Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View of the Report - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties of Baocheng Futures on August 22, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][39][50] Summary by Category Power Coal - The table shows the basis and spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of power coal from August 15 to August 21, 2025. The basis on August 21 was - 97.4 yuan/ton, and the spreads were all 0.0 [1][2] Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - Data on the basis of energy commodities (fuel oil, INE crude oil, crude oil/asphalt) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are provided, along with the ratio of crude oil to asphalt and other information [7] Chemical Commodities - The basis data of chemical commodities (rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, PP) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of rubber on August 21 was - 920 yuan/ton [9] - The table shows the inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of chemical commodities (rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, ethylene glycol) and inter - variety spreads (LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, PP - 3*methanol) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 [11] Black Metals - The basis data of black metals (rebar, iron ore, coke, coking coal) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are given. For instance, the basis of rebar on August 21 was 199.0 yuan/ton [21] - The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) and inter - variety spreads (rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, rebar - hot - rolled coil) of black metals are presented [20] Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are shown. For example, the basis of copper on August 21 was 220 yuan/ton [28] London Market - Data on LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) on August 21, 2025 are provided, including LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit and loss [34] Agricultural Products - The basis data of agricultural products (soybean No.1, soybean No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc.) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are presented [39] - The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of agricultural products (soybean No.1, soybean No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc.) are shown [39] - The inter - variety spreads (soybean No.1/corn, soybean No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, etc.) of agricultural products from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are provided [39] Stock Index Futures - The basis data of stock index futures (CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, CSI 1000) from August 15 to August 21, 2025 are given. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on August 21 was 5.87 [51] - The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) of stock index futures are presented [53]

Core Insights - The total trading volume of the CSI 1000 Index ETF reached 4.178 billion yuan today, an increase of 1.283 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing a growth rate of 44.34% [1] Trading Volume Summary - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) had a trading volume of 2.603 billion yuan, up 586 million yuan from the previous day, with a growth rate of 29.07% [1] - The Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF (159845) recorded a trading volume of 572 million yuan, an increase of 251 million yuan, with a growth rate of 77.91% [1] - The Fortune CSI 1000 ETF (159629) saw a trading volume of 401 million yuan, up 200 million yuan, with a growth rate of 98.83% [1] - The 1000 ETF Enhanced (560590) and the Bosera CSI 1000 Enhanced ETF (561780) had significant increases in trading volume, with growth rates of 318.57% and 234.90% respectively [1] Market Performance Summary - As of market close, the CSI 1000 Index (000852) rose by 1.69%, while the average increase for related ETFs tracking the CSI 1000 Index was 1.65% [1] - The top performers included the 1000 ETF Enhanced (560590) and the CSI 1000 ETF Enhanced (561280), which increased by 3.26% and 2.58% respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance differences among various index funds, particularly focusing on the volatility and returns of large-cap