政策 ◼ 1）根据上交所官网，1 月 29 日-30 日，已有 8 只商业不动产 REITs 申报至交易 所（分别为华安锦江商业、中金唯品会商业、汇添富上海地产商业、国泰海通砂 之船商业、华安陆家嘴商业、华夏凯德商业、华夏银泰百货商业、华夏保利发展 商业不动产 REITs），预计募集总额 314.7 亿元，涵盖酒店、写字楼与配套商业、 奥特莱斯、购物中心、服务式公寓等多种商业业态，原始权益人有保利发展、上 海地产、陆家嘴、凯德投资、银泰百货、锦江国际、唯品会、砂之船（西安）。 2）根据财联社报道，多家房企目前已经不被监管部分要求每月上报"三条红线"指 标，不过部分出险房企被要求向总部所在城市专班组定期汇报资产负债率等财务 指标。2020 年 8 月，监管部门为控制房企有息负债规模，对房企设置了融资"三条 红线"，不过近几年基本已经不被提及。 投资建议 房地产行业 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 2 月 3 日 房地产行业第 5 周周报（2026 年 1 月 24 日-2026 年 1 月 30 日） 受去年同期为春节的影响，楼市成交同比正增长；首批 商业不动产 REITs 已申报至交易所 新房成 ...

□ 本报记者 王梦然 陈珺璐 消费是畅通经济循环的关键环节，是增进民生福祉的重要载体。围绕省"十五五"规划纲要中"全方位扩 大内需"的具体部署，代表委员们纷纷建言献策，从政策引导、企业实践、产业融合等多个维度，勾勒 出江苏以"新消费"点亮美好生活的生动图景。 "人民商场的核心竞争力，不只是商品本身，还有那沉淀了90多年的情感链接和信任基石。"省人大代 表、苏州人民商场女装部副经理沈黎萍介绍，为打破传统零售边界，商场加速数字化转型，通过微商 城、会员体系直播带货，将线下服务延伸至线上场景。新的一年，商场将着力把首店做成"恒店"，让网 红焕发"长红"活力。她表示，将继续创新服务路径，将苏式文化元素融入现代消费场景，让购物与社 交、文化体验深度融合，在首发经济、旅游经济、银发经济、美丽经济、宠物经济等"新赛道"上发 掘"新增长"，扩大优质商品和服务供给，满足不同年龄段的个性化消费期待。 在省政协委员，扬州瘦西湖旅游度假投资管理集团董事长，江苏扬城一味餐饮管理有限公司董事长、总 经理陈万庆看来，文旅行业特别是住宿餐饮业，既是拉动消费的重要领域，也是实现产业联动、畅通经 济循环的重要纽带，在推动消费结构升级、促进内需持 ...

Core Insights - Chongqing is actively cultivating new consumption models to address challenges, seize opportunities, and enhance urban capabilities, aiming to transform from a grand blueprint into a vibrant reality [1] Group 1: Consumption Growth - In 2025, Chongqing's total retail sales of consumer goods exceeded 1.66 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, reflecting the city's consumption vitality and a shift in development logic towards a cycle of "new demand" defining "new supply" [3] - The 2026 government work report emphasizes the importance of leading new supply with new demand and expanding consumption through innovative consumption scenarios and models [3] Group 2: New Consumption Models - The "silver economy" is being industrialized in response to the aging population, with policies introduced in 2025 to provide subsidies for elderly care services and home modifications, aiming to stimulate demand for smart health care and related new industries [4] - The "first launch economy" and "ticket root economy" are innovative mechanisms designed to enhance consumption levels and promote interconnected consumption, with the former focusing on attracting international brands and the latter creating a chain of consumption from a single outing [5] Group 3: Emotional Economy - The "emotional economy" represents a unique advantage for Chongqing, focusing on reimagining urban physical and cultural spaces to create new consumption scenarios that resonate emotionally with consumers, particularly the youth [5] Group 4: Strategic Development - Chongqing recognizes the need to improve its high-end commercial elements and consumption quality compared to other first-tier cities, indicating that reliance on traditional consumption expansion is insufficient [6] - The city is undergoing a profound transformation from functional satisfaction to emotional fulfillment in consumption, aiming to reshape urban competitiveness through a focus on new consumption [6] Group 5: Policy and Ecosystem - Policies need to be more precisely targeted at pilot projects for new industries, models, and scenarios, encouraging enterprises to innovate based on genuine consumer insights [6] - A collaborative ecosystem is essential, transitioning from isolated breakthroughs to systemic symbiosis, with government or industry associations leading cross-sector cooperation [6] - The success of new consumption relies on a friendly, convenient, and safe environment, necessitating improvements in international payment services and consumer rights protection [6]

New Product Launches - Heinz has launched a new "nutritional noodles" product, available in original, pork liver spinach, and beef tomato flavors, made from Canadian wheat and free from added salt, sugar, and preservatives [4] - Pop Mart has introduced a new dessert brand "POP BAKERY," featuring products like ice cream and cookies [4] - Master Kong has released two new noodle products, braised beef noodles and Sichuan beef noodles, using large cuts of meat and fresh ingredients [4] - McDonald's China has launched several new limited-time products for the Spring Festival, available in over 7,700 restaurants [6] - Danone's Alpro has introduced "Alpro Meal To Go," a plant-based meal replacement drink containing 20g of plant protein [5] - Yili has partnered with JD Health to launch "Milk Oat Bird's Nest Porridge," featuring 400mg of traceable bird's nest [6] - Wanglaoji has released a limited edition diamond gem set priced at 18.28 million, featuring 18K gold and 18,202 