近日，白银价格再次大涨。今年12月初，现货白银价格最高触及58.84美元/盎司（约合人民币13.07元/ 克），当时年内累计涨幅已经突破100%。如今，仅仅过了两周多的时间，现货白银价格就再创新高。 12月17日，现货白银价格一度创下66.88美元/盎司（折合人民币14.84元/克）的历史新高。 今年以来，白银价格涨幅翻番，远超同期黄金涨幅，零售市场也是消费热情满满。 多重因素驱动白银价格上涨 整体而言，近期国际白银价格的快速上涨主要受到供需不平衡以及美联储宽松货币政策的共同影响。 从供应层面看，白银正处于供应短缺之中。近年来，全球绿色转型以及数字化转型如火如荼。在此背景 下，新能源市场快速发展，白银则在其中发挥了关键的作用。与之相关的电动汽车电池以及太阳能电池 板需求大幅增加，推动了白银需求的增长。再加上人工智能领域对于白银这种贵金属的需求也在持续攀 升，白银市场面临的供需不平衡的情况预计进一步加重。 世界白银协会和牛津经济研究院在最新发布的题为《白银：下一代金属》的报告中指出，白银正日益成 为推动全球经济技术转型不可或缺的关键要素。未来十年，白银有望在对绿色能源转型和数字化转型至 关重要的多个行业中发挥关 ...

Trade Overview - In 2023, China's total trade reached 41.76 trillion RMB, with exports at 23.77 trillion RMB and imports at 17.99 trillion RMB, resulting in a trade surplus of 5.78 trillion RMB. By 2024, the trade surplus is expected to exceed 7 trillion RMB, marking a historical high and making China the largest economy in terms of trade surplus globally [1] - The trade relationship between China and Europe is significant, with both regions being each other's second-largest trading partners, facilitating substantial goods transport via rail and maritime routes [1] Solar Industry Dynamics - China's photovoltaic (PV) industry has gained a competitive edge due to its complete supply chain and supportive policies, leading to significant achievements and competitive pricing, comparable to platforms like Pinduoduo [3][5] - In 2023, China exported 86.6 GW of solar modules to Europe, accounting for 95% of the continent's new installed capacity. However, by the end of 2023, Europe faced a surplus of 50 GW in solar module inventory, complicating market absorption [6] Market Imbalance and Trade Issues - In 2022, China's PV product exports to Europe amounted to 42 billion euros, while European counterparts exported only 2.8 billion euros to China, resulting in a trade deficit of nearly 40 billion euros for Europe [6][10] - The imbalance has prompted European companies to adopt trade protectionism measures against Chinese PV products, aiming to mitigate the significant trade deficit [6] Regulatory and Policy Challenges - The EU has implemented various measures to protect its domestic industry, including trade barriers, anti-dumping investigations, and potential additional tariffs of 35% on Chinese PV products. The EU also allocated 24 billion euros to support local PV production [10][12] - The EU's strategy includes increasing local procurement requirements and enhancing technical standards for PV components, which raises the cost and difficulty for Chinese companies to enter the European market [12] Future Cooperation Potential - Despite existing trade tensions, there is potential for deeper cooperation between China and Europe in the PV sector, driven by the urgent need for climate action and the shared goal of achieving carbon neutrality [12] - Collaborative efforts in technology innovation and standard recognition could pave the way for a mutually beneficial relationship, as both regions work towards enhancing their green energy capabilities [12]

青年电力工程师参观广州变电站科普中心（资料照片）。新华社发 新华社广州12月18日电 题：多国青年电力工程师来华学习交流绿色能源转型 新华社记者胡拿云 来自英国、秘鲁等6个国家的10名青年电力工程师日前结束了在中国为期4周的学习，这是国际大电网委员会举办的全球首次青年工程师实习交流活动。在南 方电网广东广州供电局的学习经历，令青年工程师们对中国的清洁能源转型与数字电网技术印象深刻。 交流期间，青年工程师们深入广州10余处电网示范工程现场，实地参观了多项前沿电网技术，详细了解中国在推动能源转型、构建新型电力系统方面的具体 方案与最新实践。 "太不可思议了！这就像给电网装上了'神经中枢'。"在广州南沙电鸿物联网示范区，来自塞尔维亚输电公司的科维察·比比奇在"电鸿3.0"操作系统前驻足赞 叹。作为中国先进的电力物联操作系统，电鸿广泛连接源荷网储各环节，让一套系统覆盖不同类型、不同品牌的电力设备，实现海量终端数据互联互通。 "这是我看过最完整的绿色转型样板。"在广州南沙小虎岛电氢智慧能源站，来自秘鲁的约翰·弗洛雷斯目睹了从绿电制氢到固态储运、再到高效利用的全链 条闭环。他表示，这些诠释了中国在智能配电、氢能储能等领域 ...

