gold price rising by 24.31% since the beginning of the year [11]. Subsidiary Performance - Subsidiary Chen Zhou Mining generated revenue of 27.94 billion yuan and net profit of 649 million yuan, remaining the core profit driver for the company [7]. - Anhua Zhazixi reported revenue of 448 million yuan and net profit of 208 million yuan, boosted by rising antimony prices [8]. - Golden Cave Mining had revenue of 299 million yuan and net profit of 2.24 million yuan, showing a decline due to reduced production [9]. - New Dragon Mining achieved revenue of 396 million yuan and net profit of 115 million yuan, demonstrating strong performance [10]. Future Outlook - The company plans to continue focusing on its core mining operations and resource management while enhancing safety and efficiency [12].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Fundamental: Last week, the Fed's July meeting showed significant internal divergence on interest rate cuts, with most officials' public speeches leaning hawkish, leading the market to lower expectations for a September rate cut and pressuring precious metal prices. However, Fed Chair Powell's dovish signal at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday revived September rate cut expectations. In terms of risk aversion, the US and Europe reached a trade agreement framework, imposing a 15% tariff on most goods, and preparations for a tri - party meeting between the US, Russia, and Ukraine were underway, reducing tariff and geopolitical disturbances. Precious metal prices first declined and then rose last week, mainly affected by Fed rate cut expectations [3]. - Capital: Last week, COMEX gold inventories decreased while silver inventories increased. Gold ETF fund inflows slowed, while silver ETF fund inflows increased. Hedge funds reduced their bullish positions in gold, and the non - commercial net long positions in silver slightly increased. Overall, silver ETF and hedge fund investments were relatively strong last week [3]. - Strategy: The US economic policy uncertainty index has remained at a historically high level for a long time. The US tariff and trade policies not only increase US inflation pressure but also lead the global trade system into a stage of turmoil and reconstruction. Meanwhile, the US debt scale continues to expand, and the international community is concerned about the US fiscal sustainability. Precious metals, as strategic assets, have good risk - resistance capabilities, and the hedging demand provides a bottom - support for their prices. Coupled with the continued central bank gold - buying trend, precious metals still have upward - driving opportunities in the future. The Shanghai gold price is bullish in the long - term, oscillating in the short - term, and it is recommended to hold long positions or buy low and sell high in the medium - term. For Shanghai silver, it is recommended to wait and see in the short - term and buy on dips in the medium - term [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - Key Indicator Fluctuations: London spot gold price was $3334.25/ounce, a 0.04% change; COMEX gold futures were $3417.33/ounce, up 0.70%; Shanghai gold main contract was 773.40 yuan/gram, down 0.34%. London spot silver price was $38.01/ounce, up 0.73%; COMEX silver futures were $38.88/ounce, up 2.26%; Shanghai silver main contract was 9192.00 yuan/kg, down 0.13% [6]. - Domestic and Foreign Gold - to - Silver Ratios: The domestic and foreign gold - to - silver ratios decreased slightly last week. The domestic ratio repaired to around 84, and the foreign ratio to around 87, significantly higher than the long - term average of 60 - 70, indicating that the silver price was undervalued. Powell's speech boosted September rate cut expectations, and the gold - to - silver ratio will continue to repair, opening up the price elasticity of silver [9]. - Domestic - Foreign Price Spreads: The domestic - foreign price spreads of gold and silver decreased slightly. Affected by Fed rate cut expectations and tariff - related risk aversion, prices were oscillating [12]. 2. Macroeconomic Analysis - US Dollar Index: Fed Chair Powell's dovish speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium last week, emphasizing concerns about the employment market, significantly increased market expectations for a September rate cut, causing the US dollar index to decline and precious metal prices to rise [13]. - US Treasury Real Yields: Last week, the 5 - year and 10 - year US Treasury real yields declined, mainly due to Powell's dovish speech. The increased rate - cut expectations led to a drop in Treasury yields and boosted precious metal prices [16]. - US Key Economic Data - CPI: In July, US CPI increased 2.7% year - on - year (previous value 2.7%, expected 2.8%), and core CPI increased 3% year - on - year (previous value 2.9%, expected 3%). Core inflation slightly rebounded, with service prices rising significantly and inflation pressure controllable [21]. - PPI: In July, US PPI increased 3.3% year - on - year (expected 2.5%) and 0.9% month - on - month (expected 0.2%), the largest increase since June 2022, indicating a significant increase in corporate production costs, mainly driven by service inflation [21]. - Core PCE: In June, the US core PCE price index increased 2.8% year - on - year (expected 2.7%), a four - month high, and the overall PCE price index increased 2.6% year - on - year (expected 2.5%) [24]. - PMI: In July, the US ISM manufacturing PMI was 48 (expected 49.5), breaking below the boom - bust line; the ISM services PMI was 50.1 (expected 51.1), approaching the critical point, indicating a significant slowdown in the service industry [27]. - Retail Sales: In July, US retail sales increased 0.51% month - on - month, and core retail sales (excluding motor vehicles and parts) increased 0.27% month - on - month, showing some improvement in consumer activity [27]. - Employment Data: In July, US ADP employment increased by 104,000 (expected 75,000), but the labor market cooled. Non - farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 (expected 110,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%. Last week, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 11,000 to 235,000, the highest since June 20 [30]. - Fed Rate Cut Expectations: The Fed remains divided on rate cuts. Before the September meeting, new inflation and employment data will provide more guidance. Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium boosted rate - cut expectations [33]. - Tariff and Geopolitical Situation: The US and Europe reached a trade agreement framework, and preparations for a US - Russia - Ukraine meeting were underway, reducing tariff and geopolitical disturbances and alleviating risk - aversion sentiment [33]. 3. Position Analysis - Hedge Fund Positions: As of August 19, 2025, CMX gold speculative net long positions decreased by 16,900 lots to 212,600 lots, while CMX silver speculative net long positions increased by 2,300 lots to 46,500 lots [36]. - ETF Positions: As of August 22, 2025, the SPDR gold ETF holdings decreased by 8.59 tons to 956.77 tons, and the SLV silver ETF holdings increased by 217.50 tons to 15,288.82 tons [37]. 4. Other Elements - Gold and Silver Inventories: Last week, COMEX gold inventories were 38.5638 million ounces, a 0.19% decrease, and COMEX silver inventories were 508.4869 million ounces, a 0.18% increase [44]. - Gold and Silver Demand: In August 2025, global gold reserves increased by 38.65 tons to 36,344.49 tons, and China's gold reserves increased by 2.18 tons to 2,298.53 tons. In Q2 2025, global gold demand increased 3% year - on - year to 1,249 tons. The global silver shortage is expected to narrow by 21% to 117.6 million ounces in 2025, and silver prices are expected to be boosted by loose monetary policy and industrial demand [47]. - This Week's Key Attention: This week, important events include Fed officials' speeches and the release of US economic data such as July PCE price index, Q2 GDP, and July durable goods orders, which may provide new guidance for the Fed's rate - cut path [49][50].

