在近期举行的2025金融街论坛年会上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜透露，将恢复公开市场国债买卖操作。 央行在公开市场买卖国债是增强国债金融功能、发挥国债收益率曲线定价基准作用、增进货币政策与财 政政策相互协同的重要举措，也有利于我国债券市场改革发展和金融机构提升做市定价能力。 在实践中，央行会根据基础货币投放需要，兼顾债券市场供求和收益率曲线形态变化等情况，灵活开展 国债买卖双向操作，保障货币政策顺畅传导和金融市场平稳运行。自去年8月份开始开展公开市场国债 买卖操作以来，截至去年12月份，央行共累计买入1万亿元国债。但在今年年初，债券市场供求不平衡 压力较大、市场风险有所累积，国债买卖按下了"暂停键"。 "与年初暂停国债买卖时相比，当前10年期国债收益率已升至1.8%附近，期限利差走阔，债市整体运行 良好。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为，当前恢复国债买卖操作，加大对银行体系长期流动性的支 持，也在进一步释放稳增长信号，有助于稳定今年四季度和明年一季度宏观经济运行。 大公国际首席宏观分析师刘祥东表示，从宏观货币政策层面看，央行此举体现适度宽松的货币政策取 向，既避免流动性紧张又不释放过度宽松信号，有助于实现稳增长与 ...

Core Points - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a term of 3 months, indicating a strategy to maintain market liquidity and support government bond issuance [1] - The operation is a continuation of the 700 billion yuan 3-month reverse repos maturing in November, with an expectation of a second operation later in the month due to an additional 300 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos maturing [1] - The PBOC has resumed open market operations for government bonds, injecting liquidity into the market, which is seen as a dual signal for stabilizing growth and expectations [1] Industry Insights - The recent slowdown in credit issuance has led to a relatively ample liquidity situation in the banking system, reducing the need for increased liquidity injections [1] - There is a possibility of a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut by the PBOC before the end of the year to further lower bank funding costs and stabilize the interest margin while reducing overall financing costs in the economy [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned 2. Core Views - The central bank will resume open - market treasury bond trading operations as the bond market is running well [4] - With positive signals in Sino - US economic and trade negotiations and policy support, the stock index may return to the upward channel in the short term, and there is still room for growth in the long term. It is recommended to take long positions opportunistically [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - Financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.40% with a - 6.42bp change, DR007 at 1.55% with a - 1.28bp change, GC001 at 1.56% with a - 11.50bp change, GC007 at 1.59% with a - 5.50bp change, SHBOR 3M at 1.60% with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50% with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.32% with a - 3.20bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.54% with a - 2.90bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.76% with a - 0.10bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 3.97% with a - 1.70bp change [3] - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 5577 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 1382 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net daily investment was 4195 billion yuan [3] 3.2 Stock Index Market - **Index Performance**: The CSI 300 rose 1.19% to 4748, the SSE 50 rose 0.41% to 3063, the CSI 500 rose 1.91% to 7481, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.20% to 7569. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges was close to 2.3 trillion yuan, an increase of over 100 billion yuan from the previous day. Energy metals, photovoltaic equipment, and other sectors led the gains, while the banking and shipbuilding sectors led the losses [5][7] - **Futures Volume and Open Interest**: IF trading volume was 100933 with a - 10.6% change, and open interest was 258558 with a 0.2% change; IH trading volume was 45105 with a - 11.8% change, and open interest was 94975 with a - 0.8% change; IC trading volume was 134767 with a 6.6% change, and open interest was 252815 with a 4.0% change; IM trading volume was 187636 with a - 11.2% change, and open interest was 348768 with a - 1.5% change [5][7] - **Futures Premium and Discount**: IF had a premium of 1.48% for the current - month contract, 2.30% for the next - month contract, 2.58% for the current - quarter contract, and 2.79% for the next - quarter contract; IH had a discount of - 1.34% for the current - month contract, - 0.42% for the next - month contract, - 0.25% for the current - quarter contract, and - 0.08% for the next - quarter contract; IC had a premium of 8.56% for the current - month contract, 8.70% for the next - month contract, 8.73% for the current - quarter contract, and 9.25% for the next - quarter contract; IM had a premium of 10.38% for the current - month contract, 11.60% for the next - month contract, 11.28% for the current - quarter contract, and 11.30% for the next - quarter contract [9]

