Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant market downturn triggered by China's retaliatory measures against the U.S., leading to widespread declines in various financial markets and commodities. Market Reactions - U.S. stock index futures experienced a sharp decline, with the Nasdaq futures dropping over 3% and the S&P 500 futures down by 3.02% [3][4] - The U.S. 2-year Treasury yield fell nearly 5%, marking its lowest level since September 2022 [4] - European stock markets also faced severe declines, with Italy's FTSE MIB index dropping nearly 7% and other major indices like Germany's DAX and France's CAC40 also experiencing significant losses [7][8] Commodity Market Impact - International oil prices saw a substantial drop, with WTI crude oil prices decreasing by as much as 9% [11][12] - Precious metals like copper and silver also faced declines, with prices dropping nearly 2% during trading [9] Chinese Government Actions - The Chinese government announced a 34% tariff on U.S. imports, effective from April 10, as a countermeasure to U.S. tariffs [13][21] - The Ministry of Commerce listed 11 U.S. entities as unreliable and imposed export controls on 16 U.S. companies [14] - Investigations into anti-dumping practices on medical CT tubes from the U.S. and India were initiated [15] - Export control measures were implemented on seven categories of rare earth elements [16] - Six U.S. companies had their qualifications to export products to China suspended [18]

每周思考总第620期 《 新高如期兑现，首次左侧预警 》 本系列周度择时观点回溯表现（2023.1.1 至今），其中2024年全年累计收益53.69%。2025年至3 月16日累计收益7.79%。 中小市值板块择时观点： 短期交易中的政策窗口期尾声阶段，同步于主板开启谨慎博弈策略，自1月 翻多后首次建议重回 中等仓位 ，风格建议转向均衡； 短期动量（趋势）模型建议关注行业：无。 | 预测标的 | 仓位建议 | | --- | --- | | 主板 | 中仓位 | | 中小市值板块 | 中仓位 | | 风格判断 | 均衡 | 观点简述： 上周市场如期上行创出本轮新高，沪深300指数涨幅1.59%，上证综指周涨幅1.39%，中证500指 数周涨幅1.43%。上周我们标题观点提示"A股仍在政策窗口期"，实际A股上周五大涨重要催化因素也 是周四央行关于降准降息的最新强调表态。 基本面上，中国经济仍只是温和企稳。 国内方面，上周发布的2月货币供应数据整体喜忧参半， 社融同比回升而M1同比回落，表明国内经济仍在底部夯实状态而非强劲反转走强， 重申留意三月美 国全球关税加征后对中国外需的更显著冲击，在此阶段央行重提"年内择 ...

美国宣布给中国所有商品增加10%的关税的消息公布之后，恒生指数节后首日更是以下跌超2%的态 势开盘，美元指数也是暴涨，离岸人民币大幅贬值，差点创了2024年12月31日创造的7.369的新低。 作者 | RAYYYY 编辑 | 小白 A股于2月5日正式开市，在春节假期期间，有一大利空和一大利好，分别是美国加征关税以及DeepSe ek横空出世。 不过好消息是，港股仅用两天便扛住了美国关税的利空，Choice数据显示，过节期间，恒生指数上涨 2.8%，恒生国企上涨3.5%，受DeepSeek消息面影响，恒生科技指数上涨5.4%。 | 过节期间境外主要指数涨跌幅 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 时间段 | 指数名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 2025/2/3-2025/2/4 | 恒生指数 | 2.8 | | 恒生国企指数 | | 3.5 | | 恒生科技指数 | | 5.4 | | 2025/1/29-2025/2/4 | 纳斯达克 | -1.7 | | 道琼斯工业平均 | | -0. 9 | （来源：Choice数据，市值风云APP制表） 由此看来，尽管特朗普政府对华加征10%关税短期 ...