刚取得"两连板"的利通电子（SH603629，股价41.14元，市值107.94亿元）2月2日盘后发布异动公告，正式否认市场关于公司液冷技术的媒体报道、市场 传闻等"小作文"。与此同时，公司还提醒广大投资者注意市场交易风险，审慎决策，理性投资。 图片来源：利通电子公告 2025年业绩大幅预增 1月30日上午，利通电子在临近午间休市时突然放量拉升，并在午后开盘后"封死"涨停。今日（2月2日），利通电子高开后一度下探，但在上午"封死"涨 停，虽然午后出现短暂"开板"，但随后又"回封"涨停。 此外，除公司实控人邵培生、董事邵秋萍、财务总监许立群正处于减持期间外，其余董事或高管未在公司本次股票交易异常波动期间买卖公司股票。 否认多个关于AI算力的"小作文" 据利通电子发布的异动公告，经公司自查，公司目前经营状况正常，主营业务为算力云服务，应用于液晶电视等液晶显示领域的精密金属结构件、电子元 器件的设计、生产、销售，主营未发生变化，公司内外部经营环境或行业政策未发生重大变化，公司不存在影响公司股票交易价格异常波动的重大事项， 不存在应披露而未披露的重大信息。 同时，针对网络上有关"液冷技术突破：自研浸没式液冷模组适配英 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a significant sell-off, driven by falling gold and silver prices, with major futures contracts hitting their daily limits down [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the close on Monday, major contracts for copper, aluminum, tin, nickel, and aluminum alloy all hit their daily limit down, with other varieties also experiencing declines [1] - The trading volume in the non-ferrous metal sector reached a recent high last Friday but saw a decline on Monday, although it remained elevated compared to previous days [2] Group 2: Price Movements - During the night trading session, international copper futures fell by 1.11%, while domestic copper futures dropped by 1.01%. Other metals like aluminum and nickel also saw declines of 2.12% and 2.83%, respectively [3] - Year-to-date, absolute inventories of copper, aluminum, and nickel are significantly higher than in previous years, indicating weak price support from supply-demand dynamics [4] Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair has strengthened expectations for tighter monetary policy, leading to a stronger dollar and increased pressure on non-ferrous metals [3] - The market is currently observing marginal changes in Federal Reserve policy, with high volatility in related commodities likely to continue [3][5] Group 4: Inventory and Demand - Global copper inventories exceed 1.3 million tons, indicating upward pressure on prices, while domestic aluminum inventories have reached 1 million tons, reflecting weaker supply-demand dynamics compared to previous years [4][5] - Seasonal demand suppression is expected around the Chinese New Year, which may lead to price pressure due to seasonal accumulation [6] Group 5: Future Outlook - Post-Chinese New Year, if downstream production resumes faster than expected and domestic growth policies take effect, the non-ferrous metal sector may stabilize and rebound by early March [5] - The precious metals sector is anticipated to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's March meeting before determining its trajectory [5]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is facing unprecedented demand for advanced process wafers driven by AI model training, necessitating significant capacity expansion from TSMC to meet the needs of companies like NVIDIA [1][4]. Group 1: NVIDIA's Demand and TSMC's Response - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the urgent need for TSMC to double its advanced process wafer production to meet the explosive demand for AI training and inference chips, predicting a potential growth of over 100% in TSMC's capacity over the next decade [1][4]. - Huang estimated that NVIDIA will require approximately 1 million advanced process wafers annually by 2035, while TSMC's current monthly capacity for 12-inch wafers is about 1.5 million, with only 500,000 at advanced nodes [3][4]. Group 2: TSMC's Capital Expenditure Plans - In response to Huang's call for increased production, TSMC has raised its capital expenditure for 2026-2030 to $100 billion, a 30% increase from previous plans, focusing on expanding 3nm capacity at Fab 20, building a 2nm line at Fab 22, and establishing advanced processes at Fab 21 in Arizona [4][5]. - Despite this significant investment, TSMC's plans still fall short of NVIDIA's demand projections, indicating a growing supply-demand gap in the semiconductor market [4]. Group 3: Opportunities for Chinese Semiconductor Companies - TSMC's expansion efforts are creating unprecedented opportunities for domestic semiconductor equipment and materials manufacturers in China, with companies like AMEC and North Huachuang entering TSMC's procurement lists for new equipment [5]. - The expansion is expected to generate a procurement demand in the hundreds of billions, as Chinese firms make technological breakthroughs in specific segments, positioning them as key players in this capacity race [5][6]. Group 4: Global Semiconductor Landscape Transformation - Huang's warnings signal the beginning of a global semiconductor "computing power arms race," necessitating a complete restructuring of the supply chain to meet the surging demand for AI chips [6]. - The competition will span all aspects of the semiconductor industry, from equipment manufacturers to material suppliers, and will determine which companies can capitalize on the AI computing power era's opportunities [6].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline on February 2, 2026, with all major indices dropping over 2%, indicating a widespread bearish trend [2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75 points, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 2.69% and 2.46%, respectively [3] Individual Stock Performance - The market's profitability sharply decreased, with only 771 stocks rising against 4652 declining, and 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [5] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 26.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.14 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking a three-month low [5] Sector Analysis - The precious metals sector was heavily impacted, with significant declines following a sharp drop in international gold and silver prices, leading to a loss of over 300 billion yuan in market value for this sector [6] - In contrast, the electric power equipment sector saw a surge, with stocks like YN Power and Tongguang Cable hitting the daily limit up, driven by the demand for AI computing infrastructure [7] - The liquor sector also performed well, with stocks like Moutai and Huangtai Liquor showing resilience due to expectations of strong consumption during the upcoming Spring Festival [8] Unlocking of Restricted Shares - February 2026 is marked by a large-scale unlocking of restricted shares, with a total market value of approximately 2335.84 billion yuan facing release, contributing to liquidity pressure [9][12] - On February 2 alone, 15 companies had restricted shares unlocked, totaling about 600.11 billion yuan, with Xinda Securities leading at 448.79 billion yuan [10][11] Future Market Outlook - Short-term market fluctuations are expected to continue due to liquidity pressures and external market volatility, but the medium-term recovery trend remains intact [13] - The Shanghai Composite Index has broken below the 20-day moving average, indicating potential further declines, yet the valuation levels suggest limited downside risk [13]