natural gems [7] - Mengniu has launched "Lutein Blueberry Milk," enriched with DHA and vitamins [7] - Hengshun has introduced "Vinegar Cola," combining traditional vinegar with a fizzy drink [9] Industry Events - MLB has announced actress Zhang Ruonan as its new brand ambassador, focusing on street culture and self-expression [11] - KFC has adjusted its delivery product prices, with an average increase of 0.8 yuan [11] - Douyin e-commerce has upgraded its after-sales mechanism to improve operational efficiency for merchants [11] - Crocs has partnered with LEGO to launch a new collaborative series [11] Financing and Acquisitions - Muxin Intelligent has completed a B-round financing of over 100 million yuan [18] - Anta Sports has reached an agreement to acquire a 29.06% stake in Puma for 1.5 billion euros (approximately 12.4 billion yuan) [20] - Puratos has acquired American nut supplier Vör Foods to enhance its innovation in baked goods [20] - Fen Chuan Ji has completed a 100 million yuan A-round financing for supply chain upgrades and digital management [20] - Nowwa Coffee has completed a multi-hundred million yuan C-round financing [22] - WH Group's subsidiary Smithfield Foods has signed an agreement to acquire Nathan's Famous for approximately 450 million USD [25] Food Industry Developments - Koko Manfen has launched a new drink featuring plum and three beans [27] - Woji Fresh has introduced a gift box of pure milk dessert soups [27] - Luckin Coffee has opened a co-branded store with the Australian Open [27] - Tea Xiaokai has launched "Magic Frozen Tea" with seaweed pearls [27] - Tetra Pak is investing 600 million euros (approximately 5 billion yuan) to build a new factory in Sweden [31]

（3）具体方向上，一方面，资金长期聚焦的科技方向或依然是重点，对于算力 AI、 机器人、商业航天等具备事件持续迭代催化且长期发展空间巨大的新质生产力主题 产业链，持续保持关注并积极寻找具备业绩支撑的标的，适度配合高低切；另一方 面，对于人气阶段性关注但近期表现较为平抑的主题行业，或可把握节奏适度轮动 布局，包括创新药、新消费、新型能源等。 （4）本周可能即将上市的新股：世盟股份、北芯生命等。 上周新股表现： （1）新股发行表现：上周，共有 3 只新股网上申购；其中，2 只为科创板、1 只为 主板。从上周网上申购的新股情况来看，平均发行市盈率为 37.7X。 （2）上周上市新股表现：假设将上周上市的沪深新股收益表现拆解为打新收益和 二级市场开板后的上涨收益，1）首先，打新收益来看，上周沪深新股上市首日平 均涨幅约 212.2%，比较本月此前交易周沪深新股首日涨幅，总体基本维持在 200% 左右相对活跃区间，可能新股首日交投情绪较为稳定。具体来看，科创板上市公司 恒运昌首日涨幅超过 300%，首日表现明显更为活跃；预计或与其发行市值相对较 低且所属行业主题为人气热度更高的半导体设备有关。2）其次，从二级市场投资 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends an "Overweight" rating for solid-state batteries, innovative drugs, and new consumption sectors, while suggesting a "Neutral+" rating for humanoid robots and AI applications [5][10][21]. Core Insights - The report highlights a focus on solid-state batteries, innovative drugs, and new consumption as key investment themes, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [5][10]. - The report notes that the overall emerging industry is showing a strong fundamental outlook with a neutral technical perspective, suggesting potential for growth despite recent fluctuations [16]. Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Themes - **Solid-State Batteries**: Rated "Overweight" with a strong technical outlook, indicating a recovery from a low position. The industry is moving towards commercialization with significant developments from companies like Geely [5][10]. - **Innovative Drugs**: Also rated "Overweight", with a stable outlook as the National Medical Products Administration has approved multiple innovative drugs, enhancing market confidence [5][10]. - **New Consumption**: Rated "Overweight", with initiatives in Beijing to promote new consumption landmarks, indicating a supportive environment for growth [5][10]. - **Humanoid Robots**: Rated "Neutral+", with a moderate technical outlook. The sector is experiencing a transition from prototypes to mass production, which could enhance market opportunities [5][10]. - **AI Applications**: Rated "Neutral+", with signs of recovery. The commercialization of AI applications is seen as a turning point, with significant investments from major companies [5][10]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the overall emerging industry has returned to below the mean plus two standard deviations, with moderate rotation intensity and average crowding levels, suggesting a potential for rebound in profitability expectations [16][18]. - Recent events, such as the launch of new products and approvals in the innovative drug sector, are expected to drive growth and investor interest [10][11].

