Macro - Powell's speech at the 2025 Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference signals a clear dovish shift, indicating that the risk of employment decline outweighs the risk of inflation rise, potentially paving the way for a new round of preemptive interest rate cuts [1][3] - The revision of the U.S. monetary policy framework suggests a more adaptable and flexible approach to current employment and inflation conditions, with expectations of a rate cut in September, but at a slower pace due to inflation constraints, with a maximum of two cuts anticipated within the year [2][3] Strategy - The theme trading momentum continues to rise, with technology themes leading the market, highlighting structural differentiation and recovery in low-position themes during the earnings verification period [3][6] - Recommended sectors include domestic computing power, embodied intelligence, emerging consumption, and high-end equipment, reflecting the ongoing expansion of technology themes [6][9] Overseas Strategy - The recent AH premium has reached a six-year low, indicating ample liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, with the index weakness primarily attributed to structural drag from the internet sector [4][11] - Three key factors are expected to drive the Hong Kong stock market upward: breakthroughs in AI technology, potential foreign capital inflows due to anticipated Fed rate cuts, and the attractiveness of scarce assets in the current macroeconomic environment [4][13] Industry Reports - The media sector index has risen by 5.17%, outperforming major indices, with recommendations for companies in vertical segments expected to maintain high growth [15][16] - DeepSeek's release of the V3.1 model enhances its capabilities, indicating significant advancements in AI technology, which is expected to drive future business growth [17][18] - Kuaishou's Q2 revenue exceeded 2.5 billion, showcasing the rapid commercialization of AI applications and the company's strategic focus on AI as a growth engine [21][22]

Core Insights - The computing power sector continues to rise, with the communication ETF (515880) increasing nearly 4%, driven by strong liquidity and positive news in the sector [1] - The 2025 China Computing Power Conference indicates that the construction of intelligent computing power facilities is accelerating, with an expected growth of over 40% in computing power scale by 2025 [1] - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1, designed for next-generation domestic chips, highlights advancements in domestic computing power technology [1] - Nvidia has informed some component suppliers to pause production of its H20 AI chips for the Chinese market, bringing the focus back to domestic alternatives [1] Industry Trends - The AI industry is on a clear upward trend, with North America's top four internet companies' capital expenditures reaching $95.8 billion in Q2 2025, a 64% year-on-year increase, indicating sustained global AI industry growth [2] - The geopolitical context of US-China relations presents a significant opportunity for domestic computing power alternatives, with Nvidia's projected revenue in China for 2024 at approximately $17.1 billion, translating to over 100 billion RMB [2] - The demand for GPUs in the Chinese market is expected to reach several hundred billion RMB annually, while domestic GPU production remains limited due to semiconductor supply chain constraints [2] Market Dynamics - The communication ETF (515880) has over 40% exposure to optical modules, with server, copper connections, and optical fibers making up over 70%, indicating a high concentration in core computing power segments [3] - As of August 22, the communication ETF has seen a net inflow of over 1.7 billion RMB in the past 10 days, with its total size nearing 6 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of over 50% since the beginning of the year [3]

Core Viewpoint - DeepSeek has launched its V3.1 version, which supports the next generation of domestic chips, signaling a significant moment for China's artificial intelligence and a turning point for domestic computing power [1] Group 1 - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 indicates advancements in domestic AI capabilities [1] - Nvidia has notified its suppliers to halt the production of the China-specific H20 chips, reflecting a shift in the competitive landscape [1] - Both events suggest a convergence towards strengthening China's domestic computing power in the AI sector [1]

8月25日，重点布局国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF（589520）早盘活跃，场内价格一度飙涨超6． 7%，午后涨幅略有回落，现涨0.51%，但盘中继续刷新上市高点！实时成交额超9100万元，交投火 热！ 上交所数据显示，科创人工智能ETF（589520）近60日获资金净流入1．05亿元，显示资金长期看好板 块后市，逐步进场布局！ 成份股方面，航天宏图20CM涨停，云天励飞涨超9%，奥普特涨逾7%，奥比中光涨超5%。第一大权重 股寒武纪涨超3%创新高。 【国产替代之光，科创自立自强】人工智能作为关键核心技术，实现自主可控至关重要。重点布局在国 产AI产业链、具备较强国产替代特点的科创人工智能ETF（589520），涨跌幅限制20%，具备高弹性特 征。截至7月底，前十大重仓股权重占比超67%，第一大权重行业半导体权重占比近一半，具备较强进 攻性。端云融合是AI发展的核心趋势，成份股均是各细分环节收入最大或卡位最好的公司，有望受益 于端侧芯片/软件AI化进程提速。场外可关注其联接基金（024561）。 风险提示：科创人工智能ETF华宝（589520）及其联接基金（024561）被动跟踪上证科创板人工智能指 数， ...