蒋光祥 近日，在市场行情的配合下，"工具基"迎来流量盛宴。所谓"工具基"，是指那些高度聚焦于AI算力、CPO、AI应 用、机器人等热门细分科技赛道，持仓集中、风格极致的主动权益基金。它们在互联网流量打法的助推下，短时 间内吸引了巨量申购资金，成为市场焦点。 "工具基"在资本市场上的崛起，是市场环境、产品创新与渠道变革共同作用的结果。如A股科技成长板块的结构性 行情或疾风骤雨，或波澜壮阔，为赛道投资提供了丰沃的土壤。部分一直苦苦寻求"弯道超车"的中小基金管理 人，敏锐地抓住了这一机遇。他们通过新发或改造老产品，对前沿细分赛道进行系统化布局，打造出一批辨识度 极高的"工具化"产品。这些产品凭借主动基金集中持仓的优势，追求超越ETF等指数基金的弹性表现，从而满足了 部分投资者对高锐度收益的渴望。 然而，真正让"工具基"实现"出圈"并引发巨量申购的，是互联网流量的放大效应。基金管理人将营销主战场转向小 红书、抖音、支付宝等年轻投资者聚集的互联网平台，不断强化产品的赛道标签。其中最具争议性的是一些互联 网"大V"通过实盘及调仓动态进行变相"带货"，吸引投资者跟投。这种模式实际上突破了产品必须和投资者风险偏 好匹配这一合 ...

哪怕关税加爆，欧美依然排队到中国求购变压器！海关总署数据显示，2025年中国变压器出口额，暴涨 到了656亿元，增幅高达36%。平均每台出口价格，突破了20.5万元，增长33%。这两大核心数据，全都 创下了历史新高纪录。简单来说，中国变压器，全球销量爆火。特朗普明明加税104%，拼命封杀中国 变压器，怎么还反向卖爆了呢？欧美企业，为何宁愿加价，也要抢购中国变压器？ 根据央视报道，中国变压器厂商，2026年依然爆单。不少高端变压器订单，甚至排到了2027年。很多人 可能疑惑，变压器不是很常见的工业零部件吗？它不像稀土技术、高端芯片那么高大上，欧美为啥不买 自家产品？根源就在于，中国变压器，才是妥妥的更优选。优在哪里？核心有两大方面。 二是，中国掌握变压器全产业链，西方压根绕不开。特朗普所谓的关税"封杀"，为啥直接无效？关键就 在于，中国已经掌握了全球最完整，最高效的变压器技术生产体系。生产变压器，不是把铜铁金属凑在 一起就行。比如它的核心材料"取向硅钢"，就被称为是钢铁艺术品，制造门槛非常高。2024年，中国取 向硅钢产量超过303万吨，产能是美国的八倍，日本的五倍，占据绝对优势。不仅如此，电磁线加工， 绝缘板 ...

Core Insights - Public fund institutions have significantly increased their research activities in January, focusing on AI computing power, high-end medical technology, and new energy as the three core investment themes [1][3][5] Group 1: Research Activity - A total of 156 public fund institutions participated in A-share research in January, covering 486 stocks across 17 industries, with a total of 3,992 research instances [1] - Leading institutions such as Bosera Fund, Huaxia Fund, and Penghua Fund conducted the most research, with Bosera Fund leading at 116 instances [2] - The most researched stocks included Zhongji Xuchuang in the communications sector with 61 instances, followed by Aipeng Medical and Xiangyu Medical in the medical sector with 57 and 47 instances respectively [2] Group 2: Industry Focus - The electronics industry was the most researched, with 603 instances covering 71 stocks, followed by the machinery equipment industry with 591 instances covering 67 stocks [2][3] - Other industries such as medical biology, electric equipment, and basic chemicals also saw significant research activity, each exceeding 276 instances [3] Group 3: Emerging Trends - Brain-computer interfaces have emerged as a key focus within the high-end medical sector, driven by technological breakthroughs and commercial progress [4] - Companies like Aipeng Medical and Meihai Medical are actively engaging in brain-computer interface developments, with Aipeng Medical discussing advancements in brainwave technology [4] - The year 2026 is anticipated to be pivotal for the commercialization of invasive brain-computer interfaces, with several companies already in clinical stages [4]