Group 1: Market Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DR001 closed at 1.47 with a 1.62bp increase, DR007 at 1.56 with a 2.34bp decrease, GC001 at 1.67 with a 26.00bp increase, and GC007 at 1.64 with a 0.50bp increase. SHBOR 3M was at 1.60 with a 0.40bp increase, and LPR 5 - year remained at 3.50 with no change. 1 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year Chinese treasury bonds closed at 1.43 (-0.50bp), 1.54 (-4.75bp), and 1.81 (1.75bp) respectively, while 10 - year US treasury bonds closed at 3.97 with a 1.70bp decrease [4] - The central bank conducted 4753 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 1595 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net daily investment was 3158 billion yuan [4] Group 2: Central Bank's Policy Announcement - Central Bank Governor Pan Gongsheng said on October 27 that the central bank suspended treasury bond trading at the beginning of this year due to supply - demand imbalance and accumulated market risks in the bond market. Now that the bond market is operating well, it will resume open - market treasury bond trading operations [5] Group 3: Stock Index Performance - The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed at 4692 (-0.51%), 3050 (-0.62%), 7341 (-0.52%), and 7479 (-0.22%) respectively. The trading volume of the two stock markets was 21479 billion yuan, a decrease of 1923 billion yuan from the previous day. Shipbuilding, shipping ports, automotive services, aerospace, railways, and airports led the gains, while precious metals, energy metals, wind power equipment, steel, non - ferrous metals, and beauty care led the losses [6] - The stock index rose and then fell yesterday. The Shanghai Composite Index briefly broke through the 4000 - point mark but entered a volatile phase due to lack of significant volume. In the short term, with the easing of Sino - US trade frictions, the stock index may return to an upward trend. In the medium - to - long - term, there is still room for growth, and the strategy is to buy on dips and use the discount structure of stock index futures to enhance long - term long - position strategies [7] Group 4: Stock Index Futures Premium and Discount - The premium and discount rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts vary across different delivery months. For example, IF's current - month contract has a 3.10% premium, IH's current - month contract has a 0.39% discount, IC's current - month contract has an 11.11% premium, and IM's current - month contract has a 14.08% premium [8]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced the resumption of open market government bond trading operations, which had been suspended for nearly 10 months, to inject confidence into the bond market amid recent fluctuations [1][2]. Market Analysis - The resumption of government bond trading reflects a flexible regulatory approach closely tied to market conditions, responding to the need for sustained macroeconomic policy efforts as highlighted in the recent Fourth Plenary Session [2]. - The bond market's overall stability has prompted this timely policy adjustment, indicating that the current interest rate levels are recognized by regulators, thus limiting the risk of further increases in rates [2]. Operational Details - The PBOC's bond trading operations began in August 2024, with a cumulative purchase of 1 trillion yuan. The operations were paused earlier this year due to supply-demand imbalances in the bond market [2][3]. - Analysts predict that the PBOC may adjust its operational model to avoid significant market disruptions, likely opting for one-time or multiple purchases from major banks without immediate market sales [3][4]. - The anticipated operational scale for the remainder of 2025 is estimated to be between 700 billion to 1 trillion yuan to counterbalance maturing bonds and meet basic currency supply needs [5]. Market Reaction - Following the announcement, the bond market reacted positively, with significant increases in government bond futures prices, indicating a rapid rise in expectations for policy easing [6][7]. - The resumption of bond trading is seen as a mechanism to release liquidity and stabilize market expectations, aligning with the overall easing policy direction [6]. Potential Implications - The bond trading operations may serve as a substitute for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts, potentially reducing the necessity for further RRR adjustments in the near term [7]. - This approach could alleviate pressure on commercial banks' bond holdings while achieving effects similar to RRR cuts, thereby supporting stable market operations in the fourth quarter [7].

Group 1 - Wang Yi had a phone call with US Secretary of State Rubio [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued opinions on strengthening the protection of small and medium investors in the capital market [1] - The CSRC released a plan to optimize the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system [1] Group 2 - Wu Qing announced the initiation of deepening reforms in the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) [1] - Pan Gongsheng stated that the People's Bank of China will resume open market operations for government bonds [1] - Li Yunzhe emphasized the need to steadily and orderly promote the merger and restructuring of small financial institutions, focusing on quality over quantity [1] Group 3 - Zhu Hexiong indicated that nine new policy measures will be introduced soon to further promote trade innovation and development [1] - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association will enhance the regulatory work on the fundraising of debt financing instruments [1] - In the first three quarters of this year, China's foreign-related income and expenditure reached a record high of 1.16 trillion USD [1] Group 4 - Since October, various regions have introduced 16 policies related to housing provident funds [1]

