通用人工智能(AGI)

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如何减轻AGI 代理带来的风险
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-13 04:26
Group 1 - AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is defined as an AI system capable of matching human abilities across a wide range of cognitive tasks, characterized by its versatility and performance [4][11][12] - The development of AGI is seen as a continuation of the trend towards agent-based AI, where AGI serves as the "brain" of multiple agents, rather than being a standalone system [5][6] - The potential risks associated with AGI include existential threats to humanity, particularly if AGI systems are allowed to interact with the environment without strict limitations [12][13][14] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of limiting AGI agents to narrow environments, ideally within a single team or organization, to minimize negative impacts [22][23] - It suggests that AGI should not operate globally, as this could lead to uncontrolled access to vast amounts of data and tools, increasing the risk of unintended consequences [19][20] - The design of AGI agents should prioritize local deployment within teams, allowing for collective training and supervision, which enhances safety and effectiveness [48][49] Group 3 - The article discusses the potential for AGI agents to be integrated into workplace environments, enhancing collaboration and efficiency while maintaining human oversight [28][30] - It highlights the advantages of multi-agent systems, which can solve complex problems through collaboration, specialization, and modularity, making them more adaptable and cost-effective [40][41][42] - The deployment of AGI agents should focus on team-level applications rather than individual use, to ensure that human decision-making and critical thinking skills are preserved [27][32]
通用人工智能何时到来?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-12 08:54
一、AI已在诸多任务领域超越人类 AI发展日新月异,在许多任务上已经陆续超越人类基线水平。如2015年图像分类,2018年中等水平阅 读理解,2020年视觉推理、英语语言理解,2023年多任务语言理解、竞赛级数学,2024年博士级科学问 题。下图所示的8项关键任务技能中,AI仅在多模态理解和推理能力上还略逊人类一筹,但从2023年开 始就加速提升。我们有望很快见证AI 能力在现有主流基准上"全部超越人类水平"的奇点时刻。 图 选定的 AI 指数技术性能基准与人类表现对比 二、AGI的终极目标或于年内实现 我们已经构建了无数在特定任务上超越人类水平的AI系统,但它们缺乏通用性,无法应对超出预定任 务之外的问题,尚处于"狭义人工智能(Narrow AI)"阶段。随着AI性能的大幅提升,具备跨领域能 力、在多个方面媲美甚至超越人类的、更强大的AI被提上日程。人们常将之命名为"通用人工智能 (AGI)"。 各国高度重视AGI。2023年4月28日中共中央政治局会议提出:"要重视通用人工智能发展";英国《国 家人工智能战略》 (2021 ) 对AGI进行了专门强调,指出"必须认真对待AGI和更通用AI的可能性"; 20 ...
通用人工智能何时到来?
腾讯研究院· 2025-05-12 08:11
闫德利 腾讯研究院资深专家 一、AI已在诸多任务领域超越人类 AI发展日新月异,在许多任务上已经陆续超越人类基线水平。如2015年图像分类,2018年中等水平阅读 理解,2020年视觉推理、英语语言理解,2023年多任务语言理解、竞赛级数学,2024年博士级科学问 题。下图所示的8项关键任务技能中,AI仅在多模态理解和推理能力上还略逊人类一筹,但从2023年开 始就加速提升。我们有望很快见证AI 能力在现有主流基准上"全部超越人类水平"的奇点时刻。 图 选定的 AI 指数技术性能基准与人类表现对比 二、AGI的终极目标或于年内实现 我们已经构建了无数在特定任务上超越人类水平的AI系统,但它们缺乏通用性,无法应对超出预定任务 之外的问题,尚处于"狭义人工智能 (Narrow AI) "阶段。随着AI性能的大幅提升,具备跨领域能力、在 多个方面媲美甚至超越人类的、更强大的AI被提上日程。 人们常将之命名为"通用人工智能(AGI)" 。 各国高度重视AGI。2023年4月28日中共中央政治局会议提出:"要重视通用人工智能发展";英国《国家 人工智能战略》 (2021 ) 对AGI进行了专门强调,指出"必须认真对待A ...