"今天金价又涨了！"这句感叹，如今在我们耳边回响的频率越来越高。国内金价已然突破每克770元大关，仿佛每天都在上演"一日价"的戏剧。从投资金条 到精美首饰，再到银行报价的微妙差异，黄金市场正吸引着越来越多的目光。今天，就让我们一同拨开迷雾，探寻最新金价的涨跌逻辑，并为您厘清投资与 消费的抉择之道。 国内金价：投资热情点燃市场 聚焦国内市场，今日黄金报价高达每克777.5元，较昨日上涨0.76%。虽然数字看似微小，但每克几块钱的涨幅，积少成多，已是不容忽视的力量。特别是上 海黄金交易所的AU9999，单日暴涨超过7元，接近1%的日涨幅，彰显了投资者的热情。 为何国内金价涨幅似乎更为迅猛？这很大程度上归因于国内投资者强烈的避险情绪。在不确定性增加的环境下，黄金作为避风港的吸引力愈发凸显，导致国 内金价与国际金价之间的价差被拉大至每克35元以上。 黄金价格飙升，投资情绪高涨：是时候深入了解了吗？ 国际金价：美元强势下黄金依旧坚挺 放眼国际舞台，纽约期货金报3416.92美元/盎司，飙升35美元，涨幅超1%；伦敦现货金也攀升至3371.78美元/盎司。换算成人民币，大致与国内报价相当， 约合每克776.8元。 值得注 ...

Group 1 - Global stock fund inflows significantly decreased to $2.27 billion for the week ending August 20, down from $19.29 billion the previous week, influenced by cautious investor sentiment towards major tech stock sell-offs and upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium [2] - U.S. equity funds experienced a net outflow of $2.4 billion, reversing the previous week's inflow of approximately $8.76 billion [5] - European and Asian equity funds saw their weekly net inflows slow to $4.2 billion and $0.7 million, respectively, compared to $7.1 billion and $2.08 billion the prior week [5] Group 2 - Global bond funds continued to attract investment for the 17th consecutive week, with a net inflow of $18.82 billion [8] - High-yield bond funds received a net inflow of $3.03 billion, marking the largest inflow in eight weeks [8] - Investors also added $2.52 billion to short-term bond funds for the eighth consecutive week [8] Group 3 - Money market funds saw a net inflow of $13.98 billion, continuing a buying trend for the third week [11] - Gold and precious metals commodity funds experienced a net outflow of $2.93 billion, ending a 12-week buying streak [11] - Emerging market equity funds attracted a net inflow of $4.58 billion after two weeks of net outflows, while bond funds saw a net increase of $2.13 billion [11]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 贵金属早报—— 2025年8月25日 大越期货投资咨询部 项唯一 从业资格证号： F3051846 投资咨询证号： Z0015764 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 黄金 1、基本面：鲍威尔鸽派转向引爆市场，金价大幅走高；美国三大股指全线收涨，欧 洲三大股指收盘小幅上涨；美债收益率集体下跌，10年期美债收益率跌5.45个基点 报4.261%；美元指数跌0.94%报97.72，离岸人民币对美元升值报7.1712；COMEX黄金 期货涨1.05%报3417.20美元/盎司；中性 2、基差：黄金期货773.4，现货770.44，基差-2.96，现货贴水期货；中性 3、库存：黄金期货仓单37455千克，增加813千克；偏空 4、盘面：20日均线向下，k线在20日均线下方；偏空 5、主 ...