Core Viewpoint - The central bank has signaled a commitment to maintaining liquidity stability by increasing the medium-term lending facility (MLF) by 900 billion yuan, marking the eighth consecutive month of such actions in 2023 [1] Group 1: Central Bank Actions - On October 27, the central bank conducted a substantial increase in MLF, totaling 900 billion yuan, indicating ongoing efforts to support liquidity [1] - The central bank's actions are seen as a balance between "risk prevention" and "stabilizing expectations," suggesting a cautious approach to monetary policy [1] - The announcement to resume open market operations for government bonds on the same day led to a significant decline in bond yields [1] Group 2: Market Implications - The coordinated use of multiple monetary tools is expected to ensure a smooth transition across the month-end period, contributing to a generally stable liquidity environment [1] - The overall liquidity condition is anticipated to remain "stable with a slight easing" as a result of these measures [1]

Core Points - The 2025 Financial Street Forum Annual Meeting has commenced in Beijing, focusing on the next steps for China's financial sector in light of the recent 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session [1] - Key financial leaders emphasized the importance of implementing new policies and strategies to enhance the financial landscape in China [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Digital Currency - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will resume public market operations for government bonds to improve monetary policy tools and enhance the financial function of government bonds [3][4] - The PBOC plans to optimize the management system for digital currency and support more commercial banks in becoming operational entities for digital currency [4][5] Group 2: Financial Supervision and Direct Financing - The National Financial Supervision Administration aims to create a new financial service model that balances direct and indirect financing, focusing on both physical and human investments [5][6] - The financial sector's total assets reached 512.1 trillion yuan, with the banking sector accounting for approximately 89.63% of this total [5] Group 3: Risk Management and Financial Stability - The administration will enhance risk management by promoting mergers and restructuring among small financial institutions and addressing non-performing assets [7] - China will strengthen international cooperation to monitor and respond to cross-border financial risks [7] Group 4: Capital Market Development - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will deepen reforms in the ChiNext market and enhance the quality of the Beijing Stock Exchange [8][10] - The CSRC plans to introduce a refinancing framework and improve corporate governance to stabilize the market [10][11] Group 5: Investor Protection - The CSRC will release new measures to strengthen the protection of small and medium investors, focusing on fair trading environments and enhancing service levels [11]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Financial Street Forum held in Beijing focuses on "Innovation, Transformation, and Reshaping of Global Financial Development," with over 400 key guests from more than 30 countries and regions attending [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Credit Support - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will resume open market operations for government bonds, indicating a stable performance in the bond market [3] - PBOC is researching policies to support personal credit repair, including a one-time credit relief policy for individuals who have defaulted on loans below a certain amount during the pandemic, which will not be displayed in credit reports if the loans have been repaid [4] - The PBOC plans to further optimize the management system for digital currency, supporting more commercial banks to become operational entities for digital currency [4] Group 2: Regulation of Virtual Currency - PBOC will continue to combat domestic virtual currency operations and speculation, maintaining the effectiveness of previous policies issued since 2017 [5][6] Group 3: Capital Market Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will implement reforms to the Growth Enterprise Market, establishing listing standards that better align with the characteristics of emerging industries and innovative enterprises [8] - CSRC aims to deepen sector reforms to enhance the inclusiveness and coverage of the multi-tiered market system, with the first batch of newly registered companies set to list on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [10] - The CSRC has launched an optimized scheme for the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system, improving access management, investment operation efficiency, and expanding investment scope for foreign investors [12]

Core Points - The 2025 Financial Street Forum Annual Meeting was held in Beijing, with key announcements from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [1] Group 1: People's Bank of China Announcements - The PBOC will resume open market operations for government bonds, indicating a stable performance in the bond market [2] - The PBOC is researching policies to support personal credit repair, including a one-time credit relief policy for individuals who have defaulted on loans below a certain amount during the pandemic, which will not be displayed in credit reports if the loans have been repaid [4] - The PBOC plans to further optimize the management system for digital currency, aiming to enhance its positioning and support more commercial banks in becoming operational entities for digital currency [5] - The PBOC will continue to combat domestic virtual currency operations and speculation, maintaining existing policies since 2017 and closely monitoring the development of overseas stablecoins [6] Group 2: China Securities Regulatory Commission Announcements - The CSRC will initiate reforms to the ChiNext board, establishing listing standards that better align with the characteristics of emerging industries and innovative enterprises [8] - The CSRC has launched a new plan to optimize the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system, which includes improving access management, enhancing investment operation efficiency, and expanding investment scope to create a more transparent and efficient environment for foreign investors [10]