and small-cap indices over the past decade, highlighting the challenges in choosing the best investment strategy among them [3][5][24]. Performance Analysis of Different Indices - Historical data shows significant performance disparities among indices of different sizes over the past ten years, with the 中证2000 exhibiting the highest volatility and returns during bullish phases, while the 沪深300 remains relatively stable [5][7]. - The 中证全指 demonstrates a balanced performance, generally staying within a moderate range with fewer extreme fluctuations compared to other indices [5][7]. Bull Market Performance - In 2014, all five indices saw substantial gains, with 沪深300 and 中证2000 both around 50%, while 中证全指, 中证500, and 中证1000 had returns between 30%-45% [10]. - The year 2015 marked extreme differentiation, with 中证2000 soaring over 100%, while 沪深300 showed minimal growth [11]. - In 2019, all indices rose moderately, with gains concentrated in the 20%-35% range, favoring 沪深300 and 中证全指 slightly [12]. - The year 2020 saw a general tightening of gains, with most indices recording increases between 10%-20%, and 沪深300 slightly outperforming small-cap indices [13]. Bear Market Performance - During bear markets, indices generally experienced significant declines, with the depth of the drop closely related to market capitalization structure [17]. - In 2016, the 中证全指 and 沪深300 fell by 5%-8%, while 中证500 and 中证1000 dropped by 10%-15%, and 中证2000 remained relatively stable [17]. - The year 2018 witnessed a severe downturn, with 中证1000 and 中证2000 suffering losses of nearly 40% and over 35%, respectively, while large-cap indices also faced declines exceeding 25% [18]. - In 2022, all indices recorded declines in the 15%-25% range, with small-cap indices and 中证全指 experiencing slightly larger drops, while 沪深300 fared better [19]. - In 2023, most indices recorded slight declines or remained flat, with only 中证2000 achieving approximately 2% positive returns, indicating that small-cap indices often bear greater adjustment pressure in bear markets [20]. Summary of Returns and Volatility - 中证2000 has the highest cumulative return at nearly 197% with an annualized return of 10.19% and a volatility of 28.26%, indicating high elasticity and risk [23]. - 中证全指 and 沪深300 show long-term returns of 84.46% and 79.11%, respectively, with annualized returns in the 5%-6% range and lower volatility, reflecting stability and balanced returns [23]. - 中证500 and 中证1000 fall in between, with cumulative returns of 67.92% and 55.63%, annualized returns slightly below 5%, and volatility ranging from 21%-27% [23]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - The article suggests that small-cap indices perform better during favorable market conditions but come with higher volatility and drawdown risks, while large-cap and broad-based indices offer more stable returns [24]. - A diversified investment approach, such as balancing large-cap and small-cap allocations and integrating growth and value styles, is recommended to enhance adaptability across different market conditions [24].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, the upward speed of the stock index may slow down after the phased realization of macro - positive factors, and market fluctuations and adjustments should be watched out for. In the long run, the futures index market this year is mainly driven by valuation expansion, and the valuation factor is expected to continue to play a role. It is advisable to go long on the stock index opportunistically this week [7] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Interest Rate and Bond Market - The closing prices and changes of various interest rate varieties are as follows: DRO01 closed at 1.31, down 8.18bp; DR007 at 1.42, down 13.00bp; GC001 at 1.29, up 26.00bp; GC007 at 1.46, up 3.00bp; SHBOR 3M at 1.56, down 0.30bp; LPR 5 - year at 3.50, unchanged; 1 - year treasury bond at 1.37, down 0.73bp; 5 - year treasury bond at 1.57, down 0.23bp; 10 - year treasury bond at 1.71, up 0.60bp; 10 - year US treasury bond at 4.23, down 14.00bp [4] - Last week, the central bank conducted 1.6632 trillion yuan of reverse repurchase operations in the open market, with 1.6563 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases due, resulting in a net investment of 6.9 billion yuan. This week, 1.6632 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases will expire, with 495.8 billion, 449.2 billion, 309 billion, 283.2 billion, and 126 billion yuan expiring from Monday to Friday respectively [4][5] Stock Index Market - Stock index closing prices and changes compared to the previous day: CSI 300 closed at 4055, down 0.51%; SSE 50 at 2754, down 0.79%; CSI 500 at 6213, down 0.21%; CSI 1000 at 6670, up 0.14%. For index futures, IF当月 closed at 4043, down 0.7%; IH当月 at 2754, down 0.8%; IC当月 at 6166, down 0.4%; IM当月 at 6617, up 0.1% [6] - Last week, CSI 300 fell 1.75% to 4054.9; SSE 50 fell 1.48% to 2754.1; CSI 500 fell 1.37% to 6213.2; CSI 1000 fell 0.54% to 6670.5. In the Shenwan primary industry index, last week, the pharmaceutical and biological (2.9%), communication (2.5%), media (1.1%), electronics (0.3%), and social services (0.1%) sectors led the gains, while most sectors declined, with non - ferrous metals (-4.6%), real estate (-3.4%), transportation (-3.2%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (-3%), and power equipment (-2.6%) leading the losses [6] - The IF, IH, IC, and IM index futures have different levels of premium and discount for different contracts. For example, IF's premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 9.10%, 0.00%, 0.01%, and 3.41% respectively [8]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View - After consecutive strong rallies, with the phased realization of macro - level positives, the upward speed of stock indices may slow down, and market volatility and adjustments should be watched out for [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market and Operation - **Interest Rates**: DR001 closed at 1.40% with an 8.17bp increase, DR007 at 1.55% with a 3.67bp increase, GC001 at 1.03% with a 75.00bp decrease, GC007 at 1.43% with a 19.50bp decrease, SHBOR 3M at 1.57% with a 0.20bp increase, LPR 5 - year at 3.50% with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.37% with a 1.25bp decrease, 5 - year treasury at 1.56% with a 1.25bp decrease, 10 - year treasury at 1.71% with a 1.50bp decrease, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.38% with a 4.00bp increase [3]. - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 2832 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 3310 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 478 billion yuan. This week, there are 16563 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, but government bond issuances and certificate of deposit maturities are lower than last week, and month - end fiscal expenditures may speed up, which could bring incremental funds to the inter - bank market [3]. Stock Index Market - **Index Performance**: The CSI 300 closed at 4076 with a 1.82% decrease, the SSE 50 at 2776 with a 1.54% decrease, the CSI 500 at 6226 with a 1.40% decrease, and the CSI 1000 at 6661 with a 0.85% decrease. The trading volume of the two markets was 19360 billion yuan, an increase of 918 billion yuan from the previous day. Industry sectors generally declined, with energy metals, steel, coal, mining, photovoltaic equipment, real estate development, shipbuilding, precious metals, and chemical fiber industries leading the decline [3]. - **Futures Contracts**: IF's current - month contract closed at 4070 with a 1.8% decrease, IH's at 2777 with a 1.6% decrease, IC's at 6187 with a 1.3% decrease, and IM's at 6612 with a 0.9% decrease. IF's trading volume was 156196 with a 13.2% increase, IH's was 75925 with a 7.0% increase, IC's was 119559 with a 13.6% increase, and IM's was 267774 with a 15.8% increase. IF's open interest was 270987 with a 1.4% decrease, IH's decreased, IC's was 227163 with a 1.2% decrease, and IM's was 348264 with a 0.5% increase [3]. - **Premium and Discount**: IF's current - month contract had a premium of 3.10%, IH's had a discount of - 1.23%, IC's had a premium of 15.22%, and IM's had a premium of 17.89% [5].

● 本报记者王宇露 中国证券投资基金业协会发布的最新数据显示，截至7月30日，7月以来备案的私募证券投资基金已达 1203只，创下今年以来单月新高。在市场逐步回暖的背景下，投资者热情逐步回升。整体来看，量化产 品依然是备案的主力军。在投资者对量化产品热情高涨之际，多家量化私募相继宣布对部分产品进行封 盘。 私募发行市场回暖 中国证券投资基金业协会网站显示，截至7月30日，7月以来共有1203只私募证券投资基金完成备案。此 前，6月共有1075只私募证券投资基金备案，4月有1138只完成备案，3月有1007只完成备案，其他月份 均未超过1000只。 7月私募证券投资基金备案数量再次突破1000只的同时，也创下今年以来单月备案数量的新高。业内人 士认为，在市场逐步回暖、指数不断走高的背景下，投资者热情逐步回升，这是私募发行市场回暖的主 要原因。 从备案的私募管理人来看，量化私募依然是备案新产品的主力军，九坤投资、明汯投资、蒙玺投资、世 纪前沿、宽德私募、量派投资等知名量化私募均有一些新产品完成备案。知名主观股票多头私募中，华 安合鑫、星石投资、重阳投资等也有新产品备案，但备案数量相对较少。 7月31日，广东宏锡基 ...