Group 1: Computer ETF Performance - The Computer ETF (159998) experienced a near 3% increase, currently up 1.88%, with a transaction volume of 53.16 million yuan [2] - The index it tracks, the CSI Computer Theme Index (930651), rose by 1.66%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Zhongke Shuguang (603019) up 10.00% and Xiechuang Data (300857) up 9.11% [2] - As of August 22, 2025, the Computer ETF has accumulated a weekly increase of 9.24%, reaching a new high in total assets of 3.724 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Cloud Computing ETF Performance - The CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Cloud Computing Industry Index (931470) surged by 4.13%, with significant increases in stocks like Zhongke Shuguang (603019) up 10.00% and Huasheng Tiancai (600410) up 9.98% [4] - The Cloud Computing ETF (517390) rose by 4.24%, with a latest price of 1.62 yuan, and has seen a weekly increase of 9.82% as of August 22, 2025 [4] Group 3: Market Liquidity and Growth - The Cloud Computing ETF (517390) had a turnover rate of 7.42% during trading, with a transaction volume of 22.47 million yuan [5] - Over the past year, the net value of the Cloud Computing ETF has increased by 127.69% [5] - China's computing power platforms are accelerating construction, with 10 provinces officially connected, and the total computing power scale is growing at approximately 30% annually [5] Group 4: Policy and Industry Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the orderly guidance of computing power facility construction and the optimization of intelligent computing infrastructure [5] - There is a focus on breakthroughs in key technologies such as GPU chips, which is expected to enhance the competitiveness of the domestic computing power industry [5] Group 5: Investment Opportunities in AI and Chips - DeepSeek's V3.1 release is expected to promote the large-scale application of domestic chips, boosting investor confidence in domestic computing power [6] - The domestic AI application market is anticipated to continue growing, with significant advancements in AI models and chip performance [6] Group 6: Related Products - The Computer ETF (159998) covers a wide range of sectors including IT services, application software, and communication equipment, featuring leaders in AI applications and hardware manufacturing [7] - The Cloud Computing ETF (517390) closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Cloud Computing Industry Index and includes major stocks from both A-shares and Hong Kong [7]

Core Insights - The A-share market continues its upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3800 points, supported by the strong performance of the brokerage sector, which rose over 3% on the same day [5][6] - The domestic AI industry is experiencing significant growth, with the AI sector index surging by 8%, and key stocks like Cambricon and CloudWalk achieving substantial gains [3][5] - The market is expected to remain in a "slow bull" phase, with brokerages benefiting from the upward cycle [5] Market Temperature - The market temperature indicator shows a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 75% over the past ten years, indicating a strong long-term performance [1] - Short-term sector performance shows electronics leading with a 4.82% increase, while non-bank financials and defense sectors experienced slight declines [2] Fund Flows - The top three sectors for capital inflow include computers (26.66 billion), electronics (3.518 billion), and media (2.823 billion), while the sectors with the highest outflows are pharmaceuticals (-3.272 billion), basic chemicals (-2.244 billion), and non-ferrous metals (-1.821 billion) [2][3] - The brokerage sector is highlighted as a key beneficiary of the current market conditions, with significant capital inflows expected to continue [5] ETF Performance - The Huabao AI ETF has shown a notable increase of 8.26%, while other ETFs in the technology and electronic sectors also reported positive performance [3][6] - The performance of various ETFs indicates a strong interest in sectors related to AI and technology, reflecting investor confidence in these areas [3][6]

Group 1 - U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish stance has opened the door for potential interest rate cuts, leading to a significant rally in U.S. stock markets, with the Dow Jones up 1.89%, Nasdaq up 1.88%, and S&P 500 up 1.52% [1][2] - Major tech stocks saw substantial gains, with Tesla rising 6.22%, Google A up 3.17%, Amazon up 3.10%, and Meta Platforms up 2.12% [1] Group 2 - Nvidia launched the Spectrum-XGS Ethernet, which supports distributed data centers and aims to create AI super factories with a power capacity of one billion watts [3][11] - Nvidia is reportedly developing a new AI chip named B30A for the Chinese market, which is expected to outperform the previous H20 chip [4] - Meta is set to release its first consumer smart glasses in September, featuring a display [4] Group 3 - Apple is exploring the use of Google's Gemini AI to enhance its revamped Siri, with discussions still in the early stages [5] - The U.S. Department of Defense plans to invest up to $500 million in the procurement of alloy-grade cobalt [6] Group 4 - Chile's state-owned copper company has lowered its annual copper production forecast due to mining accidents affecting recovery plans [7] - The Chinese government is focusing on releasing the potential of sports consumption and promoting high-quality development in the sports industry [8][16] Group 5 - Various brokerages are optimistic about the sustainability of the current A-share market rally, with a focus on new technologies and growth sectors such as AI applications and robotics [9][10] - The Chinese photovoltaic industry association is advocating for high-quality competition rather than price wars [12] Group 6 - The Chinese government has implemented a temporary regulation on rare earth mining and processing, requiring companies to maintain records of product flow [13][14] - The logistics industry is experiencing price increases for express delivery services in key regions like Guangdong and Zhejiang, as companies adjust to reduce intense competition [15] Group 7 - The sports industry in China is projected to grow significantly, with an expected compound annual growth rate of 9.5% from 2023 to 2025, driven by technological integration and policy support [16] - New stock offerings include Huaxin Precision, focusing on precision stamping products, with a subscription price of 18.6 yuan per share [17] Group 8 - Several companies have announced significant financial activities, including share repurchases and acquisitions, indicating a proactive approach to capital management [20][21] - The upcoming unlock of shares for various companies is expected to impact market dynamics, with significant values and percentages set to be released [23]