刘强东穿猪猪侠T恤现身日本:背后还有二维码;消息人士称马云回归绝不可能,其从来没离开过;王兴兴回应人形机器人产业泡沫化丨邦早报
创业邦· 2025-05-11 01:06
Group 1 - Alibaba has reportedly streamlined its internal network and adjusted employee mobility mechanisms, with internal sources stating that Jack Ma's return is impossible, emphasizing he has never truly left the company [2] - Apple has officially announced price reductions for the iPhone 16 Pro and Pro Max models, with the Pro Max dropping by $160 and the Pro version by $176, likely in preparation for the upcoming 618 shopping festival [2][3] Group 2 - Wang Xingxing, founder of Yushu Technology, addressed concerns about a potential bubble in the humanoid robot industry, stating that while demand may not align with reality, public acceptance is crucial for growth [4] - LiSuan Technology has faced rumors of pausing employee salaries for two consecutive months, with management indicating that new financing is expected soon, although they did not confirm the salary situation [6] Group 3 - Xiaomi has signed a lease for its largest automotive flagship center in Shanghai, set to open in October 2025, which will showcase its entire range of vehicles and provide various services [7] - The latest automotive quality rankings revealed that Xiaomi's SU7 model ranked last among 29 electric vehicles, indicating potential quality issues and high complaint rates [10][11] Group 4 - Apple is reportedly preparing to launch its first foldable iPhone by the second half of 2026, with key components already sent for testing [12] - Google has agreed to a $1.375 billion settlement with Texas over allegations of user data privacy violations, resolving claims related to location tracking and data collection practices [16] Group 5 - Tesla has informed workers at its Austin factory to take a week off at the end of May, indicating a shift in production schedules and reduced overtime since February [18] - Volkswagen is recalling nearly 89,417 vehicles in the U.S. due to potential issues with cylinder head screws that could lead to oil leaks and fire risks [18]
雷军隔月首发声:创立小米以来最难的日子;Altman向马斯克服软「AGI比恩怨重要」;酷玩等明星抗议AI滥用
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 00:11
Group 1: Xiaomi - Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun stated that the past month has been the most challenging period since the company's inception, expressing gratitude for the support received during this time [1] Group 2: SpaceX - SpaceX is preparing for the upcoming launch of Starship Flight 9, with static fire tests being conducted as part of the preparations [3][4] - The U.S. Coast Guard has issued notifications indicating that the launch window for Starship Flight 9 will begin on May 20, with references to May 19 in communications from the FCC [3] Group 3: Alibaba - Internal sources at Alibaba have denied rumors of Jack Ma's return to the company, stating that he has never truly left and that the company is not reverting to a previous organizational structure [4] Group 4: OpenAI - OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman expressed a willingness to reconcile with Elon Musk to focus on the development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) [5][7] - OpenAI is reportedly leading in enterprise AI adoption, with 32.4% of U.S. companies subscribing to its AI models as of April, up from 18.9% in January [10] Group 5: Taobao - Taobao has launched a desktop client for Windows, featuring an AI shopping assistant to enhance user experience [11] Group 6: Audi - Audi has introduced a new version of the 2025 Q6 model, the "40TFSI quattro commemorative edition," priced at 467,600 yuan, featuring a 2.0T engine [15] Group 7: Nvidia - Nvidia's first ARM architecture chip, the GB10, has been revealed with a clock speed of 3.9 GHz and is expected to be officially launched at COMPUTEX 2025 [16][17] Group 8: Apple - Apple is reportedly targeting a late 2026 release for its first foldable iPhone, with key components already being tested [18] Group 9: Copyright and AI - Over 400 artists and industry leaders in the UK have called on the government to protect copyright and oppose the use of their works by AI companies without permission [20]