Group 1 - The number of private securities investment funds registered in July reached 1,203, setting a new monthly record for the year, indicating a recovery in the private placement market as investor enthusiasm rises [1] - Quantitative products remain the main force in the registration of new private funds, with notable firms like Nine Kun Investment and Ming Cong Investment launching new products [1] - The overall private fund issuance market shows a warming trend, with the number of registered funds in previous months being lower, such as 1,075 in June and 1,138 in April [1] Group 2 - Guangdong Hongxi Fund Management announced the suspension of fundraising for some of its traditional quantitative CTA products starting August 1, 2025, to focus on existing investors and enhance service quality [2] - The firm has managed assets between 5 billion and 10 billion yuan, emphasizing a cautious management principle regarding strategy capacity limits [2] - Other quantitative private funds have also announced similar suspensions, indicating a trend of selective fundraising in the market [3] Group 3 - The private fund issuance market is experiencing uneven performance, with quantitative funds attracting more capital compared to subjective funds, which struggle to achieve significant fundraising [3] - Some leading subjective private funds have also paused new client subscriptions, reflecting a cautious approach to managing growth and performance [3] - The macro environment is perceived as favorable for quantitative funds this year, leading to rapid sellouts of popular products, while many private institutions still face fundraising challenges [3]

Report Summary 1. Core View - The central bank increased reverse repurchase operations to stabilize inter - bank market funds as the funds tightened recently, and there will be 1656.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open market this week [3][4]. - After consecutive strong rallies, with the phased realization of macro - level positive factors, the upward speed of stock index futures may slow down, and market fluctuations and adjustments should be watched out for [6]. 2. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DR001 closed at 1.32%, down 4.80bp; DR007 at 1.52%, down 4.67bp; GC001 at 1.78%, up 12.00bp; GC007 at 1.63%, down 5.00bp; SHBOR 3M at 1.56%, up 0.40bp; LPR 5 - year at 3.50%, unchanged; 1 - year treasury at 1.38%, down 2.00bp; 5 - year treasury at 1.58%, down 2.50bp; 10 - year treasury at 1.72%, down 3.05bp; 10 - year US treasury at 4.34%, down 8.00bp [3]. - **Reverse Repurchase**: The central bank conducted 309 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an operating rate of 1.40% yesterday, with 150.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 158.5 billion yuan [3]. 2.2 Stock Index Futures - **Closing Prices and Changes**: The CSI 300 closed at 4151, down 0.02%; the SSE 50 at 2819, up 0.38%; the CSI 500 at 6315, down 0.65%; the CSI 1000 at 6718, down 0.82%. IF当月 closed at 4147, down 0.1%; IH当月 at 2821, up 0.3%; IC当月 at 6271, down 0.7%; IM当月 at 6676, down 0.8% [5][6]. - **Volume and Open Interest Changes**: IF volume increased by 41.3% to 138031, and open interest increased by 5.9% to 274703; IH volume increased by 53.7% to 70949, and open interest increased by 9.0% to 103281; IC volume increased by 19.5% to 105254, and open interest increased by 2.3% to 229923; IM volume increased by 22.7% to 231279, and open interest increased by 5.0% to 346497 [5]. 2.3 Stock Index Futures Premium/Discount - **IF**: The premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 2.33%, 0.00%, 0.01%, and 2.90% respectively [7]. - **IH**: The premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are - 1.66%, - 0.16%, - 0.08%, and - 0.12% respectively [7]. - **IC**: The premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 15.71%, 11.25%, 9.59%, and 8.92% respectively [7]. - **IM**: The premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 14.56%, 12.17%, 11.60%, and 10.93% respectively [7]. 3. Market Review - The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 1.8443 trillion yuan, an increase of 41.1 billion yuan compared to the previous day. Industry sectors had more decliners than gainers, with the mining, shipbuilding, tourism and hotel, food and beverage, and commercial department store sectors leading the gains, while the battery, diversified finance, small metals, engineering machinery, and power supply equipment sectors leading the losses [6]. 