上周受美俄乌谈判进度乐观扰动，避险情绪降温，金价周期震荡偏弱，周五受鲍威尔在杰克森霍尔年度 央行研讨会上鸽派表态影响，降息预期大幅升温，金价周五大幅上涨，创近两周新高，截至收盘， COMEX黄金期货周度上涨1.02%报3417.20美元/盎司，截至亚市收盘，黄金ETF华夏（518850）周度跌 0.3%，黄金股ETF（159562）周度跌1.3%。 美国制造业表现良好，美国8月标普全球制造业PMI初值录得53.3，为2022年5月以来最高水平，远超预 期的49.5。就业方面表现略差，美国上周初请失业金人数增加1.1万人至23.5万人，创6月以来新高，高 于市场预期的22.5万人。美联储鲍威尔对降息态度软化，他在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表的讲话比市场 预期更为鸽派。 中信建投期货分析指出，美俄首脑会面后，市场避险情绪显著下降，给贵金属带来一定压力，不过美联 储鲍威尔央行年会发言比预期鸽派，他表示就业面临的下行风险上升可能需要调整政策立场，美联储9 月开启降息基本板上钉钉，支撑贵金属走高，当前环境多空交织，后续仍需关注俄乌冲突进展以及美联 储降息路径。 每日经济新闻 ...

美联储下月降息的几率略有下降，为美元提供了支撑，因为市场的焦点仍然是鲍威尔是否会压制市场对 9月降息的预期。 8月21日（周四），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜周四持稳，市场等待美联储在怀俄明州杰克森霍尔举 行的年度研讨会以及美联储主席鲍威尔周五的讲话，以寻找美国利率政策的线索。 伦敦时间8月21日17:00(北京时间8月22日00:00)，LME三个月期铜上涨4美元，或0.04%，收报每吨 9,724.5美元。周三触及9,670.50美元，为8月7日以来最低。 | | 8月21日 LIE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金屋 | 收盘价 | 张跃 张默帽 | | 三个月期铜 | 9.724.50 1 | +4.00 ↑ +0.04% | | 三个月期铝 | 2,585.00 1 | +8.50 ↑ +0.33% | | 三个月期锌 | 2,765.50 ↓ | -21.50 -0.77% | | 三个月期铅 | 1,970.00 ↓ | -11.50 J -0.58% | | 三个月期镇 | 14,929.00 ↓ | -79.00 -0.53% | | 三个月 ...

此前该指数已因标普全球公布的8月制造业PMI初值受到冲击——该数据攀升3.5点至53.3，创2022年5月 以来新高，远超50的荣枯线，凸显美国制造业正以三年多最快速度扩张，持续加剧通胀压力。 智通财经APP获悉，新兴市场货币周四连续第六日呈现跌势，美国制造业数据强劲叠加美联储官员释放 鹰派信号，令市场对美联储降息的预期进一步承压。如今，市场焦点正转向周五美联储主席鲍威尔在杰 克逊霍尔全球央行年会的讲话。 图1 对此，FIM Partners宏观策略主管查理·罗伯逊预测："鲍威尔可能重申关税对通胀的持续影响有限，同时 承认就业市场趋软，这些都将强化市场利率预期。但意外消息或引发避险情绪，削弱新兴市场近期反弹 成果。"此前周三公布的美联储政策会议纪要已显示，通胀担忧持续笼罩市场。 据了解，克利夫兰联邦储备银行行长贝丝·哈马克明确表示"若明日需决策，不会支持降息"，受此影 响，衡量新兴市场货币整体表现的重要指标跌至8月初以来最低水平。 股市方面，MSCI新兴市场股指小幅回升0.1%，结束此前两日因美国科技股重挫引发的连跌。然而，债 市则呈现分化：乌克兰美元债券连续第二日下跌，部分投资者在和平谈判相关反弹后获利了结 ...