陆家嘴财经早餐2025年5月11日星期日
Wind万得· 2025-05-10 22:32
Domestic Macro - The Chinese government emphasizes the need for stronger communication and consensus between China and Switzerland to address challenges and promote free trade [5] - The China SME Development Index for April is reported at 89.2, a decrease of 0.3 points from March, indicating a slight decline after a significant rise in the first quarter [5] Domestic Stock Market - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has taken self-regulatory measures against 109 instances of abnormal trading behavior this week, and is closely monitoring "*ST Dongtong" for suspected financial data falsification [7] - Ping An Life has increased its stake in China Merchants Bank, raising its holding from 11.92% to 12% [7] - Fund managers believe that while overall consumer demand is weak, new consumption driven by service-oriented sectors is showing strong structural vitality, presenting opportunities for selective stock picking [7] Economic Dynamics - Li Ka-shing's company has reduced prices for the residential project Yucuiyuan, with average prices dropping to 70,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting a significant decrease from last year's opening prices [9] - Several small banks, including WeBank and Fujian Huato Bank, have lowered deposit rates, leading to instances of "negative interest" [9] - The automotive industry is experiencing reduced price competition due to improved market conditions, with promotional subsidies for vehicle scrappage boosting sales [9] Company News - Apple has acquired Canadian AI calendar startup Mayday Labs, which may enhance the intelligence of its calendar application [13] - Xiaomi is establishing a flagship center for its automotive division in Shanghai, set to open in October [13] - OpenAI's CEO has expressed willingness to collaborate with Elon Musk to achieve general artificial intelligence [14] Overseas Macro - The U.S. President has indicated a commitment to imposing at least a 10% tariff on trade partners, highlighting ongoing trade negotiation uncertainties [16] - The European Central Bank aims to achieve a 2% inflation target by the end of 2025, with actions dependent on inflation developments [16] Overseas Stock Market - Jeffrey Gundlach predicts potential challenges for risk assets, forecasting a possible decline of the S&P 500 index to 4,500 points, representing a 20% drop from current levels [19] - Shopify will be included in the Nasdaq 100 index starting May 19, enhancing its visibility in the tech and e-commerce sectors [20]
【中国那些事儿】俄专家:中俄人工智能合作跨越“小院高墙”,构建公平世界科技新秩序
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-05-10 05:18
科洛宁还提到,人工智能的飞速发展引发了人们对滥用人工智能和通用人工智能的担忧。一些国家利用 其在人工智能领域的主导地位,对他国进行胁迫,阻挠它们与被视为威胁的国家开展合作。鉴于此,那 些希望建立公平世界秩序的国家需加深彼此间的合作,例如在金砖国家框架下,秉持互惠互利的原则, 共同推动全球科技治理体系的完善。 科洛宁强调,俄罗斯科学界对与中国以及其他志同道合的国家携手,共同推动全球在人工智能和通用人 工智能领域的协调发展与有效治理持开放态度。欢迎其他国家参与俄罗斯AGI社区研讨会等开放活动, 以及数学AI等联合会议,并期待各方逐步完善人工智能技术管理的联合战略。 另据相关报道,由外国顶尖专家组成的"瓦尔代"国际辩论俱乐部(Valdai Discussion Club)项目主任季 莫费·博尔达切夫(Timofei Bordachev)同样指出,人工智能是前沿科技领域,中国和俄罗斯都具备相 应技术和人才,两国可以通过在这一领域的合作,树立起科技合作的典范,并为全球南方国家在科学、 文化和教育领域的解放贡献力量。这不仅将为两国开辟全新的合作领域,还将切实推动南南合作,这对 于构建一个更加平衡、公正的世界秩序至关重要。 ...
资本研·观|AI代理的概念及其在金融领域的发展
野村东方国际证券· 2025-05-09 09:37
AI代理的概念及其在金融领域的发展 -应用于财富管理的潜力- 作者:野村资本市场研究所 坂上 聖奈 要点 1. 随着大型语言模型在自然语言处理领域取得显著突破,AI代理受到了广发关注。例如,摩根 士丹利在2025年至2027年中长期经营计划中指出,AI代理的潜力是其技术战略的一个重点领域。 2. 简而言之,AI代理就是一种能够自主决策的AI模型。本文以穆迪和Coinbase为例,介绍AI代 理的应用。尽管两家公司根据其业务战略对AI代理的应用采取了不同的方式,但在增强AI自主性方 面却有着共通之处。 3. 穆迪将AI代理视为强化现有服务的工具,通过数据驱动的决策效率来提升客户体验。另一方 面,Coinbase则将AI代理定位为区块链交易的手段,旨在通过交易的自动化和自主化来提升客户体 验,甚至改变经济活动的性质。 4. 随着客户需求的多样化、依赖特定人员的业务流程优化、以及降低人力和成本等因素的驱使 下,金融机构对AI代理的需求在不断扩大。在财富管理业务中,AI代理的应用也被认为是一个重要 的候选方向。具体包括:(1)为客户提供最佳投资建议以实现特定的财务目标;(2)提升托管服 务水平;(3)扩大数字资产交易 ...
