率会延续结构性复苏趋势，后期需要密切关注存储价格变化、AI持续性投资、需求复苏的持续性力 度。 2025年AI呈现从云服务器到端侧的全面共振，AI在短期或存在投资过热等分歧，但长期高速增长趋势 不容置疑，可以长期持续关注AI服务器、AI端侧应用等产业链机遇。全球随着ChatGPT的问世，AI进入 到一个全新的发展阶段。AI产业快速增长，带动了诸多例如算力芯片、光模块、PCB、高端存储等多个 上游产业快速发展，我国部分企业充分享受AI时代高速发展与国产替代加速发展的红利。短期内全球 存在AI投资过热的分歧，但长期增长趋势不改。AI云端的高速发展，同时也带动了端侧的创新，AI赋 能新产品，带动了零组件的升级，AIOT进入到一个可以持续创新迭代的阶段。我们认为长期来看，AI 不仅给我们的生产、生活带来降本增效的功能，而且还给我们的生活 带来新的感受、体验、便捷，开创了诸多新的需求。建议关注AI服务器与AI端侧的长期发展机遇。 面对海外市场管制的压力，我国半导体产业加速发展的决心不可动摇，国产化进程的加速更离不开上游 设备、零组件、材料的升级换代，我国上游产业链或迎来加速发展机遇。我国目前是全球晶圆厂产能最 大的经济 ...

中邮证券认为，政策端密集释放红利，国家医保局提出2026年力争分娩个人"无自付"，叠加各地育儿补 贴发放，提振母婴乳制品长期需求；商务部等三部门发文加强商务与金融协同提振消费。历经前期产能 出清，奶牛存栏去化加速，原奶价格已筑底企稳，我们预计2026年将迎来供需拐点，奶价上行确定性增 强。 智通财经APP获悉，乳业股早盘活跃，截至发稿，现代牧业(01117)涨3.42%，报1.51港元；原生态牧业 (01431)涨2.88%，报0.25港元；蒙牛乳业(02319)涨1.5%，报15.56港元；中国飞鹤(06186)涨1.42%，报 4.28港元。 消息面上，商务部公告，自2025年12月23日起， 采取临时反补贴税保证金的形式对原产于欧盟的进口 相关乳制品实施临时反补贴措施。长江证券表示，随着国内相关产品需求增长，叠加国内奶价成本低 位，深加工产品的国产替代有望加速。 ...

消息面上，商务部公告，自2025年12月23日起，采取临时反补贴税保证金的形式对原产于欧盟的进口相 关乳制品实施临时反补贴措施。长江证券表示，随着国内相关产品需求增长，叠加国内奶价成本低位， 深加工产品的国产替代有望加速。 乳业股早盘活跃，截至发稿，现代牧业(01117)涨3.42%，报1.51港元；原生态牧业(01431)涨2.88%，报 0.25港元；蒙牛乳业(02319)涨1.5%，报15.56港元；中国飞鹤(06186)涨1.42%，报4.28港元。 中邮证券认为，政策端密集释放红利，国家医保局提出2026年力争分娩个人"无自付"，叠加各地育儿补 贴发放，提振母婴乳制品长期需求；商务部等三部门发文加强商务与金融协同提振消费。历经前期产能 出清，奶牛存栏去化加速，原奶价格已筑底企稳，我们预计2026年将迎来供需拐点，奶价上行确定性增 强。 ...

华西证券表示，"春季躁动"行情积极因素累积，逢低布局为主。复盘历史，A股"春季躁动"行情启动通 常需满足以下条件：合理的估值水平、宽松的流动性环境以及有效提振风险偏好的催化剂，如国内政 策、产业事件催化或外部风险缓释等。当前来看，海外美联储降息和日本央行加息均已落地，市场对套 利交易逆转担忧缓解，后续人民币汇率升值带动的外资增配、年初保费收入"开门红"带来的增量保险资 金入市亦可以期待。近期股票型ETF再度大规模净申购，多只宽基ETF成交放量，指向增量资金倾向于 逢低布局。 行业配置上，建议关注：1、受益产业政策支持的成长方向，如国产替代、机器人、航空航天、创新 药、储能等;2、受益于"反内卷"政策的周期方向，如化工、能源金属、资源品等;3、促消费政策的深化 或带来消费板块的阶段性催化机会。 A股三大股指集体高开，沪指涨0.04%，创业板指涨0.14%。盘面上，海南自贸、贵金属、光伏板块涨幅 居前，可控核聚变、无人驾驶、光通信板块跌幅靠前。 机构看后市 国投证券：当下跨年行情仍在审慎评估观察过程，明年上半年出海+低位顺周期占优 国投证券认为，自四季度以来，我们对大盘指数预判逻辑并未发生太大变化：纯粹基于流动性 ...

