Company and Industry Summary Company: 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd.) Key Points 1. **Impact of Raw Material Price Increases** The recent stock price decline is attributed to rising lithium carbonate prices, which have increased battery cell prices to 0.38-0.4 CNY/Wh. However, the overall impact on demand is considered limited due to the following reasons: - Overseas markets have a high price acceptance, allowing integrators like Sungrow to pass on price increases through linked pricing agreements. The large scale of battery cell procurement provides a pricing advantage, minimizing the impact on profitability and market demand [1][1][1] - The domestic market is more sensitive to price changes, with battery cell prices increasing by approximately 0.1 CNY since August 2025, affecting the internal rate of return (IRR) by about 3 percentage points. However, Sungrow does not prioritize volume in the domestic market, resulting in no impact on overall performance [1][1][1] - The company aims for storage shipments in 2026 to exceed industry growth rates, projected to be over 50% [1][1][1] 2. **Data Center as a Growth Driver** The company is developing a third growth curve through data centers, with significant potential: - From Q3 2025, Sungrow will connect with major overseas companies like AWS, Google, and Meta for AI storage solutions, with positive feedback from recent tests. Orders are expected to materialize soon [2][2][2] - AI storage is designed for instantaneous response and load curve smoothing. Sungrow and Tesla are the only companies with AI storage solutions, with concerns about competition from Tesla. Sungrow's market share in AI storage is expected to surpass that of conventional storage, potentially generating over 5 billion CNY in profits from 10 GWh of orders, with the possibility of securing orders in the tens of GWh range [2][2][2] 3. **AIDC Development** The company has a dedicated R&D team of over 100 people, covering a full product line for three-level power supplies, with a focus on developing SST products expected to launch in the first half of the year. Sungrow is closely collaborating with leading international and domestic cloud service providers, aiming to become a core brand supplier for AIDC power solutions [2][2][2] 4. **Profitability Forecast** The company is expected to maintain strong competitiveness and stable profitability, with an increase in overseas shipments. The combination of data center storage and AIDC is anticipated to become a new growth point, with significant future potential. Current valuations are considered low, and a strong buy recommendation is maintained. Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 14.3 billion CNY, 17.2 billion CNY, and 19.3 billion CNY, representing year-on-year growth of 30%, 20%, and 12%, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are 22x, 18x, and 16x, with a target price of 249 CNY per share for 2026, maintaining a "buy" rating [2][2][2] Risk Factors 1. **Increased Industry Competition** The competitive landscape in the industry is intensifying, which may pose risks to market share and profitability [3][3][3] 2. **Policy Uncertainty** Potential changes in government policies may not meet expectations, impacting operations and profitability [3][3][3] 3. **Tariff Risks** Tariffs could affect the cost structure and pricing strategies, posing additional risks to the company's financial performance [3][3][3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector, highlighting recent developments in the industry driven by advancements in AI models, particularly the popularity of ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 [1]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Recent Developments**: The rapid iteration of AI models by major domestic internet companies is noted, indicating a competitive landscape in the AIDC sector [1]. - **New Focus**: Jiebang Technology has received bulk orders for cold plates from a major manufacturer, suggesting a significant increase in production capacity and potential for future catalysts [1]. - **Continued Recommendations**: The report maintains recommendations for several companies, including: - Magpow (麦格米特) - Ruiming Technology (锐明技术) - New Ray Energy (新雷能) - Keda (科士达) [1]. Additional Important Information - The report emphasizes that the insights provided do not constitute formal investment advice and encourages reference to publicly available reports for risk disclosures [1].

