Core Insights - Macro strategies have gained significant attention from private equity firms, with an average return of 24.54% in the first three quarters of the year, particularly strong in August and September [1][2][3] Group 1: Performance and Market Trends - As of September 30, 272 macro strategy products recorded an average return of 24.54%, with 92.65% achieving positive returns [2] - Monthly performance showed positive returns in all months except January, with August and September yielding average returns of 5.18% and 4.70% respectively [2] - The current low interest rate environment has led to a narrowing of credit spreads and term trading opportunities, making macro strategies attractive for capturing returns across various asset classes [2][3] Group 2: Investment Strategies and Frameworks - Different private equity firms are developing unique macro analysis frameworks based on their research backgrounds, focusing on multi-asset allocation [3][4] - One firm combines systematic and active management, utilizing a top-down macro perspective that includes economic cycles and liquidity systems [4] - Another firm employs a bottom-up approach, minimizing the influence of manager sentiment and focusing on risk parity across equities, bonds, and commodities [5] Group 3: Future Outlook and Asset Allocation - The outlook for the fourth quarter suggests that equities and commodities may outperform bonds, especially in the context of a potential Fed rate cut [6] - Despite high valuations in equity markets, there is cautious optimism, with expectations of volatility and potential adjustments [6] - Commodities, particularly gold, are viewed as valuable for portfolio diversification, while bonds are expected to have limited upward rate movement [6]

Core Viewpoint - In the second half of this year, 18 FOFs (Fund of Funds) have announced liquidation, with 13 being initiated FOFs, indicating challenges in the market despite the emergence of several successful products [1] Group 1: FOF Liquidation - A total of 18 FOF products have been liquidated since July, including notable ones like Huazhang's Active Pension Target Five-Year Holding Mixed FOF and Guotou Ruijin's Xingyuan Six-Month Open Mixed FOF [1] - The liquidation of these initiated FOFs is primarily due to their failure to reach a scale of 200 million yuan after three years, triggering the contractual liquidation clauses [1] Group 2: Performance and Market Trends - The overall average return of the liquidated initiated FOFs has been negative, with some products significantly underperforming the benchmark CSI 300 index [1] - Despite the challenges faced by some FOFs, industry experts believe that investors can still effectively utilize FOF products for diversified asset allocation, contributing to a more comprehensive asset allocation framework [1]

Core Insights - A significant number of public FOFs (Funds of Funds) are being liquidated due to failure to meet size requirements, reflecting a market-driven elimination of underperforming products [1][4][5] - Despite challenges, there has been a notable increase in the issuance of new FOFs, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics and investor demand for diversified asset allocation products [8][10] Group 1: Liquidation of FOFs - Since August 2025, 13 public FOFs have announced liquidation, with 11 being initiated funds that failed to reach the required 200 million yuan size after three years [1][2] - The majority of these funds had net asset values below 50 million yuan at the time of liquidation, with some as low as 10 million yuan [3][4] - The poor performance of these funds, with returns under 5% over three years, has been a primary reason for their liquidation [4][5] Group 2: Market Trends and New Issuance - In the first nine months of 2025, 49 new public FOFs were launched, a 113% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1][8] - Over 60% of existing equity FOFs have management sizes below 200 million yuan, indicating a prevalence of "mini" funds in the market [6] - The trend towards increased issuance of FOFs suggests a response to market conditions and regulatory demands, aiming to meet investor needs for stable returns through diversified asset allocation [8][10] Group 3: Future Directions for FOFs - The future development of FOF products is expected to focus on greater diversification and specialization, incorporating a wider range of asset classes to enhance risk management and returns [10][11] - Fund managers are encouraged to innovate product offerings and improve fee structures to attract more investors and enhance competitiveness [7][11] - The integration of technology, such as AI and big data, is anticipated to improve investment decision-making processes within FOF management [11]