Group 1 - Silver prices have recently reached historical highs, with London spot silver surpassing $60 per ounce and peaking at $64.658 per ounce on December 12, marking a year-to-date increase of over 110% [1][2] - The performance of silver has outpaced that of gold, with silver's year-to-date increase at 114.35% compared to gold's 63.83% [2] - The gold-silver ratio has dropped to 65.19, indicating that silver is relatively more attractive compared to gold [3] Group 2 - Multiple factors are supporting the recent surge in silver prices, with expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts being a core driver [5][6] - The global silver market is experiencing a significant supply shortage, with a projected deficit of approximately 117 million ounces (about 3,660 tons) by 2025, marking the largest shortfall in recent years [8] - The tight supply situation is exacerbated by the fact that silver is often a byproduct of other mining operations, making it difficult to increase production in response to rising prices [6][8] Group 3 - Analysts believe that the long-term bullish outlook for precious metals remains intact, supported by macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply constraints in the silver market [7] - The demand for silver is expected to grow due to its applications in green energy and technology, particularly in solar panels and electric vehicles [9] - Despite the recent price increases, there are signs of potential volatility, as the market may experience profit-taking and fluctuations in trading positions [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have reached historic highs, with significant increases in both spot and futures markets, making it a standout in the 2025 commodity market [1][2][6] Group 1: Recent Performance of Silver - Silver prices have recently surged, with spot silver breaking the $60 per ounce mark and reaching a peak of $64.658 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 110% [1][2] - The performance of silver has outpaced gold, with silver's year-to-date increase at 114.35% compared to gold's 63.83% [2] - The silver market has seen increased interest from retail investors, as lower prices compared to gold make it more accessible for smaller investments [1] Group 2: Factors Supporting Silver Prices - The rise in silver prices is primarily driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which have bolstered market sentiment [5][7] - A significant supply shortage is anticipated, with the Silver Institute predicting a supply gap of approximately 95 million ounces by 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of supply deficit [6][8] - The gold-silver ratio has decreased to 65.19, indicating that silver is relatively undervalued compared to gold, attracting more investment [3][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The silver market is experiencing structural changes, moving away from being viewed as a mere byproduct of gold, with its own investment logic being recognized [6][9] - Industrial demand for silver is expected to grow due to advancements in green energy and technology, providing a strong foundation for long-term price increases [9] - Despite the bullish outlook, there are signs of potential volatility as market dynamics shift, with a change in the holding structure from short to long positions [9][10] Group 4: Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to approach silver investments with caution, as the liquidity and market dynamics differ significantly from gold [10] - The challenges of liquidating physical silver investments and the higher transaction costs associated with silver futures may deter ordinary investors [10]

短期扰动不改趋势，白银中期上行逻辑坚实。展望后市，尽管美联储开启降息周期后，前期部分基于宽 松预期入场的资金可能获利了结，引发白银价格的短期震荡与波动。但从中期视角看，决定白银价格的 核心逻辑已从单一的金融属性转向由"绿色能源转型"与"人工智能革命"所驱动的强劲工业需求。在光 伏、新能源车及AI 基础设施等领域用银量持续增长，且全球白银市场连续数年面临结构性供应短缺的 背景下，白银的商品属性正为其构筑坚实的长期上行基础。 来源：中银国际证券股份有限公司 市场春躁预热，把握有色轮动机遇布局。我们在2025 年11 月25 日点评《预热春季躁动》中指出，A 股 短期有望震荡企稳，为"牛市春躁"行情预热。2026 年，科技+"反内卷"两条主线有望成为行业配置的主 要抓手。其中，有色金属行业有望成为科技主线轮动阶段市场的主要配置方向。从盈利角度，"反内 卷"相关板块有望成为近期A 股盈利边际增量的主要贡献。随着近期白银价格的不断创新高，A 股贵金 属板块有望率先成为本轮资金轮动的重点方向。建议关注有色金属行业，尤其是贵金属小金属板块相关 的标的，以把握本轮配置机会。 金银比修复进行时，白银价格弹性优于黄金，关注A 股 ...