Group 1: AIDC and Power Supply Innovations - The global AIDC demand is experiencing significant growth, with major cloud companies increasing their capital expenditures. In FY2025, the top three global cloud providers are expected to collectively spend nearly $300 billion [3][19] - High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) is becoming the preferred solution for next-generation data center power supply, as it enhances power efficiency and reduces material usage. The global HVDC market is projected to reach approximately $30 billion by 2027 [4][59] - Key recommendations for HVDC and Storage Solutions include companies like Zhongheng Electric and Siyuan Electric, with additional attention on Keda Data, Kstar, and others [10][65] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with supply-demand dynamics expected to gradually improve. In 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations are projected to reach a record high, although global installation growth is anticipated to slow down post-2026 [5][6] - The industry is actively reducing operating rates to improve supply-demand structures, with significant declines in operating rates for polysilicon and other segments noted [6][7] - Key recommendations in the photovoltaic sector focus on supply-side improvements and new technologies, with companies like Flat Glass and Quartz Holdings highlighted for their potential [11][10]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on investment opportunities in the North American electricity sector, particularly in gas turbines and complementary technologies like gas internal combustion engines, SOFC, and diesel generators [2][6]. Core Insights - The North American electricity shortage is driven by the non-linear growth of AI power demand and the aging of the power grid. The demand side sees a surge in AIDC projects, while the supply side faces challenges with declining stable supply and regional shortages [2][6][24]. - The report highlights that the total electricity supply in the short term can meet demand, but long-term projections indicate a significant peak gap of over 20GW annually from 2027 to 2030, particularly in Texas, the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest, and California [2][30]. - Gas turbines are identified as the optimal solution for AIDC self-built power generation, with gas internal combustion engines, SOFC, and diesel generators serving as effective supplements [2][37]. Summary by Sections Section 1: North American Electricity Shortage - The current electricity shortage in North America stems from the contradiction between the non-linear growth of AI electricity demand and the aging infrastructure of the power grid. The electricity consumption in the U.S. is expected to reach historical highs in 2025-2026, driven by a significant increase in data center projects [6][15]. - The report notes that the share of electricity consumption from data centers will rise from 2% in 2018 to over 10% by 2028 [6][19]. Section 2: Power Source Selection - Gas turbines are recommended as the primary power source due to their efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The report outlines the advantages of various technologies, including gas internal combustion engines and SOFC, while emphasizing the need for a diversified approach to meet the growing electricity demand [2][37][39]. - The report provides a comparative analysis of different power generation technologies, highlighting gas turbines' high reliability and low emissions as key factors for their selection in AIDC projects [38][39]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that investment opportunities in North America are expanding from gas turbines to include gas internal combustion engines and SOFC, as the current electricity shortage exceeds the total capacity of various technologies [2][6]. - Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their involvement in gas turbine production and related technologies, including Jerry Holdings, Yingliu Co., Dongfang Electric, and others [2][6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the growth in new energy installations is a common reason for the continuous increase in global power investment, with new energy showing greater demand elasticity for power equipment compared to traditional energy sources [1] - The overseas market is experiencing explosive growth in demand driven by multiple factors including new energy installations, replacement of old equipment, high growth in AIDC demand, and extreme weather, while the supply side faces bottlenecks in labor, approvals, and capacity [1] - By 2026, the outlook for Chinese companies going abroad is expected to continue exceeding expectations [1] Group 2 - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, domestic investment in power grids is expected to reach new highs, with a focus on ultra-high voltage, smart meters, and distribution networks in 2026 [1] - The pace of ultra-high voltage advancement has been slightly below expectations, while flexible DC applications are reaching a turning point [1] - The price of smart meters has been continuously declining, and the implementation of new standards is expected to drive a price recovery [1] Group 3 - With the increase in AI server power, the AIDC power supply and distribution methods are evolving towards more efficient architectures, with the global AIDC power equipment market expected to exceed 410 billion yuan by 2030 [1] - A significant turning point in domestic and international demand is anticipated in 2026 [1] Group 4 - The Guotai ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which selects listed companies involved in silicon materials, silicon wafers, battery cells, modules, and photovoltaic equipment to reflect the overall performance of the photovoltaic industry chain [1] - This index focuses on the photovoltaic industry, characterized by high growth potential and technology-driven features [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant stock price increase of Eagle Precision (01286), which rose over 10% to reach a historical high of 7.66 HKD, with a current price of 7.54 HKD and a trading volume of 46.8363 million HKD [1] - Dongwu Securities reports that the investment in North America's electricity shortage is gradually shifting from gas turbines to gas internal combustion engines and SOFC, indicating that the current electricity shortage exceeds the total production capacity of various technologies, suggesting that all related investment opportunities should be considered [1] - Industrial demand for the company's products is stable and increasing, particularly in high-margin segments such as large horsepower engines and robotics, with AIDC boosting the demand for large horsepower engines [1] Group 2 - The company provides sand-cast cylinder blocks for large horsepower engines to major clients such as Caterpillar and Cummins, indicating a strong position in the market [1] - The sectors served by the company include large horsepower engines, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, recreational boats, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, aviation, energy, and medical, showcasing a diverse application of its products [1]