Market Performance - As of December 22, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69% to close at 3917.36 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47% to 13332.73 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.23% to 3191.98 points [1] - The overnight performance of U.S. markets showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.47%, the Nasdaq Composite up by 0.52%, and the S&P 500 up by 0.64% [1] Industry Insights - Goldman Sachs predicts a strong rebound in Chinese stocks, driven by a reassessment of the technology sector's value and increased household savings flowing into the stock market. The firm expects Chinese corporate earnings to grow by 14% in 2026 and 12% in 2027, with a potential market increase of 38% by the end of 2027 [1] - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant demand, with the GDDR7 memory chip prices soaring, leading NVIDIA to limit the supply of certain 16GB graphics cards. This may push consumers towards higher-priced options for increased memory [2] - The AI glasses market is gaining traction, with Quark AI glasses launching two new models, achieving significant sales on major e-commerce platforms. The market is expected to see rapid growth, with projections indicating 2025 could be a pivotal year for AI glasses [2] ETF Information - The Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment theme index, focusing on companies in semiconductor equipment (61%) and materials (23%). This sector is crucial for domestic substitution and is expected to benefit from the AI revolution and advancements in lithography technology [4] - The Semiconductor Materials ETF (562590) also emphasizes semiconductor equipment (61%) and materials (21%), targeting the upstream semiconductor market [4]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69% to close at 3917.36 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47% to 13332.73 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.23% to 3191.98 points [1] - The overnight performance of U.S. markets showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.47%, the Nasdaq Composite up by 0.52%, and the S&P 500 up by 0.64% [1] Industry Insights - Goldman Sachs predicts a strong rebound in Chinese stocks, driven by a reassessment of the technology sector's value and increased household savings flowing into the stock market. The firm expects a 14% growth in corporate earnings in China next year, with a continued 12% growth in 2027, and a potential 38% increase in the stock market by the end of 2027 [1] - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant demand, with the GDDR7 memory chip prices soaring, leading NVIDIA to limit the supply of certain 16GB graphics cards. Consumers may need to shift to higher-priced options for increased memory [2] - The AI eyewear market is gaining traction, with Quark AI glasses launching two new models, achieving significant sales on major e-commerce platforms. The market is expected to see rapid growth, with projections indicating 2025 could be a pivotal year for AI glasses [2] ETF Information - The Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment theme index, focusing on companies in semiconductor equipment (61%) and materials (23%). This sector is crucial for domestic substitution and is expected to benefit from the expansion of semiconductor demand driven by the AI revolution [4] - The Semiconductor Materials ETF (562590) also emphasizes semiconductor equipment (61%) and materials (21%), targeting the upstream semiconductor market [4]

具体到A股市场，光刻技术突破与国产替代政策共振，为A股相关板块带来结构性机会。可关注技术领 先、政策受益明确的龙头企业。（光大证券微资讯） 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）日前发布的最新预测显示，2025年全球半导体营收有望同比增长 22.5%至7720亿美元，2026年将再增长26.3%，达9750亿美元。上述两项数据，较今年6月的预测都有大 幅提高。这一迅猛增长的势头有望拉动光刻机/光刻胶相关需求同步高增长。 展望后市，中商产业研究院统计，2024年全球光刻机市场已经增长至315亿美元。据测算，2025年中国 芯片市场规模预计达1.2万亿元，年复合增长率超15%。全球光刻胶市场2025年规模预计突破百亿美 元，其中EUV光刻胶需求占比显著提升。为国内企业提供广阔替代空间。 据智通财经消息，日前，比利时微电子研究中心（IMEC）已成功利用阿斯麦最先进的极紫外光刻 （EUV）设备，实现了纳米孔的全晶圆级制造。 此次，IMEC利用EUV设备实现纳米孔全晶圆级制造，标志着光刻技术从逻辑芯片向生物传感等新兴领 域拓展，进一步扩大了相关设备应用场景。 近年来，中国也在E ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 23 日 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 18% 24% 30% 2024.12 2025.04 2025.08 2025.12 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3,917.36 | 0.69 | 深证成指 | 13,332.73 | 1.47 | | | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | 沪深 | 300 | 4,611.62 | 0.95 | | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | 中证 | 100 | 4,471.83 | 1.04 ...