Group 1 - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 signifies a breakthrough in the domestic large model and chip ecosystem, utilizing the UE8M0FP8 format specifically designed for next-generation domestic chips, addressing compatibility issues with NVIDIA's FP8 standard, and promoting the autonomy of the domestic computing power ecosystem [1] - The urgent demand for domestic computing power is driven by the discontinuation of NVIDIA's H20 chip, leading to a recommendation for the domestic computing power sector [1] - A joint statement from the US and EU on August 21, 2025, outlines a trade agreement framework covering various sectors, including agricultural products, automobiles, semiconductors, and digital trade barriers, indicating a reduction in global trade risks and a release of overseas computing power demand [1] Group 2 - The solar industry is undergoing optimization with a focus on supply and demand stimulation, as multiple ministries convened to regulate competition and promote industry self-discipline, aiming to curb low-price competition and enhance product quality [2] - The logistics and delivery sectors are also pushing for a shift from low-price competition to high-quality development, with industry associations advocating for compliance with relevant laws to prevent malicious competitive practices [2] - Current market conditions in the takeaway delivery sector remain relatively stable regarding subsidies [2] Group 3 - Key sectors to focus on include computing power, rare earths, Hong Kong securities, and the internet [3]

当前通信行业的发展趋势及其对算力基础设施的影响如何？ 重视国产算力发展（中兴通讯等），展望数据中心 Scale- inoutacross20250824 摘要 中兴微电子自研芯片技术成熟，珠峰系列 CPU 已应用于云厂商，并积极 布局 GPU 和交换芯片领域，2022 年营收达 106 亿元，预计今年超 110 亿元，主要用于中兴通讯设备，增强其技术能力。 中兴通讯在运营商服务器市场占据领先地位，市场份额达 21%，远超第 二名，并与多家大型互联网云厂商建立合作，通过自研芯片提升产品竞 争力，商业模式确定性高。 预计 2025 年服务器市场收入约 300 亿人民币，2026 年乐观预期可达 500 亿人民币，芯片技术突破有望带来 30-50 亿人民币利润增长。中兴 通讯中期收入预计今年 710 多亿人民币，利润 90 亿人民币，明年利润 预期超 130 亿人民币。 国产算力市场在政策支持和技术迭代下潜力巨大，英伟达 H20 停产进一 步激发市场情绪。建议关注寒武纪、华丰科技等国产芯片企业，以及锐 捷网络、光迅科技等产业链公司，算力租赁关注润建股份和宏景科技。 Q&A 当前通信行业的发展呈现出显著的全球共振趋势 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **domestic computing power industry** in China, particularly focusing on the developments and future prospects of **AI and large models** [1][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Increased Capital Expenditure**: Major companies are showing enhanced confidence in investing in AI and large models, with expectations of capital expenditure growth in 2026, which is likely to boost domestic computing power demand [1][3]. 2. **Core Operating Data Disclosure**: Companies like Tencent and Kuaishou have begun to disclose key operational data, such as token consumption, improving market sentiment towards domestic computing power [1][3]. 3. **Model and Application Updates**: Companies including Minimax and Kuaishou have released updates to their models and applications, such as Deepsec V3.1, positively impacting market sentiment [1][3]. 4. **Supply Chain Changes**: Major companies have started to accept domestic chips, with widespread application in the internet sector since Q3, indicating positive changes on the supply side [1][3]. 5. **Export Control Uncertainties**: Recent uncertainties regarding H20 export controls and potential halts in production provide domestic computing power with time and space for product iteration and capacity enhancement [1][4]. 6. **Upcoming Product Launches**: A new wave of domestic computing power products is expected to be launched in 2026, with performance comparable to NVIDIA's H100 and H800, allowing for increased market share due to trade friction limiting overseas chip procurement [1][4]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Long-term Growth Prospects**: The future outlook for the domestic computing power sector is optimistic, with anticipated new product releases and enhanced competitiveness [4][8]. 2. **Technological Adaptation**: The introduction of U18M 0 data representation is expected to improve performance and efficiency in both domestic and NVIDIA cards, indicating a significant engineering optimization [5][6]. 3. **Market Position of Shengke Communication**: Shengke Communication holds a unique position in the domestic computing power supply chain, with a product range that spans from 100G to 25.6T switching capacity, and is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for domestic chips [2][10][12]. 4. **Server Sector Dynamics**: The server sector is experiencing high demand, driven by the growth of domestic AI chips and the increasing acceptance of these chips by operators, suggesting a positive outlook for companies like Inspur and Ziguang [16][18]. Conclusion The domestic computing power industry is poised for growth, driven by increased investments in AI, positive market sentiment from key operational disclosures, and significant technological advancements. Companies like Shengke Communication are strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends, while the server sector remains robust amid rising demand for AI capabilities.