Core Insights - Hunan's commercial sector is evolving with diverse new business models, focusing on "new consumption, new scenarios, and new formats" to drive high-quality development [1][2][5] - The province aims to leverage its market potential of over 66 million people to enhance consumption quality and expand capacity, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5] Group 1: New Business Models - Traditional enterprises in Hunan are innovating and integrating across sectors to explore new growth paths [1] - The Wanjiali business district exemplifies this trend, featuring a mix of dining, entertainment, and retail, attracting high-profile visitors and showcasing the city's commercial vitality [1] - New consumption models, such as the "home + automotive" integration, are being introduced to lead consumer trends [1] Group 2: Cultural and Entertainment Offerings - The Five-One business district in Changsha offers a variety of entertainment options, including escape rooms and live performances, enriching the nighttime cultural supply [2] - New consumption theaters are collaborating with local brands and accommodations to integrate cultural experiences into daily life [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The Hunan Provincial Commercial Association is committed to the "Strong Province" strategy, engaging with over 60 member enterprises and providing more than 200 strategic suggestions [3] - The association has organized numerous events to foster collaboration and enhance consumer engagement, contributing to a collective effort to boost consumption [3] Group 4: Future Development Plans - Hunan plans to innovate consumption models under the "Trendy and Fun" initiative, promoting the replacement of large consumer goods and expanding the supply of green and smart products [5] - The province aims to create high-quality commercial districts and night economy hubs that reflect local culture while attracting international events and brands [5] - The association will continue to focus on member needs, optimizing services and encouraging participation in emerging sectors like AI and low-altitude economy [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting the recovery of Moutai's pricing and the potential for demand growth during the upcoming Spring Festival [4][6]. Core Insights - Moutai's flying price has risen above 1600 yuan, attributed to the approaching Spring Festival and adjustments in product structure by the company [4][6]. - The listing of "Mingming Hen Mang" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to enhance market attention on the snack sector, with a focus on investment opportunities arising from trends in both upstream and downstream sectors [4][6]. - The food and beverage index recorded a slight positive return of 3.0% as of January 29, 2026, although it underperformed compared to the Wind All A index [4][46]. Summary by Sections 1. Price Recovery of Moutai - As of January 29, 2026, Moutai's flying price reached 1610 yuan for whole boxes and 1570 yuan for individual bottles, showing an increase of 45 yuan and 15 yuan respectively from December 31, 2025, but a decrease of 645 yuan and 650 yuan compared to the same period last year [7][41]. 2. Data Tracking - Key raw material prices have shown mixed trends, with sugar down by 15.3% year-on-year, while quail eggs and palm oil have increased by 46.9% and 9.7% respectively [16][27]. - Packaging material prices have generally decreased, with glass prices down by 19.7% and paper box prices down by 4.8% year-on-year [16][19]. 3. Market Review - The food and beverage sector ranked 23rd among 31 sub-industries, with seven out of ten sub-sectors showing positive growth, particularly processed foods, beer, and liquor [46][48]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the consumer goods sector such as Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring, and others, as well as key players in the liquor market like Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu [49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [10]. Core Insights - The construction industry is experiencing accelerated concentration, with state-owned enterprises leveraging scale, industrial chain advantages, and policy support to squeeze the survival space of small and medium-sized private enterprises [2][4]. - Sub-sectors like landscaping engineering are under dual pressure from declining demand and intensified competition, leading to weakened revenues, profit pressures, and deteriorating financial structures [2][4]. - Some companies are leveraging low-efficiency asset restructuring, financial endowments, and business associations to strategically transition towards new infrastructure sectors, guided by policy directions [2][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Concentration and Challenges - The concentration