OpenAI人事大调整,技术理想主义又回来了
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-08 13:03
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is shifting its structure from a profit-driven model to a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) framework, allowing it to balance its mission of ensuring AGI benefits all humanity with commercial interests [1][2][4]. Group 1: Structural Changes - OpenAI has transitioned from a for-profit LLC to a PBC, maintaining control under a non-profit organization, which helps mitigate ethical risks associated with full commercialization [2][3]. - The new PBC structure allows OpenAI to issue common stock to attract long-term capital, addressing funding shortages for AGI development [3][4]. - This structure also facilitates a smoother balance between commercialization and open-source commitments, allowing for partial code openness while retaining critical safety modules as closed-source [3][4]. Group 2: Leadership and Focus - Sam Altman has delegated the CEO role for application business to Fidji Simo, allowing him to focus on core technology areas such as research, computing power, and safety [1][7]. - Altman's shift back to a technical role aims to address internal conflicts regarding the dilution of OpenAI's technical ideals due to commercialization pressures [7][10]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Challenges - OpenAI's annual revenue has surpassed $1.6 billion, but the costs of AI development, particularly for models like GPT-4 and GPT-5, are escalating rapidly [6][12]. - The company has secured a $40 billion investment led by SoftBank, raising its valuation to $300 billion, while also addressing potential conflicts with this investment through its structural changes [4][5]. Group 4: Ideological and Governance Issues - OpenAI's return to its non-profit roots reflects a commitment to its founding ideals, which emphasize that AGI should belong to all humanity [4][12]. - The governance structure under the PBC will include an independent board appointed by the non-profit, but the specific composition remains undisclosed, raising concerns about potential internal conflicts [12][13].
OpenAI悬着的心终于“死了”
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-08 11:31
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is undergoing a structural change to maintain control by its non-profit organization while transitioning its for-profit entity into a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), emphasizing its mission to benefit humanity through artificial intelligence [4][10][15]. Group 1: Structural Changes - OpenAI's for-profit entity will transform into a PBC, with the non-profit organization retaining significant ownership and control [4][15]. - The previous plan to separate the non-profit and for-profit entities has failed, leading to a re-emphasis on the non-profit's control over OpenAI [4][5]. - The non-profit organization aims to ensure that the PBC operates in alignment with its mission, which includes providing AI benefits to a broad audience [16][17]. Group 2: Financial Context - OpenAI completed a $40 billion private funding round, achieving a valuation of $300 billion, with a condition to restructure into a for-profit company by the end of the year [5][6]. - Microsoft, a major investor with $13.75 billion invested, is a significant player in the restructuring discussions, seeking to protect its interests [6][10]. - OpenAI plans to reduce the revenue-sharing percentage with Microsoft from 20% to 10% by 2030, indicating a shift in financial strategy [6][10]. Group 3: Industry Pressures - OpenAI's commercialization efforts have faced legal challenges and opposition from figures like Elon Musk and other industry stakeholders [5][10]. - The restructuring has been met with academic pressure, as notable figures in AI have called for a halt to the transition plans [5][10]. - The company is navigating complex dynamics between maintaining its mission and addressing investor expectations and regulatory requirements [10][16]. Group 4: Mission and Vision - OpenAI's mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits all of humanity, with a focus on democratizing access to AI tools [12][13]. - The organization aims to provide powerful AI tools while ensuring that their development aligns with ethical considerations and societal benefits [12][14]. - OpenAI envisions a future where its AI capabilities can significantly enhance productivity and address global challenges across various sectors [14][17].