| 13:29 | "il"il ? ZD | | --- | --- | | 招商中证半导体产业 ETF发起式联接 C 详情 020465 | | | 5,120.17 | | | 昨日收益 1 ○ 持有收益 1 | 持有收益率 1 | | 0.00 +120.16 | +2.40% | | 最新净值12-19 2.1244 日涨幅 | -0.33% | | 持有成本单价 2.0745 累计收益 | +120.17 | | 全部份额 2,410.17 可用份额 | 2,410.17 | | 持合收益 1 = +120.17 持仓收益率 1 +2.40% | | | = 交易记录 ¥)收益明细 | 1 定投计划 | | 招商基金财富号 | 机构主页 > | | 市场 春季躁动在即,小微盘机会来了? | 12-19 | | "宽财政+宽货币"主基调或延续 | | | **** = * * | | 半导体需求广泛，尤其是AI芯片和车规级半导体需求大增，再加上国家政策支持和国家大基金的持续投入，引导社会资本参与。今天继续买入1000元招商 中证半导体产业ETF联接C（020465），把握后市机会。 | 交易概览 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the IPO of Birun Technology, a leading domestic GPU company, which aims to reshape the valuation landscape of domestic GPUs in the context of increasing AI computing power demand and accelerated domestic substitution [1][10]. Group 1: IPO Details - Birun Technology plans to issue 247.69 million shares at a price range of HKD 17.00 to 19.60 per share, raising an estimated total of HKD 4.21 to 4.85 billion [1]. - The cornerstone subscription for the IPO has seen unprecedented enthusiasm, with 23 top investment institutions planning to subscribe for HKD 28.99 billion, resulting in a cornerstone subscription ratio of approximately 64% [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - Birun Technology has focused on original core architecture since its establishment in 2019, achieving a global breakthrough in Chiplet technology and developing high-performance chips with a computing density of 10 PFLOPS per chip using a 7nm process [2]. - The company has built a comprehensive software platform, BIRENSUPA, which supports major open-source frameworks, significantly reducing customer migration costs and fostering a collaborative innovation ecosystem [2]. Group 3: Patent and Product Pipeline - As of December 15, Birun Technology has applied for over 1,500 patents globally, ranking first among Chinese general GPU companies, with a 100% authorization rate for invention patents [3]. - The company has a clear and forward-looking product pipeline, with the next-generation flagship product, Birun™ 20X series, expected to be commercialized in 2026, which is a key focus for the market [3][4]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Birun Technology's revenue surged from CNY 500,000 in 2022 to CNY 337 million in 2024, representing a growth of approximately 675 times [6]. - The company holds five framework sales agreements and 24 sales contracts valued at CNY 1.241 billion, providing a solid foundation for short-term performance growth [6]. Group 5: Market Position and Valuation - Birun Technology's listing in Hong Kong fills a gap in the market for pure GPU companies, providing a rare hard-tech asset and enhancing the capital layout of the AI industry [7]. - The company's strong technological originality and comprehensive product pipeline position it for a potential upward valuation breakthrough, especially with the anticipated commercialization of the Birun™ 20X series [7][8]. Group 6: Investment Considerations - Investors are encouraged to focus on three core logics: technological certainty, product growth potential, and the scarcity of domestic substitution opportunities [8]. - The commercialization of the Birun™ 20X series is expected to unlock significant growth potential, supported by a solid order backlog of CNY 12.41 billion [8][10].