4. Market Hot News - This week, 1.6563 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases in the central bank's open market will mature, with 170.7 billion, 214.8 billion, 150.5 billion, 331 billion, and 789.3 billion yuan maturing from Monday to Friday respectively [4]. - After the Sino - US economic and trade negotiations, China's Ministry of Commerce stated that both sides will continue to promote the extension of the 24% part of the suspended reciprocal tariffs by the US and China's counter - measures as scheduled. The Politburo meeting released little incremental information, emphasizing policy continuity, stability, flexibility, and predictability, and promoting the governance of non - competitive behavior in enterprises and over - capacity in key industries [6].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3595.19 points, down 0.08% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11212.88 points, down 0.04% [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2384.23 points, up 0.92% [1] - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4133.79 points, down 0.05% [1] - The STAR 50 Index closed at 1063.90 points, up 0.83% [1] - The CSI 500 Index closed at 6312.47 points, down 0.17% [1] - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 6732.20 points, up 0.03% [1] Year-to-Date Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has increased by 7.26% year-to-date [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index has increased by 7.66% year-to-date [2] - The North Star 50 Index has increased by 40.18% year-to-date [2] - The Wind All A Index has increased by 12.22% year-to-date [2] - The STAR 50 Index has increased by 7.58% year-to-date [2] - The ChiNext Index has increased by 11.33% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 300 Index has increased by 5.05% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 500 Index has increased by 10.25% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 800 Index has increased by 6.38% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 1000 Index has increased by 13.00% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 2000 Index has increased by 21.53% year-to-date [2] - The Wind Micro盛股 Index has increased by 49.02% year-to-date [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - A-shares are mainly speculating on the "anti-involution" policy and the beneficiary sectors of the Yarlung Zangbo River project. The news of the official launch of the full - island customs closure of Hainan Free Trade Port on December 18 this year has driven the strength of relevant beneficiary sectors. With overall positive domestic and overseas factors, A - share liquidity and market sentiment are strong, and stock index is expected to run strongly. The strategy is mainly to adjust and go long [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Money Market - DR001 rose more than 28bp to 1.65%, and DR007 rose 9.33bp to 1.58%. GC001 fell 48.50bp to 1.09%, and GC007 rose 1.50bp to 1.58%. SHBOR 3M rose 0.20bp to 1.55%, and LPR 5 - year remained unchanged at 3.50%. The yield of 1 - year treasury bond rose to 1.39, 5 - year treasury bond rose to 1.59, 10 - year treasury bond rose to 1.74, and 10 - year US bond rose 5.00bp to 4.40% [3] - The central bank conducted 331 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an operating rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 450.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal was 119.5 billion yuan. There are 1726.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open market this week, and 200 billion yuan of MLF will mature on July 25 [3] 3.2 Stock Index Futures Market - At the close yesterday, CSI 300 rose 0.71% to 4149, SSE 50 rose 0.4% to 2812.4, CSI 500 rose 1.56% to 6293.6, and CSI 1000 rose 1.42% to 6701.1. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 1844.7 billion yuan, a slight contraction of 19.9 billion yuan from the previous day. Most industry sectors rose, with only the precious metals and banking sectors falling [4] - The trading volume of IF decreased by 12.9%, and the position increased by 0.9%; the trading volume of IH decreased by 19.5%, and the position increased by 0.1%; the trading volume of IC decreased by 9.3%, and the position increased by 0.7%; the trading volume of IM decreased by 3.1%, and the position remained unchanged [4] 3.3 Stock Index Futures Basis Situation - The basis rates of IF for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 0.81%, 0.00%, 0.01%, and 2.42% respectively; those of IH are - 1.74%, - 0.95%, - 0.49%, and - 0.30% respectively; those of IC are 6.33%, 6.88%, 7.41%, and 7.18% respectively; those of IM are 6.27%, 7.89%, 9.78%, and 9.75% respectively [6]