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通胀数据快评:价格改善趋势延续
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-10 11:12
Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - In November 2025, the CPI decreased by 0.1% month-on-month but increased by 0.7% year-on-year, with core CPI rising by 1.2% year-on-year[2] - The PPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month but decreased by 2.2% year-on-year, indicating a mixed trend in producer prices[2] Group 2: CPI Analysis - The year-on-year CPI increase of 0.7% is the highest since March 2024, reflecting a 0.5 percentage point increase from October[4] - Food prices turned positive, contributing to the CPI's year-on-year growth, with fresh vegetable prices rising by 7.2% month-on-month and 14.5% year-on-year[5] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, has remained above 1% for three consecutive months, indicating a gradual recovery in consumer spending[4] Group 3: PPI Insights - The PPI's year-on-year decline of 2.2% is slightly worse than the market expectation of -2.0%, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year[8] - Upstream industries showed a mixed performance, with coal mining prices rising by 4.1% month-on-month, while oil and gas extraction prices fell by 2.4%[8] Group 4: Future Outlook - The report suggests that the construction of a unified national market will optimize competitive order, making policy a key variable in price movements[10] - The number of breeding sows has dropped to 39.9 million, indicating a potential tightening in pork supply in the second half of 2026, which may support higher pork prices[10]
关注中国11月通胀数据和美联储利率决议
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-12-10 05:25
FICC日报 | 2025-12-10 关注中国11月通胀数据和美联储利率决议 市场分析 国内政策预期升温。11月14日国务院常务会议,研究深入实施"两重"建设有关工作,部署增强消费品供需适配性进 一步促进消费政策措施。11月24日,国家发展改革委价格司组织召开价格无序竞争成本认定工作座谈会。11月28 日,工信部组织召开动力和储能电池行业制造业企业座谈会,强调认真落实党中央关于综合整治"内卷式"竞争的 决策部署,加快推出针对性政策举措,依法依规治理动力和储能电池产业非理性竞争。数据方面,中国10月出口 (以美元计价)同比下降1.1%,前值增8.3%,进出口数据受工作日天数减少以及节前抢出口影响,前期的"抢出口" 和"抢进口"有待消化,同时10月投资、消费和工业的增速也出现不同程度放缓,国内经济基础有待夯实。中国11 月官方制造业PMI环比回升至49.2,高技术制造业PMI连续10个月位于临界点50以上,受高基数影响非制造业PMI 小幅回落。中国11月外贸增速大幅回升,以美元计价出口同比转增5.9%,进口同比增1.9%;稀土出口环比增长26.5%, 大豆进口环比降14.5%。中共中央政治局会议明确指出,明年经 ...
Asia-Pacific markets set for mixed trading as investors await China inflation data, Fed decision
CNBC· 2025-12-09 23:47
Aerial view of vehicles being driven on the road through the central business district in Beijing, China.Asia-Pacific markets traded mostly higher on Wednesday as investors awaited inflation data from China later in the day and an interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.Traders are looking ahead to the Federal Reserve's closely watched interest rate announcement on Wednesday stateside, the final one of the year. Markets largely expect the Fed to trim its benchmark overnight lending rate by another 0 ...
德勤:通胀数据成关键 未来几个月澳洲联储料将采取数据导向的观望政策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 04:55
来源:金融界AI电报 德勤认为,将于明年一月公布的澳大利亚通胀数据,对澳洲联储利率决策越来越重要。德勤经济咨询合 伙人Stephen Smith表示,在澳洲联储决定将现金利率维持在3.60%之后,"所有的目光都将聚焦于11月和 12月的CPI数据"。Smith预计,澳洲联储在接下来的几个月将采取以数据为导向的"观望"政策。Smith认 为,央行面临的问题是,澳大利亚经济目前处于停滞状态,但如果经济增速加快,可能会重新引发通胀 压力。 ...
瑞达期货贵金属期货日报-20251208
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-08 09:14
贵金属期货日报 2025/12/8 研究员: 廖宏斌 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0020723 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪金主力合约收盘价(日,元/克) 13706 | 958.700 | -2.3↓ 沪银主力合约收盘价(日,元/千克) | | +19.00↑ | | | 主力合约持仓量:沪金(日,手) | 197,193.00 | +240.00↑ 主力合约持仓量:沪银(日,手) | 20,186.00 | -5376.00↓ | | | 主力合约成交量:沪金 | 298,231.00 | +60534.00↑ 主力合约成交量:沪银 | 2,033,731.00 | +329517.00↑ | | | 仓单数量:沪金(日,千克) | 91299 | 0↑ 仓单数量:沪银(日,千克) | 699,291 | 11335↑ | | 现货市场 | 上金所黄金现货价 | 954.10 | -2.40↓ 华通一号白银现货价 | 13,5 ...
