跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -440 -980 -1430 -1770 理论价差 491 881 1279 1678 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -375 -630 -775 -850 理论价差 216 338 459 581 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -65 -150 -205 -205 理论价差 209 320 430 540 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 60 50 40 60 理论价差 209 313 418 523 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 -90 10 250 510 锡 5-1 价差 490 理论价差 5366 期现套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -295 -735 理论价差 109 478 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -225 -600 理论价差 5 137 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及 ...

铸造铝合金产业链周报 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0019413 日期：2025年5月11日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 铸造铝合金：承压运行，相较于A00继续偏弱 强弱分析：偏弱 废料价格相对坚挺 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 15000 16000 17000 18000 19000 20000 21000 22000 元/吨 佛山破碎生铝精废价差（右轴） 元/吨 佛山破碎生铝含税价 佛山A00 ADC12-A00有望延续下滑趋势 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 01-02 01-14 01-26 02-07 02-19 03-03 03-15 03-27 04-09 04-21 05-06 05-18 05-30 06-11 06-23 07-05 0 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on May 8, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 8, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,575, LME price was 9,498, and the ratio was 8.23; the three - month domestic price was 77,410, LME price was 9,477, and the ratio was 8.22. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.27, with a profit of 52.52, and the profit for spot export was - 1.20 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,840, LME price was 2,582, and the ratio was 8.85; the three - month domestic price was 21,955, LME price was 2,619, and the ratio was 6.36. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.75, with a profit of 236.34 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 19,620, LME price was 2,369, and the ratio was 8.27; the three - month domestic price was 19,400, LME price was 2,398, and the ratio was 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.76, with a profit of - 1153.53 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 125,650, LME price was 15,479, and the ratio was 8.12. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.31, with a profit of - 3755.62 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,600, LME price was 1,907, and the ratio was 8.68; the three - month domestic price was 16,690, LME price was 1,924, and the ratio was 11.57. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.97, with a profit of - 562.77 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month were - 120, - 500, - 860, and - 1170 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 492, 881, 1280, and 1678 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 555, - 810, - 965, and - 1040, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 340, 462, and 585 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 460, - 525, - 565, and - 585, and the theoretical spreads were 211, 322, 434, and 546 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 80, 70, 65, and 50, and the theoretical spreads were 208, 312, 416, and 520 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were 0, 200, 390, and 530 [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 320, and the theoretical spread was 5421 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot were - 665 and - 785, and the theoretical spreads were 86 and 503 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 75 and - 630, and the theoretical spreads were 9 and 142 (also mentioned as 146 and 197) [4][5] - **Lead**: The spreads were 20 and 100, and the theoretical spreads were 105 and 216 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On May 8, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.53, 3.99, 4.64, 0.88, 1.16, and 0.76 respectively; for LME (three - continuous) were 3.60, 3.95, 4.81, 0.91, 1.22, and 0.75 [5]

跨期套利跟踪 2025/04/30 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -160 -410 -690 -880 理论价差 491 880 1277 1675 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -240 -465 -605 -675 理论价差 217 340 463 586 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -80 -150 -190 -195 理论价差 211 323 435 547 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -95 -110 -100 -135 理论价差 210 316 422 528 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 -340 -200 10 280 锡 5-1 价差 780 理论价差 5402 期现套利跟踪 2025/04/30 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -255 -415 理论价差 260 668 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -170 -410 理论价差 77 210 有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 202 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for multiple non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin on April 21, 2025, providing investors with information for potential arbitrage opportunities [1][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Domestic spot price is 76,290, March price is 75,980, LME March price is 9,254, and the ratio is 8.22 [1] - **Zinc**: Domestic spot price is 22,420, March price is 21,920, LME March price is 2,595, and the ratio is 6.51 [1] - **Aluminum**: Domestic spot price is 19,820, March price is 19,625, LME March price is 2,385, and the ratio is 8.25 [1] - **Nickel**: Domestic spot price is 127,200, and the profit of spot import is - 3,917.34 [1] - **Lead**: Domestic spot price is 16,875, March price is 16,835, LME March price is 1,928, and the ratio is 11.43 [2] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are 270 (next month), 110 (March), - 20 (April), - 70 (May), while the theoretical spreads are 481, 861, 1249, 1637 respectively [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads are - 210, - 340, - 415, - 455, and the theoretical spreads are 214, 335, 455, 575 respectively [3] - **Aluminum**: The spreads are - 35, - 105, - 140, - 150, and the theoretical spreads are 210, 320, 431, 542 respectively [3] - **Lead**: The spreads are 105, 85, 70, 85, and the theoretical spreads are 209, 314, 418, 523 respectively [3] - **Nickel**: The spreads are - 290, - 190, 40, 200 [3] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread is - 1020, and the theoretical spread is 5335 [3] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot are - 425 and - 155 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 385 and 847 respectively [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads are - 160 and - 370, and the theoretical spreads are 129 and 259 respectively [3] - **Lead**: The spreads are - 125 and - 20, and the theoretical spreads are 155 and 268 respectively [4] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) are 3.47, 3.87, 4.51, 0.90, 1.17, 0.77 respectively [4]