Core Viewpoint - Jerry Holdings has secured a significant contract in North America, reflecting the growing demand for power solutions in data centers driven by AI advancements [1][4]. Group 1: Contract Details - Jerry Holdings' subsidiary, GenSystems Power Solutions LLC, signed a gas turbine generator sales contract worth $181.5 million (approximately 1.265 billion RMB) with a U.S. client [1][2]. - This contract marks the fourth gas turbine generator sales agreement with U.S. clients since November 2025, indicating a strong market presence [3]. - The total value of the four contracts signed by Jerry Holdings with U.S. clients is close to $500 million [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The surge in AI computing power has led to unprecedented electricity demand in U.S. data centers, creating new opportunities for domestic companies to expand internationally [1][4]. - Gas turbines are expected to increase their share in the power supply structure of U.S. data centers from 40% in 2024 to over 50% by 2035, driven by their stability and short construction cycles [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Jerry Holdings reported revenues of 11.409 billion RMB, 13.912 billion RMB, and 13.355 billion RMB for the years 2022-2024, with net profits of 2.245 billion RMB, 2.454 billion RMB, and 2.627 billion RMB respectively [5]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 10.42 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 29.49%, and a net profit of 1.808 billion RMB, up 13.11% [5]. Group 4: Stock Market Performance - Jerry Holdings' stock price has increased over 25% since the beginning of 2026 and has surged more than 220% since the low point in April 2025 [1][4]. - The company's market capitalization has surpassed 90 billion RMB, reaching 90.74 billion RMB [4]. Group 5: Institutional Interest - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, 147 funds held a total of 84.1 million shares of Jerry Holdings, accounting for 8.21% of the company's total shares [7]. - Notable institutional investors include the Fortune Fund and the Jiashi Fund, which have significantly increased their holdings in Jerry Holdings [7][8].

Group 1 - The core index for cloud computing and big data fell by 2.8%, while the semiconductor industry index dropped by 5.3%, and the semiconductor materials and equipment index decreased by 5.1%. Despite this, there was a significant net subscription of 20 million units for the semiconductor equipment ETF E Fund (159558) throughout the day [1] - In January, the semiconductor equipment ETF E Fund (159558) received nearly 3 billion yuan in net inflows [1] - China Galaxy Securities indicated that the semiconductor equipment sector performed positively this month, driven by sustained AI computing power demand, an upward cycle in storage chips, and the penetration of advanced packaging technology, which collectively boosted semiconductor equipment demand [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment market is expected to continue growing strongly, with a projected market size increase by 2026 [1] - TSMC anticipates capital expenditures of $52 billion to $56 billion in 2026, a significant increase from $40.9 billion in 2025, highlighting further market opportunities in semiconductor equipment [1] - The index tracking semiconductor materials and equipment consists of 40 companies involved in semiconductor materials and equipment, focusing on the hardware foundation for future computing [5]

亚商投顾曾宪瑞老师提醒大家：股市有风险，投资需要多加小心，避免不必要的风险。 一、大盘 1.盘面 上证指数早盘小幅低开，随后震荡调整，午后跌幅扩大，截止收盘，指数下跌2.48%，收出大阴线，全天成交额1.16万亿，相比上交易日的1.27万亿，减少 了1100亿。 深证成指早盘小幅低开，随后震荡下跌，午后调整加速，截止收盘，指数下跌2.69%，收出大阴线，全天成交额1.42万亿，相比上交易日的1.57万亿，减少 了1500亿。 2.技术分析 图片来源：东方财富 上证指数今日低开低走，大幅下跌，个股跌停数量也是近百只，市场情绪明显转冷，恐慌盘集中释放。从技术面来看，MACD绿柱加速伸长，空方动能明显 增强；KDJ指标中三线死叉后迅速下穿50中轴，短期空头占优格局进一步确；且短期均线亦黏合死叉，多空博弈加剧，指数上行阻力明显增大。因此在量价 配合转弱、热点持续性差，市场进入典型的"空方主导+多空拉锯"阶段下，操作上更要强化纪律——不追高、不抢反弹、不满仓，宁可错过、不可做错；建 议将仓位进一步压缩，耐心等待风险充分释放后，逢低低吸或更为稳妥。 深证成指今日低开后震荡走弱，盘中一度跌破30日均线支撑，截止收盘跌幅超2 ...