Group 1 - Eagle Precision (01286) saw its stock price rise over 10% during trading, reaching a historical high of 7.66 HKD, and is currently trading at 7.54 HKD with a transaction volume of 46.8363 million HKD [1] - Dongwu Securities reports that investment in North America's electricity shortage is gradually shifting from gas turbines to gas internal combustion engines and SOFCs, indicating that the sector has not yet reached a stage of selecting technological paths, thus all related investment opportunities should be emphasized [1] - Industrial demand for the company's products is stable and increasing, particularly in high-margin segments such as large horsepower engines and robotics, with AIDC boosting demand for large horsepower engines [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the machinery industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [2]. Core Insights - The machinery industry is experiencing a strong start in 2026, with excavator sales in January reaching 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%. Domestic sales grew by 61.4%, while exports increased by 40.5% [8]. - The North American tech giants are expected to continue significant capital expenditures in 2026, which will likely sustain demand for AIDC infrastructure [8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for a new recovery cycle in the equipment industry, driven by monetary and fiscal policies aimed at boosting domestic demand [8]. Summary by Sections Key Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuation, and Investment Ratings - Companies such as 汇川技术 (Inovance Technology), 法兰泰克 (Falan Tech), and 信捷电气 (Xinjie Electric) are rated as "Strong Buy" with projected EPS growth and favorable PE ratios [3]. - For example, 汇川技术 is expected to have an EPS of 2.11 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 35.41, indicating strong growth potential [3]. Industry and Company Investment Views - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in the excavator market, with significant growth in both domestic and export sales, driven by infrastructure projects and demand in mining and forestry sectors [8]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like 三一重工 (Sany Heavy Industry) and 徐工机械 (XCMG) due to their strong market positions and growth prospects [8]. Key Data Tracking - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including a 5.3% increase in the absolute performance of the machinery sector over the past month, indicating a positive trend [6]. - The machinery sector's total market capitalization is reported at 63,677.25 billion yuan, reflecting its significant role in the overall market [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The space photovoltaic industry is progressing, with significant capital expenditures from major CSP manufacturers exceeding expectations [1] - The demand for energy storage is driven by ongoing electricity shortages in the U.S., highlighting the cost-effectiveness of leading companies [14] - The report emphasizes the importance of new directions such as space photovoltaics, AIDC, and robotics, which are catalyzing investment opportunities [14] Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The space photovoltaic sector is gaining traction, with SpaceX's application for 1 million satellites accepted by the FCC, indicating a robust future for space-based data centers [20] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association released cost analysis, indicating that the average full cost of mainstream photovoltaic products is expected to stabilize, providing support for price recovery [21] - The report highlights the potential for significant growth in global photovoltaic installations, with annual additions projected between 725-870 GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan [22] Energy Storage - Sunshine Power announced plans to establish a production base in Poland, aiming for 20 GW of inverter capacity and 12.5 GWh of energy storage systems [39] - The report notes a 45% year-on-year increase in EU battery storage capacity, with large-scale storage systems becoming the main growth driver [39] - January saw a significant increase in independent storage projects, with a total of 12.3 GW/36 GWh of bids, despite a year-on-year decline due to procurement timing [40] Lithium Batteries - The demand for lithium batteries continues to strengthen, with all segments showing a willingness to maintain prices, indicating ongoing profitability improvements [14] - The report recommends focusing on battery segments, particularly companies like CATL and EVE Energy, which are expected to perform well in the medium term [14] Wind Power - The report emphasizes the start of a new wind power cycle during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with significant opportunities in commercial aerospace and offshore wind projects [14] - Companies involved in wind turbine manufacturing and components are highlighted as key investment opportunities [14] Power Equipment - The domestic power grid's investment plan is projected at 5 trillion yuan, with significant improvements in pricing and demand driven by electricity shortages in the U.S. [14] - The report suggests focusing on opportunities in AI for power management and virtual power plants [14] New Directions - The report highlights the importance of developments in humanoid robotics and AIDC technology, with specific companies recommended for investment based on their potential in these sectors [14]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The domestic energy storage market continues to thrive, and the demand for space photovoltaic is further strengthened. The recent acquisition of xAI by SpaceX and the approval of a million-satellite application by the FCC are expected to drive rapid growth in space energy, particularly solar wing demand [4][5] - The report highlights the positive changes and potential catalysts across various sectors within the power equipment industry, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [6] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The power equipment sector has shown a performance increase of 3.0% over the last month, with a 54.2% increase over the past year, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has decreased by 3.1% in the last month and increased by 20.8% over the past year [3] Key Events and Insights - In the photovoltaic sector, the approval of SpaceX's satellite application is expected to significantly boost demand for solar energy solutions. The report suggests focusing on companies involved in photovoltaic battery equipment and components, such as Maiwei Co., Jiejia Weichuang, and others [4] - The wind power sector is expected to accelerate following the signing of the "Hamburg Declaration," which commits nine countries to develop 100GW of offshore wind power, potentially benefiting domestic manufacturers [5] - The energy storage market saw a total order volume of 36.3GWh in January 2026, with significant contributions from regions like Ningxia and Hebei. The average price for a 4-hour system has increased by 42% compared to the lowest point in July 2025 [6] - The lithium battery sector is witnessing accelerated industrialization of dry electrode equipment, with companies like Xianzhong Intelligent and others leading the way [6] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the photovoltaic sector, such as Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar, as well as companies in the wind power sector like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy [5][6] - In the energy storage space, companies like Sungrow Power Supply and EVE Energy are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [6]