Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent positive signals from the U.S. regarding tariffs on China, indicating a potential easing of trade tensions and a shift in U.S. policy towards a more favorable stance on tariffs [2][3][4]. Group 1: U.S. Tariff Policy Changes - U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin stated that the current trade conflict with China is unsustainable, suggesting a possible easing of tensions [3]. - The Trump administration is considering a tiered tariff system, imposing 35% tariffs on goods not deemed a national security threat and at least 100% on those considered strategic, with a gradual reduction planned [6][7]. - The financial markets reacted positively to these developments, with U.S. stock indices rising for two consecutive days [9]. Group 2: Financial Market Reactions - The article notes that the recent tariff discussions have led to a significant sell-off in U.S. Treasury bonds, indicating a loss of confidence in U.S. credit [15][18]. - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose sharply from 3.86% to 4.59% within a short period, reflecting increased selling pressure [18]. - The U.S. dollar index has also declined significantly, dropping below 100 points, which signals weakening confidence in the dollar [21]. Group 3: China's Response and Currency Internationalization - In response to the evolving situation, China has made strides in internationalizing the renminbi, with a new action plan aimed at enhancing cross-border financial services [27][28]. - The CIPS system, China's version of SWIFT, is expanding, with coverage now reaching 119 countries and a projected settlement amount of 175.49 trillion yuan for 2024, a 42.6% increase year-on-year [30]. - The article emphasizes the importance of promoting the use of the renminbi in international trade to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar and enhance China's financial stability [33][34]. Group 4: Long-term Implications and Strategies - The article suggests that the ongoing tariff negotiations will be a protracted process, with U.S. officials indicating that discussions will be challenging [38]. - It highlights the need for China to continue pushing for renminbi internationalization as a strategic response to potential financial conflicts with the U.S. [43][49]. - The article concludes that while the path to replacing the dollar as the world's primary currency is fraught with challenges, the current U.S. policies may provide a unique opportunity for China to strengthen its financial position [49][51].

点击图片▲立即收听 " 对美国认为不构成国家安全威胁的商品征收 35% 的关税，而对涉及所谓 ' 美国战略利益 ' 的商品则征收至少 100% 的关税。 " 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） " 我不会对中国采取强硬措施； 145%关税非常高，之后不会那么高了。" "对华关税不会是零，但会大幅下降！ " 说这些话的，是中美关税战发起人 ： "万税爷"、 美国总统特朗普。 自昨日凌晨到今天一早，大洋彼岸的美国罕见释放出关于关税的多重积极信号。 最初是北京时间 23日0点，美国财长贝森特表示："当前美中贸易冲突的紧张局势有望缓解，这种关税对峙状态对中美两国而言都不可持续 。 " 一个小时后，白宫新闻秘书莱维特在新闻发布会上表示， 美国与中国就达成一项贸易协议的谈判 "进展非常顺利" 。 最后，特朗普在白宫亲自定调： "中国将对最终的关税税率非常满意 。 " —— 《华尔街日报》 而到了昨夜晚间，《华尔街日报》报道称：特朗普政府还在考虑采取一种所谓"分级征税"的方案——对美国认为不构成国家安全威胁的商品征收 35%的关税，而对涉及所谓"美国战略利益"的商品则征收至少100%的关税，并将在五年内逐步实施，最终 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "Action Plan" jointly issued by various Chinese financial authorities to enhance cross-border financial services in Shanghai, emphasizing the city's role as an international financial center and the need for improved financial support for enterprises going global [1][3]. Summary by Sections Overview of the Action Plan - The "Action Plan" aims to enhance the convenience of cross-border financial services, focusing on Shanghai's development as an international financial center and supporting enterprises in their global expansion [1][3]. Financial Measures to Support Enterprises - The plan outlines five key areas of financial measures to facilitate enterprises' international operations, including improving cross-border settlement efficiency, optimizing foreign exchange risk management, strengthening financing services, enhancing insurance support, and refining comprehensive financial services [2][4]. Importance of Cross-Border Financial Services - In the context of a changing external environment, the need for enhanced cross-border financial services is critical as Chinese enterprises accelerate their overseas investments and require diverse financial products and services to meet their evolving needs [3][4]. Key Initiatives in the Action Plan - The "Action Plan" includes 18 specific initiatives across five areas: 1. Improve cross-border settlement efficiency and global fund management for enterprises. 2. Optimize foreign exchange risk management services. 3. Strengthen financing services to support global investment. 4. Enhance insurance support for risk management. 5. Refine comprehensive financial services to improve global resource allocation [4][5]. Shanghai's Role in Implementation - Shanghai will create a "financial service package" to provide tailored financial solutions for enterprises going global, ensuring they receive appropriate financial services based on their specific needs [5][6]. Highlights of the Action Plan - The "Action Plan" features four main highlights: 1. Pilot policies for convenience measures that can be replicated in other regions. 2. Optimized business processes to create a secure and efficient financial service environment. 3. Innovation in products and services tailored to various financial needs. 4. Digital empowerment to enhance efficiency in cross-border financing and risk management [7][8]. Enhancements in Foreign Exchange Management - The plan introduces innovative reforms in foreign exchange management, focusing on supporting global fund management for enterprises and facilitating their international market expansion [10][11]. Export Credit Insurance Support - The "Action Plan" emphasizes increasing insurance support for export enterprises, aiming to provide comprehensive risk protection for Chinese companies operating abroad [13][14]. Overall Impact on Enterprises - The initiatives outlined in the "Action Plan" are expected to lower international operational costs for enterprises, enhance their risk management capabilities, and promote the internationalization of the Renminbi by improving its cross-border usage [15].