Investors Keep Eye On Fed Decision While Adobe, Broadcom Set To Report Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-06 16:00
Get ahead of the market by subscribing to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Week Ahead, a preview of key events scheduled for the coming week. The newsletter keeps you informed of the biggest stories set to make headlines, including upcoming IPOs, investor days, earnings reports, and conference presentations. Stock index futures were higher on Friday, as traders looked forward to fresh inflation data in hopes of gauging the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Wall Street's major averages ended mixed on Thursday, a ...
【环球财经】纽约股市三大股指5日上涨 中概股普涨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-06 01:21
美国资产管理机构Mercer全球顾问公司(Mercer)负责投资组合管理的副总裁大卫·克拉考尔(David Krakauer)说,当日公布的通胀数据巩固了市场定价所反映的美联储下周继续降息预期。 密歇根大学当日发布的初步调查数据显示,美国2月份消费者信心指数为53.3,高于市场预期的52和11 月的51。美国消费者对一年后通胀预期从前一个月的4.5%回落至4.1%。 个股方面,奈菲公司当日宣布将以720亿美元的定价收购华纳兄弟探索公司大部分资产,后者旗下探索 全球将剥离成为一家独立上市公司。奈菲公司股价当日下跌2.89%,收于每股100.24美元。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数周五收涨1.29%,中概股普涨。阿里巴巴涨0.56%、京东涨0.54%、百度涨 5.85%、拼多多涨0.68%、哔哩哔哩涨0.39%、蔚来涨0.6%、网易涨0.44%。 消息面上,美国商务部5日公布的数据显示,9月美国个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数同比增长2.8%,高 于前一月的2.7%,与市场预期一致。数据还显示,剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格后,9月核心个人消 费支出价格指数同比涨幅为2.8%,而前一月数值和市场预期均为2.9%。 美国银行全 ...
美债收益率创八个月最大周涨幅,市场对美联储明年降息预期转趋鹰派
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-06 00:35
美国国债结束了八个月以来表现最差的一周,10年期和30年期收益率出现自4月份以来最大单周涨幅, 其中10年期收益率收于4.14%。市场抛售的主要驱动因素是相互矛盾的经济数据(尤其是劳动力市场) 以及加速至2.8%的通胀数据,这使得投资者对美联储明年将进行额外降息的预期转为怀疑和"鹰派"。此 外,美国政府本周关于美联储领导层人事变动的评论(如财政部长提出地区银行行长应有居住地要求) 加剧了市场不确定性,也对美债价格走势产生了影响。 ...
RBI rate cut lifts markets; Sensex surges 447 points as banking stocks rally
BusinessLine· 2025-12-05 12:11
Equity benchmarks ended Friday’s session with strong gains as the Reserve Bank of India’s 25 basis points repo rate cut to 5.25 per cent spurred broad-based buying in rate-sensitive sectors, with the Sensex closing at 85,712.37, up 447.05 points or 0.52 per cent, while the Nifty advanced 152.70 points or 0.59 per cent to settle at 26,186.45. The RBI’s unanimous decision, bringing cumulative cuts to 125 basis points since February 2025, was driven by record low retail inflation of 0.25 per cent in October. T ...
白银将迎来方向突破?多头吹响反攻号角
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-05 07:06
周五(12月5日)亚市午后盘,现货白银持稳走高,日内涨幅扩大至2.00%,截至发稿,白银价格暂报58.16 美元/盎司,上涨1.86%,目前来看,白银盘内短线偏上行,本交易日关注美国9月PCE物价指数,如数 据显示通胀压力缓和,白银或走强再度触及59美元或更高位置。 【要闻速递】 不过,在下周利率会议等一系列落地之后,市场将再度回归到明年的降息周期前景之中,那么从本周到 下周的调整则仍可视为入场的时机和节点。 因为,不管是11月非农数据和CPI数据在12月降息会议之前还是之后公布,区别就是先涨还是后涨,其 美国政府的停摆,也已经影响到了11月初的经济,故此,大概率上,11月非农和CPI将会支撑后续的降 息前景。 美国劳工部公布的最新初请失业金数据显示,截至11月29日当周初请人数降至19.1万,明显低于前值 21.8万,也低于市场预期的22万。 【最新白银行情解析】 昨日现货白银承压,因交易商在试图突破58.60-58.80美元阻力位未果后获利了结。跌破56.50美元将为 测试52.60-52.80美元支撑位开辟道路。 日图来看,白银价格目前处于趋势线阻力下方震荡调整,多头动力减弱,但仍处于众多均线支撑上方, ...