Core Insights - The article discusses the shift in investment strategies towards multi-asset allocation in a low-interest-rate environment, emphasizing the importance of risk management and systematic approaches in Fund of Funds (FOF) [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The FOF team led by Zhang Chuan is actively implementing multi-asset allocation strategies to achieve stable returns for investors [1][2]. - Zhang emphasizes the need for a clear product positioning and strategy to meet the evolving demands of individual investors, focusing on continuous profitability and a good holding experience [2][4]. - The team aims to leverage the benefits of diversified asset allocation to mitigate risks while striving for consistent returns [2][4]. Group 2: Risk Management - A comprehensive risk monitoring system has been established, which categorizes assets into primary, secondary, and tertiary levels to analyze returns and risks systematically [4][5]. - The primary assets include various categories such as A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, domestic bonds, and commodities, while secondary and tertiary levels further refine these categories [4][5]. - The team employs a disciplined approach to ensure the sustainability and replicability of multi-asset returns through rigorous risk management practices [4][6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The team maintains a relatively positive outlook on A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, overseas equities, and commodities, while holding a cautious stance on fixed-income assets [6][7]. - The technology growth sector, particularly driven by computing power, is identified as a key driver for market uptrends, while bond markets face uncertainty due to various short-term pressures [7]. - Gold is highlighted as a significant stabilizer in multi-asset portfolios, benefiting from potential interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the shift in FOF (Fund of Funds) strategies from a bottom-up selection approach to a top-down asset allocation strategy, focusing on risk management and multi-asset diversification to achieve stable returns in a low-interest-rate environment [1][2]. Group 1: Multi-Asset Strategy - The FOF team led by Zhang Chuan is actively implementing multi-asset allocation strategies, which are essential for managing risks and generating stable returns for investors [1][2]. - The current client base for public FOFs primarily consists of individual investors who prioritize continuous profitability and a positive holding experience [2]. - The domestic passive investment growth provides a solid foundation for executing multi-asset strategies, with various index investment tools available across different asset classes [3]. Group 2: Risk Management Framework - Zhang and his team have transitioned the FOF business focus from selecting fund managers and products to constructing a systematic multi-asset allocation framework [4]. - A comprehensive risk monitoring system has been established, which breaks down the portfolio's daily returns and risks into three levels: primary assets, secondary styles, and tertiary strategies [4]. - The primary assets include categories like A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, domestic bonds, and commodities, while secondary styles further dissect these assets into specific strategies [4]. Group 3: Investment Process - The investment process involves qualitative analysis of underlying asset logic, future opportunities, win rates, and odds, followed by quantitative methods to analyze hedging effects among multiple assets [5]. - Tactical adjustments are made to the portfolio to enhance returns, with ongoing attribution analysis to evaluate performance and inform future investment decisions [6]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The team maintains a relatively positive outlook on A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, overseas equities, and commodities, while holding a cautious view on fixed-income assets [7]. - In the context of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, U.S. stocks may enter a consolidation phase, while gold is expected to benefit from the rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, serving as a stabilizer in multi-asset portfolios [8].

● 本报记者 王鹤静 低利率时代，持续获取稳健收益成为投资者的广泛诉求，充分发挥对冲优势的多资产配置策略应运而 生。FOF（基金中基金）作为资产组合的重要载体，正逐步从此前自下而上的"选品"时代，迈进自上而 下驾驭贝塔的资产配置时代。 浦银安盛基金FOF业务部业务主管兼基金经理张川和他所带领的FOF团队，正是积极践行多资产配置 的"弄潮儿"。日前，张川在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示，多资产组合离不开风险管理这一重要前 提，团队根据一级资产、二级分布、三级策略对风险和收益进行逐层详细拆分，通过持续动态调整，力 争为投资者创造持续稳健的收益。 以持续收益为目标 在进入公募行业之前，张川有过券商自营、企业年金、理财FOF等领域较为丰富的投资管理经验。由于 上述资金的风险偏好相对较低，张川逐步形成了风格稳健的投资方法论。加盟浦银安盛基金后，张川将 这样的方法论进一步精进和升级。 为了实现这样的目标，张川和团队构建了一套完整的风险监控体系，根据一级资产、二级分布、三级策 略，对组合每天的收益和风险进行逐层详细拆分，详细跟踪各类资产的收益与风险特征是否匹配，通过 持续比较性价比，保持组合的动态优化。 其中，一级资产是对大 ...

Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market is currently experiencing a "slow bull" phase, with concerns about whether the market has overheated due to rapid index increases [1][3] - The core driver of the recent market rally is the improved risk-return ratio of equity assets, as bond yields have fallen below 2%, prompting investors to seek higher returns in risk assets [3][4] - There is a recognition of localized bubbles, particularly in the technology sector represented by computing power, where some stocks have seen significant short-term price increases [3][4] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The importance of multi-asset allocation is emphasized in the context of increasing market volatility and frequent style rotations [7][8] - Different investment strategies are discussed, including absolute return focus, risk parity methods, and the use of alternative assets to manage portfolio volatility [7][8][9] - A recommendation for a mixed strategy involving approximately 30% risk assets, with a focus on low-volatility stocks and quantitative selection, is presented as a long-term investment approach [10][11]