Core Viewpoint - The "Action Plan" aims to enhance the convenience of cross-border financial services while promoting the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center, with a focus on supporting enterprises in their global expansion efforts [2][4]. Group 1: Key Financial Measures - The "Action Plan" introduces a series of measures to improve cross-border financial services, which include enhancing cross-border settlement efficiency, optimizing foreign exchange risk management, strengthening financing services, increasing insurance support, and improving comprehensive financial services [5][6]. - Specific measures include optimizing foreign exchange business management, enhancing the global fund management system for enterprises, and expanding the functions of free trade accounts [6][10]. Group 2: Enhancing Cross-Border Financing - The plan emphasizes the need for diversified foreign exchange risk management products and services, as well as the development of cross-border financing channels to support enterprises in their global investments [7][11]. - It also aims to facilitate the use of digital technologies to improve the efficiency of cross-border financing and settlement processes [9][12]. Group 3: Insurance Support for Enterprises - The plan highlights the importance of export credit insurance in providing risk protection for enterprises operating abroad, with a focus on enhancing the quality of insurance services and expanding coverage [14]. - In 2024, the national insured amount for export credit insurance is expected to exceed 1 trillion USD, indicating a strong growth trend in this area [14]. Group 4: Policy Implementation and Innovation - The "Action Plan" includes innovative measures such as pilot programs for cross-border trade refinancing and the use of blockchain technology to streamline financial services [8][9]. - It also emphasizes the need for a digital transformation in financial services, including digital identity verification and electronic documentation [9][10]. Group 5: Support for Enterprises Going Global - The Shanghai municipal government plans to create a "financial service package" tailored to the needs of enterprises expanding internationally, providing customized financial products and services [7][8]. - The plan aims to lower the operational costs for enterprises and enhance their risk management capabilities in the context of globalization [15].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the cross-border payment industry [1][10]. Core Insights - The People's Bank of China and other departments aim to enhance the functionality and global coverage of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), which is expected to open new growth opportunities for the cross-border payment industry [3][4]. - The implementation of high-level opening-up strategies through free trade zones is anticipated to increase demand for cross-border payment services, thereby supporting the industry's overall growth [4]. - The digital transformation and application of advanced technologies such as blockchain and big data are driving the upgrade of the cross-border payment system, indicating an irreversible trend towards digitalization in cross-border settlements [4]. Summary by Sections Policy Support - The report highlights that the enhancement of CIPS and the promotion of free trade zones will require the collaborative development of the cross-border clearing industry, with innovation being crucial for achieving policy goals [4]. - The demand from export enterprises and the government for cross-border payment services is expected to increase, providing better growth opportunities for related companies [4]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends the following stocks: Yuxin Technology, Jingbeifang, Newland, Xinguodu, and Lakala as primary beneficiaries, while Changliang Technology, Sifang Jichuang, Baoshui Technology, Ruimaotong, and Anshuo Information are identified as secondary beneficiaries [4][5]. Financial Projections - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024A, 2025E, and 2026E for the recommended stocks, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance [5].

上 证 目 前 已 实 现 8 日 连 阳 ， 期 间 累 计 上 涨 近 2 . 3 6% 。 其 中 ， 上 证 指 数 今 日 盘 中 一 度 重 返 3 3 00点关口，创近三周以来点位新高。沪深300指数目前也已获6连阳，北证5 0、红利指 数、上证50等也一度录得5连阳行情。 今天沪深两市全天成交额1 . 09万亿，较上个交易日放量486亿。 稳 定 股 市 是 资 本 市 场 当 前 的 关 键 词 。 4 月 18 日 召 开 的 国 务 院 常 务 会 议 提 出 " 持 续 稳 定 股 市"，延续了此前中央政治局会议、中央经济工作会议、202 5年政府工作报告等重要会议 和政策中的表述，体现了国家层面对股市的呵护之意。 机构认为，在当前时点提出"持续稳定股市"意义重大，美国所谓的"对等关税"冲击全球金 融市场，我国各项措施"组合拳"快速出击、强而有效，有力稳住了股票市场。 未来我国资本市场改革将着力于吸引中长期资金入市，持续完善稳市举措，保持股市稳 定， 中国市场有望成为全球资金"避风港"，为全球市场带来更多确定性。 0 1 央行、国资委多部门部署 今年4月以来，美国所谓的"对等关税"冲击 ...