of the construction industry is continuously increasing, with the market share of state-owned construction enterprises rising from 46.9% in 2020 to 51.7% in 2024, while their output value share increased from 36.3% to 43.1% [4][15]. - The growth rate of infrastructure and fixed asset investment is declining, with a projected year-on-year decrease of -1.48% for infrastructure investment in 2025 [4][15]. - State-owned enterprises benefit from lower financing costs due to policy advantages and credit ratings, while private enterprises face high leverage and liquidity issues, necessitating a transformation [4][23]. Sub-sector Analysis and Transformation Factors - The report identifies sub-sectors with poor financial performance, particularly landscaping, building decoration, and engineering consulting, as having strong transformation needs [5][28]. - Landscaping and decoration sectors are experiencing declining revenues and high operational leverage, while the engineering consulting sector, despite slight revenue growth, shows high overall valuations indicating significant internal differentiation [5][28]. Transformation Directions and Methods - To achieve effective transformation, companies should align with national strategic directions, focusing on "hard technology" sectors like AI and blockchain, and "new consumption" sectors that cater to public demand [6][46]. - Common transformation methods include mergers and acquisitions, establishing subsidiaries for independent R&D, expanding existing qualifications and businesses, and forming strategic alliances [7][51]. Potential Transformation Targets - Companies with abundant cash flow, sufficient credit limits, and underperforming main businesses are identified as potential transformation targets, particularly in landscaping, building decoration, and engineering consulting sectors [8][46]. Key Support Factors for Transformation - Sufficient cash flow and credit limits are crucial for enabling potential transformations, allowing companies to quickly capture policy opportunities and reduce reliance on high-interest external financing [46][47]. Revitalizing Inefficient Assets - Inefficient assets can serve as low-cost entry points into new infrastructure sectors, with many old factories and idle warehouses meeting the requirements for transformation into data centers or energy storage bases [48][49]. New Shareholder Involvement - The introduction of new major shareholders is a focal point in the transformation of the construction industry, with examples of companies optimizing their ownership structures to leverage state resources and accelerate transitions into new sectors [51][52].

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital is increasingly participating in Hong Kong IPOs as a response to low interest rates and asset allocation pressures, with significant investments from major insurance firms like Taikang Life and Ping An Life [1][4]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Participation - In 2026, four insurance institutions, including Taikang Life and Ping An Life, have participated in cornerstone investments for seven Hong Kong IPOs, totaling approximately 9.88 billion HKD [1][2]. - Taikang Life has invested a total of 716 million HKD across six IPOs, with individual investments in companies like Mingming Hen Mang and Wallen Technology [3][4]. - Other insurance firms, such as Ping An Life and Xinhua Asset (Hong Kong), have also engaged in cornerstone investments, indicating a broader trend among insurance capital [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy - The shift in insurance capital's participation in Hong Kong IPOs is attributed to a combination of asset allocation pressures and changes in market conditions, with a focus on high-quality, growth-oriented companies [4][5]. - The current environment allows insurance capital to acquire long-term equity assets through IPO participation, which is seen as a more efficient method to gain exposure to the market [5]. - The focus of insurance capital is on sectors like hard technology and new consumption, aligning with national strategic directions and offering potential for long-term returns [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The trend of insurance capital participating in Hong Kong IPOs is expected to continue in 2026, driven by low interest rates and supportive policies for long-term capital inflow [9]. - Future participation is likely to become more selective, focusing on leading companies and verifiable profit paths, transitioning from broad participation to strategic allocation [9].