Core Insights - The forum "Investment for Good" focused on ESG investment, asset management for university foundations, and asset allocation strategies, highlighting the importance of collaboration between asset management institutions and university foundations [1][2][3] Group 1: ESG Investment - ESG investment is recognized as a crucial force for promoting economic, environmental, and social development, representing both an innovative investment philosophy and a deep exploration of future development models [2] - The establishment of a comprehensive ESG product system in fixed income and the creation of multi-asset strategies reflect the growing emphasis on ESG products in the asset management industry [2] Group 2: University Foundations - University foundations are characterized by long-term investment horizons, public attributes, and liquidity requirements, necessitating a strategic approach to asset management [2][3] - The shift towards "asset allocation + entrusted management" signifies a professionalization journey for university foundations, emphasizing the need for strategic support and a fault-tolerant mechanism [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The discussion highlighted the need for university foundations to transition from direct investments to enhanced external cooperation and resource sharing, as well as from single asset investments to diversified allocations [4] - The importance of systematic decision-making over experiential judgment in investment strategies was emphasized, aiming to improve professional management capabilities [4] Group 4: Market Insights - Multi-asset allocation is viewed as an effective strategy to navigate high-volatility markets, with a focus on controlling portfolio volatility and optimizing risk-return profiles [4][5] - The current equity market environment is driven by declining risk-free rates, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets compared to bonds, despite some concerns about localized bubbles in certain sectors [5]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve successfully lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, but the market had already priced in this reduction, leading to a mixed reaction from investors [1] - Market expectations suggest that there may be two more rate cuts by the end of the year, contingent on the Federal Reserve's actions [3] - The performance of various asset classes in September shows that gold has finally started to move after months of stagnation, while U.S. stocks continue to reach new highs [3][4] Group 2 - The rise in gold prices is primarily driven by central banks accumulating gold, indicating a potential disconnect from traditional U.S. Treasury yield pricing [4] - Despite debates about the valuation of U.S. stocks, the market is likely to absorb regular adjustments due to strong buying interest, especially given the political ties to the stock market [5][6] - Global liquidity remains abundant, providing support for various asset classes, including gold, U.S. stocks, and cryptocurrencies [6][8] Group 3 - The bond market has shown little improvement, with yields on Chinese and U.S. government bonds fluctuating, leading to a cautious outlook among investors [17] - The current investment strategy focuses on maintaining a balanced position across different asset classes to mitigate risks while seeking opportunities [20][21] - The performance of multi-asset products, particularly those with a focus on risk management and stable returns, has been favorable, demonstrating resilience during market fluctuations [22][25] Group 4 - The introduction of multi-asset strategies in wealth management is gaining traction, with a focus on low volatility and diversified returns [29][30] - Recent trends indicate an increasing emphasis on index-enhanced strategies, which aim to capture market upside while controlling downside risk [33][35] - The overall market sentiment reflects a cautious yet optimistic approach, with investors looking for strategies that can perform well in both bull and bear markets [35]

Core Insights - The event "Investment for Good" focused on ESG and charitable asset management, highlighting the importance of multi-asset investment strategies in the current economic environment [1][8]. Group 1: Market Opportunities and Asset Allocation - The current market presents a mixed picture; while the attractiveness of equities may be declining compared to last year, they still offer better value compared to low-risk returns below 2% [3][18]. - The discussion emphasized the significance of multi-asset allocation, particularly in a low inflation environment, with equities, bonds, and commodities being the most favorable asset classes [4][23]. - The concept of risk parity was highlighted as a crucial strategy for achieving stable returns while managing volatility, especially in the context of China's capital market [10][23]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Perspectives - The panelists discussed the importance of absolute return strategies, particularly for institutional investors like university endowments, which require stable and consistent returns [6][30]. - There is a growing recognition that value and growth stocks can coexist, with some stocks fitting into both categories, suggesting a more integrated approach to stock selection [4][20]. - The need for strategic asset allocation was emphasized, with a focus on risk budgeting and the importance of diversifying across low-correlated assets to enhance overall portfolio performance [12][23]. Group 3: Challenges and Market Dynamics - The panelists expressed concerns about potential market overheating, particularly in sectors that have seen rapid price increases, indicating a cautious approach to current market conditions [19][26]. - The discussion also touched on the unique characteristics of university endowment funds, which typically have longer investment horizons and lower risk appetites compared to other funds [27][30]. - The role of ESG factors in investment decisions was highlighted, with a consensus that while ESG may not significantly enhance returns, it contributes to risk management and stability [28][30].