上 证 目 前 已 实 现 8 日 连 阳 ， 期 间 累 计 上 涨 近 2 . 3 6% 。 其 中 ， 上 证 指 数 今 日 盘 中 一 度 重 返 3 3 00点关口，创近三周以来点位新高。沪深300指数目前也已获6连阳，北证5 0、红利指 数、上证50等也一度录得5连阳行情。 今天沪深两市全天成交额1 . 09万亿，较上个交易日放量486亿。 稳 定 股 市 是 资 本 市 场 当 前 的 关 键 词 。 4 月 18 日 召 开 的 国 务 院 常 务 会 议 提 出 " 持 续 稳 定 股 市"，延续了此前中央政治局会议、中央经济工作会议、202 5年政府工作报告等重要会议 和政策中的表述，体现了国家层面对股市的呵护之意。 机构认为，在当前时点提出"持续稳定股市"意义重大，美国所谓的"对等关税"冲击全球金 融市场，我国各项措施"组合拳"快速出击、强而有效，有力稳住了股票市场。 未来我国资本市场改革将着力于吸引中长期资金入市，持续完善稳市举措，保持股市稳 定， 中国市场有望成为全球资金"避风港"，为全球市场带来更多确定性。 机构认为，尽管目前关税形势多变且可能对企业盈利产生影响，但中国股市仍具韧 ...

跨境支付再度火爆！ 今日早盘，中油资本这只近千亿的跨境支付概念股突然直线拉板，封板一度突破三百万手。与此同时，跨境支付CIPS概念股大面积异动，新晨科技、科蓝软件、拉 卡拉、信雅达、青岛金王等股票涨停或涨幅超10%。 昨天，中国人民银行等联合印发《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》，其中提出，提升人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）功能和全球网络覆 盖。 那么，这个题材的潜力会有多大？ 突然大涨 在中油资本涨停的同时，跨境支付CIPS概念股大面积爆发，新晨科技、科蓝软件、拉卡拉、信雅达、青岛金王等股票涨停或涨幅超10%。消息面上，昨天收盘后， 中国人民银行等联合印发《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》，其中提出，提升人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）功能和全球网络覆盖。跨 境清算公司增强与金融机构协同联动，共同提升对"走出去"企业的服务水平。推动更多银行加入CIPS，持续扩大CIPS网络覆盖范围。加强CIPS建设，完善系统功 能，研究推动区块链技术应用，为人民币计价的全球贸易、航运及投融资提供安全高效的结算清算服务。 其实，近期跨境支付的利好不仅于此。 4月14日，银联国际与越南 ...

今年二季度，外部环境更加复杂，对外贸企业已经形成了一定冲击，出口对经济的贡献大概率将有所走弱。未来反映在宏观经济数据中时，或 将提升央行降息意愿。 全国登记在册民营企业超5700万户 4月 21日，市场监管总局公布数据显示，第一季度全国新设民营企业197.9万户，同比增长7.1%，超过过去三年平均增速。截至3月底，全国登 记在册民营企业超过5700万户，占企业总量的92.3%。我国民营企业和个体工商户发展呈现强大韧性。 点击上图 ▲立即报名 4月LPR继续保持不变 4月 21日，中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布，2025年4月贷款市场报价利率（LPR）为1年期LPR为3.1%，5年期以上LPR为 3.6%，两个期限品种LPR报价较上月均维持不变。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，4月以来政策利率（央行7天期逆回购利率）保持不变。 这意味着本月LPR报价的定价基础未发生变化，已在很大程度上预示4月LPR报价会保持不动。 此前，中国人民银行货币政策委员会2025年第一季度（总第108次）例会研究下阶段货币政策主要思路指出，建议加大货币政策调控强度，提高 货币政策调控的前瞻性、针对性、有效性，根据国内外经济 ...

数据显示， 截至2025年4月，美国联邦债务总额约为36万亿美元，占全球GDP 的约35%，美国人均负债超10万美元。 2025年4—6月季度到期美债总和约6.5万 亿美元。当前的全球货币系统，即债务国大量借款、债权国大量出口并购买债 务的模式，将被迫变革。化解美债问题，短期依赖借新还旧，长期需财政改 革。 如果美债违约，会出现什么局面？ 倘若美债违约，或者全球大规模抛售美债，将会引发连锁反应： 一是美元信用将崩塌。 如此一来，美元作为全球储备货币的地位会受到冲击，多国或加速"去美元 化"，转向黄金、人民币等资产。美元汇率将暴跌，进口成本激增，美国面临的通胀压力将加剧。 文/《清华金融评论》 王茅 二是全球金融市场将动荡不安。 美债收益率将飙升（如10年期国债收益率突破5%），推高全球借贷成 本，企业融资困难，股市或遭受重挫。对冲基金基差交易者将出现爆仓、养老金等机构资产缩水，将引 发流动性危机。 三是美国经济将陷入衰退。 在这种极端情况下，政府将停摆、社保支付将出现中断，社会矛盾将被激 化。美国企业裁员潮或将蔓延，消费萎缩，美国经济将陷入"滞胀"。 四是地缘政治格局重塑。 中国、日本等美国主要债权国会持续减 ...