01 价格飙涨 截至2025年12月12日，COMEX白银期货报64.835美元/盎司，较年初的29.3美元/盎司上涨约120%。现货白银涨幅同样突破120%，而同期黄金约60%的涨幅 相形见绌。 白银在今年上半年表现相对平淡，但进入下半年后便火力全开，涨势陡然加快。 12月11日，现货白银价格一举突破62美元/盎司，再度刷新历史纪录。交易大厅里，投资者盯着屏幕上不断跳升的数字，这个曾被戏称为"穷人黄金"的金属 正在上演一场前所未有的价值重估。 2025年12月11日，现货白银价格突破62美元/盎司，盘中最高触及62.884美元/盎司。与此同时，COMEX白银盘中突破63美元/盎司，一度摸高63.25美元/盎 司。 这已是白银连续第三天刷新历史纪录。12月9日，白银价格首次突破每盎司60美元；12月10日站上61美元；12月11日则进一步冲高至62美元以上。 自年初以来，现货白银的累计涨幅已逼近120%，成为年内最牛的贵金属品种。 而同期黄金的涨幅约为60%，仅为白银的一半。在贵金属市场，白银正从黄金的"影子"中走出，迎来属于自己的超级周期。 9月1日现货白银突破40美元/盎司，仅一个多月后的10月9日便突破 ...

【文/观察者网 阮佳琪】 "我们的业务遍及全球55个国家，其中52个国家的能源项目都在使用中国生产的光伏组件及相关设备， 覆盖范围既包括美国、印度、中东国家，也涵盖了非洲与东南亚地区。" 谈及中国在可再生能源全产业链中的主导地位时，全球可再生能源工程咨询公司SgurrEnergy董事阿里 夫·阿加（Arif Aga）向香港《南华早报》如是说道。 据港媒13日报道，这位可再生能源技术顾问坦言，全球绿色能源转型的核心逻辑，从来不是地缘政治博 弈，而是实实在在的经济现实。对众多寻求发展清洁能源的国家而言，降低成本的务实需求始终是其首 要考量。 也正是这一现实，奠定了中国在全球清洁能源供应链中的领先地位。阿加指出，中国制造业的庞大产能 与快速技术迭代，共同推动行业成本大幅下降，毋庸置疑已然成为全球能源转型的关键驱动力。 公开资料显示，阿加在SgurrEnergy亚洲市场的战略布局中扮演着关键角色。通过聚焦中国和印度这两 个全球可再生能源增长最快的市场，他推动SgurrEnergy从一家以风能咨询为主的英国公司，转型为涵 盖太阳能、储能和混合能源的全球技术咨询领导者。 历经数十年行业深耕，阿加认为，中国在绿色能源技术革 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global copper supply is under pressure due to the shutdown of large mines and anticipated U.S. tariffs, leading to a projected shortage in the coming years. Demand for copper is expected to rise significantly driven by AI, green energy, and defense sectors, with forecasts indicating that existing and planned mining capacities will only meet about 70% of global copper demand by 2035 [1][2]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Multiple large mines have ceased operations this year, impacting global supply and prompting market revisions of copper production forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [1]. - The market anticipates that the U.S. may impose at least a 25% tariff on refined copper by mid-2026, leading to a shift of copper inventories towards the U.S. and exacerbating shortages in other regions [1]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that current and planned mining capacities will only satisfy approximately 70% of global copper demand by 2035 [1]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - Copper is expected to be in high demand over the next decade due to its applications in AI, green energy transitions, and defense restructuring [1]. - The rapid development of AI, particularly in the U.S. with initiatives like the Genesis Mission, is significantly increasing copper demand for data center construction [1]. - China's commitment to specific greenhouse gas reduction targets is anticipated to support copper demand through upgrades in electrical infrastructure and power grids [1]. Group 3: Company Performance - Zijin Mining has set a five-year plan aiming for a copper production increase of over 49% by 2028, reaching 1.5 to 1.6 million tons, alongside a gold production increase of over 47% to 100-110 tons [1]. - The company reported a 10% year-on-year increase in revenue to 254.2 billion RMB and a 55% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 37.86 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities grew by 44% to 52.11 billion RMB, indicating strong financial health [2]. Group 4: Diversification and Future Outlook - The company operates multiple mining projects across 17 countries, enhancing its risk diversification capabilities [2]. - Recent acquisitions, including the completion of the Akyem gold mine in Ghana and the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, have bolstered its gold reserves and expanded its footprint in West Africa and Central Asia [2]. - If metal prices continue to rise, the company's earnings forecast for 2026 could be adjusted upwards, with projected earnings per share increasing by approximately 28% to 2.475 RMB [2].

Core Viewpoint - Hisense Home Appliances is actively engaged in the development, manufacturing, and marketing of various home appliances and is focusing on smart home solutions centered around appliance intelligence upgrades [1] Group 1: Business Operations - The company primarily operates in the production of refrigerators, household air conditioners, central air conditioning, freezers, washing machines, kitchen appliances, and related products [1] - Hisense also provides comprehensive smart home solutions that emphasize the intelligent upgrade of home appliances [1] Group 2: Technological Development - The company is actively investing in the development of cutting-edge technologies such as power semiconductors [1] - Hisense aims to offer efficient and reliable semiconductor solutions to support the transition to green energy and low-carbon development [1]